Offseason In Review: Indianapolis Colts

After Indianapolis’ seven-Professional Bowler squad was poised to turn into the sixth non-strike-year staff to go from 0-3 to the playoffs, a collapse nixed that distinction and introduced extra change. An irate Jim Irsay led the best way to the Colts once more making a swap at quarterback, swiftly pivoting from Carson Wentz and bringing in Matt Ryan.

When Ryan makes his Indianapolis debut in Week 1, the Colts will be a part of an unique membership. Fewer than 10 groups since 1970’s AFL-NFL merger have began six straight seasons with completely different Week 1 QBs. Getting into this offseason, that record stood at 5. It can balloon to eight, largely due to Irsay’s Wentz-related directive. Each the Colts and Commanders, together with the Broncos, will go right into a sixth straight season with a unique beginning quarterback. Will Ryan be the one which stops this carousel and makes a top quality Indianapolis roster related within the Tremendous Bowl chase?

Trades:

Indianapolis’ previous six Week 1 starters actually outdistance Denver and Washington’s sextets for star energy, however solely Andrew Luck has received a Colts playoff sport throughout this span. A franchise that had Peyton Manning begin each sport for 13 years and rostered Luck for seven extra has moved from Scott Tolzien to Luck to Jacoby Brissett to Philip Rivers to Wentz to Ryan over the previous six openers. Brissett labored because the staff’s major starter over this span, however the staff has since made three high-profile QB strikes. The most recent brought on probably the most ripples.

Shortly after the Broncos submitted their prime post-Manning QB-fix measure, buying Russell Wilson, the Colts despatched Wentz to Washington. To say Irsay soured on Wentz can be understating the staff’s transition. After giving up first- and second-round picks for the ex-Frank Reich Eagles pupil, the Colts have been delay by the QB’s management struggles, his refusal to get vaccinated in opposition to COVID-19 and his being on the heart of one of many NFL’s worst collapses in years.

Based mostly on the tepid markets that emerged for Baker Mayfield and Jimmy Garoppolo, the Colts accumulating a haul of three Day 2 picks for Wentz represents a coup for GM Chris Ballard, who benefited from Ryan’s want to relocate to Indianapolis. Because the Falcons ate an NFL-record $40.52MM in lifeless cash by buying and selling Ryan, the Colts didn’t tackle any for shifting Wentz.

Deshaun Watson fallout instantly hit Carolina, Atlanta and New Orleans, however Indiana quickly felt the affect of the seismic commerce. Ten years in the past, the 49ers made a robust push for Manning. Days after the QB legend picked the Broncos, the 49ers prolonged then-starter Alex Smith as a patching-up effort of types. The Falcons took the alternative path with Ryan. After the staff’s Watson conferences leaked out, Falcons GM Terry Fontenot let Ryan converse with the Colts. The talks led shortly to a deal for a mere third-round choose.

To tally an early scorecard right here, right here is how the compensation packages rank for beginning QBs this offseason:

1. The Texans obtained three first-rounders, a 3rd and two fourths for Watson
2. The Seahawks collected two firsts, two seconds, a fifth and three gamers (Noah Fant, Shelby Harris, Drew Lock) for Wilson
3. The Colts landed a second-round choose, a 3rd and both a 2023 second or third for Wentz
4. The Falcons recouped this yr’s No. 82 general choose for Ryan
5. The Browns managed a 2024 fourth- or fifth-rounder for Mayfield

Following the Ryan commerce, the Falcons regrouped with Marcus Mariota. The Saints then retained Jameis Winston, whom the Colts mentioned a take care of throughout their 12-day interval between Wentz and Ryan. Simply as they did after releasing Manning in 2012 (resulting in Luck at No. 1 general) and letting Brissett stroll in 2020 (resulting in Rivers), the Colts regrouped nicely. Contemplating what has occurred in Denver and Washington in recent times, Indianapolis has loved luck in filling its QB1 gig.

The Colts are already keen to decide to Ryan for 2 seasons, regardless of the previous MVP getting into his age-37 marketing campaign. How Ryan fares this season will decide how shortly Indianapolis wants to think about making a big draft funding on the place — one it has frequently addressed with stopgap measures post-Luck.

Reich has raved about Ryan’s preliminary Indy offseason, however the 2016 MVP/Tremendous Bowl LI starter has gone 5 years with out even making the Professional Bowl as an alternate. Maybe exposing some flaws in ESPN’s Complete QBR metric, Wentz (ninth) ranked 12 spots forward of Ryan in 2021. Ryan, nevertheless, ranked sixteenth (2020), 14th (2019) and ninth (2018) within the earlier three years. The Falcons additionally saddled their growing older, motionless passer with one of many NFL’s worst offensive strains and, after Calvin Ridley‘s early-season departure, had misplaced each their gifted receiver starters (Ridley and Julio Jones) in 4 months. Final season in all probability shouldn’t be used as a major gauge on Ryan, who has confirmed sturdy (one profession missed sport) and above-average passer all through his profession.

