Illinois
Five questions for Illinois & Bret Bielema to answer this offseason
The college football season ended Monday night. On to the 2024 season, and the big questions we have for Illinois this offseason.
5. Who replaces Johnny Newton and Keith Randolph?
Johnny Newton has the chance to become Illinois’ second top-10 draft pick in as many years. To no one’s surprise, Newton and Randolph affected opposing lines enough to change the game. We all know the impact an injury-riddled Randolph and the absence of Newton had on the defensive line in the Wisconsin game, so how does Illinois replace a key part of its 2023 defense.
Sure, there will be some growing pains, but Illinois has retooled quite well on the defensive side. Illinois added transfers Enyce Sledge from Auburn and Anthony Johnson from Youngstown State. Sledge didn’t see much playing time as a freshman at Auburn but was a top-50 recruit out of Louisiana in 2022. Johnson had 25 tackles, 6.5 tackles for loss, and 4 sacks in 2022. Illinois also picked up 3 star edge Josiah Knight and Hutchinson C.C. Edge Daniel Brown. Brown was the highest ranked outside linebacker out of JUCO.
Knight has a high upside but will still be a development piece in 2024. It should be interesting how Sledge, Johnson, and Brown slot into the Illini front 7 and compete with the players currently on the roster.
4. Can Aaron Henry patch the holes on the defense?
The transition from Ryan Walters to Henry was all but rosy. The Illini lost their secondary after 2022 and will lose its most impactful players on its front seven in 2023. The players are one end of the spectrum but the other side is scheme. Illinois and Purdue were the worst performing defenses on most metrics in the Big Ten. It is possible that other teams have figured out the base Walters defense and after playing that same style of defense for 3 years something needs to change.
This is probably the biggest question of the off season, something that we really won’t be able to see until Illinois kicks off against an unnamed opponent on Aug. 31. We should see bits and pieces in the spring game and Illinois will have key players back in the secondary and hopefully a healthy Matthew Bailey.
3. Can Luke Altmyer bounce back?
Believe it or not, Altmyer had the fourth-highest yards per game in the Big Ten, eighth-most touchdowns, and fifth-highest passer rating. The hot hand was Paddock in the last four games of the season, but Altmyer’s first year was nothing but stellar for Illinois. Include Paddock and Illinois had the third-best passing attack in the Big Ten, and that should continue into 2024.
There are two things that would hinder Altmyer’s rise in the rankings in 2024: the wide receivers and a retooled offensive line. Pat Bryant would be the only returning receiver over 500 yards and will need to be more consistent in 2024. I need to dive a bit deeper into the offensive line (which can be a blog of its own) because outside of Josh Kreutz there are a lot of questions marks for guards and tackles. Luckily, the line looks deeper but lacks experience. More on that later.
2. How does Illinois compete in the new Big Ten?
Both teams from the national championship Monday night — Washington and Michigan — will be in the Big Ten in 2024. I think I will be the first to say it, but the Big Ten is now THE premier football conference, beating out the SEC. And rising tides raise all ships.
In the first year of this transition, Illinois should be able to compete with 50% of the new league. We are an incredibly average program and should be able to stay incredibly average. If you take out the premier teams — Washington, Michigan, Ohio State, and Oregon — Illinois has beaten almost every team in the last three years (Purdue and Michigan State stand out).
Illinois wasn’t the tough-smart-dependable team we all expected last year and that cannot continue into 2024. There also needs to be that gritty Illinois vs. The World mentality that this team needs to adopt. The days of controlling the clock and winning the Big Ten West are gone. Illinois will be competing with the big boys every week and need to act like it’s been there before.
1. The way-too-early-kool-aid-prediction for 2024.
- Week 1 – Group of Five opponent – Win
- Week 2 – vs. Kansas – Win
- Week 3 – vs. Central Michigan (Homecoming) – Win
- Week 4 – @ Nebraska – Win
- Week 5 – @ Penn State – Loss
- Week 6 – BYE
- Week 7 – vs. Purdue – Win
- Week 8 – vs. Michigan – Loss
- Week 9 – @ Oregon – Loss
- Week 10 – vs. Minnesota – Win
- Week 12 – vs. Michigan State – Win
- Week 13 – @ Rutgers – Loss
- Week 14 – @ Northwestern – Win
Illinois 8-4 and back to the Reliaquest Bowl.
Illinois
Rutgers football’s postseason picture seemingly solidified after brutal loss to Illinois: Projections
Rutgers fans could start preparing to spend Christmas on the road.
The postseason picture did not change much for the Scarlet Knights after their gut-wrenching loss to No. 24 Illinois on Saturday, according to latest projections. If anything, their destination was seemingly solidified the moment that star Illini receiver Pat Bryant broke the plane on a stunning last-second touchdown in the 38-31 marathon in Piscataway.
Most predictions point to the same bowl game as last week for Rutgers: the Rate Bowl in Phoenix on Dec. 26. It would be a full-circle moment for the Scarlet Knights, who played in the same bowl game — then named the Insight Bowl — in 2005, the cherry on top of a breakthrough season in Greg Schiano’s first stint as head coach.
But if that is where Rutgers (6-5, 3-5) lands, it will be a bitter disappointment considering where it could have gone. A representative from the Citrus Bowl was on hand at SHI Stadium and seemed poised to pound his fist on the table for the Scarlet Knights to be considered had they upset the Illini. And even if they fell short, with a potential eighth win waiting in East Lansing next weekend, they would have a chance to make a strong case against blue-bloods Nebraska and Michigan for a spot in the Duke’s Mayo or Music City bowls.
Instead, barring a major miscalculation from the prognosticators we have followed all season, Rutgers will be playing in a familiar bowl game the day after Christmas.
