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Ohio State vs Purdue predictions, picks, odds. Who wins Week 11 college football game?
Ohio State football is set to take on Purdue at Ross-Ade Stadium on Nov. 7.
The Buckeyes received the No. 1 ranking in the College Football Playoff committee’s rankings on Nov. 4. Ohio State is 8-0 and ranks a spot higher than Indiana, also undefeated and projected to play the Buckeyes in the Big Ten championship game.
Purdue kept it close against Michigan, but the Boilermakers lost 21-16, falling to 2-7 overall and 0-6 in the Big Ten.
Here’s what Dispatch writers think will happen in the Ohio State-Purdue football game:
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Ohio State vs. Purdue odds, money line, over/under
Odds courtesy of BetMGM (As of Nov. 7)
- Spread: Ohio State by 29.5
- Over/under: 48.5
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Ohio State vs. Purdue predictions
Joey Kaufman, Columbus Dispatch: Ohio State 45, Purdue 3. While the Boilermakers are rebuilding under first-year coach Barry Odom and remain winless in the Big Ten, they have been more competitive this year. The average margin of their six conference losses is just 11 points, and three of the last four have been by one score or less. But a season-ending ankle injury to star running back Devin Mockobee only adds to the plate of Ryan Browne, who has thrown the second-most interceptions among Big Ten quarterbacks. It won’t be much different than last year’s game in Columbus, though Purdue can avoid being shut out.
Rob Oller, Columbus Dispatch: Ohio State 48, Purdue 7. The Boilermakers have not won a Big Ten game since beating Indiana in the finale of the 2023 regular season, going 1-15 over that stretch. Over the same span, the Buckeyes have gone 12-3. So you’re saying there’s a chance? Never say never, but, er, never. Purdue is better than a year ago, and actually has been competitive in three of its last four games, including a 21-16 loss at Michigan, but Ohio State has too many weapons on both sides of the ball for this to be anything other than an OSU “name your score.”
Dan Aulbach, Columbus Dispatch: Ohio State 42, Purdue 3. Though the final score predictions are starting to sound like a broken record, Ohio State should have no problem this weekend at Ross-Ade Stadium with a passing offense on a roll and two Heisman campaigns underway for Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith.
Ohio State vs. Purdue scouting report: What we’re watching
Joey Kaufman: The week that Ohio State began formally pushing quarterback Julian Sayin and wide receiver Jeremiah Smith as candidates for the Heisman Trophy is well-timed with an afternoon that could allow them to pad their stats. Purdue allows 8.7 yards per pass attempt, ranking 128th out of 136 teams in the Football Bowl Subdivision, and only Marshall has surrendered more completions of 40 or more yards. As long as the weather in West Lafayette cooperates, Sayin and Smith could put up some video game-type numbers.
Rob Oller: A better than 50% chance of rain is forecast for Saturday’s game in West Lafayette. If the heavens open on the Buckeyes, it’s possible Ohio State will lean into trying to improve its running game, which is about the only facet of the team that has come under question. Then again, I’m not sure even a slippery, wet football would be enough to squelch a passing attack that licks its chops knowing Purdue’s pass defense ranks 16th in the Big Ten in passing yards allowed.
Dan Aulbach: Ohio State has scored a touchdown on its opening drive the past two games. Not only have the Buckeyes started quickly on offense, but Julian Sayin continues to air the ball downfield with precision to get the offense to the red zone quickly. I’m interested to see how aggressively Ohio State wants to get a big lead on the road against Purdue, and if they grab an early lead, will the leading Heisman candidate continue to take deep shots for the entire contest?
Julian Sayin has a 400-yard game
Joey Kaufman: After he was just 7 yards shy of throwing for 400 yards at Wisconsin three weeks ago, Sayin will have the opportunity to reach that mark against another Big Ten cellar dweller as Purdue remains prone to giving up big plays through the air. Even if the Boilermakers are in prevent mode after Penn State was beaten over the top, Sayin has too many weapons not to carve them up. He’ll be the first Buckeyes quarterback since C.J. Stroud to have a 400-yard passing game.
Buckeyes’ rushing yards surpass passing yards
Rob Oller: Conventional wisdom says Ohio State will go pass-happy against the Boilermakers to pad the stats of Heisman candidates Julian Sayin and Jeremiah Smith, but from a team preparation standpoint the Buckeyes need to get their ground game up and running, so the final stats will show more run yards than passing yards, which has not happened since Nov. 12, 2022 against Indiana (340 run, 322 pass), which also was the last time OSU topped 300 yards rushing.
