Iowa
Iowa vs. Iowa State, Oregon vs. Boise State picks: College football odds
What’s not to love about Oklahoma State’s offense?
With Doak Award-winning RB Ollie Gordon leading the attack behind an experienced offensive line (more than 200 career starts with seven seniors), the Pokes can move the ball consistently on the ground while setting up valuable play-action passes for ever-improving QB Alan Bowman (1,200-plus play-action passing yards in 2023).
While I have questions about OSU’s defense, it could improve with nine starters returning from last year’s unit.
Overall, the Pokes return 19 starters from last year’s Big 12 Championship runner-up roster, ranking first nationally in experience.
Conversely, Arkansas ranks 88th in experience.
I worry about the offensive line (62 career starts) and linebacking corps (lost all four starters from last season).
There are major depth concerns across the defense, and on offense, it’s uncertain how Boise State transfer QB Taylen Green will perform in the SEC after three years in the MWC.
I always want to bet more experienced teams against less experienced ones in September.
The former is generally more game-ready in non-conference play.
The Bowman-Gordon duo should roll over a questionable Razorback defense that ranked 74th in EPA per rush allowed last season.
The pick: Oklahoma State -10.
IOWA STATE (+2.5) over Iowa
I’m bullish on Iowa State. With 19 starters returning from last year’s roster that improved mightily after a slow start, I think the Cyclones could explode this year.
I love QB Rocco Becht, 2023’s Big 12 Freshman of the Year.
Two of his top three receivers from last year return alongside all five offensive line starters.
The Cyclones are strong and experienced in the secondary.
Though the Hawkeyes always field an elite defense, I’m not ready to believe that Tim Lester has suddenly fixed a hapless offense after a 40-0 victory against FCS Illinois State.
I don’t overreact to Week 1 FBS vs. FCS results, and I’m far from ready to buy in on QB1 Cade McNamara.
At the minimum, this should be a sloppy, lower-scoring game decided by one possession, and I’m willing to take the points in a points-at-a-premium battle.
Cyclone head coach Matt Campbell is 31-16 against the spread as an underdog of three or more points in his career.
The pick: Iowa State +2.5.
OREGON (-19.5) over Boise State
The Ducks looked awful against FCS Idaho (24-14 win) last week, but they dominated the boxscore, tripling the Vandals in first downs (31-10) and more than doubling them in total yards (487-217).
Oregon was unlucky with ill-timed penalties, skewing the final result.
Again, I don’t overreact to Week 1 FBS vs. FCS results, so I remain high on the Ducks as national title contenders.
While Boise State is among the favorites to represent the Group of Five in the College Football Playoff, I’ve downgraded the Broncos significantly after their performance against Georgia Southern.
Betting on College Football?
I had concerns about the defense, but it’s much worse than I imagined.
Georgia Southern dropped 45 points on 99 total plays, generating 0.30 EPA per rush (90th percentile) with 10 explosive plays (12 percent, 85th percentile).
What do you think Dan Lanning, Dillon Gabriel and the Ducks will do? They might drop 60.
Though superstar RB Ashton Jeanty obliterated Georgia Southern’s weak, undersized defensive line (school-record 269 yards and six touchdowns), he will be less effective against stiffer competition.
Oregon has talent and experience on defense, with nine returning starters from last year’s unit.
Lanning should key in on Jeanty, trying to force inexperienced QB Maddux Madsen into uncomfortable passing situations.
Last week: 1-2. Clemson (L), Syracuse (L), Hawaii (W)
2024 Season: 1-2.
Iowa State’s Audi Crooks dedicates made free throw to her late father
Iowa State star Audi Crooks connected on a free throw for her dad late in her team’s win over Iowa.
AMES – As ESPN women’s basketball analyst and Hall of Famer Rebecca Lobo watched the Iowa State women’s basketball shootaround prior to the team’s Dec. 10 game against the Iowa Hawkeyes, several things stood out to her about Cyclones star Audi Crooks. Lobo was impressed by Crooks’ ability, her hard work and her personality.
“She’s such a smart, thoughtful, kind and funny human being,” Lobo said in an interview with the Des Moines Register prior to Wednesday night’s Cy-Hawk game. “And that just oozes out of her even when you spend just a short amount of time around her.”
