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Fantasy Football Make or Break: Can you still trust the Indianapolis Colts defense in Week 16?

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Fantasy Football Make or Break: Can you still trust the Indianapolis Colts defense in Week 16?


Jerome Ford is set to lead the Browns’ backfield, but he just lost Jameis Winston as his QB. Is Ford still a fantasy football lock this week? (Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images)

We’re getting close to Christmas, and I’m feeling a little traditional, so I decided to give you a list of make-or-break players at every position this week, including defense. A stocking stuffer at each position!

‘Tis the season for fantasy miracles and potential boom weeks that can carry you into your fantasy championship!

We don’t traditionally think of him this way, but Stafford is fairly boom-or-bust by nature. It’s easy to miss because he’s an elite quarterback. However, Stafford’s lack of mobility means that to “make” your fantasy lineup, he either needs 300+ yards or a couple of touchdowns. If he throws an interception, can’t break 250 yards or manages just one touchdown, you’re likely getting a low-end QB2 or worse. Stafford has had three games this season finishing as QB30 or lower.

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The Rams offense is either clicking on all cylinders or struggling. There’s typically no in-between, hence their constant jostling in the NFC West. The last time we saw Stafford was in a messy, rainy Thursday night game against the 49ers. Stafford had just 16 completions for 160 yards and no touchdowns in a game where Cooper Kupp didn’t catch a single pass. To be fair, conditions weren’t ideal, and both quarterbacks struggled significantly.

We’re due for a Matt Stafford boom game, and at first glance, a matchup against the New York Jets seems like a less-than-ideal scenario. However, the Jets defense has been in a tailspin since the firing of Robert Saleh. They’ve allowed strong performances to Mac Jones, Tua Tagovailoa, Anthony Richardson, Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson.

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On a positive note, Aaron Rodgers is on a bit of a hot streak, meaning he should be able to take advantage of an inconsistent Rams defense and push this into a high-volume, back-and-forth game with one of the highest point totals of the week. The only concern is that the game is in New York, which brings potential weather implications. As of now, the forecast is simply cold, with no inclement weather expected, so Stafford should have no issues.

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With Nick Chubb out for the season, Ford is the next man up. I discussed Ford in this week’s Pulse Check, recapping his Week 15 performance and potential moving forward. Ford had a strong showing — the best Cleveland has seen in a while — as Chubb had been struggling on the ground and relying on touchdowns. Ford posted 84 rushing yards and a touchdown, including an electric 62-yard run, plus a couple of receptions.

Ideally, I’d like a week to see Ford in a clear lead-back role — especially given Kevin Stefanski’s lack of commitment earlier in the season — and evaluate how this offense operates with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. Unfortunately, we don’t have the luxury of time. It’s Week 16, and we’re all in must-win scenarios. With a variety of injuries and underwhelming performances from running backs across the league, many fantasy managers might be considering Ford as a potential starter this week.

While there are plenty of unknowns heading into this matchup, one thing is certain: Cincinnati’s defense is a complete mess. Running backs have had notable success against them in recent weeks, so we can take a leap of faith that Ford will provide at least a low-end RB2 floor. It’s also worth noting that Ford has decent receiving upside, a critical factor when facing the Bengals. Backs like Tyjae Spears, Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren all thrived against them through receptions.

Heading into the season, you could’ve given me 1,000 guesses, and I would never have thought DK Metcalf would be a player I’d view as a make-or-break candidate. Unfortunately, since his return from injury, he’s failed to crack the top 30 at receiver and has hit double-digit fantasy points just once. To be fair, this hasn’t been an easy stretch of matchups, but the bigger problem is that while Metcalf is struggling, Jackson Smith-Njigba has essentially taken over as the WR1.

After Smith-Njigba’s breakout performance in Week 9 against the Rams, he has been the complete opposite of Metcalf. Smith-Njigba has posted at least 10 fantasy points in every game since Metcalf’s return, never finishing lower than WR34. Five games is enough of a sample size to suggest we may be witnessing a changing of the guard and a shift in offensive philosophy, leaving Metcalf as the secondary option in an inconsistent offense.