Jeremiah Smith scores 3 touchdowns
Dan Aulbach: It’s Heisman candidacy season, and while Sayin leads the betting odds for the trophy, expect Jeremiah Smith to start running up the stat sheet. Look for the Buckeyes to get creative on offense to get No. 4 to the end zone multiple times. A three-touchdown game would certainly turn some heads in the Heisman race.ual improvement in his maturity as Ohio State’s quarterback. Though on the road against a weaker opponent, the redshirt freshman showed once more his accuracy is irreplicable and I fully expect his completion percentage to remain atop the FBS.
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Jeremiah Smith, Carnell Tate lift Ohio State in return at Michigan
ANN ARBOR, Mich. — Jeremiah Smith broke away from the coverage.
Smith had made a double move on Michigan cornerback Zeke Berry, leaving him open along the sideline for quarterback Julian Sayin.
As the pass landed in his grasp, Smith tumbled into the south end zone at Michigan Stadium for a 35-yard touchdown.
The early sequence in Ohio State’s 27-9 win at archrival Michigan sparked a moment of controversy. Officials reviewed whether Smith had maintained possession while crossing the goal line before upholding the call.
It instead endured as a turning point, allowing the Buckeyes to take control early in the second quarter of the 121st edition of The Game. After gaining a 10-6 lead, they never fell behind.
Smith was a vital piece of their offense as he and fellow star wide receiver Carnell Tate returned from unspecified injuries to provide deep threats.
Their chemistry with Sayin was evident. Buckeyes coach Ryan Day said the play call that led to Smith’s touchdown catch on fourth-and-5 was one they had hardly practiced in the days leading up to kickoff.
Smith, who sat out last week’s win over Rutgers, had been limited in practices, leaving them to largely rep the play in walkthroughs.
“Some of the things you can practice,” Day said, “but some of them you can’t. That wasn’t a play we had a ton of practice at all. But we talked about it, we walked through it, and we have to give our guys credit.
“We felt like it was an aggressive call that we wanted to make in that moment, so we did, and they put on the field in a big way.”
Tate, who had been sidelined for three straight games, left his mark in the middle of the third quarter when he got over the top to catch a 50-yard touchdown to help put the game away.
During the Buckeyes’ four-game losing streak to Michigan, their vertical passing game had come and gone. The longest touchdown pass in Ohio State’s two most recent losses was 14 yards. Only once in four losses had they completed a pass for a touchdown of at least 30 yards.
It made the return of Smith and Tate, who had been listed as questionable on the pregame availability report, critical for the Buckeyes to end the Wolverines’ recent run of dominance in the series, tapping into an explosive element.
“Just having those guys back is just awesome,” Sayin said, “because they’re such elite receivers.”
Tate led the Buckeyes with five catches for 82 yards and one touchdown, which was his sixth this year to come on a deep ball, as defined by Pro Football Focus of at least 20 yards. Smith finished with three receptions for 40 yards and a touchdown.
Day praised athletic trainers Shaun Barnhouse and Adam Stewart for their roles in helping the receivers in their rehabs, as well the resilience of Smith and Tate.
“If you really know how much work they put in to get on the field, how gutsy they are,” Day said, “I’m sure the fans and everybody would just appreciate what they did going out there and putting it on the line.”
Joey Kaufman covers Ohio State football for The Columbus Dispatch. Email him at jkaufman@dispatch.com and follow along on Bluesky, Instagram and X for more.
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How many days since Ohio State football last beat Michigan?
It’s really been that long since Ohio State last beat Michigan?
In a four-game matchup drought against its bitter rival, the Buckeyes have not seen a victory against the Wolverines yet this decade. In 2024, No. 1 Ohio State lost 17-10 to an unranked Michigan team in one of the most drastic upsets in Ohio State football history.
The last time the Buckeyes beat Michigan was Ryan Day’s sole win in the rivalry as Ohio State’s coach.
How many days has it been since Ohio State football beat Michigan?
On the day of The Game, it has been 2,191 days since Ohio State football last beat Michigan.
When was the last time Ohio State football beat Michigan?
Ohio State last beat Michigan in the 2019 season in blowout fashion. It was also the last time Ohio State ranked as a No. 1 seed in The Game; the Buckeyes won 56-27 against a No. 13 Michigan team.
The Buckeyes had a star-studded lineup of future NFL players and were led by a big day from quarterback Justin Fields, who threw for 302 yards and four touchdowns in the victory. While Michigan opened up scoring, Ohio State marched downfield with big runs from J.K. Dobbins, who finished with 211 yards and four rushing touchdowns.