Count Lobo as a fan of Crooks. The former college and WNBA star raved about the Cyclones star before calling the 10th-ranked Cyclones’ 74-69 win over the 12th-ranked Hawkeyes at Hilton Coliseum. Crooks poured in a game-high 30 points and grabbed 12 rebounds as Iowa State improved to 11-0.
“I love it,” Lobo said of watching Crooks. “She’s such a good kid. You see the joy. I like watching joyful players. She is a joyful player. When you talk to her, she is somebody who looks like, when she’s on the basketball court, there’s no other place she’d rather be and I love that about her. She just has an infectious way about her that makes you want to continue watching her.”
College basketball fans across the country are quickly gravitating toward Crooks, who has become one of the best players in the nation. The 6-foot-3 center leads the country in scoring, averaging 27.6 points per game. Crooks has already broken Iowa State’s single-game scoring record twice this season, dropping 43 points in a game and then 47 in another contest.
Lobo, the Associated Press player of the year in 1995 and a WNBA All-Star in 1999, has been covering college basketball for a long time. She can see why Crooks, a native of Algona, has become one of the most dominant college post players. Lobo covered the Cy-Hawk game in 2023 when Crooks was a freshman. She’s made massive strides since.
“The first time you put eyes on her, you’re absolutely struck by the unique frame and how quick her hands and feet are — how good her hands and feet are at her size and then her increased ability to finish around the rim,” Lobo said. “And everybody is game-planning around Audi and yet she’s still leading the nation in scoring and has become incredibly efficient.”
Crooks has been a big reason why the Cyclones are enjoying their best start in more than a decade. Iowa State’s 11-0 start marks the best start to the season since the 2013-14 campaign when the Cyclones opened the year with 14 straight wins. The attention Crooks receives on the court has been instrumental in the success of her teammates as well. What’s she’s done has impressed Lobo thoroughly.
“Audi is just such a unique talent in the women’s game,” Lobo said. “There’s really no other player quite like her and doing what she can do. She’s been a phenomenal anchor for them so far this season.”
If Iowa State continues its successful season and Crooks keeps putting up massive numbers, the Cyclones star will find herself in the national player of the year conversation, just like Lobo was when she was a star at UConn.
“Certainly right now, when you look at an undefeated team that’s a top-10 team, you’re like, ‘All right, who’s their best player and should she be in the conversation,’” Lobo said. “A lot of it will depend on if she’s going to be able to keep this level of scoring and this level of efficiency while leading a team that’s winning games.”
Tommy Birch, the Register’s sports enterprise and features reporter, has been working at the newspaper since 2008. He’s the 2018, 2020 and 2023 Iowa Sportswriter of the Year. Reach him at tbirch@dmreg.com or 515-284-8468.
Thank you to the readers of High School on SI for helping us determine the Iowa boys high school basketball preseason players of the year in all four classifications.
Over 20,000 votes were tabulated between the four polls on the website.
Taking home top honors in Class 4A was Tevin Schultz from Dubuque Senior, as he received nearly 55 percent of the votes cast in that poll. Will Gerdes of Cedar Falls was a close second with 38 percent of the votes.
Cael LaFrentz, the son of former Kansas star and NBA veteran Raef LaFrentz, claimed the top 3A honor, taking almost 36 percent of the votes. Brady Harr of Hampton-Dumont/CAL was second and James Madison commit AJ Evans of Cedar Rapids Xavier was third. Harr received 26 percent of the votes, Evans had 22 and Jaxon Clark from Keokuk was fourth with over 10 percent.
In 2A, Albia’s Gage Chance pulled away from the field, as he secured over 3,100 votes to finish ahead of Red Oak’s Reese Montgomery, who came in with just under 2,000 total votes cast for him.
GTRA’s Teagan Hanson, a standout quarterback this past fall for the Titans, picked up nearly 61 percent of the 12,000-plus votes cast to claim 1A over Eli Dee of Baxter and Tanner Bergmann from Wapsie Valley.
1. Tevin Schultz, Dubuque Senior
2. Will Gerdes, Cedar Falls
3. Jerimiah Washpun, Iowa City Liberty
Winner: Tevin Schultz, Dubuque Senior
Schultz was the leader for the Rams, posting 18 points, seven rebounds, two assists and over a steal per game.
1. Cael LaFrentz, Decorah
2. Brady Harr, Hampton-Dumont/CAL
3. AJ Evans, Cedar Rapids Xavier
Winner: Cael LaFrentz, Decorah
“Older” followers of basketball will recognize the last name, as LaFrentz averaged 29.2 points per game and 13 rebounds last year for the Vikings.