Here is where the Scarlet Knights landed in bowl projections after Week 13 action:
ESPN’s Kyle Bonagura: Rate Bowl vs. TCU.
When and where: Thursday, Dec. 26 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona.
ESPN’s Mark Schlabach: Rate Bowl vs. Kansas State.
When and where: Thursday, Dec. 26 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona.
Action Network’s Brett McMurphy: Rate Bowl vs. Texas Tech
When and where: Thursday, Dec. 26 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona.
247Sports: Rate Bowl vs. Kansas.
When and where: Thursday, Dec. 26 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona.
Athlon Sports: Rate Bowl vs. TCU.
When and where: Thursday, Dec. 26 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona.
CBS Sports: Boca Raton Bowl vs. UConn
When and Where: Wednesday, Dec. 28 at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida.
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Brian Fonseca may be reached at bfonseca@njadvancemedia.com.
Illinois
ESPN Gives Illinois Slim CFP Hopes – But Imagine What Might Have Been
The improbable last-second victory No. 24 Illinois (8-3, 5-2 Big Ten) pulled off against Rutgers in Piscataway, New Jersey, on Saturday set off more ripple effects than just the celebrations of Illini fans across the country. We’re talking, of course, about ESPN’s CFP Predictor.
Between the Illini win and the wild Saturday across college football – highlighted by Oklahoma’s 24-3 obliteration of No. 7 Alabama, Florida’s upset of No. 9 Ole Miss 24-17 and both No. 15 Texas A&M and No. 16 Colorado falling to unranked opponents – Illinois still has a chance to make the 12-team playoff, according to ESPN.
That chance, however, is a 1,000-yard shot in the dark with a pop gun: a measly 0.3 percent probability. It’s a fever dream that would only be realized if the college football world was completely flipped on its head, and in several highly specific ways, over the next two weeks. As Saturday reminded us, anything is possible – but Illini fans would be advised not to hold their breath.
Yet with Illinois sitting at 8-3 – so close, yet so far away – it’s hard not to wonder what could have been.
Think back, for a moment, on the season up to this point. No one can fault the Illini for the loss to Penn State (currently ranked No. 4 in the AP poll) at Happy Valley or to Oregon (ranked No. 1 for a sixth straight week) in Eugene. But that home loss to unranked Minnesota? Well, that’s a different story.
The Gophers are a solid middle-of-the-road Big Ten team, but based on any metric or eye test that exists, they were eminently beatable by the Illini. Instead, they vanquished Illinois – and any legitimate hopes it had of making the CFP.
But for the sake of argument, let’s just pretend quarterback Luke Altmyer didn’t commit that fumble and Illinois wound up finishing that late-game drive in the end zone – probably a touchdown pass to receiver Pat Bryant – and tacked on the two-point conversion before winning a thriller in overtime.
Maybe that’s simply too much magic for a single team to ask for in a single season. But if it had happened, the Illini would currently be 9-2 (6-2 Big Ten), with 4-7 Northwestern (2-6 Big Ten) up next. In this scenario, even given a victory next week, 10 wins would still leave Illinois on the outside of a Big Ten Championship looking in, and ineligible to clinch an automatic CFP bid.
But what about an at-large bid? Let’s compare apples to apples – or, in this case, our hypothetical 9-2 Illini squad to a few SEC teams with similar profiles.
Start with Alabama, which is fresh off its aforementioned 24-3 thrashing by unranked Oklahoma. The Tide benefit from the 11th-toughest schedule in the country, but with three losses, they have just a 37.4 percent chance of making the CFP.
Now consider Tennessee. The Volunteers are currently 9-2, and their strength of schedule ranks 21st in the nation (only five ahead of Illinois’). Arguably the best match for the What Could Have Been Illini, the Volunteers currently have a 76.8 percent chance of making the playoff.
Yet it’s foolish to think Illinois – even at 9-2 today and with a win over Northwestern next week – would be a shoo-in for the College Football Playoff. It’s just hard to imagine the committee justifying the inclusion of five Big Ten teams in a 12-team playoff – but it would have been interesting to learn just how close the Illini could have come.
Regardless, at 8-3, Illinois has put together one of its best seasons in recent memory and appears well-positioned to be in line for a top-tier non-CFP bowl, which could offer the Illini an opportunity to further legitimize their 2024 campaign. Even if it’s not everything it could have been, during this week of giving thanks, Illinois – and its fans – have one of the program’s best seasons in recent memory to be grateful for.
Instant Analysis: Illinois Wins 36-31 Thriller at Rutgers on Last-Second Score
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Illinois
Campbell's reveals Illinois' favorite Thanksgiving side dish
There’s a new king of the mountain when it comes to side dishes at Thanksgiving, and Illinois’ pick is also the favorite of Americans.
This news comes via Campbell’s annual State of the Sides report, released each year ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday to reveal what side dishes Americans are pairing with their turkeys on the big day.
According to the report, stuffing/dressing overtook mashed potatoes as America’s favorite side dish, with sweet potatoes also moving up to the third spot in the ranking.
Green bean casserole checks in at No. 4, according to the ranking, with mac and cheese dropping from third to fifth this year.
According to Campbell’s, Illinois was one of 45 states that picked stuffing as their favorite side dish, with Iowa, California, Utah, Wyoming and West Virginia siding with mashed potatoes.
The data also revealed several other key findings, including that 56% of Americans would prefer eating side dishes over their turkey on Thanksgiving. Roughly 4-of-10 Americans would also be content with having a plate made up of nothing but sides, according to the study.
Perhaps most importantly if you’re heading to a gathering this holiday season, 99% of Americans say they help to cook part of the Thanksgiving meal if they’re attending a gathering.
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