Michigan
Biden and Trump will face tests in Michigan's primaries that could inform a November rematch
WASHINGTON (AP) — While Joe Biden and Donald Trump are marching toward their respective presidential nominations, Michigan’s primary on Tuesday could reveal significant political perils for both of them.
Trump, despite his undoubted dominance of the Republican contests this year, is facing a bloc of stubbornly persistent GOP voters who favor his lone remaining rival, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, and who are skeptical at best about the former president’s prospects in a rematch against Biden.
As for the incumbent president, Biden is confronting perhaps his most potent electoral obstacle yet: an energized movement of disillusioned voters upset with his handling of the war in Gaza and a relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that critics say has been too supportive.
Those dynamics will be put to the test in Michigan, the last major primary state before Super Tuesday and a critical swing state in November’s general election. Even if they post dominant victories as expected on Tuesday, both campaigns will be looking at the margins for signs of weakness in a state that went for Biden by just 3 percentage points last time.
Biden said in a local Michigan radio interview Monday that it would be “one of the five states” that would determine the winner in November.
Michigan has the largest concentration of Arab Americans in the nation, and more than 310,000 residents are of Middle Eastern or North African ancestry. Nearly half of Dearborn’s roughly 110,000 residents claim Arab ancestry.
It has become the epicenter of Democratic discontent with the White House’s actions in the Israel-Hamas war, now nearly five months old, following Hamas’ deadly Oct. 7 attack and kidnapping of more than 200 hostages. Israel has bombarded much of Gaza in response, killing nearly 30,000 people, two-thirds of them women and children, according to Palestinian figures.
Democrats angry that Biden has supported Israel’s offensive and resisted calls for a ceasefire are rallying voters on Tuesday to instead select “uncommitted.”
The “uncommitted” effort, which began in earnest just a few weeks ago, has been backed by officials such as Democratic Rep. Rashida Tlaib, the first Palestinian-American woman in Congress, and former Rep. Andy Levin, who lost a Democratic primary two years ago after pro-Israel groups spent more than $4 million to defeat him.
Abbas Alawieh, spokesperson for the Listen to Michigan campaign that has been rallying for the “uncommitted” campaign, said the effort is a “way for us to vote for a ceasefire, a way for us to vote for peace and a way for us to vote against war.”
Trump won the state by just 11,000 votes in 2016 over Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, and then lost the state four years later by nearly 154,000 votes to Biden. Alawieh said the “uncommitted” effort wants to show that they have at least the number of votes that were Trump’s margin of victory in 2016, to demonstrate how influential that bloc can be.
“The situation in Gaza is top of mind for a lot of people here,” Alawieh said. “President Biden is failing to provide voters for whom the war crimes that are being inflicted by our U.S. taxpayer dollars – he’s failing to provide them with something to vote for.”
Our Revolution, the organizing group once tied to Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., has also urged progressive voters to choose “uncommitted” on Tuesday, saying it would send a message to Biden to “change course NOW on Gaza or else risk losing Michigan to Trump in November.”
Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., a Biden backer who held several meetings and listening sessions in Michigan late last week, said he told community members that, despite his disagreements over the war, he would nonetheless support Biden because he represents a much better chance of peace in the Middle East than Trump.
“I also said that I admire those who are using their ballot in a quintessentially American way to bring about a change in policy,” Khanna said Monday, adding that Biden supporters need to proactively engage with the uncommitted voters to try and “earn back their trust.”
“The worst thing we can do is try to shame them or try to downplay their efforts,” he said.
Trump has drawn enthusiastic crowds at most of his rallies, including a Feb. 17 rally outside Detroit drawing more than 2,000 people who packed into a frigid airplane hangar.
But data from AP VoteCast, a series of surveys of Republican voters in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, reveals that his core voters so far are overwhelmingly white, mostly older than 50 and generally without a college degree. He will likely have to appeal to a far more diverse group of voters in November. And he has underperformed his statewide results in suburban areas that are critical in states like Michigan.
Several of Trump’s favored picks in Michigan’s 2022 midterm contests lost their campaigns, further underscoring his loss of political influence in the state. Meanwhile, the state GOP has been riven with divisions among various pro-Trump factions, potentially weakening its power at a time when Michigan Republicans are trying to lay the groundwork to defeat Biden this fall.
Both Biden and Trump have so far dominated their respective primary bids. Biden has sailed to wins in South Carolina, Nevada and New Hampshire, with the latter victory coming in through a write-in campaign. Trump has swept all the early state contests and his team is hoping to lock up the delegates needed to secure the Republican nomination by mid-March.
Nonetheless, an undeterred Haley has promised to continue her longshot presidential primary campaign through at least Super Tuesday on March 5, when 15 states and one territory hold their nominating contests.