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In the past, Geno Smith hasn’t had an issue supplying volume to multiple receivers. However, during this stretch, Smith has failed to exceed 250 passing yards or throw multiple touchdowns in a game. There simply isn’t enough volume to go around, and Metcalf is the one suffering.

Looking at the Week 16 matchup against Minnesota, there are a couple of ways this could play out. Minnesota’s defense has been stout this year, but they do allow volume. While quarterbacks are less than ideal plays against the Vikings, wide receivers can still thrive. Although Metcalf has had a shaky floor, I think he leans more toward hitting double-digit fantasy points this week, making him less of a bust risk based purely on volume and potential game flow.

Ferguson returned from injury, and while Luke Schoonmaker did an admirable job in his absence, Ferguson is clearly the TE1 in Dallas. Unfortunately, holding that title hasn’t translated into production. Since his strong Week 9 game against Atlanta, Ferguson has gone from a fairly reliable TE1 option to failing to finish inside the top 20 at the position.

It’s likely not a coincidence that Week 9 was the last time we saw Dak Prescott under center. It’s possible Cooper Rush and Ferguson simply don’t mesh. The bigger issue, however, is Rush’s lower passing volume compared to Prescott and Dallas’ fairly average target distribution to tight ends. Low volume plus average distribution equals a middling TE2.

Ferguson has repeatedly dropped in my rankings, but this week he gets a slight boost, thanks to a favorable matchup against Tampa Bay. Tampa has consistently been one of the most generous defenses to passing attacks, including tight ends. It’s allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to the position this season.

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That said, we still need to be cautious. Even in excellent matchups like Cincinnati and Carolina, the Cowboys haven’t pushed significant volume with Rush at quarterback. While a high-volume game for Ferguson is unlikely, a touchdown and favorable game flow make him a viable option this week.

We’ve got a special treat this week: for the first time, I’m including a defense in this article!

With so many shaky backup quarterbacks thrust into starting roles across the league, several intriguing streaming defenses have emerged as top-12 options. Fantasy managers face some tough choices in Week 16: do you rely on a traditionally strong defense like Kansas City, facing a Houston offense that’s inconsistent but capable of explosive play? Or do you take a risk on a lesser-regarded defense with an excellent matchup against a turnover-prone quarterback?

The Indianapolis defense has been a mixed bag. They’ve allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks but the 10th-fewest to wide receivers. Against running backs, they’ve given up the eighth-most fantasy points, though Joe Mixon accounted for much of that damage, and they’ve faced overall strong backfields. While I expect Tony Pollard to take advantage of this matchup if he’s active, the damage he does on the ground won’t be enough to negate the potential for multiple turnovers by Mason Rudolph.

Ideally, we’d love to see Will Levis in this spot, but Rudolph will suffice. Rudolph has thrown at least one interception in every game he’s started this season, totaling five interceptions to just six touchdowns. In only three starts and two partial games, he’s also fumbled four times. Fantasy managers looking for high-upside streaming defenses with the potential to generate turnovers — and maybe even a glorious pick-six — should look to Indianapolis this week.

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More than 25% of downtown offices sit empty as north side booms

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More than 25% of downtown offices sit empty as north side booms


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Companies are increasingly looking north for space, a sign that employers still want in-person offices just not in the downtown high-rises that once drew business. The trend means downtown office space remains in high-supply and low-demand — unless, that is, the office space comes flush with amenities, the market shows.

The overall Indianapolis office market sat at 21.2% vacant at the end of 2025, a slight dip from earlier in the year but an improvement over the year before, according to research published in January by Colliers.

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The downtown office market vacancy rate, however, did not budge, remaining at 26%, signaling the challenges landlords face in drawing companies to move to or resign leases in the city’s urban core. Leasing on the north side of the city and Hamilton County largely buoyed the overall health of the Indianapolis metro office market, said Nick Svarczkopf, CBRE senior vice president of office and medical properties.

The reason is relatively simple, tenant representatives say: Companies downsized as employees work more hybrid hours and those who still want office space lean toward shared, untraditional layouts. Most downtown office space, especially in the largest office buildings, tends to be older, more old-fashioned workspaces dotted with cubicles and individual office walls.

