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Fantasy Football Make or Break: Can you still trust the Indianapolis Colts defense in Week 16?

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Fantasy Football Make or Break: Can you still trust the Indianapolis Colts defense in Week 16?


Jerome Ford is set to lead the Browns’ backfield, but he just lost Jameis Winston as his QB. Is Ford still a fantasy football lock this week? (Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images)

We’re getting close to Christmas, and I’m feeling a little traditional, so I decided to give you a list of make-or-break players at every position this week, including defense. A stocking stuffer at each position!

‘Tis the season for fantasy miracles and potential boom weeks that can carry you into your fantasy championship!

We don’t traditionally think of him this way, but Stafford is fairly boom-or-bust by nature. It’s easy to miss because he’s an elite quarterback. However, Stafford’s lack of mobility means that to “make” your fantasy lineup, he either needs 300+ yards or a couple of touchdowns. If he throws an interception, can’t break 250 yards or manages just one touchdown, you’re likely getting a low-end QB2 or worse. Stafford has had three games this season finishing as QB30 or lower.

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The Rams offense is either clicking on all cylinders or struggling. There’s typically no in-between, hence their constant jostling in the NFC West. The last time we saw Stafford was in a messy, rainy Thursday night game against the 49ers. Stafford had just 16 completions for 160 yards and no touchdowns in a game where Cooper Kupp didn’t catch a single pass. To be fair, conditions weren’t ideal, and both quarterbacks struggled significantly.

We’re due for a Matt Stafford boom game, and at first glance, a matchup against the New York Jets seems like a less-than-ideal scenario. However, the Jets defense has been in a tailspin since the firing of Robert Saleh. They’ve allowed strong performances to Mac Jones, Tua Tagovailoa, Anthony Richardson, Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson.

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On a positive note, Aaron Rodgers is on a bit of a hot streak, meaning he should be able to take advantage of an inconsistent Rams defense and push this into a high-volume, back-and-forth game with one of the highest point totals of the week. The only concern is that the game is in New York, which brings potential weather implications. As of now, the forecast is simply cold, with no inclement weather expected, so Stafford should have no issues.

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With Nick Chubb out for the season, Ford is the next man up. I discussed Ford in this week’s Pulse Check, recapping his Week 15 performance and potential moving forward. Ford had a strong showing — the best Cleveland has seen in a while — as Chubb had been struggling on the ground and relying on touchdowns. Ford posted 84 rushing yards and a touchdown, including an electric 62-yard run, plus a couple of receptions.

Ideally, I’d like a week to see Ford in a clear lead-back role — especially given Kevin Stefanski’s lack of commitment earlier in the season — and evaluate how this offense operates with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. Unfortunately, we don’t have the luxury of time. It’s Week 16, and we’re all in must-win scenarios. With a variety of injuries and underwhelming performances from running backs across the league, many fantasy managers might be considering Ford as a potential starter this week.

While there are plenty of unknowns heading into this matchup, one thing is certain: Cincinnati’s defense is a complete mess. Running backs have had notable success against them in recent weeks, so we can take a leap of faith that Ford will provide at least a low-end RB2 floor. It’s also worth noting that Ford has decent receiving upside, a critical factor when facing the Bengals. Backs like Tyjae Spears, Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren all thrived against them through receptions.

Heading into the season, you could’ve given me 1,000 guesses, and I would never have thought DK Metcalf would be a player I’d view as a make-or-break candidate. Unfortunately, since his return from injury, he’s failed to crack the top 30 at receiver and has hit double-digit fantasy points just once. To be fair, this hasn’t been an easy stretch of matchups, but the bigger problem is that while Metcalf is struggling, Jackson Smith-Njigba has essentially taken over as the WR1.

After Smith-Njigba’s breakout performance in Week 9 against the Rams, he has been the complete opposite of Metcalf. Smith-Njigba has posted at least 10 fantasy points in every game since Metcalf’s return, never finishing lower than WR34. Five games is enough of a sample size to suggest we may be witnessing a changing of the guard and a shift in offensive philosophy, leaving Metcalf as the secondary option in an inconsistent offense.

