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Kansas State vs. Colorado football prediction: What the analytics say

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Kansas State vs. Colorado football prediction: What the analytics say


Big 12 football returns to action this weekend as No. 18 Kansas State hits the road against Colorado in college football’s Week 7 action. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from the football model that picks winners.

Kansas State is 4-1 overall and comes off a statement win against then-ranked Oklahoma State two weeks ago and sits at No. 7 in FBS in rushing output heading into this game.

Colorado is 2-0 in Big 12 play and 4-1 overall and on a 3-game win streak thanks in large part to the nation’s 9th-best passing attack led by quarterback Shedeur Sanders, who is completing more than 70 percent of his throws with 14 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.

Looking ahead to this week’s matchup, let’s check out the latest college football predictions from the Football Power Index computer prediction model.

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The model simulates every NCAA college football game 20,000 times and uses key analytics from both teams and picks winners based on a projected scoring margin per game.

The models project a very close game this week, with the road team getting a slight edge.

Kansas State is projected to win the game in 52.2 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations, or 10,440 of its 20,000 predictions.

That leaves Colorado as the expected winner in the remaining 47.8 percent of sims.

Kansas State is projected to be just 0.9 points better than Colorado on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.

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If so, that wouldn’t be enough to cover the spread.

That’s because Kansas State is a 3.5 point favorite against Colorado, according to the updated lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total at 56.5 points for the game.

And it set the moneyline odds for Kansas State at -175 and for Colorado at +150 to win outright.

Colorado is getting more faith from bettors in this game, according to the latest spread consensus picks.

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A slight majority of bets — 55 percent — project the Buffaloes will either beat the Wildcats in an upset or keep the game within the point spread.

The other 45 percent of wagers forecast that Kansas State will beat Colorado and cover the spread.

The game’s implied score forecasts a slight victory for the Wildcats against the Buffaloes.

When taking the point spread and total into consideration, it’s implied that Kansas State will defeat Colorado by a projected score of 30 to 27.

Kansas State is third among Big 12 teams with a 16.1 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, and will win 8.5 games, according to the FPI metrics.

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That model gives Colorado a win total projection of 8.1 games and a 12.3 percent shot at the playoff.

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance. 

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

First-place votes in parentheses

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1. Texas (52)
2. Ohio State (9)
3. Oregon
4. Penn State
5. Georgia
6. Miami
7. Alabama
8. Tennessee
9. Ole Miss
10. Clemson
T-11. Iowa State/Notre Dame
13. LSU
14. BYU
15. Texas A&M
16. Utah
17. Boise State
T-18. Kansas State/Indiana/Oklahoma
21. Missouri
22. Pittsburgh
23. Illinois
24. Michigan
25. SMU

When: Sat., Oct. 12
Time: 9:15 p.m. CT | 8:15 p.m. MT
TV: ESPN network

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks



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Kansas

Best Prop Bets for Kansas State vs. Colorado in College Football Week 7

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Best Prop Bets for Kansas State vs. Colorado in College Football Week 7


Kansas State travels to Boulder, Colorado to face the surging Buffaloes.

With a potent passing attack, can Shedeur Sanders and the Buffs offense take advantage of a Kansas State defense that grades out as quite poor. Colorado loves to pass, and this matchup gives us an opportunity to hit the player prop market to cash in.

Here are two can’t miss player props for Colorado’s offense on Saturday in Week 7 action.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

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Shedeur Sanders OVER 306.5 Passing Yards

This could be another monster outing for Sanders, who will face a Kansas State defense that is 88th in EPA/Pass and 102n in explosive pass defense. 

The Wildcats pass rush ranks bottom 10 in terms of pass rush grade, according to Pro Football Focus, which means Sanders may have time to sit in the pocket and dice up this K-State secondary. 

While this number seems high, the Buffs rank sixth in pass rate this season and will force the issue all game. 

He has gone over this total in three of five games, and this is a median outcome for a plus matchup. 

LaJohntay Wester OVER 56.5 Receiving Yards

Wester is the wide receiver I want to target in this matchup as he has emerged as the No. 2 pass catcher in this Buffaloes offense. 

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He has at least seven targets in four of five games this season and has gone over this total in three of five games this season. 

A primary slot receiver, I can Wester is a matchup nightmare with his speed and a weak point of the K-State defense. 

I’m counting on the CU passing game, and Wester provides the most value relative to price. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Follow Reed on Twitter @ReedWallach and get all his college football bets on betstamp @rw33

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If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.



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Kansas Farm Bureau discussing new form of sustainable jet fuel

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Kansas Farm Bureau discussing new form of sustainable jet fuel


WICHITA, Kan. (KWCH) -The Kansas Farm Bureau is bringing farmers together to talk about a new form of sustainable jet fuel.

Senior Director of Advocacy of the Kansas Farm Bureau, Ryan Flickner says that it is a team effort between farmers and the aviation industry.

“We invited and encouraged Delta Airlines to come out here. Let’s have this dialogue what works for the airline works for farmers and ranchers here on the ground in Kansas and can we form a mutual alliance or can we better understand where each other’s group is coming from,” Flickner said.

Flickner says that even while in its early stages, the partnership is set to impact farmers who contribute in the form of tax credit.

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“This renewable fuels drive and a sustainable aviation fuel, It’s so new and it’s in it’s infancy again we’re waiting for IRS rules and regulations… the ultimate shareholder goal to drive a more renewable or sustainable jet fuel source.”



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Origin Hotel opens on Kansas City's Berkley Riverfront

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Origin Hotel opens on Kansas City's Berkley Riverfront


KANSAS CITY, Mo. — The Origin Hotel on the Berkley Riverfront has opened its doors.

The 118-room boutique hotel is located just west of CPKC Stadium, home of the Kansas City Current.

“We are excited to be bringing a completely new experience to the Kansas City market,” Jacob Van Winkle, president of Tandem Hospitality, said in a news release.

Origin Hotel

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Part of the “authentic immersion” promised to guests includes Show Pony, the hotel’s on-site restaurant.

Set to open later this month, Show Pony is said to provide an “Americana-inspired dining experience.”

Origin guests can tailor their stay to their interests with “curated in-room enhancements.”

RELATED | Bridges, stadiums dominate 2024 construction projects

Fur parents may be interested in the package that includes a pass to Bar K while families may opt-in to the adventure kit for kids, which comes with sleeping bags and a starry night light.

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There’s also an in-room yoga kit available for anyone looking to workout solo rather than at the “state-of-the-art fitness studio.”

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Origin Hotel

Guests looking to take advantage of being “at the heart of the action, with easy access to the city’s most celebrated landmarks,” can roam KC using the hotel’s complimentary bike rentals. Access to the streetcar is also nearby in the River Market.

Throughout the property, local artists and KC-inspired designs will be featured in areas such as the hotel’s “grand fountain” at the entrance and the Charlie Hustle retail store.

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Origin Hotel

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Additionally, the hotel boasts it offers 4,800 square feet of meeting and event space across five “unique and versatile venues” — Berkley Ballroom; Two Birds, One Stone (beer garden); Moonstone (indoor/outdoor space); Emanuel Cleaver II Riverview Room; Port KC Private Dining Room.

The Origin, a Wyndham Hotel, is owned by The Thrash Group and operated by Tandem Hospitality Group.

The hotel is located at 1001 E. Riverfront Drive, KCMO, 64120.





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