As Haley stumped across Michigan on Sunday and Monday, voters showing up to her events expressed enthusiasm for her in Tuesday’s primary — even though, given her losses in the year’s first four states, it seemed increasingly likely she wouldn’t win the nomination.
“She seems honorable,” said Rita Lazdins, a retired microbiologist from Grand Haven, Michigan, who in an interview Monday refused to say Trump’s name. “Honorable is not what that other person is. I hate to say that, but it’s so true.”
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Associated Press writers Meg Kinnard in Grand Rapids, Michigan, and Joey Cappelletti in Lansing, Michigan, contributed to this report.
Abdul El-Sayed is leading in the polls ahead of Michigan’s Aug. 4 Senate primary. If he wins the nomination, Democrats will learn fast whether his politics can win a battleground state.
Senate hopeful Haley Stevens booed during Democratic convention
Representative Haley Stevens was met with boos while giving a speech at the Michigan Democratic Endorsement Convention in Detroit on Sunday, April 19.
In 2025, Elissa Slotkin, a Democratic U.S. senator from Michigan, observed the following about her political party: “We’re like a solar system with no sun. We don’t act as a team, and when we don’t work as a team, we turn our guns on each other, and it’s so, so, so, fruitless.”
Fast-forward to now, and the Democratic Party seems to be moving in a distinct direction: far left. Like, socialist left.
From New York to Colorado, newcomer democratic socialists have unseated sitting members of Congress.
But these victories, so far, have come in solidly leftist strongholds. What I’m watching closely is whether a far-left progressive can win in my state of Michigan, a battleground state that helped elect President Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2024.
The Democratic Senate primary here is Aug. 4, and it’s caught the attention of the country because control of the Senate could be decided in the Great Lakes State. Democratic Sen. Gary Peters isn’t running for reelection, giving Republicans a chance to win the seat back.
Democrats must flip four seats to take control of the chamber, and holding Michigan is essential to that math.
To the chagrin of more “moderate” Democrats, candidate Abdul El-Sayed – a former public health official who’s the darling of democratic socialists like Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders – has done remarkably well in the polls, and he’s maintained a lead over more traditional opponents U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow.
McMorrow suspended her campaign on July 5, first reported by The Detroit News, after weak polling numbers and likely pressure from Democratic Party insiders.
If El-Sayed pulls off a primary win, it could signal which sun the Democratic Party is heading toward.
What works in the primary may not play as well in the general
But El-Sayed may face bigger challenges if he makes it to the November election.
He’ll face off against Republican Mike Rogers, a former congressman who narrowly lost his 2024 Senate bid to Slotkin.
Michigan hasn’t elected a Republican to the Senate in more than 30 years. Yet while Slotkin is a Democrat through and through, she’s adept at appealing to independents and moderates.
That’s not true of El-Sayed, who has palled around with self-identified Marxist streamer Hasan Piker on the campaign trail, in addition to Sanders.
“El-Sayed joins the list of radical leftists running nationally that will also cause consternation amongst mainstream Democrats,” former Michigan Republican Party Chairman Saul Anuzis told me. “Slotkin has already raised the alarm bells and that probably indicates she’s hearing from her constituency, and El-Sayed will need them as well.”
Michigan could determine whether Republicans hold their Senate majority – and it’s the GOP’s best shot at flipping a seat outright.
El-Sayed may be able to rally more radical progressives and the anti-Israel base in the primary, but that message will be a tougher sell to Michigan voters as a whole. As Anuzis put it, El-Sayed’s strength in the primary is his weakness in the general.
“If he wins, then more mainstream Democrats, Reagan/Trump Democrats and culturally conservative, working-class independents will have to make a choice,” he said. “I think that greatly helps Rogers.”
Democratic leadership is shying away from El-Sayed. Will it matter?
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer has openly backed Stevens, the sitting congresswoman, in the race. He and other Democrats clearly think she’s best suited to take on Rogers in November. Along those lines, ahead of McMorrow dropping out of the race, retiring Sen. Peters told associates that Democrats need to back one of the more mainstream candidates to oppose El-Sayed, according to The Wall Street Journal.
Still, El-Sayed has landed a coveted Michigan endorsement: that of the powerful United Auto Workers union, which praised the candidate for pushing forward “a strong working-class agenda with moral clarity.”
And while some believe that McMorrow exiting the race will boost Stevens, that’s far from a certainty. McMorrow notably did not throw her support behind one of the other contenders and her name will remain on the primary ballot.
Following Zohran Mamdani’s successful bid in 2025 for mayor of New York City, U.S. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said he didn’t think the democratic socialist represented the future of the Democratic Party.
With several more socialists recently winning seats in Congress, that looks a lot less certain.