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In the past, Geno Smith hasn’t had an issue supplying volume to multiple receivers. However, during this stretch, Smith has failed to exceed 250 passing yards or throw multiple touchdowns in a game. There simply isn’t enough volume to go around, and Metcalf is the one suffering.

Looking at the Week 16 matchup against Minnesota, there are a couple of ways this could play out. Minnesota’s defense has been stout this year, but they do allow volume. While quarterbacks are less than ideal plays against the Vikings, wide receivers can still thrive. Although Metcalf has had a shaky floor, I think he leans more toward hitting double-digit fantasy points this week, making him less of a bust risk based purely on volume and potential game flow.

Ferguson returned from injury, and while Luke Schoonmaker did an admirable job in his absence, Ferguson is clearly the TE1 in Dallas. Unfortunately, holding that title hasn’t translated into production. Since his strong Week 9 game against Atlanta, Ferguson has gone from a fairly reliable TE1 option to failing to finish inside the top 20 at the position.

It’s likely not a coincidence that Week 9 was the last time we saw Dak Prescott under center. It’s possible Cooper Rush and Ferguson simply don’t mesh. The bigger issue, however, is Rush’s lower passing volume compared to Prescott and Dallas’ fairly average target distribution to tight ends. Low volume plus average distribution equals a middling TE2.

Ferguson has repeatedly dropped in my rankings, but this week he gets a slight boost, thanks to a favorable matchup against Tampa Bay. Tampa has consistently been one of the most generous defenses to passing attacks, including tight ends. It’s allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to the position this season.

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That said, we still need to be cautious. Even in excellent matchups like Cincinnati and Carolina, the Cowboys haven’t pushed significant volume with Rush at quarterback. While a high-volume game for Ferguson is unlikely, a touchdown and favorable game flow make him a viable option this week.

We’ve got a special treat this week: for the first time, I’m including a defense in this article!

With so many shaky backup quarterbacks thrust into starting roles across the league, several intriguing streaming defenses have emerged as top-12 options. Fantasy managers face some tough choices in Week 16: do you rely on a traditionally strong defense like Kansas City, facing a Houston offense that’s inconsistent but capable of explosive play? Or do you take a risk on a lesser-regarded defense with an excellent matchup against a turnover-prone quarterback?

The Indianapolis defense has been a mixed bag. They’ve allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks but the 10th-fewest to wide receivers. Against running backs, they’ve given up the eighth-most fantasy points, though Joe Mixon accounted for much of that damage, and they’ve faced overall strong backfields. While I expect Tony Pollard to take advantage of this matchup if he’s active, the damage he does on the ground won’t be enough to negate the potential for multiple turnovers by Mason Rudolph.

Ideally, we’d love to see Will Levis in this spot, but Rudolph will suffice. Rudolph has thrown at least one interception in every game he’s started this season, totaling five interceptions to just six touchdowns. In only three starts and two partial games, he’s also fumbled four times. Fantasy managers looking for high-upside streaming defenses with the potential to generate turnovers — and maybe even a glorious pick-six — should look to Indianapolis this week.

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Indianapolis, IN

Indianapolis Colts build new playground for Butler Lab School 60

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Indianapolis Colts build new playground for Butler Lab School 60


INDIANAPOLIS (WISH) — The Indianapolis Colts organization was at it again on Community Tuesday.

Some Indianapolis Public School students have a new playground, all thanks to the Colts.

Until Tuesday, students at Butler Lab School 60 on North Pennsylvania Street didn’t have a great place to play. Assistant Principal Heidi Wilson said, “Our playground has been put together piecemeal over the years.”

Ande Sadtler, director of community impact for the Colts, explained how its playground program works. “We find a playground that either is falling apart of doesn’t have the newest equipment or just really needs some love. So, we work really hard to identify the need, and then we come in and build the playground.”

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The Colts organization reached out to the elementary school and surprised students this week with the exciting news. The assistant principal said, “Once they (students) found out, it (excitement) was through the roof. We actually created a viewing room on the third floor where they have little mini binoculars so they can look out and check out the progress.”

