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Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Prediction, Odds and Best Prop Bets for Big Ten Tournament Semifinal

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Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Prediction, Odds and Best Prop Bets for Big Ten Tournament Semifinal


We’re down to the final four teams in the Big Ten conference tournament. The first of two semifinals on Saturday will feature a classic duel between the Wisconsin Badgers and Michigan State Spartans.

These teams faced off just two weeks ago on March 2, with the Badgers securing a 71-62 victory. Now, the regular season champions will try to keep their momentum going en route to a berth in the tournament final.

Let’s dive into the odds, key players, and my best bet for this semifinal showdown.

Odds via BetMGM Sportsbook

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Wisconsin

John Tonje: Wisconsin’s leading scorer, had one of his worst games of the season when the Baders faced the Spartans. He shot just 3-of-13 from the field and was largely shut down by the Michigan State defense. He’ll need to step up in a big way if he wants to give the Badgers a chance to win this game.

Michigan State

Jeremy Fears Jr.: The Michigan State guard leads the team in assists and has been a huge distributor of the ball in recent games, averaging 5.5 assists per game this season, including teaching 5+ in three of their last four games. If you’re looking for a prop bet, consider the OVER on his assists total.

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The most important factor in this game is going to be the perimeter defense of Michigan State. Wisconsin ranks 24th in the country in three-point shot rate, with 47.4% of its shots coming from beyond the arc. The Badgers will have to find a way to figure out the puzzle that is the Spartans’ perimeter defense which ranks third in the country in opponent three-point field goal percentage, keeping teams to shooting just 28.0% from beyond the arc.

The Wisconsin perimeter offense against the Michigan State perimeter defense proved to be the key factor in their regular season matchup just two weeks ago. The Badgers were held to shooting just 15.6% from beyond the arc in that game, leading to Michigan State’s win.

This is a tough matchup for the Badgers from a stylistic perspective and I expect another win and cover by the Spartans.

Pick: Michigan State -2.5 (-110) via BetMGM

As a new BetMGM user, you can now claim up to $1,500 in bonus bets when you create an account using BetMGM bonus code SI1500, deposit at least $10, and place a real money wager. If you lose your bet, BetMGM will return your entire stake as bonus bets.

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

You can check out all of Iain’s bets here!



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Michigan

Trey McKenney to return to Michigan Basketball next season, per report

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3 hours ago

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March 28, 2026

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Trey McKenney to return to Michigan Basketball next season, per report


In the middle of what’s been an incredible season for the Michigan men’s basketball team, Dusty May and the program are now confirmed to be bringing back a big contributor for next season. According to a report from Tony Garcia of the Detroit Free Press, freshman guard Trey McKenney is set to be back with the Wolverines next year.

“We’re going to have a really talented team next year,” McKenney told Garcia. “I came in with a role this year and I think my role would definitely expand next year, so I’m definitely looking forward to coming back.”

McKenney joined the program this offseason as a prized five-star recruit in the Wolverines’ 2025 recruiting class. So far he’s lived up to the billing, coming off the bench to average 9.7 points per game, but shooting an impressive 38.5 percent from three-point range this year. He has already asserted himself as one of the team’s best shooters.

In addition to his offensive game, he’s gotten after it on the defensive end as well and has been regularly on the floor to close games this season. We’ve seen McKenney’s role slowly grow, especially in the absence of fellow guard L.J. Cason, who has missed the last month and is set to miss all of next season with an ACL tear.

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By cementing his status with the program, McKenney is a great foundation for what the team hopes to build next season. He’ll likely step into a starting role as the Michigan’s shooting guard, while May and company also look to get players like Elliot Cadeau, Morez Johnson Jr. and Aday Mara back in the fold.

Michigan will get a shot to fill out the rest of its roster when the transfer portal opens up on April 7, just one day after the National Championship.

For now though, McKenney and the Wolverines will focus on punching their ticket to the Final Four for the first time since 2018 by defeating Tennessee on Sunday afternoon.



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Michigan women’s basketball vs. Louisville in Sweet 16: Time, TV, stream

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15 hours ago

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March 28, 2026

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Michigan women’s basketball vs. Louisville in Sweet 16: Time, TV, stream


When the Sweet 16 continues on Saturday during the 2026 Women’s NCAA Tournament, Michigan women’s basketball (27-6) will continue its climb to reach the Final Four for the first time.

The Wolverines, who earned the No. 2 seed in the Fort Worth 3 Region, are playing in the program’s third Sweet 16 under head coach Kim Barnes Arico.

“We committed to Michigan to do this, and we committed to Coach Arico to do it for her and for each other,” Michigan guard Olivia Olson said. “We’re accomplishing the goals we set out to, and we’re not done yet. So we’re going to keep having fun with it and keep preparing.”

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Michigan will take on No. 3 Louisville Cardinals (29-7) at 12:30 p.m. ET Saturday at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas.

“This is my first time going to the Sweet 16, all of our first times, so I think the feeling of, we’re still dancing, we’re still playing basketball, it’s a great feeling,” Louisville guard Taj Roberts said.

The winner from Saturday’s matchup will play in the Elite Eight round of the NCAA Tournament on Monday, March 30, for the right to advance to the Final Four.

What time is Michigan vs. Louisville?

  • Date: Saturday, March 28
  • Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Dickies Arena (Fort Worth, Texas)

The Michigan Wolverines will play the Louisville Cardinals in the Sweet 16 round of the 2026 Women’s NCAA Tournament at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 28, at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas.

Michigan vs. Louisville: TV, streaming



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Morez Johnson Jr. NBA mock draft projection: Where Michigan star is expected to land

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1 day ago

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March 27, 2026

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Morez Johnson Jr. NBA mock draft projection: Where Michigan star is expected to land


The 2026 men’s NCAA Tournament is down to its Sweet 16 and we’ll have a Final Four by Sunday evening. For half of the college stars taking the court this weekend, it’s one final opportuniy to impress NBA teams with their play at full game speed when the lights are brightest as this year’s draft class comes into focus.

The 2026 NBA draft is expected to take place in late June. In USA TODAY’s latest mock draft, Michigan’s Morez Johnson Jr.  is expected to go in the first round. Here’s how USA TODAY currently projects the big man’s draft night will play out.

Our draft order is based on ESPN’s projected records and factors in trades, including swaps and protections.

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Morez Johnson Jr. 2026 NBA Draft prediction: Pick No. 25 overall, Los Angeles Lakers

Kalbrosky’s Analysis:

Morez Johnson Jr. is one of the best, most underrated two-way players in the NCAA. He is a crucial part of the Michigan identity this season and has thrived since transferring to the Wolverines from Illinois. Johnson’s shooting form at the free throw line looks good, and he scores well near the rim, especially when cutting to the basket. The former FIBA U-19 Team USA standout and All-Big Ten big man is a trustworthy defensive playmaker, too, and should find minutes at the next level.

See USA TODAY’s full mock draft here

Morez Johnson Jr. player profile

(all stats as of March 15)

  • Position: Forward-Center
  • Current Team: Michigan
  • 13.1 points per game
  • 7.2 rebounds per game
  • 1.1 assists per game
  • 62.8% field goal percentage
  • 37.9% three-point field goal percentage

Los Angeles Lakers 2026 projected draft picks



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