Michigan vs. Iowa prediction, odds, line: 2022 Week 5 college football picks, best bets from proven model

The Iowa Hawkeyes face a major problem on Saturday afternoon in Large Ten motion. Iowa hosts the No. 4 Michigan Wolverines within the first battle between the golf equipment in Iowa Metropolis since 2016. Iowa is 3-1 total and 1-0 in convention motion this season amid offensive struggles. Michigan is 4-0 total and 1-0 within the Large Ten, with the latest assembly between the golf equipment ending in a 42-3 win by the Wolverines within the Large Ten championship recreation.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Wolverines as 10.5-point highway favorites for this midday ET kickoff. The whole variety of factors Vegas thinks can be scored, or the over/below, is 42 within the newest Michigan vs. Iowa odds. Earlier than making any Iowa vs. Michigan picks, you’ll want to take a look at the faculty soccer predictions and betting recommendation from the SportsLine Projection Mannequin.

The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each FBS faculty soccer recreation 10,000 instances. Over the previous six-plus years, the proprietary laptop mannequin has generated a surprising revenue of greater than $3,100 for $100 gamers on its top-rated faculty soccer picks in opposition to the unfold. Anybody who has adopted it has seen enormous returns.

Now, the mannequin has set its sights on Michigan vs. Iowa and simply locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You may go to SportsLine now to see the mannequin’s picks. Listed here are the faculty soccer odds and betting strains for Iowa vs. Michigan:

• Michigan vs. Iowa unfold: Michigan -10.5
• Michigan vs. Iowa over/below: 42 factors
• Michigan vs. Iowa cash line: Michigan -440, Iowa +335
• MICH: The Wolverines are 2-2 in opposition to the unfold within the final 4 video games
• IOWA: The Hawkeyes are 2-1 in opposition to the unfold within the final three video games
• Michigan vs. Iowa picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Michigan can cowl

Michigan is averaging 50.0 factors per recreation this season, No. 2 in FBS, and no group within the nation has extra speeding touchdowns (17) than the Wolverines. Michigan can be producing virtually 500 whole yards per recreation, and the duo of quarterback JJ McCarthy and operating again Blake Corum is lighting it up in 2022. From there, Michigan’s protection has an encouraging projection in Saturday’s recreation, partly attributable to Iowa’s weaknesses. The Hawkeyes have the worst scoring common (17.0 factors per recreation) of any Large Ten group this season, and Iowa is No. 120 in FBS in scoring offense. Iowa can be final in FBS with 232.5 whole yards per recreation, and Hawkeyes quarterback Spencer Petras is finishing solely 51% of his passes. 

Michigan is giving up solely 6.7 factors per recreation within the final three conferences in opposition to Iowa, and the Wolverines are close to the highest of the nation in myriad defensive classes this season. Michigan is No. 7 in factors allowed (11.0 per recreation), No. 8 in yards per play allowed (3.9), No. 6 in yards allowed (244.8 per recreation), No. 4 in passing yards allowed (135.8 per recreation) and yards per cross try allowed (4.7). Opponents have been sacked 11 instances in 4 video games in opposition to Michigan, with 3.2 yards per carry and clear struggles to maneuver the ball.

Why Iowa can cowl 

Kinnick Stadium has been a home of horrors for Michigan in recent times, with Iowa profitable the final 4 video games in opposition to the Wolverines at house. As well as, Michigan performed one of many best schedules in FBS throughout the primary three weeks of the season and, whereas the Wolverines defeated Maryland final week, Michigan gave up 397 whole yards and gained by solely a single rating. Iowa’s protection can be elite by the metrics, together with a nation-leading mark of 5.8 factors allowed per recreation. 

The Hawkeyes have allowed 10 factors or fewer in each recreation this season, with Iowa’s protection giving up solely two whole touchdowns and 236.3 whole yards per recreation. Iowa is main the nation with 4.6 yards allowed per cross try, and the Hawkeyes are giving up solely 2.2 yards per carry. Iowa has not allowed a speeding landing all season, and Kirk Ferentz’s program has 5 interceptions and 12 sacks already in 2022.

Tips on how to make Iowa vs. Michigan picks

SportsLine’s mannequin is leaning Over the entire, projecting 49 mixed factors. It has additionally generated an in opposition to the unfold choose that hits in virtually 60% of simulations. You may solely get the mannequin’s choose at SportsLine. 

So who wins Michigan vs. Iowa? And which aspect of the unfold hits in virtually 60% of simulations? Go to SportsLine now to see which aspect of the unfold to leap on, all from the superior mannequin that completed the previous six-plus years up greater than $3,100 on its FBS faculty soccer picks, and discover out.