Illinois
How Illinois should defend Eastern Illinois’ offense
We are so close to a real, live, regular season football game.
Finally, instead of previewing the Illini from countless different angles and trying to decipher all the training camp buzz, we have an opponent to dive into.
The opponent — the Eastern Illinois Panthers, an in-state FCS foe coming off a strong 8-3 season in 2023 that left them just outside the FCS playoffs. It was the program’s best mark since Jimmy Garappolo was under center in 2013.
The Panthers sit just outside the AFCA preseason FCS Top 25 coaches poll, receiving the third most votes among non-ranked teams. While Illinois is currently a 27.5-point favorite on Thursday night, Eastern Illinois has proven itself as a quality team for its level.
Today, let’s start by taking a look at the Panthers’ offense:
Eastern Illinois returns nine starters from an inconsistent 2023 offense that saw some ups and downs. Overall, the Panthers ranked 76th in FCS in points per game and 46th in total offense.
It is, however, a talented unit of returnees. Quarterback Pierce Holley is back and was named the preseason Big South-OVC Player of the Year after throwing for 2,723 yards and 17 touchdowns in 2023. Alongside him return leading rusher MJ Flowers (852 yards, 8 TD) and leading receiver Eli Mirza (680 yards, 3 TD).
Holley, a transfer from Georgetown in 2022, isn’t the most athletic, strongest-armed quarterback but is a veteran who’s been a consistent presence throughout his career. He’s unlikely to fire off a bunch of explosive downfield throws, but he’s equally as unlikely to play the Panthers out of the game with turnovers and poor decision-making.
Keeping Holley clean was the biggest point of struggle for the EIU offense in 2023. The Panthers allowed 35 sacks, a bottom-15 mark in all of FCS. When facing pressure, Holley struggled mightily, completing just 35.4% of his passes and turning many pressures into sacks. The Illinois defensive front will have an opportunity to impose its will up front and keep the veteran quarterback from getting comfortable.
If Eastern Illinois wants to give Illinois a scare, it’ll have to find success in the run game.
The Panthers will likely look to run the ball early and often with Flowers, an FCS Freshman All-American in 2023. He’ll be running behind an offensive line that made up for its pass blocking struggles with plenty of push on the ground and has FBS size throughout, led by All-Conference guard Sebastian Pares and center Drew Wilder. Testing a questionable Illini rush defense is certain to be a focal point for Panthers offensive coordinator Kyle Derickson.
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For Illinois, the size, talent, physicality, and athleticism advantage need to show up defensively to make life difficult for the Panther offense. Dominating the trenches and overpowering Eastern Illinois physically is necessary and attainable to take care of a respectable FCS opponent in Week 1.
Three Keys for the Illini defense vs EIU:
- Get consistent pressure on QB Pierce Holley — Seth Coleman and Gabe Jacas will be key here. They’re expected to be the leaders of the Illini defense, and they need to dominate an FCS offensive line who struggled mightily at pass blocking a season ago. An uncomfortable quarterback and a handful of drive-killing sacks are what the Illini will need to impose their will early and cruise to victory.
- Contain the EIU run game — Run defense is a major question mark for Illinois after losing all three starting defensive linemen, but that shouldn’t be exploited by an FCS opponent. The Panthers will try to run the ball often, but the Illini front needs to contain it and allow its pass rushers to turn up the pressure on third and longs. Illinois has a large talent advantage in the trenches and that needs to show itself from kickoff.
- Be strong tacklers — When FCS teams spring upsets on FBS opponents, the cause usually comes down to sloppy play and a lot of mistakes. We know what that looks like offensively, but on defense Illinois needs to be strong in the tackling department. EIU’s gameplan will likely be heavily simplified and involve a lot of running and quick hitters in the passing game, and Illinois needs to avoid the missed tackles or missed assignments that could lead to explosive plays and yards after catch opportunities.
Check back tomorrow for a look at the Eastern Illinois defense.
Illinois
No. 23 Wisconsin rallies to beat No. 9 Illinois in OT of Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals
Nick Boyd scored a career-high 38 points, John Blackwell added 31 and No. 23 Wisconsin rallied from 15 down in the second half to beat No. 9 Illinois 91-88 in overtime in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals on Friday.
It was tied at 80 in overtime when Boyd scored in the paint and Austin Rapp nailed a 3 to give Wisconsin a five-point lead with 2:33 remaining.
The Badgers were up by four with about a minute left when Boyd rebounded a missed 3 by Rapp. That led to two free throws for Blackwell, making it 87-81 with 46 seconds left.
Illinois got within 90-88 on David Mirkovic’s layup with six seconds remaining. Wisconsin’s Braeden Carrington then missed a free throw and hit the second to make it a three-point game before Illinois’ Keaton Wagler missed a long 3 at the buzzer.
