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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Iowa on Election Day

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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Iowa on Election Day


WASHINGTON (AP) — Iowa has a long history as a presidential battleground state, but when voters cast their ballots in the general election on Nov. 5, it’s the races further down the ballot that may get the most attention.

Voters will decide competitive U.S. House contests that could decide control of the chamber, as well as state legislative races that could hand Iowa Republicans a veto-proof supermajority. They’ll also consider statewide ballot measures that would require citizenship to vote and modify the line of succession for governor.

Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump will compete for the state’s six electoral votes. Iowa had among the narrowest presidential vote margins in the 2000 and 2004 elections, when it voted for Democrat Al Gore and then for Republican George W. Bush. Barack Obama was the last Democrat to win the state in 2008 and 2012.

Changes in the state’s political leanings since then may have pushed Iowa further out of reach for Democrats. The GOP holds all of Iowa’s congressional seats, the governorship, most statewide offices and lopsided majorities in the state Legislature. Trump won Iowa by comfortable margins in 2016 and 2020. This year, neither candidate nor their running mates have visited Iowa since becoming their parties’ nominees.

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In the race for the closely divided U.S. House, two Republican incumbents face competitive reelection bids. In the 1st District, Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks faces a rematch with Democrat Christina Bohannan, a former state senator who lost to Miller-Meeks in 2022 by a 7-point margin. In the 3rd District, Republican Rep. Zach Nunn seeks a second term against Democrat Lanon Baccam, a former USDA administrator. Trump won the Des Moines-area district by a margin of just 0.4 percentage points. Democrats need a net gain of only a few seats to regain control of the U.S. House.

In the state Legislature, Republicans already enjoy large majorities in both chambers and need to pick up a few more state House seats for a supermajority, although they already control the governorship.

Voters will also consider two constitutional amendments. One would prohibit state and local governments from allowing non-citizens to vote and would allow 17-year-olds to vote in primary elections if they will be 18 by the general election. The other measure would clarify the line of succession if the state’s lieutenant governor were to become governor.

The AP does not make projections and will declare a winner only when it has determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidates to close the gap. If a race has not been called, the AP will continue to cover any newsworthy developments, such as candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make clear that it has not yet declared a winner and explain why.

Here’s a look at what to expect in the 2024 election in Iowa:

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Election Day

Nov. 5.

Poll closing time

9 p.m. ET.

Presidential electoral votes

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6 awarded to statewide winner.

Key races and candidates

President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Chase Oliver (Libertarian) vs. Claudia De la Cruz (Party for Socialism and Liberation) vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (We The People) and two others.

1st Congressional District: Rep. Miller-Meeks (R) vs. Bohannan (D).

3rd Congressional District: Rep. Nunn (R) vs. Baccam (D).

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Ballot measures: Amendment 1 (require citizenship to vote and modify voting age).

Other races of interest

U.S. House, state Senate, state House and Amendment 2 (modify gubernatorial succession).

Past presidential results

2020: Trump (R) 53%, Biden (D) 45%, AP race call: Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2020, 12:21 p.m. ET.

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Voter registration and turnout

Registered voters: 2,223,492 (as of Sep. 3, 2024).

Voter turnout in 2020 presidential election: 74% of registered voters.

Pre-Election Day voting

Votes cast before Election Day 2020: about 59% of the total vote.

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Votes cast before Election Day 2022: about 30% of the total vote.

Votes cast before Election Day 2024: See AP Advance Vote tracker.

How long does vote-counting take?

First votes reported, Nov. 3, 2020: 10:11 p.m. ET.

By midnight ET: about 82% of total votes cast were reported.

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___

Breaux reported from Kansas City, Missouri. Associated Press writers Hannah Fingerhut contributed to this report.

___

Read more about how U.S. elections work at Explaining Election 2024, a series from The Associated Press aimed at helping make sense of the American democracy. The AP receives support from several private foundations to enhance its explanatory coverage of elections and democracy. See more about AP’s democracy initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.



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Iowa

Iowa State basketball’s Lipsey, Otzelberger net USA TODAY Sports preseason Big 12 awards

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Iowa State basketball’s Lipsey, Otzelberger net USA TODAY Sports preseason Big 12 awards


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A panel of writers who cover the Big 12 Conference for the USA TODAY Sports Network released its individual preseason awards for the upcoming 2024-25 men’s college basketball season.

Iowa State head coach T.J. Otzelberger and point guard Tamin Lipsey were recognized. Former Waukee High School and Drake University star Tucker DeVries also earned preseason Big 12 accolades.

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Otzelberger was named Preseason Big 12 Coach of the Year. Otzelberger guided the Cyclones to the NCAA Tournament for the third straight year. They reached the Sweet 16 for the second time during his time as head coach. Iowa State finished 29-8 last season and won a Big 12 tournament championship.

Lipsey was voted Preseason Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year and earned a spot on the Preseason All-Big 12 First Team. Lipsey averaged 12.4 points, 4.6 rebounds, 4.9 assists and 2.7 steals per game last season.

His 2.7 steals per game were tied for the fourth-most in Division I basketball. The 6-foot-1 Ames native was also named first-team All-Big 12 and landed a spot on the Big 12 All-Defensive Team last season.