The rare exception is Bottleworks, a development off the main strip of Mass Ave. The Hendricks Commercial Properties space is completely filled, with a fully pre-leased building in the pipeline.

In June, law firm Ice Miller signed an 85,000-square-foot lease in the Bottleworks Phase III under development off Mass Ave set to open in 2028. The contract became the largest downtown lease since 2019 and made the firm the largest tenant at the state-of-the-art Bottleworks campus.

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Bottleworks offers many of the features workplace real estate experts say employees in 2026 value most: fitness centers, walkable areas and close dining spots to grab lunch. Employers have taken note, paying premium rent to move into office space that has access to these more experiential options, said Rich Forslund, executive vice president at Colliers’ Indianapolis office.

“Downtown has some but the suburbs have quite a bit,” Forslund said. “So people are moving to those spots in order to try to draw folks back to the office.”

Companies put employee experience first

A stroll through the Indiana Members Credit Union’s new headquarters at 835 N. College Ave., part of Bottleworks, reveals all of those aforementioned amenities — plus an employee-only outdoor patio, a custom soda and sparkling water machine and a state-of-the-art golf simulator, saving the company time-consuming and costly bonding outings to Top Golf.

For IMCU employees, the new office represents a drastic change from their old headquarters on the south side that cobbled together several strip mall-like buildings and a surface parking lot into a corporate campus. Roughly 120 of the company’s 467 employees work at the Bottleworks office, where they are required to come at least four days a week. The remaining employees work at customer branches around the city.

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President and CEO John Newett said the credit union ran out of space at its south-side location, prompting the need for the company’s move at the start of the new year. To ensure that doesn’t happen again soon, IMCU built in space for additional workers in the new office and hopes the spot just off Mass. Ave. will attract younger employees looking for an up-and-coming place to work as well as draw new employees from other suburbs to the north and west.

Part of that strategy included finding as many “wow factors” in the new space as possible, Newett said.

“It’s a little more fun than the traditional office,” Newett said.

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Indy lags behind other major downtowns

Across the country, office vacancy is hovering around 20.5% as the U.S. market shows signs of stabilizing after years of growing vacancies following the pandemic. Yet statistics from cities across the nation show that Indianapolis is relatively unique with suburban areas outpacing dense downtown neighborhoods.

While Indianapolis’ downtown real estate market still struggles, other cities are leaning on downtown office space for new leases. Nationwide, downtown districts accounted for 42% of leasing activity in the final three months of the year, despite comprising just 35% of overall supply, CBRE reported. Leasing rose 8% year-over-year in 2025, while suburban activity fell 7% over the same period.

In Indianapolis, those numbers are much lower: Just 17% of leases during the same timeframe were located downtown.

The stats are not too worrisome to experts, as Indianapolis typically lags behind the bigger coastal markets, Forslund said. But Indianapolis will need to decide where it wants to go in the future, whether that means upgrading older buildings or converting more empty space to apartments and hotels.

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“I refer to it as we are still in our teenage years, trying to figure out what we want to be,” Forslund said.

Indy employers will have to get more creative, or less picky, in the near future as supply dries up on the booming north side market. For instance, Midtown Carmel sits virtually full. And just one commercial office building for rent is under construction in Hamilton County, the Union at Fishers District, a mixed-use development with luxury office space set to open in early 2027 next to IKEA.

Elsewhere around the area, companies are constructing build-to-own properties but those won’t be available to other companies looking for open space and workstations for their employees. Those projects include Republic Airways’ corporate headquarters expansion in Carmel, a Merchants Bank project in Carmel and Elanco’s new headquarters, which opened in October on the west side of Indianapolis.

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As building new office space has become more and more expensive, more landlords are choosing to reinvest in and upgrade their existing offices in a bid to make them more attractive, Svarczkopf said.

“Based on the way the market is right now, they have to upgrade in order to compete,” Svarczkopf said. “The ones that have been successful have gone through the process of reinvesting in the property.”

Even with upgrades, the competition will be hot. At Indiana Members Credit Union, employees have responded well to the new office, executives said. Many amenities, like indoor parking that is patrolled, are not available elsewhere downtown.

