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Harris narrowly leads Trump in Pennsylvania, Michigan Wisconsin, Marist polls find

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Harris narrowly leads Trump in Pennsylvania, Michigan Wisconsin, Marist polls find


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WASHINGTON ― Vice President Kamala Harris holds narrow leads in Pennsylvania, Michigan in Wisconsin four days from the presidential election, according to new polls of the three “blue wall” states released Friday by Marist College that show the Democratic nominee gaining with independent voters.

In Pennsylvania, Harris is ahead of Republican nominee Donald Trump 50%-48% among likely voters, Marist found, and leads Trump 51%-48% in Michigan and 50%-48% in Wisconsin.

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The polls − some of the most encouraging surveys for Harris in recent days − were taken Oct. 27 to Oct. 30. Each result is within the polls’ margins of errors of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points in Pennsylvania, 3.5 percentage points in Michigan and 3.4 percentage points in Wisconsin.

Harris is buoyed in the polls by independent voters shifting her direction. In Pennsylvania, Harris leads 55%-40% with independents, Marist found, a turnaround after Trump had a 4-point advantage with Pennsylvania’s independent voters in September. Harris leads among independent voters 52%-46% in Michigan and 51%-46% in Wisconsin.

Harris underperforming with Black voters, but gaining with white voters

Reflecting a defining trend of the 2024 election, the polls found large gender gaps, with Harris faring better among women and Trump with men.

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In Pennsylvania, Harris is ahead 53%-45% with likely women voters, while Trump leads likely male voters 51%-47%. Harris leads likely Michigan women voters 55%-44% over Trump and likely Wisconsin women voters 55%-43%. Trump is ahead with likely Michigan male voters 52%-46% and likely Wisconsin male voters 53%-44%.

Despite Harris’ polling leads, the vice president is underperforming with Black voters compared to President Joe Biden’s performance in the 2020 election, Marist found.

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Harris leads Trump 84%-16% among Black voters in Pennsylvania and 75%-25% among Black voters in Michigan. Biden won support from 92% of Black voters in 2020. Harris has support from 63% of non-white voters in Wisconsin, while Biden had support from 73% in 2020.

Yet Harris is overcoming the lagging numbers with Black voters by doing better than Biden performed with white voters. Trump leads Harris 51%-47% with white voters in Pennsylvania, below the 57% Trump garnered with this group in 2020. Trump leads white voters 51%-48% in Michigan, a narrower margin that his 55%-44% performance four years ago. Trump leads Wisconsin’s white voters 50%-48% after carrying the state’s white voters by 6 points in 2020.

What is the blue wall?

The polls, conducted through a combination of phone interviews, texts and on online, used samples of 1,642 Pennsylvania voters, 1,429 Michigan voters and 1,549 Wisconsin voters.

Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan − each carried by President Joe Biden in 2020 − have voted as a bloc in every presidential election since 1988, with one of the presidential candidates sweeping all three. Trump flipped the three “blue wall” states to the Republican column in 2016 en route to his defeat over Democrat Hillary Clinton.

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If Harris carries all three “blue wall” states in the Nov. 5 election, then she would likely secure enough electoral votes to win the presidency even if she loses the four other battleground states − North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. That’s assuming Harris wins Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district, where she is polling ahead, and all other states she is heavily favored to win.

For Trump, a victory in any of the “blue wall” states − particularly Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral votes, the most of any battleground − would open a path for him to secure the necessary 270 electoral votes by pairing that win with victories in the Sun Belt states, where he is polling stronger.

Reach Joey Garrison on X, formerly Twitter, @joeygarrison.



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Escaped Slender Man defendant Morgan Geyser will return to Wisconsin

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Escaped Slender Man defendant Morgan Geyser will return to Wisconsin


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Slender Man stabbing defendant Morgan Geyser will be returned to Wisconsin after her arrest in Illinois over the weekend for escaping from a Madison group home.

Geyser appeared in a Posen, Illinois, courtroom on Nov. 25, waiving her right to an extradition hearing and clearing the way for her to soon be returned to Wisconsin.

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It’s not clear exactly when she will be back in the state.

Luciano Panici, the Illinois circuit court judge presiding over the hearing, indicated Wisconsin officials have 30 days to transport her and expressed the hope the task would be completed sooner.

Geyser’s court appearance follows a 24-hour search that began when the 23-year-old escaped from a Madison group home.

Geyser and Chad “Charly” Mecca, 43, were arrested at an Illinois truck stop on Nov. 23 after authorities say Geyser cut off her ankle monitor and left the Madison group home, YoYo Quality Care.

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Geyser and co-defendant Anissa Weier were charged in 2014 with the attempted killing of their friend and classmate, Payton Leutner. Geyser stabbed Leutner stabbed 19 times.

All three girls were 12 years old at the time.

Geyser and Weier said they believed they were carrying out the bidding of Slender Man, a fictional online character.

They were found not guilty by reason of mental defect or disease in 2017 and sentenced to mental confinement, Weier for 25 years, and Geyser for 40 years.

