The Detroit Lions (1-3) go to the New England Patriots (1-3) Sunday in Week 5. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Under, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s traces across the Lions vs. Patriots, and make our skilled NFL picks and predictions.
Each groups are on 2-game slides after dropping their openers and profitable in Week 2.
The massive information is the Patriots will begin Third-string rookie QB Bailey Zappe. Starter Mac Jones is out with an ankle damage – suffered throughout a 37-26 house loss in Week 3 to the Baltimore Ravens – and backup Brian Hoyer is on IR with a concussion – sustained in final week’s 27-24 OT loss on the Inexperienced Bay Packers.
Zappe performed many of the Packers recreation, getting into on the Patriots’ 2nd collection when Hoyer was harm. In his sudden NFL debut, the 4th-round 2022 draft select of Western Kentucky accomplished 10 of 15 passes for 99 yards with a TD and no picks as New England, the NFL’s greatest underdog of the week, coated a 10-point unfold within the loss.
Detroit misplaced 48-45 at house to the Seattle Seahawks in Week 4, failing to cowl the unfold for the first time this season. The Lions, who have been 3-point favorites, couldn’t cease the Seahawks offense, which by no means needed to punt and completed with 555 yards, together with 235 on the bottom. Detroit did have extra 1st downs (19-14) and extra passing yards (375-320), however it might by no means recover from the hump after falling right into a 7-0 gap on Seattle’s opening drive.
FOOTBALL NEVER STOPS
Reside video games, evaluation and extra 7 days per week: Get ESPN+
Lions at Patriots odds
Offered by Tipico Sportsbook; entry USA TODAY Sports activities Scores and Sports activities Betting Odds hub for a full record. Traces final up to date at 12:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Lions +140 (guess $100 to win $140) | Patriots -165 (guess $165 to win $100)
- Towards the unfold (ATS): Lions +3.5 (-120) | Patriots -3.5 (-101)
- Over/Underneath (O/U): 45.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
Declare your risk-free guess as much as $350. Catch the thrill and begin betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New buyer provide in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Phrases and Situations. Wager now!
Lions at Patriots key accidents
Lions
- C Evan Brown (ankle) questionable
- WR DJ Chark (ankle) out
- DL Charles Harris (groin) out
- OL Jonah Jackson (finger) questionable
- WR Josh Reynolds (ankle) questionable)
- WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (ankle) questionable
- RB D’Andre Swift (shoulder, ankle) out
Patriots
- S/KR Kyle Dugger (knee) questionable
- DL Lawrence Man (shoulder) out
- QB Brian Hoyer (concussion) out
- QB Mac Jones (ankle) uncertain
- LB Raekwon McMillan (thumb) questionable
- WR Jakobi Meyers (knee) questionable
- CB Jalen Mills (hamstring) questionable
- S Adrian Phillips (ribs) questionable
- TE Jonnu Smith (ankle) uncertain
- OL Isaiah Wynn (hip) questionable
Play our free day by day Decide’em Problem and win! Play now!
Lions at Patriots picks and predictions
Prediction
Lions 31, Patriots 17
Moneyline
BET 0.25 UNITS ON DETROIT (+145).
The Lions haven’t received a highway recreation since Week 13 of the 2020 season (on the Chicago Bears 34-30), however with the Patriots’ QB state of affairs, Detroit has a definite benefit Sunday.
Whereas Zappe stunned many by preserving New England in final week’s recreation at Inexperienced Bay after Hoyer’s exit, the reality of the matter is the Packers should not that good.
Anticipate coach Dan Campbell to have the Lions greater than prepared for this recreation as they snap their highway dropping streak.
Towards the unfold
DETROIT +3.5 (-120) is the STRONGEST PLAY – often 1½ instances your standard wager, however let’s make it 1.25 TIMES since we’re taking part in 1 / 4 unit on the ML.
- ATS data: Lions 3-1 | Patriots 1-2-1
Be warned: Detroit’s protection is just not good. It ranks final in yards (444.8) and factors (35.3) allowed per recreation.
However I don’t see New England’s offense being productive with a backup to the backup QB.
Offensively, Detroit leads the NFL in yards (436.8) and factors (35.0) per recreation. The Patriots are nineteenth (341.3 YPG) and twenty third (18.5 PPG), respectively.
Defensively, the Patriots enable 346.8 yards (nineteenth) and 24.5 factors (twenty fourth) per recreation.
Over/Underneath
BACK OVER 45.5 (-112) for 0.75 UNITS.
- O/U data: Lions 4-0 | Patriots 2-2
If the Patriots had a extra skilled QB, this may have been the “strongest play.” The road seemingly could be increased with a greater New England QB, however the offensive and defensive stats talked about above communicate for themselves.
Plus, the Over is 7-0 within the final 7 Patriots’ house video games, whereas it’s 6-0 within the Lions’ final 6 video games total.
The explanation for doubt in not taking part in a full unit is the query marks revolving round New England’s offense with Zappe beneath middle.
Need motion on this NFL recreation or another matchups? Wager legally on-line with a trusted companion: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook companion in CO and NJ. Wager now!
When you’re in search of extra sports activities betting picks and suggestions, entry all of our content material at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or check out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Comply with @JohnnyParlay11 on Twitter. Comply with SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Fb.
Entry extra NFL protection:
BetFTW | TheHuddle Fantasy Soccer | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | ColtsWire | CommandersWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | ListWire