The Minnesota Twins (54-42) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (55-42) to Target Field Saturday for the 1st of a 2-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Twins went into the All-Star break having won 5 of their last 8 games. They did lose 2 of 3 to the San Francisco Giants in the series prior and dropped the final game of that stint 3-2 Sunday. Minnesota is 27-18 at home and has won 4 of its last 6 at home. It is 45-51 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Brewers won their final game before the break 9-3 against the Washington Nationals Sunday, snapping a 3-game win streak. Despite that, they still sit atop the NL Central and are above .500 at 26-25 on the road. Milwaukee is 3-7 over its last 10 games and and 1-3 in its last 4 on the road. The Brewers are 52-45 ATS on the season.

Brewers at Twins projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Peralta (6-5, 4.11 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 103 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home loss to the Washington Nationals July 12
• 2024 away splits: 3-3, 3.74 ERA (53 IP, 22 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 7 HR, 10.9 K/9 in 10 starts
• Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 4.15 ERA (13 IP, 6 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 15.9 K/9 in 5 appearances (1 start)

Lopez (8-7, 5.11 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 104 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-2 road win over the Chicago White Sox July 10
• 2024 home splits: 3-4, 5.74 ERA (47 IP, 30 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 7 HR, 9.4 K/9 in 9 starts
• Career vs. Brewers: 1-1, 3.41 ERA (37 IP, 14 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Brewers at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Brewers +106 (bet $100 to win $106) | Twins -124 (bet $124 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+168) | Twins +1.5 (-205)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Brewers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Twins 3

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (+106).

The Brewers are 12-7 when Peralta takes the mound and are 6-4 when he is their starting option in road games. As for Lopez, the Twins are 11-8 when he starts and 2-3 in his last 5 home starts. The Twins also are just 21-20 following a loss while the Brewers are 29-25 following a win.

Minnesota’s offense has had too many issues lately as well, scoring 3 or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games. Meanwhile, the Brewers totaled 14 in their last 2 before the break. Put it all together and back BREWERS (+106).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Brewers as a run-line favorite are too risky here to take, especially given their moneyline odds. The Twins, especially as an expensive run-line underdog, aren’t worth a run-line play either.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Brewers have scored 9 or more in 3 of their last 7 games and have gone Over the projected total in 5 of those.

Milwaukee has been hot for most of the season, having a 52-40-4 O/U record on the year. The Twins, who are 47-47-2 O/U, have struggled offensively but are still 8-5 O/U in their last 13 games.

Considering those trends, back OVER 7.5 (-115).

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MILWAUKEE (AP) — Jay Nelson was standing outside the convenience store he manages in downtown Milwaukee when one of his regular customers walked by on her daily stroll around the neighborhood.

“I’ve been telling people to come and buy even just a bottle of wine,” she said, stretching out her arms. “I hope it helps.”

Pulling her in for a hug, Nelson said they needed all the help they could get.

The store he has managed for nearly a decade, Downtown Market & Smoke Shop, was among the many businesses sealed off by tall metal fencing for the 2024 Republican National Convention, a sprawling footprint that shut down portions of the city’s downtown for more than a week.

For small businesses like Downtown Market, the RNC didn’t deliver a decisive victory, instead hindering sales despite earlier promises that it would bring an economic boost.

“I want you to take all your money to Milwaukee, spend it that week, and leave it in Milwaukee,” Mayor Cavalier Johnson said two years ago at the RNC’s summer meeting where it was announced that the city would host the GOP’s national convention.

But Samir Saddique, owner of Downtown Market and the neighboring Avenue Liquor, said the convention brought “a lot of nothing.” Traffic and sales took a nose dive soon after the fencing went up in front of the stores. By Thursday, the RNC’s final day, the liquor store had made just 10% of its usual sales, he said.

“We’re barricaded away from the rest of the world,” Saddique said.

Claire Koenig, a spokesperson for Visit Milwaukee, which promotes the city as a tourism destination, said economic impact reports will likely take three months to compile.

