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Trump, Biden polling too close to call in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin

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Trump, Biden polling too close to call in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin


The race between former President Donald Trump and President Biden is too close to call in three key battleground states that could determine the outcome of the 2024 election, a new poll published Tuesday shows.

The FAU Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Lab (PolCom Lab) and Mainstreet Research poll shows that the races in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are all within the margin of error of 3.5%.

Biden narrowly won all three states in 2020.

President Biden greets Andrea Dyess and her family during an event at a community center in Racine County, Wisconsin, May 8, 2024. REUTERS

In Pennsylvania, Biden’s home state, the poll shows the president lagging among all voters by 2% (Biden 43%, Trump 45%) and with likely voters (Biden 45%, Trump 47%).

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The candidates are tied in Michigan at 45% among voters, but Biden pulls ahead by 1% among likely voters (Biden 47%, Trump 46%).

In Wisconsin, Biden is 2% ahead among all voters (Biden 40%, Trump 38%), but drops to losing by 1% with likely voters (Biden 40%, Trump 41%).

Biden won all three states by razor-thin margins in 2020: 2.8% in Michigan, 1.2% in Pennsylvania and 0.63% in Wisconsin.

President Biden, walking with first lady Jill Biden, waves as he walks toward Marine One at Gordons Pond State Park near Rehoboth Beach, Del., Sunday, June 2, 2024. AP
Donald Trump at a rally May 1, 2024, at Avflight Saginaw in Freeland, Michigan. Getty Images
A member of the audience cheers as President Biden speaks during a campaign rally at Girard College on May 29, 2024, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Getty Images

“Neither side has a meaningful advantage in any of the three states at this time,” said Dukhong Kim, Ph.D., associate professor of political science at Florida Atlantic University in Boca Raton.

But the results are shaken up with the addition of third-party candidates, especially independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who pulls the race toward Biden in all three states when he’s on the ballot.

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Kennedy puts Biden ahead of Trump in Wisconsin by 38% to 31%, Pennsylvania by 41% to 39% and Michigan by 41% to 39%. The independent comes in at 13%, 8% and 11%, respectively, in the three states, but his campaign has claimed its ballot petition is complete only in Michigan.

The poll was conducted via an online panel between May 30 and 31 in the three battleground states and had a sample size of 797 adults.



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Michigan

Predictions rolling in for 5-star Alabama decommit currently visiting Wolverines

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Predictions rolling in for 5-star Alabama decommit currently visiting Wolverines


5-star former Alabama commit Ty Haywood is currently on ground in Ann Arbor. The elite top 20 ranked offensive lineman recently made his decommitment from the Crimson Tide official, a move shared on Instagram by Bryce Underwood. Recruiting insiders have considered Michigan the favorite in this recruiting battle since the early signing period passed and Haywood elected not to sign with the Tide.

Rumors are the Michigan team, spearheaded by GM Sean Magee, put together a very attractive Name, Image and Likeness (NIL) offer for Haywood in an attempt to earn his commitment. Haywood himself has remained relatively quiet throughout the entire process, not sharing anything to his social channels that could be construed as favorable for one team over the other. Regardless, On3sports recruiting insider Michael Langston recently added a crystal ball prediction in favor of the maize and blue.

Even with Langston’s favorable prediticon, On3 still shows the Tide leading in the battle for Haywood. Clearly the site has not caught up on what is going on with this recruiting situation. Michigan looks to be in a very solid position, and we are hoping that this weekend closes out with the third 5-star commitment of the 2025 class for Coach Moore and his staff. If the Wolverine’s do close this out with a commitment, the job that Sean Magee has done cannot be understated. He has truly moved Michigan from near the bottom in terms of NIL usage into a behemoth in the space. Incredible turnaround and incredible vision from this Navy veteran.