The Colts will outfit the regular signal-caller with an offensive line that includes three high-end blockers (Quenton Nelson, Ryan Kelly, Braden Smith) and a operating again (Jonathan Taylor) who received the 2021 dashing title by 552 yards — the most important hole since Chris Johnson led the league by 590 in 2009. Then once more, the Colts don’t precisely have many solutions at their talent positions past Michael Pittman Jr. However Reich coaxed a 27-to-7 landing pass-to-interception ratio from Wentz, a extra erratic passer in comparison with Ryan. Barring a notable talent diminishment, it must be a superb guess Ryan can higher complement the Colts’ well-rounded roster. Although, one other huge receiver addition actually would assist.

Though the Colts ranked eighth in 2021 defensive DVOA, no participant recorded greater than seven sacks. No defensive finish at the moment on Indy’s roster registered greater than Kwity Paye‘s 4. The Colts opted to not change Justin Houston with a veteran final season, however they neatly reversed course right here a yr later. Ngakoue will staff with Gus Bradley in a 3rd metropolis, after the 2 labored collectively in Jacksonville and Las Vegas, and supply the Colts with a confirmed edge rusher.

Positioning themselves because the beneficiary of the Raiders changing Ngakoue, 27, with a 32-year-old Chandler Jones, the Colts have a prime-years edge rusher with 5 seasons of no less than eight sacks on his resume. Ngakoue (10 2021 sacks) tied for sixteenth (with Jones) with 36 QB pressures final season, when he ranked 14th with 12 QB knockdowns. Ngakoue’s 47.5 sacks since 2017 are tied for sixth within the NFL.

His presence alongside DeForest Buckner will profit Paye and 2021 second-rounder Dayo Odeyingbo, with the seventh-year veteran’s scheme familiarity being an added bonus on this equation. Given Ngakoue’s match with Bradley, it could not shock if the Colts entered extension talks. One season, on a $13MM cap quantity, stays on former third-rounder’s Raiders-constructed deal.

Huge on extending their very own beneath Ballard, the Colts punted on a Ya-Sin re-up. Regardless of taking up extra money by buying and selling a rookie deal for a veteran contract, the Colts added a scheme match and a extra constant defender. Ya-Sin may even price extra in 2023, because the Raiders now have the previous second-rounder in a contract yr. Touchdown Ngakoue right here is healthier than a mere 2024 compensatory choose, although Ya-Sin’s departure compelled the Colts to start out over at outdoors cornerback.

Notable signings:

• Stephon Gilmore, CB. Two years, $20MM. $9.51MM assured.
• Mo Alie-Cox, TE. Three years, $17.55MM. $8.2MM assured.
• Matt Pryor, OL. One yr, $5.55MM. $5.29MM assured.
• Zaire Franklin, LB. Three years, $10MM. $4MM assured.
• Nick Foles, QB. Two years, $6.2MM. $3.1MM assured.
• Rodney McLeod, S. One yr, $1.77MM. $1.77MM assured.
• Brandon Facyson, CB. One yr, $3.84MM. $1.1MM assured.
• Tyquan Lewis, DL. One yr, $2.55MM. $1MM assured.
• Armani Watts, S. One yr, $1.19MM. $403K assured.
• Dennis Kelly, T. One yr, $1.27MM. $75K assured.
• Phillip Lindsay, RB. One yr, $1.14MM. $25K assured.
• Ifeadi Odenigbo, DE. One yr, $1MM.
• Ty’Son Williams, RB. One yr, $825K.

Shifting on from each their beginning outdoors cornerbacks from final yr — Ya-Sin and Xavier Rhodes — the Colts will guess on Gilmore having no less than yet another high quality season in him. Indianapolis’ Gilmore contract was out of step with what different 30-something corners Patrick Peterson and Casey Hayward obtained in free company, however the former Patriots stopper isn’t too far faraway from authoring one of the vital dominant seasons in fashionable cornerback historical past. Since Gilmore’s 2019 Defensive Participant of the 12 months marketing campaign (six INTs, 44.1 passer score because the closest defender), nevertheless, he missed 12 video games due to a quad damage. Whereas Gilmore performed solely 304 defensive snaps with the Panthers final season (two INTs, 78.6 passer score allowed), Professional Soccer Focus rated him simply outdoors the highest 10 on the place.

