The Indiana Pacers (11-8) battle the Milwaukee Bucks (15-6) from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas Thursday. Tip is set for 5 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Bucks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Pacers lead 1-0.
The Pacers beat the Boston Celtics at home 122-112 on Monday in the NBA In-Season Tournament quarterfinals. Indiana covered as a 4.5-point favorite. It has covered 2 in a row and 4 of its last 7. The Pacers are 11-8 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 16-3 O/U. They are led by G Tyrese Haliburton, who is averaging 26.9 points and 11.9 assists per game.
The Bucks beat the New York Knicks 146-122 Tuesday and covered as a 4.5-point home favorite. They are 9-11-1 ATS on the season and 3-1 ATS over their last 4 games. While not fully a road game, the Bucks are 4-1 ATS on the road over their last 5. F Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.2 points and 10.7 rebounds per game.
Pacers at Bucks odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:44 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pacers +164 (bet $100 to win $164 | Bucks -196 (bet $196 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +4.5 (-110) | Bucks -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 255 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Pacers at Bucks key injuries
Pacers
Bucks
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Pacers at Bucks picks and predictions
Prediction
Bucks 132, Pacers 126
Moneyline
PASS.
The Bucks have won 5 of their last 6, but at -196, they are unplayable on the moneyline.
Against the spread
BET BUCKS -4.5 (-110).
Milwaukee failed to cover and lost outright on the road against the Pacers on Nov. 9. The Pacers shot 20 for 48 from deep, and Haliburton hit 10 of 17 shots. That might not be repeated, but Antetokounmpo may still not be stopped. He scored 54 in the 1st game while G Damian Lillard missed the action.
There’s no real reason to believe Milwaukee, which has covered 8 of its last 11, won’t be better in this battle. The Pacers are just 5-5 ATS over their last 10 games. The Bucks have the better net rating by 0.3 here and should be able to come out on top while covering.
Take BUCKS -4.5 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 255 (-108).
While this is an ultra-high total, the Bucks and Pacers both sit in the bottom 10 in defensive rating and also rank in the top 5 in pace (Pacers 1st, Bucks 5th) in pace. This game should be an ultra-high-tempo battle.
The Pacers are 6-2 O/U in their 8 games with a total of 240 or higher. The Bucks are 4-1 O/U with a total of 240 or higher. They are 14-7 O/U while the Pacers are 16-3 O/U. Both teams have consistently hit the Over.
Despite a lofty total here, take OVER 255 (-108).
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