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The Three States That Are Especially Stuck if Congress Cuts Medicaid

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The Three States That Are Especially Stuck if Congress Cuts Medicaid

If congressional Republicans go through with some of the deep Medicaid cuts they are considering, three states would be left in an especially tight bind.

South Dakota, Missouri and Oklahoma have state constitutions requiring that they participate in Medicaid expansion, the part of Obamacare that expanded the health program for the poor to millions of adults.

If Republicans choose to make the projected budget reductions by cutting into Medicaid expansion, the other 37 states (and D.C.) that participate in the expansion could stop covering working-class adults. Nine states have laws explicitly requiring them to stop Medicaid expansion or make significant changes if the federal share of spending drops.

But South Dakota, Missouri and Oklahoma can’t do that. They either need to amend their constitutions, a lengthy process that can take years, or figure out how to fill the budget hole, most likely by cutting other services or raising taxes.

The constitutional amendments were put on state ballots by progressive activists, who wanted to entrench the Medicaid program in places that had been hostile to that part of the Affordable Care Act. The idea was twofold: to get health coverage to more people, and to tether more states and their Republican lawmakers to Medicaid.

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The ballot initiatives passed by a wide margin, and now these states have more at stake in the congressional debate over Medicaid. Even some conservative senators, like Josh Hawley of Missouri, are speaking out against reducing funding for the program. The Republican senators from the three states with constitutional amendments could become an unlikely part of the firewall against big cuts to Medicaid.

“Expanding Medicaid anywhere protects it everywhere, which is now what we’re seeing today,” said Kelly Hall, executive director of the Fairness Project, the nonprofit that organized the constitutional amendment campaigns. She noted that her group expected the expansions would broaden support for the program in Washington.

The exact details of any cuts are still unclear, but Republicans in Congress hope to enact a detailed plan by the end of September. A budget resolution that passed the House last month called for at least $880 billion in cuts over a decade from the committee that oversees Medicaid. If all the cuts came from Medicaid, that amount would represent an 11 percent reduction in federal Medicaid spending, and millions would most likely lose coverage. The Senate passed its own budget Saturday that included the House numbers but was less clear on the scope of its preferred spending cuts.

Lawmakers and policy analysts who favor cuts argue that states no longer pay their fair share of Medicaid’s bills. In recent years, the federal share of spending on the program has grown to more than 70 percent overall from around 60 percent. The federal government pays 90 percent of the costs for working-age adults who enroll through the expansion, a high share that the architects of Obamacare meant to ease the burden of expansion from state budgets.

Because states would become responsible for what had once been paid by the federal government, the states with constitutional amendments would have especially high financial stakes. In Missouri, Medicaid funding makes up about 35 percent of the state’s entire budget. If the federal government pulled back, the state would probably have to raise taxes or cut other parts of its budget, like education or transportation.

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The last time Republicans attempted major Medicaid changes, as part of their Obamacare repeal push in 2017, some Republican governors lobbied their senators to protect the program, and several voted against the bill. In the years since, seven more Republican-led states have expanded Medicaid by ballot measure, expanding coverage to 950,000 people.

Even after passing at the ballot, Medicaid expansion still faced opposition from elected officials charged with setting up the program. The former Maine governor Paul LePage went the furthest, claiming he would go to jail rather than carry out a Medicaid expansion. (The expansion was implemented after he was replaced by a Democrat.)

That resistance got the progressive activists who organized and funded the ballot initiative campaigns looking for a way to make Medicaid expansion more ironclad. For 2020, they came up with the idea of pursuing voter referendums to enshrine participation in the program in state constitutions. They succeeded in Missouri and Oklahoma in 2020, followed by South Dakota in 2022.

Those ballot initiatives took more work, requiring more signatures to get onto the ballot. Activists decided the extra hurdle was worth it to entrench Medicaid in areas of the country that had been hostile to the program — thus giving it more protection in Washington.

The politics of the Republican Party have changed since 2017, too, shifting from Tea Party austerity toward working class populism. Hospitals have also become more dependent on Medicaid as it has expanded, and more effective at arguing this point to government officials.

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“The system is much more firmly in place now than it was eight years ago,” said Brendan Buck, who was an aide for Speaker Paul Ryan during the Obamacare repeal effort in 2017 and is now a partner in a communications firm that does work for health industry clients. “These are our states. These are our voters. And I think they will hear loud and clear if this does become a real threat.”

When he was Missouri’s attorney general, Mr. Hawley led two lawsuits seeking to overturn the Affordable Care Act. But in February and again this past week, he voted with Democrats on budget amendments to protect Medicaid. Those efforts were largely ceremonial. But Republicans may need his vote to advance their larger package of tax cuts and spending reductions later this year.

“Our voters voted for it — my constituents — by a decisive margin,” Mr. Hawley said of Medicaid expansion in a recent interview, noting that a fifth of the state gets health insurance through the program.

While Mr. Hawley said he would be comfortable voting to add a work requirement to the program, he was “not going to vote for cut benefits.”

Senator Mike Rounds of South Dakota has also opposed reducing federal funding for Medicaid expansion because of the financial burden it would put on states. “That’s not a cost-cutting measure — that’s a cost transfer,” he told Politico in February.

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Even many blue states that passed expansion through their legislatures will probably stop Medicaid coverage for poor adults if cuts go through. Twelve states, including Illinois and Virginia, have passed legislation that would automatically rescind the expansion if federal funding dips.

The states with constitutional amendments are already beginning to prepare for the possibility of a major budget hole. In Oklahoma, for example, federal Medicaid funding makes up almost 30 percent of the state’s entire budget.

A conservative Oklahoma think tank has suggested that the state cut other parts of Medicaid to make up the gap instead of dipping into funding for services like roads or schools.

