NFL player props: Colts’ Michael Pittman Jr. shows it’s better to receive than give vs. Chargers

The Los Angeles Chargers can clinch their first playoff berth in 4 years with a win over the Indianapolis Colts on Monday night time. All that is standing of their manner is a pair of backup operating backs, a quarterback who’s began one sport up to now two seasons, and a head coach that was a speaking head on ESPN a pair months in the past. It looks as if a simple sufficient job for the 4-point favorites, however the Chargers franchise has a historical past of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. If you happen to’re unfamiliar, simply search “Chargers gonna charge” on Twitter. Listed below are three participant props on BetMGM I like in tonight’s sport:

Everett has been focused on the sphere this season almost as a lot as a sure social media NFL analyst has been focused on-line after saying Tua Tagovailoa is best than Justin Herbert. The Chargers tight finish is averaging 6.1 targets per sport, and that quantity has stayed constant even with Mike Williams and Keenan Allen again within the lineup. Los Angeles passes on the second-highest charge (66.7%), however they are not pushing the ball vertically beneath offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi. This play-calling has led to Everett cashing this prop in every of his final 4 video games and in seven of his final eight.

Zack Moss over 52.5 dashing yards (-110)

Moss outcarried backfield mate Deon Jackson 24-13 in final week’s historic loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Jackson did not see a single alternative within the final 13 minutes of the sport after coughing up a fumble with 3:23 remaining in regulation. Los Angeles permits the second-most dashing yards per sport to operating backs (128.2) and essentially the most yards per carry to the place (5.5). Colts interim head coach Jeff Saturday is old-school in his dedication to a balanced offense. In his 5 outings as momentary skipper, Indianapolis is averaging 30.8 dashing makes an attempt per sport and has run the ball a minimum of 25 instances in every contest. A dozen or so carries ought to money this prop for Moss.

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Michael Pittman Jr. over 5.5 receptions (-120)

It is but to be decided which Nick Foles will present up in his new beginning function for the Colts. Will or not it’s Tremendous Bowl MVP Nick Foles? Unlikely. All that issues to us is that Foles has a historical past of focusing on his finest pass-catchers. For Indianapolis, that is Pittman, by roughly the variety of miles it takes to complete the Indy 500. The Chargers protection ranks twentieth in dropback EPA, whereas Pittman has gone over this quantity in 4 of his final 5 video games and in seven of his final 9.

Stats supplied by Professional Soccer Reference, CBS Sports activities, and rbsdm.com (rubbish time eliminated).