Expectations are high for DeVries to make an immediate impact at West Virginia. The two-time Missouri Valley Conference Player of the Year and three-time all-conference selection elected to transfer from Drake and follow his father, the Mountaineers’ newly-minted head coach Darian DeVries, to West Virginia.

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The 6-foot-7 DeVries averaged 21.6 points, 6.7 rebounds, 3.7 assists and 1.6 steals per game. He also shot 44.4% on the floor and 36.3% from long range.

He was named Preseason Big 12 Newcomer of the Year and earned a spot on the Preseason All-Big 12 Second Team.

Here are the preseason All-Big 12 teams and individual awards as chosen by the USA TODAY Sports Network’s Big 12 coverage team:

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First team

G — L.J. Cryer, Houston

G — Tamin Lipsey, Iowa State

G — Caleb Love, Arizona

F —  J’Wan Roberts, Houston

C — Hunter Dickinson, Kansas

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Second team

G — Dajuan Harris Jr., Kansas

G — Coleman Hawkins, Kansas State

G — Jeremy Roach, Baylor

F — Tucker DeVries, West Virginia

F — Norchad Omier, Baylor

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Preseason Coach of the Year

T.J. Otzelberger, Iowa State

Preseason Player of the Year

Hunter Dickinson, Kansas

Preseason Newcomer of the Year

Tucker DeVries, West Virginia

Preseason Defensive Player of the Year

Tamin Lipsey, Iowa State

The USA TODAY Sports Network’s panel of Big 12 men’s basketball voters includes Arne Green of the Topeka Capital-Journal, Travis Hines of the Des Moines Register, Jacob Unruh of The Oklahoman, Michelle Gardner of the Arizona Republic, Nathan Giese of the Lubbock Avalanche-Journal, Scott Springer of the Cincinnati Enquirer, Jordan Guskey of the Topeka Capital-Journal and Christopher Boyle of the Daytona Beach News-Journal.

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Eugene Rapay covers Iowa State athletics for the Des Moines Register. Contact Eugene at erapay@gannett.com. Follow him on Twitter at @erapay5.





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Iowa State football: 2025 3-star offensive lineman Sione Perkins commits to Cyclones

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Iowa State football: 2025 3-star offensive lineman Sione Perkins commits to Cyclones


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Iowa State football is getting more reinforcements on the offensive line.

The Cyclones secured another commitment, as offensive tackle Sione Perkins announced his decision on Sunday night.

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Sione Perkins 247 ranking

Perkins is a 6-foot-9, 260-pound lineman from Eagle, Idaho. He is a three-star prospect in the class of 2025, according to 247 Sports. He is the ninth highest-rated tackle from Idaho and the 173rd offensive tackle overall in his class.

Perkins helped pave the way to a 7-2 season for the Mustangs, who reached the Class 6A SIC district championship game this fall.

Perkins’ announcement comes shortly after he fielded an offer from Iowa State on Thursday. He reportedly also had offers from Eastern Washington, Idaho and Montana.

He is the second offensive lineman to commit to the Cyclones in an eight-day stretch, with the other being Mason Bandhauer from Fort Collins, Colorado in the recruiting class of 2026.

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Iowa State football 2025 recruiting class

Perkins is the 16th player to commit in head coach Matt Campbell’s 2025 recruiting class.

He joins three-star tackle Will Tompkins of Cedar Falls as the lone commits on the offensive line so far.

Here is the Cyclones’ 2025 recruiting class to date:

  • Wide receiver Karon Brookins (Winslow Township, New Jersey)
  • Defensive lineman B.J. Carter (Middleburg, Florida)
  • Athlete Mason Ellens (Glen Ellyn, Illinois)
  • Linebacker Will Hawthorne (Gilbert, Iowa)
  • Cornerback LaMarcus Hicks II (Des Plaines, Illinois)
  • Edge rusher Jack Limbaugh (Algona, Iowa)
  • Wide receiver Dyllan Malone (Yorkville, Illinois)
  • Quarterback Alex Manske (Algona, Iowa)
  • Running back Ryver Peppers (Independence, Missouri)
  • Safety Joshua Patterson (Jacksonville, Florida)
  • Wide receiver Xzavion Robinson (West Des Moines, Iowa)
  • Safety Ethan Stecker (Spirit Lake, Iowa)
  • Offensive lineman Will Tompkins (Cedar Falls, Iowa)
  • Edge rusher Trey Verdon (Hamilton, Ohio)
  • Edge rusher Charlie Woleben (De Soto, Kansas)

Eugene Rapay covers Iowa State athletics for the Des Moines Register. Contact Eugene at erapay@gannett.com. Follow him on Twitter at @erapay5.





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Eickholt: Brendan Sullivan era begins, should start remainder of 2024 season

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Eickholt: Brendan Sullivan era begins, should start remainder of 2024 season


Saturday showcased the beauty and the gloom of being a college football fan. For the first 25 minutes, Iowa fans sat on the edge of their seat and filled with anxiety about what was going to come. After an 85-yard pick-six by Cade McNamara, the boo birds were out in full force throughout Kinnick Stadium.



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