Whether El-Sayed prevails in the primary, and then wins over Michigan voters in November, will be the biggest test yet of how far left Democrats are willing to go.
Ingrid Jacques is a columnist at USA TODAY. Contact her at ijacques@usatoday.com or on X, formerly Twitter: @Ingrid_Jacques
Detroit Economic Club: Kevin Guskiewicz Ph.D., J. Batt and Matt Elliott
Detroit Economic Club meeting with MSU President Kevin Guskiewicz Ph.D., Athletic Director J. Batt, and moderator Matt Elliott.
Weeks of waiting have paid off for Michigan State, to the tune of $2.5 million.
The reversal of President Kevin Guskiewicz’s decision to leave for Clemson means Kentucky will owe the full $5 million contract buyout for poaching athletic director J Batt last month. A clause in Batt’s contract had cut that buyout in half if Guskiewicz left before him, but Guskiewicz’s decision to stay after all leaves Kentucky with the full buyout.
Guskiewicz, 60, had accepted the presidency of Clemson University in South Carolina after two years on the job at Michigan State. Three weeks later, athletic director J Batt also took a new job at Kentucky, which will pay him nearly $3 million per year on a six-year term sheet signed June 17.
As of Monday, Michigan State’s athletic director position is still occupied by Batt, 44, whose departure date for Kentucky is still to be determined. It is still expected that Batt will depart for Kentucky, and with that Michigan State will still need to hire a new athletic director.
Monday afternoon, Kentucky President Eli Capilouto confirmed Batt will still leave Michigan State for Kentucky, posting a statement on X that, “J Batt and I spoke this afternoon and he has reinforced his commitment to UK and his excitement about joining the Big Blue Nation as soon as possible. We are working quickly to finalize his start date and his family is eager to join our community as well.”
However, Michigan State will embark on its athletic director search with a $5 million sum from Kentucky aiding its search.
Buyout sum opens up Michigan State’s options for AD hire
Michigan State made an aggressive move when it hired J Batt away from Georgia Tech. It signed him to a six-year, $12.6 million contract in June 2025 that ranked Batt in the top 10 nationally in base salary. Michigan State also paid his $2 million buyout at previous school Georgia Tech on top of that contract. Now, a little over a year later, Michigan State must repeat that process all over again.
Contractually, athletic directors are on the hook for liquidated buyouts, assessed as damages for ending a contract early. In practice, however, this is almost exclusively paid for by the hiring institution. Usually buyouts are scaled by contract length, with more expensive sums in the early years of a contract and cheaper costs to depart later on.
A $5 million buyout is on the high end of the spectrum, reflective of Batt’s departure early in the second contract year of his tenure.
If Michigan State wanted to poach Michigan’s Warde Manuel, for example, the cost would be twice his base salary, which amounts to $3.8 million. The latest contract for Western Michigan athletic director Dan Bartholomae lists a liquidated buyout of $5.1 million until 2027.
Gaining $5 million for Batt’s departure gives Michigan State with a strong sum to hire Batt’s replacement. If the school uses the whole sum toward a new candidate, it could have its pick of the litter, so to speak.
It could also choose to bank that money and hire someone outside of another university. It could look internally, particularly at executive deputy athletics director Jon Palumbo, who is the CEO of new fundraising arm Spartan Ventures. Or it could tap someone outside of the NCAA realm, such as former athletic director Mark Hollis, who has thrown his name in the ring. He resigned in 2018 after spending a decade as athletic director.
cearegood@detroitnews.com
@ConnorEaregood
Michigan drivers are getting some much welcomed relief at the gas pump as the cost for regular unleaded has fallen below $4 for the first time since April.
Michigan gas prices went down 14 cents since last week, with a gallon of unleaded fuel costing an average of $3.96. The price is about 25 cents less than drivers were paying last month, but still around 80 cents more than Michiganders paid this time last year, according to AAA.
For a 15-gallon tank of gas, that equates to an average of $59 to fill up — an increase of about $8 from 2025’s highest price reported in August.
In Metro Detroit, average daily gas prices decreased to $4.01 — or about 13 cents less than last week’s average but still 81 cents more than the same time last year.
The most expensive averages reported by AAA were in Ann Arbor ($4.05), Metro Detroit ($4.01), and Lansing ($3.97), with the least expensive averages reported in Marquette ($3.62), Traverse City ($3.90), and Flint ($3.91).
Domestic gasoline supply decreased from 216.3 million barrels to 214 million, according to new data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), while gasoline demand increased from 8.73 million barrels per day to 9.21 million. Gasoline production increased last week, averaging 10 million barrels per day.
Daily national, state, and metro gas price averages can be found at Gasprices.aaa.com.
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