1. Gage Chance, Albia
2. Reese Montgomery, Red Oak
3. Bryer Putman, Wilton
Winner: Gage Chance, Albia
Chance dominated inside the paint as a sophomore, scoring 19 points with over seven rebounds per game.
1. Teagan Hanson, GTRA
2. Eli Dee, Baxter
3. Tanner Bergman, Wapsie Valley
Winner: Teagan Hanson GTRA
Hanson filled the box score as a junior, scoring 18.5 points a night with nearly six assists, almost six rebounds and four steals.
Republican Wendy Larson has won a special election in northeast Iowa’s House District 7, retaining House Republicans’ supermajority in the state Legislature.
Larson, of Odebolt, will fill the seat of former Rep. Mike Sexton, R-Rockwell City, who resigned Sept. 19 to take a job as Iowa state director of the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s rural development office.
Larson won with 70% of the vote, defeating Democrat Rachel Burns, who received 30%, according to unofficial results from the Iowa Secretary of State’s office.
“I’m very blessed to have the opportunity to serve House District 7,” Larson said in a statement. “Throughout this campaign, I vowed to be a common-sense, conservative leader for rural Iowa in the Statehouse. I look forward to delivering on promises that I campaigned on, including protecting landowner rights, providing property tax relief and protecting our children. I’m eager to carry the voices of House District 7 to Des Moines and deliver results for rural Iowa.”
House District 7 includes Sac, Pocahontas and Calhoun counties, as well as portions of western Webster County.
Larson is a deaconess at Kiron Baptist Church and a volunteer at the Mobile Food Pantry. She and her husband, Chad, have three children. Larson holds a bachelor’s degree in marketing from Colorado State University.
Larson campaigned on protecting landowner rights from eminent domain, opposing vaccine mandates, strengthening Second Amendment rights, fighting illegal immigration and “protecting our children from political indoctrination” in school, according to a news release from House Republicans.
With Larson’s win, Republicans retain their 67-seat supermajority in the Iowa House.
House Speaker Pat Grassley, R-New Hartford, praised Larson’s 40-point victory in a statement.
“Unsurprisingly, House District 7 awarded Wendy Larson a resounding victory today,” he said. “Iowans continue to reject out-of-touch liberal agendas and opt instead for more of the common sense, freedom-loving approach you’ve come to know from Iowa House Republicans. We are proud to have a strong leader for House District 7 in Wendy Larson and we look forward to her joining us in the Iowa House.”
Larson previously ran against Sexton in a Republican primary in 2024, losing that race 51% to 49%.
Iowa Democratic Party Chair Rita Hart thanked Bruns for running and praised her campaign.
“Rachel Burns ran a gutsy and inspiring campaign, and the results of her hard work were clear tonight — overperforming by 11 points and forcing Republicans to spend over $35,000 in a district that Donald Trump won by 52,” Hart said in a statement.
Iowa has seen half a dozen special elections for the Legislature in 2025
Larson’s win marks the fifth special election for the Iowa Legislature in 2025.
In January, Democrat Mike Zimmer pulled off a surprise victory over Republican Kate Whittington in an eastern Iowa Senate seat that Chris Cournoyer vacated when she became lieutenant governor.
Republicans narrowly held a House seat that became vacant after former Rep. Martin Graber died unexpectedly of a heart attack. Republican Blaine Watkins defeated Democrat Nannette Griffin in March.
And in April, Democrat Angelina Ramirez won a special election to the Iowa House to replace Sami Scheetz, who resigned after being appointed to fill a vacancy on the Linn County Board of Supervisors. Ramirez defeated Republican Bernie Hayes.
Democrat Catelin Drey in August won a special election for the Iowa Senate seat previously held by Rocky De Witt, who died of pancreatic cancer. She defeated Republican Christopher Prosch, breaking Senate Republicans’ supermajority in the 50-member chamber.
Polk County residents will head to the polls for one final election on Dec. 30 to fill the Senate District 16 seat left vacant by the death of Sen. Claire Celsi in October.
Stephen Gruber-Miller covers the Iowa Statehouse and politics for the Register. He can be reached by email at sgrubermil@registermedia.com or by phone at 515-284-8169. Follow him on X at @sgrubermiller.
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