Gilmore performed out the five-year, $65MM deal he signed with the Patriots in 2017 and elevated his profile significantly on that contract. The Patriots signed off on a 2020 elevate as nicely. However Gilmore, like Chandler Jones, did miss out on becoming a member of his friends atop the market whereas he excelled on what grew to become a team-friendly accord.

This Colts payday is available in nicely under the place Gilmore, who expressed dissatisfaction together with his contract through the 2020 and ’21 offseasons, sought to be. Gilmore’s path illustrates the chance of signing long-term offers, however whereas the Eleventh-year defender was unable to climb to the Jalen Ramsey earnings tier, the Colts assure bumps him previous $90MM in profession earnings. Not too unhealthy. Indianapolis was in a position to revive Rhodes’ worth, however with each he and Ya-Sin gone, the staff is relying on Gilmore (32 in September) to stay an upper-echelon participant.

Like Ngakoue, Facyson, 27, will be a part of Bradley in a 3rd metropolis. The previous Chargers and Raiders nook began 9 video games with Las Vegas final yr however made simply 4 begins over the earlier three seasons. The Colts will ask both Facyson, a former UDFA, or 2020 sixth-rounder Isaiah Rodgers to start out alongside Gilmore. No matter who wins this battle, the Colts’ CB2 spot will characteristic much less expertise. Whereas Professional Bowl slot man Kenny Moore anchors Indianapolis’ nook crew, Gilmore staying wholesome seems paramount to the staff’s 2022 defensive success.

That is Alie-Cox’s second contract, however the ex-VCU basketball participant is already going into his age-29 season. The previous UDFA did nicely to gather some coin whereas in his 20s. With Jack Doyle gone, the Colts breaking in a rookie (Jelani Woods) and their auxiliary receiving state of affairs once more inviting questions, the hoops convert figures to be an enormous a part of the staff’s first Ryan-centered aerial assault. The 6-foot-5 go catcher has missed only one sport over the previous three seasons, and though Alie-Cox’s subsequent 400-yard season will likely be his first, he gives Ryan a pleasant crimson zone goal.

Ryan doesn’t seem liable to being benched, however Reich and Foles have a slightly notable historical past. The fifth-year Colts HC mentioned he wished to herald the previous Tremendous Bowl MVP in earlier offseasons, however this one lastly introduced a chance to take action on a budget. Foles, 33, has by no means sustained high quality play outdoors of Philadelphia, and the Bears stored him on ice (one 2021 begin) throughout his second Chicago season. If nothing else, Foles brings a significant enchancment on Sam Ehlinger at QB2. The Colts have their finest QB room since Reich’s first season, when Brissett backed up Luck.

Taylor turns into extension-eligible in 2023. It seems seemingly the Colts will look to offer the ascending again a second contract. In an effort to maintain Taylor’s mileage affordable, the Colts ought to look to Lindsay, who was obtainable for barely the veteran minimal regardless of having two 1,000-yard seasons on his resume. The NFL’s solely UDFA to start a profession with back-to-back 1,000-yard dashing seasons, Lindsay discovered himself marginalized after the Broncos overpaid Melvin Gordon in 2020. Since, the explosive again has seen his inventory dip. Having logged simply 206 carries over the previous two years, the ex-Texans and Dolphins runner gives the safety in opposition to Taylor overuse. After all, Nyheim Hines‘ presence additionally spells Taylor.

McLeod, 32, has a route to a different Week 1 beginning position. When the Colts signed him, Khari Willis remained within the image alongside Julian Blackmon. With Willis now retired and Blackmon ending up Achilles rehab, McLeod abruptly turns into an necessary piece for Indianapolis. A six-year Eagles starter, McLeod has made 123 profession begins. Whereas the Eagles struggled in protection for a lot of final season, PFF graded McLeod as a middle-of-the-pack security — largely on the again of his run assist.

Notable losses:

• Matthew Adams, LB
• Jahleel Addae, S
• Michael Badgley, Ok
• Julie’n Davenport, T
• Jack Doyle, TE (retired)
• Eric Fisher, T
• Mark Glowinski, G
• Marlon Mack, RB
• Al-Quadin Muhammad, DL
• George Odum, S
• Zach Pascal, WR
• Chris Reed, G
• Xavier Rhodes, CB
• Isaac Rochell, DL
• Andrew Sendejo, S
• Taylor Stallworth, DT
• Kemoko Turay, DE
• Khari Willis, S (retired)
• Antwaun Woods, DT

Stepping in after the Colts let Coby Fleener stroll in free company again in 2016, Doyle wrapped a nine-year profession this offseason. In his age-31 season, the two-time Professional Bowl alternate nonetheless supplied appreciable worth. Whereas Doyle ceded a few of his receiving position to Alie-Cox, he graded as PFF’s No. 4 run-blocking tight finish. That supplied a lift for Taylor’s breakthrough season. Doyle solely totaled 500-plus-yard seasons in 2016 and ’17 however was a relentless for the staff on the place for practically a decade, together with his profession coinciding with the Colts forming one of many NFL’s simplest dashing assaults.