The Badgers (24-9) advanced to the semifinals against No. 3 Michigan on Saturday. The Wolverines, seeking their second straight Big Ten Tournament title, held off Ohio State 71-67.
Boyd surpassed his previous high of 36 points in a win against Providence on Nov. 27. Blackwell, coming off a career-best 34 a day earlier against Washington, became Wisconsin’s all-time leading scorer in Big Ten Tournament games with 144 points.
Wagler and Mirkovic each scored 19 for Illinois (24-8). Andrej Stojakovic had 17 points and seven rebounds.
Illinois appeared to be in good shape leading 60-45 midway through the second half, only to have Wisconsin charge back. The Badgers trailed 67-63 when Blackwell made a 3, Boyd hit two free throws and Rapp made two more to put them on top 70-67 with just over four minutes remaining in regulation. Stojakovic then hit a tying 3 for Illinois.
It was tied at 76 when Stojakovic rebounded a missed 3 by Wisconsin’s Aleksas Bieliauskas and drove for a layup to put Illinois on top with just over a minute remaining.
Blackwell then hit two tying free throws. Wagler missed a hook for Illinois, and Blackwell missed a long 3 just before the buzzer, sending the game to overtime.
Up next
Wisconsin faces No. 3 Michigan in a semifinal on Saturday. Wisconsin handed Michigan its first loss when it beat the Wolverines 91-88 in Ann Arbor on Jan. 10.
Illinois
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini odds, picks and predictions
The No. 23 Wisconsin Badgers (23-9) and No. 9 Illinois Fighting Illini (24-7) meet Friday in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals. Tip from the United Center in Chicago, Illinois, is set for 2:30 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Wisconsin vs. Illinois odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Badgers beat the Washington Huskies in the third round of the tournament 85-82 Thursday, but failed to cover as a 6.5-point neutral-court favorite as the Over (156.5) cashed. Wisconsin won its last 3 games of the regular season, beating the No. 18 Purdue Boilermakers 97-93 on the road to close it out. The Badgers are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) across their last 4 games and 18-13 ATS this season.
Illinois ended the regular season by taking down the Maryland Terrapins 78-72 Sunday, failing to cover as a 15.5-point road favorite with the Over (145.5) hitting. The Fighting Illini have had abnormal struggles over the last several weeks, going 4-4 over their previous 8 games and just 3-5 ATS in that span. The No. 4 seed in the tournament is 17-14 ATS on the season.
Wisconsin besat Illinois 92-90 in overtime Feb. 10 in Champaign.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll
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Wisconsin vs. Illinois odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:33 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Wisconsin +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Illinois -325 (bet $325 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Wisconsin +8.5 (-118) | Illinois -8.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 155.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Wisconsin vs. Illinois picks and predictions
Prediction
Illinois 83, Wisconsin 77
PASS.
Avoid this play. Illinois (-325) should win, but it isn’t worth nearly more than 3 times your money here. Pass on this wager.
BET WISCONSIN +8.5 (-118).
The Badgers have been surging, especially on the offensive end. They have scored at least 78 points in 4 straight games. Wisconsin has been solid as an underdog as well, going 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games in that position.
As noted, the Fighting Illini have had recent struggles, and it is because their offense has stalled. They’ve failed to top 80 points in 3 straight games and are just 1-2 ATS in their last 3 games when favored.
BET OVER 154.5 (-110).
The Fighting Illini are a proven side and should be rested and ready to score. They are 3-2 O/U in their previous 5 games, allowing at least 84 points in 2 of their previous 4 contests.
Wisconsin has gone Over in 5 of its previous 6 games and has allowed at least 80 points in half of those. The Badgers are 19-12 O/U so far this season.
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Illinois
AIPAC Is Staying Out of Illinois Senate Race — But Its Donors Back Juliana Stratton
The leading pro-Israel lobbying group has kept quiet on the race for an open Senate seat in Illinois while pouring its largest investments this cycle into the state’s high-profile House primaries, leaving observers to wonder whether it would really sit out the Senate contest.
But for the top of the ticket in Tuesday’s Democratic primary, more than two dozen donors to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee are quietly backing Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton, The Intercept has found.
At least 27 AIPAC donors have given to Stratton’s campaign to replace retiring Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Ill., according to an analysis of federal campaign data. A former AIPAC president, Lee Rosenberg, is on her finance committee.
While public opinion sours on AIPAC’s brand, the group is backing a multimillion-dollar ad campaign run through other committees with palatable names like “Elect Chicago Women” in at least four Democratic House primaries. Its donors, meanwhile, have been funneling money to its preferred Illinois House candidates. The group has kept an even lower profile in the Senate race, where it’s been less clear how, if at all, the pro-Israel lobby is engaging.
