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Ohio State vs Purdue predictions, picks, odds. Who wins Week 11 college football game?

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Ohio State vs Purdue predictions, picks, odds. Who wins Week 11 college football game?


Ohio State football is set to take on Purdue at Ross-Ade Stadium on Nov. 7.

The Buckeyes received the No. 1 ranking in the College Football Playoff committee’s rankings on Nov. 4. Ohio State is 8-0 and ranks a spot higher than Indiana, also undefeated and projected to play the Buckeyes in the Big Ten championship game.

Purdue kept it close against Michigan, but the Boilermakers lost 21-16, falling to 2-7 overall and 0-6 in the Big Ten.

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Here’s what Dispatch writers think will happen in the Ohio State-Purdue football game:

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Ohio State vs. Purdue odds, money line, over/under

Odds courtesy of BetMGM (As of Nov. 7)

  • Spread: Ohio State by 29.5
  • Over/under: 48.5

If you’re new to sports betting, don’t worry. We have tips for beginners on how to place a bet online. And regardless of your level of experience, our guide to college football betting odds, picks and spreads has you covered.

USA TODAY Network readers can also claim exclusive promos and bonus codes with these online sportsbooks and sports betting sites.

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Ohio State vs. Purdue predictions

Joey Kaufman, Columbus Dispatch: Ohio State 45, Purdue 3. While the Boilermakers are rebuilding under first-year coach Barry Odom and remain winless in the Big Ten, they have been more competitive this year. The average margin of their six conference losses is just 11 points, and three of the last four have been by one score or less. But a season-ending ankle injury to star running back Devin Mockobee only adds to the plate of Ryan Browne, who has thrown the second-most interceptions among Big Ten quarterbacks. It won’t be much different than last year’s game in Columbus, though Purdue can avoid being shut out.  

Rob Oller, Columbus Dispatch: Ohio State 48, Purdue 7. The Boilermakers have not won a Big Ten game since beating Indiana in the finale of the 2023 regular season, going 1-15 over that stretch. Over the same span, the Buckeyes have gone 12-3. So you’re saying there’s a chance? Never say never, but, er, never. Purdue is better than a year ago, and actually has been competitive in three of its last four games, including a 21-16 loss at Michigan, but Ohio State has too many weapons on both sides of the ball for this to be anything other than an OSU “name your score.”

Dan Aulbach, Columbus Dispatch: Ohio State 42, Purdue 3. Though the final score predictions are starting to sound like a broken record, Ohio State should have no problem this weekend at Ross-Ade Stadium with a passing offense on a roll and two Heisman campaigns underway for Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith.

Ohio State vs. Purdue scouting report: What we’re watching

Joey Kaufman: The week that Ohio State began formally pushing quarterback Julian Sayin and wide receiver Jeremiah Smith as candidates for the Heisman Trophy is well-timed with an afternoon that could allow them to pad their stats. Purdue allows 8.7 yards per pass attempt, ranking 128th out of 136 teams in the Football Bowl Subdivision, and only Marshall has surrendered more completions of 40 or more yards. As long as the weather in West Lafayette cooperates, Sayin and Smith could put up some video game-type numbers.

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Rob Oller: A better than 50% chance of rain is forecast for Saturday’s game in West Lafayette. If the heavens open on the Buckeyes, it’s possible Ohio State will lean into trying to improve its running game, which is about the only facet of the team that has come under question. Then again, I’m not sure even a slippery, wet football would be enough to squelch a passing attack that licks its chops knowing Purdue’s pass defense ranks 16th in the Big Ten in passing yards allowed.

Dan Aulbach: Ohio State has scored a touchdown on its opening drive the past two games. Not only have the Buckeyes started quickly on offense, but Julian Sayin continues to air the ball downfield with precision to get the offense to the red zone quickly. I’m interested to see how aggressively Ohio State wants to get a big lead on the road against Purdue, and if they grab an early lead, will the leading Heisman candidate continue to take deep shots for the entire contest?

Julian Sayin has a 400-yard game

Joey Kaufman: After he was just 7 yards shy of throwing for 400 yards at Wisconsin three weeks ago, Sayin will have the opportunity to reach that mark against another Big Ten cellar dweller as Purdue remains prone to giving up big plays through the air. Even if the Boilermakers are in prevent mode after Penn State was beaten over the top, Sayin has too many weapons not to carve them up. He’ll be the first Buckeyes quarterback since C.J. Stroud to have a 400-yard passing game.