Across the Milwaukee River, which marked the eastern edge of the RNC secure zone, just one seat was taken at the bar inside Elwood’s Liquor & Tap during their Wednesday happy hour, which is usually a reliably busy night for the red-booth bar near Fiserv Forum where the convention’s main stage was housed.

“Everybody was promised that this was going to be a giant moneymaker for businesses,” bar manager Sam Chung, 30, said. “So it’s strange seeing how much it’s actually killed business for a lot of people outside the perimeter.”

Even their most loyal customers hadn’t stopped by this week, Chung said.

“They don’t even want to come down here because it’s obviously a mess to get here,” she said, adding that she thought “a big part of it is that a lot of our regulars are Democrats.”

Milwaukee is the deepest blue city in Wisconsin, a key swing state.

Adam Buker, a 21-year-old barista at a coffee shop near one of the convention’s exits, which leads attendees onto a wide-open street, said that all week he had been playing music by queer artists as his own protest.

Yet the door kept swinging open at Canary Coffee Bar.

“It 100% has to do with our location,” Buker said Thursday as he packed espresso grounds for a cortado, with a Frank Ocean track playing in the background.

Though it was outside the secure zone, the cafe’s glass storefront and buttery yellow sidewalk seating weren’t obstructed by the fencing like Saddique’s liquor and convenience stores were. RNC attendees also didn’t have to cross the river to get to the coffee shop, unlike Elwood’s.

After closing this week, Buker said he had been spending his cash tips at some of the struggling bars around the convention’s perimeter.

“From one service worker to another,” he said. “Spread the love.”

As Buker’s final shift during RNC week was coming to an end Thursday evening, a last-minute party outside Saddique’s convenience store was just underway. Saddique and Nelson, the manager, hoped catered tacos and ice-cold green tea flowing from orange coolers would bring customers into the stores that have been open for 20-plus years, surviving a recession and a global pandemic.

Debra Lampe-Revolinski, who has lived in the building adjacent to Saddique’s businesses for 15 of those years, said she pitched the idea for the party earlier in the week, when she realized the expected boost in business would not materialize for her friends.

She knew Saddique and Nelson went to great lengths preparing for the RNC, having seen them hard at work for weeks while they remodeled parts of the stores, she said.

“And then there was just this deflation because the stores were blocked out by those tall metal fences,” she said. “It was so uninviting.”

By the time Trump took center stage Thursday to formally accept the GOP nomination, Lampe-Revolinski said the party, originally aimed at bringing in business, instead had turned into a celebration of surviving the week.

“If anything, this week strengthened our little community on this block to support its local businesses,” she said.

___

Associated Press writer Todd Richmond contributed from Madison, Wisconsin.

MILWAUKEE – The Republican National Convention ended Thursday night.

From the attempted assassination of Donald Trump and the convention that followed, to calls from Democrats for President Joe Biden to drop out of the race – voters are now left to make sense of a historic week of American history.

Conventions usually lead to a boost for that party’s nominee in the polls. The campaigns put their chosen message out to the world, and arenas get packed full of excited, loyal supporters. There’s a rock concert atmosphere, as well as speeches from celebrities and some of the biggest names in politics.

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The American Presidency Project keeps track of changes in support after political conventions. When comparing poll averages, those boosts do usually take place – but the score often evens out, since both parties get a chance for that convention bounce.

The Democratic National Convention will take place next month in Chicago.

Swing city, swing state

FOX6 wanted to gauge how the week’s events played out in battleground Wisconsin. In Ozaukee County, Cedarburg has become a swing city in a swing state. Here is what some voters there had to say:

Tom Just, Cedarburg voter for Democrats: “It’s a show making Donald Trump now look like the attempt on his life, now he’s changed. Well, if you listen to his speech, he spoke differently in the beginning, and then he went right back to Donald Trump.”

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Julie Carver, Jackson voter for Trump: “It cemented my decision, and actually, I was kind of on the fence. I am voting for Trump. I don’t like a lot of the things he does, but I do like the policies. And I do remember what it was like four years ago.”

Cedarburg voted for Trump in 2016, voting Republican as it had in previous elections. In 2020, though, Biden won the city by just 19 votes – turning blue in a strongly red Ozaukee County.