Doyle’s departure magnifies a sudden problem up entrance for a Colts staff that has loved front-five (feat. Doyle) continuity for years. Glowinski signed with the Giants, abandoning his submit because the Colts’ four-year proper guard, and Fisher isn’t anticipated again.

Glowinski isn’t near Nelson’s degree, however the Colts had the ex-Seahawks draftee on a midlevel contract. With a Nelson extension looming, the Colts have been unwilling to do one other midlevel deal forward of Glowinski’s age-30 season. However the drop-off is perhaps price monitoring right here. Danny Pinter is anticipated to exchange Glowinski. Filling in at heart and guard final season, Pinter confirmed some promise — significantly within the run sport. However transitioning from a participant with 74 profession begins to a former fifth-rounder with 4 will likely be a transition — one made extra necessary by prior guard backup Reed becoming a member of the Vikings.

Mack’s September 2020 Achilles damage altered his profession. A multiyear starter, Mack was on monitor to affix his 2017 operating again classmates in receiving some second-contract dough. Taylor arriving in Mack’s contract yr made a long-term Indianapolis keep unlikely, however Mack in all probability would have cashed in — maybe within the Chris Carson vary (two years, $10.4MM) — if he had made it to the 2021 market wholesome. As a substitute, the Colts stored Mack on a one-year, $2MM pact and barely used him. After the Colts vowed to work with Mack on a commerce, nothing transpired earlier than the deadline. The previous fourth-round choose escaped the damage and tear over the previous two years (32 carries), however he once more settled for a one-year, $2MM contract — with the Texans.

His completion proportion and passer score allowed figures rising after a bounce-back 2020, Rhodes stays a free agent. The Colts swapped out one 32-year-old nook for one more, although the staff’s depth could not rule out one other veteran coming in. Rhodes, Joe Haden, Jackrabbit Jenkins and Kevin King are the highest outdoors cowl males obtainable.

Though Pascal performed a supporting position on Pittman- and T.Y. Hilton-led receiving cadres, the UDFA out of Outdated Dominion began 44 video games as a Colt. With Hilton and Parris Campbell regularly unavailable, Pascal grew to become a obligatory common, working with the staff’s bevy of quarterbacks. The possession receiver put collectively back-to-back 600-yard seasons, from 2019-20, however selected to reunite with Nick Sirianni in Philadelphia this offseason. With Hilton not again within the fold, the Colts are at the moment relying on Campbell (34 missed video games in three seasons) to justify his second-round standing, in the end.

Paye and Odeyingbo are Indianapolis’ newest prime defensive finish investments, however Muhammad (six sacks) and Turay (5.5) led the best way in manufacturing on the spot final season. Underneath Ballard, the Colts have used 4 second-round picks on edge rushers. It’s nonetheless early for Odeyingbo, however so far, these picks haven’t led to a lot starter-caliber work.

The 49ers pried Turay away for simply $1.7MM. The Colts have fortified their roster beneath Ballard in Spherical 2 (Smith, Pittman, Taylor, Darius Leonard), however they’ve run into points staffing their edge spots. These troubles made ex-waiver declare Muhammad (17 2021 begins) a crucial presence. He rejoined Matt Eberflus in Chicago. Tyquan Lewis is again, post-Achilles tear, however has simply 8.5 sacks in 4 seasons. Ben Banogu is now on the staff’s roster bubble.

Draft picks:

Regardless of being chosen outdoors the highest 50, amid a run of late-second-round receiver picks, Pierce may have so much on his shoulders. Campbell’s well being points make him a wild card, and even when Hilton does return, he has battled accidents for a number of seasons (15 missed video games since 2019) and can flip 33 this fall. The third-leading receiver in franchise historical past would assist Ryan’s trigger, however the Colts might have Pierce to be their No. 2 wideout regardless.

Pierce pairing a 6-3 body with a 4.41-second 40-yard sprint time provides intrigue, and he averaged north of 17 yards per reception in every of his three Cincinnati seasons. The Bearcats’ lead goal topped out at 884 yards on the American Athletic Convention program, getting there in 2021 to assist the staff break the Group of 5 playoff barrier. Pierce’s arrival offers the Colts two big-bodied wideouts, and whereas Campbell enhances the duo nicely, it could make sense if the staff added one other veteran to each shield in opposition to one other Campbell setback and/or Pierce acclimation difficulties.