Buckeyes’ rushing yards surpass passing yards

Rob Oller: Conventional wisdom says Ohio State will go pass-happy against the Boilermakers to pad the stats of Heisman candidates Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith, but from a team preparation standpoint the Buckeyes need to get their ground game up and running, so the final stats will show more run yards than passing yards, which has not happened since Nov. 12, 2022 against Indiana (340 run, 322 pass), which also was the last time OSU topped 300 yards rushing.

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Jeremiah Smith scores 3 touchdowns

Dan Aulbach: It’s Heisman candidacy season, and while Sayin leads the betting odds for the trophy, expect Jeremiah Smith to start running up the stat sheet. Look for the Buckeyes to get creative on offense to get No. 4 to the end zone multiple times. A three-touchdown game would certainly turn some heads in the Heisman race.ual improvement in his maturity as Ohio State’s quarterback. Though on the road against a weaker opponent, the redshirt freshman showed once more his accuracy is irreplicable and I fully expect his completion percentage to remain atop the FBS.



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Thousands head to Columbus for 23rd annual Home Improvement Show at Ohio Expo Center

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Thousands head to Columbus for 23rd annual Home Improvement Show at Ohio Expo Center


Thousands of people are expected to head to downtown Columbus for the 23rd annual Home Improvement Show this weekend.

Organizers say visitors can find ideas for everything from small interior design projects to major renovations.

The event is being held at the Ohio Expo Center and includes seminars, exhibits and demonstrations from local and national companies.

The show begins at noon Friday and runs until 6 p.m.

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It continues Saturday from 10 a.m. to 6 p.m. and Sunday from 11 a.m. to 5 p.m.

Adult tickets cost $5 at the door.



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Matt Patricia sought stability in return as Ohio State football defensive coordinator

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Matt Patricia sought stability in return as Ohio State football defensive coordinator


Matt Patricia’s contract extension earlier this offseason included a pay raise that figures to make him the highest-paid assistant coach in college football this year.

But Patricia, who will make $3.75 million in guaranteed compensation as Ohio State’s defensive coordinator in 2026, also held an appreciation for his situation.

“Ohio State is such a special place, not only just the history, the tradition, the football program, the school, but the people here,” Patricia said. “Having a chance to have a little stability with my family, it’s hard when you have to move your family around, your kids and the new school and all that.”

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Before he joined Ryan Day’s staff last year, the 51-year-old Patricia had bounced around as an assistant in the NFL for much of the decade.

He spent 2021 and 2022 in a variety of roles with the New England Patriots, then a year as a defensive assistant with the Philadelphia Eagles. He took off from coaching in 2024. The frequent relocation gave him perspective.

“We had an unbelievable experience settling into Columbus,” Patricia said. “Everybody’s been so nice and welcoming. It feels like home. It’s a big deal for us to be in a place where everybody’s happy. That’s really important.”

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Patricia had a significant impact on the Buckeyes in his first year replacing Jim Knowles. Despite heavy roster attrition following their national championship season, he kept the defense atop the Football Bowl Subdivision. For the second straight season, no one allowed fewer points than Ohio State.

The 9.3 points per game allowed by the Buckeyes were the fewest by any defense since Alabama in 2011.

The success made Patricia a hot commodity on the coaching market, rebuilding his reputation as a sharp and creative football mind only a decade removed from his tenure as a Super Bowl-winning defensive coordinator for the Patriots. He was a finalist for the Broyles Award as the nation’s top assistant.

Patricia said he heard about opportunities in the NFL and elsewhere across the college football landscape, though none of them would pry him away from Ohio State.

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“It wasn’t necessarily something where you’re looking to leave,” Patricia said, “but you do have to listen when those things come up. I’m just glad everything worked out.”

His challenge in his second season mirrors his previous one, as the Buckeyes are again managing the loss of eight starters on defense.

But unlike 2025, they have fewer returning pieces, relying on a larger class of transfers to help fill the holes on the depth chart.

“With as much coming into the program for the first time, not only are you trying to catch them up on the football scheme, but you’re also trying to catch them up on everything else,” Patricia said. “This is how we work, this is how we do things, this is the standard we’re looking for, this is how we practice, this is how we prepare, this is how we go to school. That has to be also taught. It becomes a lot, but that’s why you bring in the right guys that have the mental makeup to do all that.”

Joey Kaufman covers Ohio State football for The Columbus Dispatch. Email him at jkaufman@dispatch.com and follow him on @joeyrkaufman on X.

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Which central Ohio schools get the best results for their money?