More than 150 volunteers including staff, partners, players and cheerleaders helped build students a playground from the ground up, working with the experts at Sinclair Recreation. Sadtler said, “We’re going to have swings, we’re going to have slides, we’re going to have a climbing wall, so a little bit of everything.”

It was the Colts’ 17th annual playground build.

Wilson said, “I think we’re so lucky to have the Colts organization choose us to receive this playground. The kids are going to like it.”

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Indianapolis, IN

Broncos penalty gives Colts second chance, win

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Broncos penalty gives Colts second chance, win


INDIANAPOLIS — The end of Sunday’s Broncos-Colts game featured the full spectrum of emotions: confusion, heartbreak, reprieve, frustration and, ultimately, elation for the home team.

The Colts snagged a 29-28 victory after kicker Spencer Shrader converted a 45-yard field goal with no time remaining, but only after badly missing a 60-yard attempt that was negated by a Denver personal foul moments earlier.

After coach Shane Steichen confoundingly took a conservative approach to his team’s final possession — the Colts never attempted a pass after crossing midfield, and they let the clock run down while at the Denver 40-yard line — Indianapolis lined up for the long field goal try. It would have easily been the longest of Shrader’s short career, but the second-year player wasn’t close, the kick sailing wide right and coming up well short.

But Broncos outside linebacker Dondrea Tillman was called for a leverage penalty on the play when he appeared to use his left arm to leap over Colts guard Dalton Tucker. The penalty advanced the ball 15 yards and gave the Colts an untimed final play. Shrader regrouped and hit the winner from 45 yards, dealing a gut punch to the Broncos (1-1).

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“He was trying to make a play to help this team win a game,” Denver linebacker Nik Bonitto said.

Added Tillman: “I was just going for the ball … just trying to make a play.”

Referee Craig Wrolstad told a pool reporter after the game: “As a defender, you’re not allowed to place your hand on an opponent or a teammate and push off to propel yourself into the air to block a kick. In this case, No. 92 came across the line to the right guard, and he put his hands on the right guard and pushed off him to elevate himself in the air in order to try to block the kick. You’re not allowed to do that.”

For Shrader, it was an emotional final sequence. He said he was confident before the first attempt but explained that he felt pressure from his right side from Broncos cornerback Pat Surtain, which disrupted his follow-through.

“I felt that disappointment right after the kick,” said Shrader, who had never attempted a field goal beyond 50 yards in the NFL. “I kind of got hit after the play, so there was a lot of chaos going on. I saw the flag was thrown and then it was like, ‘Reset your mentality. You’re getting another opportunity. Whatever happened in the past, you’ve just got to flush it.’”

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Shrader’s second kick split the uprights with plenty of distance. He was immediately engulfed by his teammates, and the celebration was on.

The Colts, now 2-0 for the first time since 2009, survived after Steichen’s questionable offensive playcalling in the final minutes. They converted a third-and-6 with 1:50 remaining, with quarterback Daniel Jones hitting Alec Pierce for a 7-yard gain to the Denver 43. From there, the Colts ran the ball three times with Jonathan Taylor, including up the middle on third-and-7 from the 40. Taylor, who rushed for 165 yards total, was stuffed on the play, losing 2 yards. That made for an even longer attempt by Shrader.

After a second-down run, Steichen let the clock elapse to 17 seconds before calling a timeout, making it clear the Colts had no intention of trying to achieve a first down.

“We were in field goal range there,” Steichen said. “Felt good about it. And then on that third down, obviously, we went backwards there on that one. But, yeah, that’s football sometimes. Obviously, we got the penalty that helped us out and found a way to win.”

Steichen never elaborated on why he felt comfortable attempting such a long kick. But he did clarify that he decided to let the clock elapse because he was hoping to avoid having to kick off to the Broncos after a potential field goal.

It all made for some uneasy moments, even on the Indianapolis sideline.

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“I just thought we would throw it at least one time,” Colts tight end Mo Alie-Cox said.