The Colts rostering a top-flight tight finish would assist reduce considerations about their pass-catching state of affairs, however the staff will go together with Alie-Cox, Woods and 2021 fourth-rounder Kylen Granson on the place. Woods was the second tight finish off this yr’s board, and at 6-7, he and Alie-Cox will give Ryan huge catch radiuses. Woods broke via after leaving Oklahoma State for Virginia in 2021, going for 598 yards and eight touchdowns to emerge out of nowhere on the Day 2 radar. Breaking in alongside Alie-Cox, at a notoriously tough place for rookies — Pitts’ outlier yr with Ryan however — ought to present a greater NFL onramp for Woods.

Raimann and Cross might be starters earlier. The Colts will give the previous a shot to unseat Pryor, who’s favored to be the staff’s Week 1 left sort out. Entrusting a participant given stopgap cash ($5.5MM) or a third-round rookie to defending Ryan represents a threat, after the Colts had Anthony Castonzo play the place for 10 years and Fisher work as a veteran bridge. PFF ranked Pryor simply outdoors the highest 25 at sort out final yr, although he labored as a swing backup. Ex-Pryor Eagle teammate McLeod figures to open the season as Willis’ successor. However the Colts parted with a notable commerce bundle (a fifth-rounder and a 2022 third) to maneuver up for Cross. If the ex-Terrapin isn’t beginning alongside Julian Blackmon by Week 1 2023, one thing has gone flawed.

Extensions and restructures:

Different:

Employed through the transient window by which Josh McDaniels was assembling a Colts employees, Eberflus labored nicely as a Reich right-hand man. The Colts stockpiled expertise on all three ranges, and Eberflus’ 4-3 defenses ranked within the prime 10 thrice throughout his 4 seasons. A Dodds-Eberflus Chicago tandem would have made sense, however the veteran exec will keep on as Ballard’s prime lieutenant, a task he has been in since arriving in 2017.

In Bradley, Indianapolis has a extra skilled defensive coordinator — albeit one with much less momentum. Bradley, 56, has been a DC or head coach in each season since 2009, bouncing from Seattle to Jacksonville to Los Angeles to Las Vegas. Pete Carroll stored Bradley on after taking on as Seahawks HC in 2010, and Chargers and Raiders bounce-back seasons occurred with Bradley main these respective defenses. The Raiders ranked seventeenth in defensive DVOA final season, however Bradley will inherit higher troops in Indianapolis.

Hooked up to a fifth-year choice wage presently, Nelson is not going to solely command a guard-record extension. He may set up a gulf between himself and the sphere. Brandon Scherff‘s $16.5MM-per-year deal tops all guards at the moment. Contemplating Nelson is the one offensive lineman since 1970 to start out his profession with three first-team All-Professional nods and is simply going into his age-26 season, a deal at or north of $20MM each year is affordable — particularly with the wage cap again heading in the right direction after its 2021 discount.

The Colts prolonged Kelly and Smith within the summers earlier than their respective contract seasons. It will shock if the staff — which frequently hoards cap area, for extension-planning functions, slightly than divvying out large cash to free brokers — let the most important fish of the Ballard period attain the franchise tag precipice.

Prime 10 cap costs for 2022:

1. Matt Ryan, QB: $18.71MM
2. DeForest Buckner, DT: $16MM
3. Quenton Nelson, G: $13.75MM
4. Yannick Ngakoue, DE: $13MM
5. Braden Smith, T: $11.57MM
6. Darius Leonard, LB: $11.17MM
7. Grover Stewart, DT: $10.63MM
8. Ryan Kelly, C: $9.75MM
9. Stephon Gilmore, CB: $7.75MM
10. Kenny Moore, CB: $6.75MM

The staff’s Nelson-Leonard-Moore-Buckner core has helped safe playoff entry, however quarterback instability has largely restricted this group. And the 2023 offseason will carry conversations about large raises for Pittman and Taylor. With each Indy’s prime talent gamers on rookie contracts, 2022 represents a chance for a franchise that has steadily constructed a strong roster beneath Ballard. That roster offers the Colts one of many NFL’s highest flooring, however a convention with a number of established powers noticed different groups make important offseason enhancements.

Indianapolis has a robust sufficient staff to problem nearly any AFCer, although this can clearly rely on how a lot Ryan has left. Reich elevated each Rivers and Wentz over the previous two seasons. Reich doing the identical for Ryan will additional crowd the AFC’s contender contingent.