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Which central Ohio schools get the best results for their money?


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Which central Ohio school districts get the most bang for their buck?

On average, school districts in Ohio spend $16,069 per-pupil for education, according to the education think tank Fordham Institute.

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However, different district types spend different amounts of money. For example, large urban districts with very high poverty spend around $21,000 per-pupil, but small towns with low poverty spend around $14,900. The district type closest to the state average are those considered rural and high poverty and suburban districts with low poverty.

Aaron Churchill, lead Ohio researcher for the Fordham Institute, said that urban districts – like Columbus City Schools, the state’s largest district – often have higher spending because they can pull more in tax revenue and the state supports them at a higher rate because they are serving a higher proportion of disadvantaged students. Small, high-poverty towns on the other hand, generate less tax revenue from property values and district employee wages, the highest expense for schools, may be lowered by less market competition.

Churchill said schools should be focused on directing their funding toward initiatives that improve student outcomes and achievement.

“It’s making sure we’re focused on quality, we’re focused on performance, and that we’re rewarding performance,” Churchill said. “And we don’t do enough of that in the education system now.”

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Churchill said there is a long-running debate among education researchers about whether increasing spending translates to meaningful results for students. Overall, school funding has increased on average over $2,000 per-pupil since 2015 and reached a record-high in 2025, according to the Fordham Institute.

“You can see in the numbers that we’re spending more than we ever have,” Churchill said. “The real million-dollar question is ‘Can our schools spend the money well?’”

Which central Ohio districts have the best results compared to funding?

The Dispatch compared overall spending per-pupil for central Ohio school districts to the ODEW’s performance index, using 2025 state data.

The Performance Index uses the performance level results for students in third grade through high school on Ohio’s state testing. The Performance Index (PI) score accounts for the level of achievement of every student, not just whether they are “proficient.” Higher performance levels receive larger weights in the calculation, but all achievement levels are included. Overall, the state average of performance scores was 91.8, according to 2025 state data.

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The central Ohio school district with the highest spending was Columbus City Schools, which spent $24,505 per pupil and received a PI score of 60.7. The district with the highest PI was Grandview Heights Schools, which received a 106 PI score and spent $21,567 per pupil. New Albany-Plain Local Schools was a close second in PI at 105.1 while spending more than $4,000 less than Grandview Heights at $16,923 per-pupil.

Here’s how central Ohio schools stack up by spending versus achievements on tests, according to the Ohio Department of Education (sorted by highest spending per-pupil):

  • Columbus City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $24,505; PI score: 60.7
  • Grandview Heights Schools – Spending per-pupil: $21,567; PI score: 106
  • Bexley City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $21,025; PI score: 102.7
  • Dublin City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $18,702; PI score: 97.6
  • Worthington City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $18.573 ; PI score: 94.3
  • Madison-Plains Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $17,646; PI score: 88
  • New Albany-Plain Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $16,923; PI score: 105.1
  • Westerville City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $16,815; PI score: 89.7
  • Olentangy Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $16,780; PI score: 103.9
  • Groveport Madison Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $16,236; PI score: 72.6
  • Upper Arlington City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $16,282; PI score: 103.6
  • Canal Winchester Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $16.154; PI score: 89.1
  • Average Ohio school district – Spending per-pupil: $16,069; PI score: 91.8
  • Reynoldsburg City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $15,956; PI score: 72.2
  • Gahanna-Jefferson City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $15,742; PI score: 89.7
  • Hilliard City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $15,694; PI score: 90
  • South Western City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $15,600; PI score: 78.5
  • Whitehall City Schools – Spending per-pupil: $15,593; PI score: 66.95
  • Johnstown-Monroe Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $15,163; PI score: 94.5
  • Jonathan Alder Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $14,803; PI score: 95.9
  • Pickerington Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $14,470 ; PI score: 90.9
  • Big Walnut Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $14,239; PI score: 95.1
  • London City – Spending per-pupil: $13,750; PI score: 81.3
  • Marysville Exempted Village Schools – Spending per-pupil: $13,608; PI score: 95.5
  • Licking Heights Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $13,585; PI score: 85.4
  • Hamilton Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $12,971; PI score: 82.2
  • Bloom-Carrol Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $12,720; PI score: 90.89
  • Licking Valley Local Schools – Spending per-pupil: $12,587; PI score: 85

Cole Behrens covers K-12 education and school districts in central Ohio. Have a tip? Contact Cole at cbehrens@dispatch.com or connect with him on X at @Colebehr_report



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