Up 21-13 halfway through the second quarter, Ohio State recovered a key fumble from Michigan quarterback Shea Patterson, who botched a snap in the red zone. Fields found wide receiver Garrett Wilson for a 47-yard catch on the ensuing drive to get to the Michigan 5-yard line, with Dobbins scoring a touchdown a play later.
Ohio State led 28-16 out of the first half and scored touchdowns on its first two drives of the third quarter with two more touchdown passes from Fields. The Buckeyes led 42-19 entering the fourth quarter and won 56-27, the largest scoring margin in the rivalry’s past 10 years.
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Ohio State vs Pitt live score updates, highlights, how to watch game
PITTSBURGH — The first road test of the season has arrived for the Ohio State men’s basketball team.
After comfortably beating five mid-major teams and squeezing out a one-point win against Notre Dame, the Buckeyes will finish out a home-and-home series against the University of Pittsburgh with a Black Friday road game against the Panthers. The game is Ohio State’s first of five straight against high-major opponents as the Buckeyes now get to see how what they have done through six games stands up against more challenging competition.
Pitt is 4-3 and has lost two straight. Most recently, the Panthers lost at home to Quinnipiac 83-75 on Nov. 23
Follow along with all the action at our live Dispatch game blog below.
Senior center Christoph Tilly sat out the second half of Ohio State’s game against Mount St. Mary’s for what was termed a precautionary situation, but he is not on Ohio State’s official injury report for tonight’s game.
The Buckeyes are at full strength for the Pitt game.
Ohio State vs Pitt score updates
This section will be updated when the game begins.
- Date: Friday, Nov. 28
- Start time: 7 p.m. ET
The Ohio State vs Pitt game starts at 7 p.m. from the Petersen Events Center in Pittsburgh.
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Livestream: ESPN
- Radio: WBNS-FM (97.1)
Ohio State vs. Mount St. Mary’s will air nationaack Kizer and former Ohio State captain Joey Lane will call the game from the Jerome Schottenstein Center. Streaming options for the game include Fubo, which offers a free trial to new subscribers.
Stream Ohio State vs. Pitt
- Series record: Ohio State leads 15-12
- Ohio State’s last win: Dec. 6, 1961 (99-79, at Pitt)
- Pitt’s last win: Nov. 29, 2024 (91-90, OT, at Ohio State)
Odds courtesy of BetMGM as of Thursday, Nov. 27
Spread: Ohio State by 5.5
Over/under: 146.5
Moneyline: Ohio State (-225); Pitt (+185)
Ohio State men’s basketball schedule
- Oct. 26 – Ohio University (exhibition) W, 103-74 (takeaways)
- Nov. 3 – IU Indy, W, 118-102 (takeaways)
- Nov. 7 – Purdue Fort Wayne, W, 94-68 (takeaways)
- Nov. 11 – Appalachian State, W 75-53 (takeaways)
- Nov. 16 – Notre Dame, W 64-63 (takeaways)
- Nov. 20 – Western Michigan W, 91-58 (takeaways)
- Nov. 25 – Mount St. Mary’s W, 113-60 (takeaways)
- Nov. 28 – at Pitt
- Dec. 6 – at Northwestern
- Dec. 9 – Illinois
- Dec. 13 – vs. West Virginia (Cleveland Hoops Showdown, Cleveland)
- Dec. 20 – vs. North Carolina (CBS Sports Classic, Atlanta)
- Dec. 23 – Grambling State
- Jan. 2 – at Rutgers
- Jan. 5 – Nebraska
- Jan. 8 – at Oregon
- Jan. 11 – at Washington
- Jan. 17 – UCLA
- Jan. 20 – Minnesota
- Jan. 23 – at Michigan
- Jan. 26 – Penn State
- Jan. 31 – at Wisconsin
- Feb. 5 – at Maryland
- Feb. 8 – Michigan
- Feb. 11 – USC
- Feb. 14 – vs. Virginia (Nashville Hoops Showdown, Nashville)
- Feb. 17 – Wisconsin
- Feb. 22 – at Michigan State
- Feb. 25 – at Iowa
- March 1 – Purdue
- March 4 – at Penn State
- March 7 – Indiana
Buy Ohio State vs. Pitt men’s basketball tickets
Ohio State men’s basketball beat writer Adam Jardy can be reached at ajardy@dispatch.com, on Bluesky at @cdadamjardy.bsky.social or on Twitter at @AdamJardy.
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