“You don’t want to take a short sack, either. We talk about these situations all the time. But the football gods were with us today.”

ESPN’s Jeff Legwold contributed to this report.



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Indianapolis, IN

After years of disuse, St. Peter Claver Center to reopen with food bank, after-school care

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After years of disuse, St. Peter Claver Center to reopen with food bank, after-school care


Nearly 50 years after it was dedicated as the St. Peter Claver Center, the once-thriving Near Northside building is getting a new lease on life.

Community members, including Trinity Church pastor Kim McCrackin and Marion County Recorder Faith Kimbrough, gathered outside the storied event space at 3110 Sutherland Ave. on a gray afternoon Sept. 13 to publicly commemorate the church’s plans to remodel and reopen the community center as the Trinity Youth and Family Services Center.

From beneath the drumbeat of heavy rain on umbrellas, McCrackin reminisced about the place where she would come to sing, dance and be among friends as a teenager.

“When you came here, baby, you dressed up,” she said.

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The St. Peter Claver Center began in 1978 as a meeting space for the Knights and Ladies of St. Peter Claver, the nation’s oldest predominantly Black fraternal organization. For nearly 20 years, the space hosted meetings, dances, fashion shows, banquets, even speaking engagements from the likes Maya Angelou. But after the roughly 25,000-square-foot venue changed hands a few times in the 1990s, including its most recent stint as the Omega Events Center from 1998 to the early 2000s, the building fell into disrepair.

McCrackin, an Indy native who has been a pastor for about 25 years, said she spent nearly three months in 2014 tracking down the Omega Center’s owners in the hopes of purchasing it.

She then established the Indianapolis branch of the predominantly Black, Florida-based Trinity Youth and Family Services, holding church services out of a small auxiliary building on the center’s property while steadily making repairs to the main structure.

There remains much work to be done. McCrackin said Trinity had to essentially gut the building after buying it. Graffiti pocks the exterior brick walls and there is substantial damage to the roof. A sign out front reading “St. Peter Claver Center” has been nearly bent in half. The pastor estimates that in order to completely renovate the building, Trinity will need to raise around $1.5 million.

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The ambitious project already has buy-in from Trinity congregant and lifelong Indy resident Brigitte Winters, who remembers coming to the St. Peter Claver Center in her 20s with her friends for dances where beloved local DJ Thomas “Sparkle Soxx” Griffin would spin records deep into the night.

“It was so fly back in the day,” Winters said.

Longtime Indy resident Bessie Manning would frequent the center with other kids from her church, often waiting in a line of cars to get dropped off. She and her husband, George, mourned the loss of a community staple when the backgammon nights and fashion shows stopped, leading to years of neglect.

“I hate that it went downhill,” Bessie said. “If they can get it fixed up, it’ll be real nice.”

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With the money Trinity hopes to receive from community donations and grants, McCrackin plans to revive the center with various functions including a food pantry, after-school programs, a playground, a fellowship area and an event space to be rented for different community celebrations, weddings and funerals. If possible, she intends to rent buses to transport food to lower-income residents who can’t come to the Trinity Center.

“We’re gonna go to them,” McCrackin said. “Somebody’s got to treat somebody right at some point.”

After the afternoon ceremony, during which Kimbrough presented McCrackin with the physical deed to the Sutherland Avenue property, the driving rain dried to a slow drip and the 20-some people present began forming a line to fill plates and clamshell boxes with chicken, ribs, goat, macaroni and cheese, salad and green beans.

Among the group was McCrackin’s mother, Doris, an Indy resident of 70 years who used to attend the Claver Center for dances, fashion shows and bingo nights. Doris hopes that under her daughter’s guidance, the community staple that once served them both can do the same for a new generation.

“There’s just so much going on, we just need to get people on the right track,” she said. “If you show them love, maybe you can bring them in.”

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Contact dining reporter Bradley Hohulin at bhohulin@indystar.com. You can follow him on Twitter/X @BradleyHohulin and stay up to date with Indy dining news by signing up for the Indylicious newsletter.



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