The Milwaukee Brewers (24-18) close out a 3-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals (17-26) on Wednesday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 3-2
The Brewers squeaked out a 3-2 win over the Cardinals Tuesday as they bounced back from an 18-1 defeat in the series opener on Monday. Milwaukee has posted a 6-4 record in its last 10 contests.
The Cardinals had their 4-game win streak snapped with Tuesday’s loss. Despite the team’s struggles this season, St. Louis has gone 7-3 in its last 10 games.
Brewers at Cardinals projected starters
RHP Corbin Burnes vs. LHP Matthew Liberatore
Burnes (4-2, 3.35 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 45 2/3 IP.
- Has walked 3-plus batters in 4 of his first 8 starts
- His 7.7 K/9 is his lowest mark since 2018 when he notched an 8.3 K/9 as a rookie reliever
Liberatore (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start of the 2023 season. He had a 4-1 record with a 3.13 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 46 IP in 8 starts at Triple-A this season.
- Registered a 2-2 record with a 5.97 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9, and 7.3 K/9 in 34 2/3 in 7 starts and 2 relief appearances for the Cardinals last season
- Has logged 6-plus K’s in 7 of his 8 starts at Triple-A this season
Brewers at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+140) | Cardinals +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Brewers at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Cardinals 4, Brewers 3
Moneyline
There is value in taking the CARDINALS (+100) in Wednesday’s NL Central showdown even with Burnes on the mound for the Brewers. The Brewers have the 3rd-worst wRC+ (77) against left-handed pitching and the Cardinals have the 3rd-best wRC+ (116) against right-handed pitching.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Despite having the Cardinals securing the win at home, the Brewers should keep this game close enough to cover the spread. That being said, I wouldn’t advise wagering on Milwaukee +1.5 (-165) at the current odds.
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Over/Under
UNDER 8 (-115) is the lean in this game with Burnes still limiting runs despite his lower strikeout totals and Milwaukee’s woes against southpaws. The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings overall.
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