Neither of the top contenders for the safe Democratic seat have suggested they would champion the Palestinian cause if elected to the Senate. Both Stratton and Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, her leading opponent, have declined to call Israel’s destruction in Gaza a genocide or commit to stopping U.S. weapons transfers to Israel, and at least one of Stratton’s pro-Israel donors also gave to Krishnamoorthi’s campaign. AIPAC endorsed Krishnamoorthi, who has received more than $250,000 from the pro-Israel lobby during his decade in Congress, for his 2024 reelection.
Both are running to the right of Rep. Robin Kelly, a relatively progressive Illinois congresswoman currently in a distant third, but even she staked out a more critical position on Israel upon entering the race and has taken some pro-Israel money while in office, much of it from the centrist group J Street.
AIPAC donors have given more than $70,000 to Stratton’s campaign since August, according to filings with the Federal Election Commission — out of just over $4 million she’s raised in total. The 27 donors have collectively given just under $5 million to AIPAC, its super PAC United Democracy Project, and the group Democratic Majority for Israel, which has close ties to AIPAC. Only two of them live in Illinois.
Rosenberg, the former AIPAC president on Stratton’s finance committee, is a leading Democratic strategist in Illinois, longtime adviser to Gov. JB Pritzker, and former adviser to Barack Obama.
In response to questions from The Intercept, a Stratton campaign spokesperson said that AIPAC had not endorsed the lieutenant governor and was not spending in the Senate race. The spokesperson said Stratton has more than 28,000 individual donors and supports a two-state solution for peace between Israel and Palestine.
In the final days ahead of Tuesday’s primary, Stratton has begun to catch up in the polls to Krishnamoorthi, who has largely outperformed his Democratic opponents in fundraising and public opinion surveys. The two candidates’ allies and critics have pointed fingers over fundraising, accusing the other of drawing support from corporate donors.
Krishnamoorthi’s $30 million fundraising haul is supplied in part by a crypto PAC, donors to President Donald Trump, and Palantir’s chief technology officer, among others, the Chicago Tribune reported on Tuesday. Stratton, meanwhile, has said she’s not taking corporate PAC money and hit Krishnamoorthi’s campaign for accepting support from a “MAGA-backed crypto PAC,” but her opponents have also criticized her Senate campaign for still benefiting from corporate donors that fund PACs backing her.
Democrats in Illinois have criticized AIPAC’s efforts to elect pro-Israel Democrats in deep-blue seats in and around Chicago. Pritzker, one of Stratton’s top surrogates and funders (and her boss), is a former AIPAC donor who cut ties with the group and has since denounced it as a “pro-Trump organization” and “significantly MAGA-influenced.”
Pro-Israel spending “is a moral issue,” said former Rep. Marie Newman, an Illinois Democrat who was ousted from Congress in 2022 after pro-Israel groups spent against her. “AIPAC must be stopped if you believe in democracy.”
Stratton, who took a trip to Israel in 2019 to meet with an opposition leader, as Politico reported, has been critical of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Israel’s destruction in Gaza. She has not said whether she would support legislation blocking U.S. weapons to Israel.
Criticizing Netanyahu is at odds with taking support from AIPAC and its donors, Newman said.
“AIPAC vigorously supports Netanyahu, a right-wing dictator, best friend to Trump and his authoritarian inhumane government,” Newman told The Intercept. “Israel’s right-wing government has dragged us into multiple unnecessary wars, helped ruin the US’ reputation in the world and is committing genocide.”
While Krishnamoorthi holds the advantage in polling and fundraising, it’s not clear who will win on Tuesday as dueling PACs fight it out in the final days of the race. Another group that has run ads in support of Krishnamoorthi recently launched ads backing Kelly in an apparent effort to peel votes away from Stratton. Kelly, who has raised $3 million, has struggled to keep pace in the polls with Krishnamoorthi and Stratton, and their backers have labeled her a spoiler.
Kelly’s campaign argues that she’s the most principled of the three candidates, particularly on Israel and Gaza.
“Robin pledged not to accept contributions from AIPAC after deciding to sign onto the Block the Bombs bill and meeting with doctors who volunteered on the front lines in Gaza,” her campaign spokesperson Joe Bowen told The Intercept. “She is the only candidate who has pledged not to take their money, the only candidate to support Block the Bombs and the only candidate to call the genocide in Gaza what it is.”
Kelly, who has hit both Krishnamoorthi and Stratton for stopping short of calling Israel’s destruction in Gaza a genocide, adopted that stance shortly before she launched her Senate campaign. Previously endorsed by J Street, she received $14,000 from AIPAC in 2025 and took an AIPAC trip to Israel in 2016. Kelly, now the only major candidate in the race to reject AIPAC support, has said the contributions were from individual donors who gave through AIPAC’s portal.
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