“It just answered a lot of the questions we had and the amenities we wanted to provide for our team,” Newett said.

Alysa Guffey writes business and development stories for IndyStar. Have a story tip? Contact her at amguffey@usatodayco.com.

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Noblesville man arrested, accused of rape of UIndy student in dorm room

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Noblesville man arrested, accused of rape of UIndy student in dorm room


INDIANAPOLIS (WISH) — A 21-year-old man was arrested and accused of raping a University of Indianapolis student on campus.

Police say the investigation began on Jan. 24 when University of Indianapolis Police received a call from a woman who said she believed she was drugged at a bar in downtown Indianapolis and then raped in her dorm room.

Court documents say she met Marwan Khalaf of Noblesville at the Metro Bar on Massachusetts Avenue and went back to her dorm room, where he repeatedly raped her. When she woke up one of the last times, he was gone.

According to court documents, she next went to shower and passed out again. She woke up in the shower at 7 a.m. Jan. 24 and called 911.

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The student told investigators she had gone out alone on Jan. 23 and took an Uber to a few bars downtown before arriving at the Metro Bar at 12:51 a.m. Jan. 24. Court documents state that’s where she met Khalaf and they danced together.

Court documents say the bar refused to serve the student a drink because she was already intoxicated when she arrived. Khalaf then bought her a shot and they asked her to leave. She says Khalaf left with her and offered to take her home.

The student says she recalls his car being “parked directly across the street from Metro.” According to UIPD Detective Jay Arnold, the student’s identification card was used to enter the dorm at 2:13 a.m.

In an interview with detectives, Khalaf admitted to being at the bar and kissing her, but denied having sexual contact with the student. He told detectives he took care of her because she was drunk and said he left the dorm when it became light outside because his mother was calling him.

Khalaf has been charged with two counts of rape and one count of sexual battery.

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We speak for ourselves in IPS-charter debate. Don’t dismiss us. | Letters

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We speak for ourselves in IPS-charter debate. Don’t dismiss us. | Letters


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The signers of a recent statement by the African American Coalition of Indianapolis questioning who speaks for the Black community raise concerns about process while our students of color continue to be left behind in a public education system that offers too little opportunity and too few positive outcomes.

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We agree that parents and students should be heard, which is why we’re troubled that our voices were overlooked during the public process led by the Indianapolis Local Education Alliance. We were present at nearly every ILEA meeting, sharing our personal experiences and asking leaders to take bold action, and we spent months discussing and researching ideas before offering a series of recommendations to improve schools in both IPS and the charter sector.

For many of us, speaking up to improve public education in our city goes back years. We have consistently focused on stronger accountability for all schools within IPS and on growing what works in communities that most need quality schools. So we have to ask: Did you not hear us? Or did you choose to ignore us because our opinions don’t align with yours? Are you now trying to diminish our voices by suggesting that our affiliation with certain organizations means we can’t think or speak for ourselves?

Let us be clear. Our advocacy is driven by our own experiences, and it is these perspectives that add value to the debate we’re having as a community. We live in neighborhoods that are directly impacted by the opportunity gap. It takes courage to advocate, and when voices like ours are attacked, it discourages others in our community from standing up and speaking out.

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We strongly support IPS — many of us attended the district as children and have our own students there now. We also support a system of quality charter schools, and we will continue to advocate for both despite attempts to pit sectors against one another. While these recent words and claims are unfair and deeply hurtful, we remain dedicated to bringing voices together to solve problems.

It is time to stop the toxic politics of school type and focus on progress for children, especially Black and brown students who have been harmed by a tragic opportunity gap that has existed for generations. While House Bill 1423 is not perfect, we see it as the best opportunity in many years to hold all schools accountable for improved results, expand transportation and access across IPS, and move toward financial stability across the system.

You may disagree with us on the policy, and that is OK. But please do not dismiss our voices or discount our stories, which represent so many in IPS who simply want a high-quality, safe public school experience for their children.

LaToya Hale, Greg Henson, Dontia Dyson, Cristal Salgado and Swantella Nelson are Indianapolis parents.

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