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Geyser was granted conditional release earlier this year after a judge he saw no risk to the public or to herself.

This is a developing story. Stay with jsonline.com for updates.

Chris Ramirez covers courts for the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. He can be reached at caramirez@usatodayco.com.



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In Wisconsin’s Northwoods, snowmaking is helping winter fun continue as planned

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In Wisconsin’s Northwoods, snowmaking is helping winter fun continue as planned


While Wisconsin’s Northwoods struggled to find winter last year, one area made its own. At Mt. Telemark Village in Cable, winter didn’t stop.

“It was difficult in the Northwoods,” said Ben Popp. “But you know, we were fortunate enough last year, because of our snowmaking and some of this infrastructure, we were able to host all of our events.”

That ability to make winter happen is exactly why the American Birkebeiner Foundation invested in Telemark after the 2017 Birkie was canceled for a lack of snow.

“People would have thought you’re crazy. Northern Wisconsin, you’re going to make snow? But at the end of the day, the events are so important to our local economy and our mission that we decided to make the investment in snow making,” said Popp.

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Now, the village is home to trails for skiing, snowshoeing, biking, and an ever-growing lineup of winter events that draw thousands to Cable and Hayward. It’s all powered by an $11 million community-backed project.

“It took 2,500 individual donors that came together to really support the idea of creating outdoor recreation here in northern Wisconsin,” Popp added.

But convincing winter to cooperate is still a strategic operation.

“We need a lot of snow in a lot of different places this year to ensure that we have snow that will last all through March this year. So it’s a lot of pre-planning to determine where should we be putting guns? Where should we making these big piles?” said Kristy Maki.

Telemark’s snow guns fired up last week in time for early season skiing, and the annual Turkey Birkie.

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Once January arrives, the calendar doesn’t slow down. Fat bikes camps, classic ski races and women’s clinics all depend on reliable snow.

“Even if we can’t hold races because of the natural snow level, we know that we can put something on here,” said Maki.

Reliability that is crucial not just for athletes but for the economy that surrounds the trails.

“It brings people from the Twin Cities, Wausau, Eau Claire, Chicago,” said Popp. “It really is the centerpiece of our economy.”

As cooler temperatures begin to take hold in the Northwoods, they’ll continue making snow at Mt. Telemark Village, while holding out hope for a nice blanket of the real stuff.

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Wisconsin Lottery Pick 3, Pick 4 results for Nov. 23, 2025

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Wisconsin Lottery Pick 3, Pick 4 results for Nov. 23, 2025


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The Wisconsin Lottery offers multiple draw games for those aiming to win big. Here’s a look at Nov. 23, 2025, results for each game:

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Winning Pick 3 numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

Midday: 0-2-5

Evening: 6-0-8

Check Pick 3 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Pick 4 numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

Midday: 3-6-6-3

Evening: 8-8-9-7

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Check Pick 4 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning All or Nothing numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

Midday: 01-02-04-06-10-14-16-17-18-19-21

Evening: 02-03-05-07-08-10-11-13-20-21-22

Check All or Nothing payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Badger 5 numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

02-05-21-22-28

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Check Badger 5 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning SuperCash numbers from Nov. 23 drawing

03-07-08-18-31-33, Doubler: N

Check SuperCash payouts and previous drawings here.

Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

Are you a winner? Here’s how to claim your lottery prize

  • Prizes up to $599: Can be claimed at any Wisconsin Lottery retailer.
  • Prizes from $600 to $199,999: Can be claimed in person at a Lottery Office. By mail, send the signed ticket and a completed claim form available on the Wisconsin Lottery claim page to: Prizes, PO Box 777 Madison, WI 53774.
  • Prizes of $200,000 or more: Must be claimed in person at the Madison Lottery office. Call the Lottery office prior to your visit: 608-261-4916.

Can Wisconsin lottery winners remain anonymous?

No, according to the Wisconsin Lottery. Due to the state’s open records laws, the lottery must, upon request, release the name and city of the winner. Other information about the winner is released only with the winner’s consent.

When are the Wisconsin Lottery drawings held?

  • Powerball: 9:59 p.m. CT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
  • Mega Millions: 10:00 p.m. CT on Tuesday and Friday.
  • Super Cash: 9:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 3 (Day): 1:30 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 3 (Evening): 9:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 4 (Day): 1:30 p.m. CT daily.
  • Pick 4 (Evening): 9:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • All or Nothing (Day): 1:30 p.m. CT daily.
  • All or Nothing (Evening): 9 p.m. CT daily.
  • Megabucks: 9:00 p.m. CT on Wednesday and Saturday.
  • Badger 5: 9:00 p.m. CT daily.

That lucky feeling: Peek at the past week’s winning numbers.

Feeling lucky? WI man wins $768 million Powerball jackpot **

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WI Lottery history: Top 10 Powerball and Mega Million jackpots

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Wisconsin editor. You can send feedback using this form.



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