Ty Haywood, Five-Star OL

Ty Haywood, On3 Prediction / On3
Grant

Michigan offensive line coach Grant Newsome talks to Blue Team players during the second half of the spring game at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor on Saturday, April 20, 2024. / Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK

Enjoy more Michigan Wolverines coverage on Michigan Wolverines On SI –

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CBS Sports has Michigan football as a ‘loser’ for the 2025 NFL Draft

Michigan football LB Jaishawn Barham seemingly makes NFL Draft decision

For additional coverage of University of Michigan athletics:



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Mega Millions ticket purchased in Clarkston wins $1 million

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Mega Millions ticket purchased in Clarkston wins  million


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A Michigan Lottery player didn’t have the lucky Mega Millions ticket that won the jackpot Friday night, but one ticket purchased in the state did win $1 million, according the the Mega Millions website.

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A ticket sold in Arizona matched the five white balls and Mega Ball to win the $113 million jackpot ($50.4 million cash value).

Two tickets matched the five white balls to win $1 million — one purchased in Florida and the other in Michigan at the Bridge Lake Market located at 9420 Dixie Highway in Clarkston, according to the Michigan Lottery.

The winner should contact the Lottery’s Player Relations division at 844-917-6325 to claim the prize. 

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Mega Millions prizes must be claimed within one year from the date of the drawing.



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Eastern Michigan men's basketball games being investigated for suspicious betting activity

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Eastern Michigan men's basketball games being investigated for suspicious betting activity


YPSILANTI, MI – DECEMBER 18: The Eastern Michigan Eagles logo on a pair of shorts during a college basketball game against the Detroit Mercy Titans at the George Gervin GameAbove Center on December 18, 2022 in Ypsilanti, Michigan. (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images)

A men’s college basketball game between Eastern Michigan and Central Michigan on Tuesday was flagged by multiple sportsbooks for suspicious wagering activity. Betting integrity firms are investigating the unusual wagers, ESPN reported.

The activity in question a suspiciously high bet on the first-half point spread for Tuesday’s EMU-CMU game. Several betting integrity monitors across multiple states noticed the wager and the spread increasing significantly and atypically before the game.

The first-half point spread went from CMU by 3.5 to 6.5 in the hour before tipoff. Central Michigan hit a 3-pointer with two seconds remaining in the first half to take a 39–33 lead. EMU eventually lost the game, 82-63.

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Sports betting monitor Integrity Compliance 360 sent an alert to clients including sportsbooks, state gaming regulators, leagues and NCAA conferences noting the wager — the “largest wager to date” placed by this bettor — on CMU covering the spread in the first half, according to ESPN. The monitor’s investigation also discovered two high wagers from accounts in different jurisdictions on CMU’s first-half point spread.

IC360’s alert also noted that Tuesday’s game was the second flagged by sportsbooks this season that involved Eastern Michigan. The other EMU game that was flagged for suspicious betting activity was the Eagles’ matchup versus Wright State on Dec. 21.

Like the CMU wager, the Wright State bet was placed against EMU. The first-half spread for Wright State was 2.5 and the Raiders held a 38–27 halftime lead. EMU eventually won the game, 86–82.

“We became aware of the matter on Wednesday,” said Greg Steiner, EMU’s senior associate athletics director for external affairs at EMU, in a statement to ESPN and the Detroit News on Friday night. “At this time, we do not know anything further about what may have precipitated the suspicious activity. We are working with the Mid-American Conference and will provide further details as we learn additional information.”

Unusual wagering on first-half lines has been monitored on college basketball games going back to last season. Another school that has had multiple games flagged for suspicious activity is Temple, reports ESPN. First-half lines are typically about half the total of a game’s full line.

Any movement higher than that usually draws attention. If the first half line closes higher, that often indicates that something is wrong. The full line for the EMU-CMU games was -8 and the first half line closed at -6.5.

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The Eastern Michigan men’s basketball team hasn’t played since that Jan. 14 game versus Central Michigan. EMU’s next game is scheduled for Saturday against Bowling Green.



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