But reducing Medicaid services alone probably wouldn’t be enough to offset the lost federal funding. There are only a handful of ways states are allowed to cut the program, such as ending coverage for prescription drugs or no longer providing insurance to postpartum women.

In South Dakota, the Legislature passed a law in February that would alter the constitution to leave the program if federal funding dropped.

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The new law wouldn’t immediately pull South Dakota out of Medicaid expansion but would give the Legislature the flexibility to do so. To change the constitution, voters would also need to weigh in with a new ballot initiative, scheduled for the state’s next election in 2026 — potentially after Congress passes cuts.

“I’m worried it won’t be soon enough, but that is when our next election is,” said Tony Venhuizen, who introduced the bill in January as a member of the State Legislature. “There isn’t another way.”

Catie Edmondson contributed reporting.

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New At-Home DNA Test Reveals if GLP-1 Weight-Loss Drugs Will Work for You


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No sex for 10 weeks? Championship team’s playoff strategy raises eyebrows

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No sex for 10 weeks? Championship team’s playoff strategy raises eyebrows

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No sex for the win? This was the advice given to this year’s NBA champions.

New York Knicks owner James Dolan addressed the now-champs as they headed into the playoffs in April 2026, acknowledging their high potential to eventually win the championship.

“I don’t know if you understand what it would mean for you to win a championship this year … It would be life-changing,” he said. “It will stick with you the rest of your lives, and if you don’t win, you’ll be thinking about it the rest of your lives.”

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As Dolan’s inspirational speech to the team went on, he explained how the next 10 weeks would require each player to make sacrifices – watching their diets, getting proper sleep and perhaps even abstaining from sex.

“You need sacrifice and you need to eliminate all the distractions around you,” he said.

Jalen Brunson of the New York Knicks celebrates with the Bill Russell NBA Finals Most Valuable Player Award trophy and Knicks owner James Dolan after defeating the San Antonio Spurs in Game Five of the 2026 NBA Finals at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas, on June 13, 2026. (Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

“I had this idea that maybe you should give up sex for the next 10 weeks,” the owner said. “You don’t have to give up sex for the next 10 weeks – but, like the Spartans … They denied themselves, so that they can have an edge. Get the edge.”

This received a few snickers from the team, and Dolan responded, “Don’t tell [your wives and girlfriends] you’re not going to have sex and don’t tell them it was my idea. But let them know what this is going to be like … and how they’re going to have to sacrifice, too.”

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Dr. Anna Elton, licensed marriage and family therapist and clinical sexologist in Massachusetts, confirmed that this belief has been around for centuries, dating back to the ancients Spartans and early Olympic competitors.

Avoiding sex can preserve energy, increase aggression and sharpen focus, according to Elton.

The theory behind abstaining from sex for better athletic performance supports that it can preserve energy, increase aggression and sharpen focus. (iStock)

But modern research has found little evidence that consensual sexual activity negatively impacts strength, endurance, reaction time or athletic performance when it occurs at least 10 hours before competition, the doctor countered.

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However, “activity very close to competition may affect recovery measures,” she added. What may be more important, according to Elton, is the psychological value of abstinence.

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“Choosing to abstain can reinforce discipline and total commitment to a larger goal,” she said. “In those cases, the advantage may come more from mindset and focus than from any physical effect.”

“Whether the sacrifice is alcohol, social activities, favorite foods or sex, the message is often the same: ‘We are all in.’”

New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson celebrates with teammates after the Knicks defeated the San Antonio Spurs in game five of the 2026 NBA Finals at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas, on June 13, 2026. (Geoff Burke/Imagn Images)

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The science of abstinence

This discussion has historically focused on men, which Elton said is often based on “misconceptions about testosterone and energy depletion.”

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“Research has not demonstrated that normal sexual activity causes a meaningful decline in athletic performance, and concerns about testosterone depletion have not been consistently supported by the evidence,” she said.

“For women, sexual activity may have additional benefits related to stress reduction, emotional regulation and relationship satisfaction.”

Abstaining from sex for athletic performance may create a sense of discipline, minimize distractions, maintain focus on training and reinforce a team culture centered on sacrifice and commitment, experts say. (iStock)

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In a separate interview with Fox News Digital, Dr. Anthony Puopolo, a men’s health expert and lead medical provider for RexMD, echoed Elton’s assessment that research largely does not support abstinence as a performance enhancer.

This is despite a small amount of evidence that suggests engaging in sexual activity within two hours of competition could pose a risk to cardiovascular recovery.

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“Unfortunately, nearly all studies (99%) have been conducted in males aged 20 to 40, so there is virtually no data on female athletes, older athletes or diverse populations,” said the Puerto Rico-based expert. “We know what to tell the Knicks, but we are not sure what to recommend for the New York Liberty.”

Importance of connection

Elton said abstinence may still offer psychological benefits for some competitors. “For some athletes, it can become part of a pre-competition ritual that enhances confidence,” she told Fox News Digital.

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Some other potential benefits of sexual activity include stress reduction, improved sleep, mood enhancement, emotional connection with a partner and relief from performance-related tension.

“Strong, supportive relationships are associated with better psychological resilience, which can be valuable during high-pressure competitions,” Elton said.

“One of the most overlooked performance advantages may be having a supportive relationship waiting at home,” a doctor said. (iStock)

“Ultimately, there is no universal rule,” she went on. “What helps one athlete perform at their best may not help another.”

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Elton stressed that sleep, recovery, nutrition, stress management and support from loved ones are universal performance boosters.

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“Athletes devote tremendous attention to training their bodies, while overlooking the importance of their personal relationships,” she cautioned. “A supportive partner can be one of the greatest assets during a demanding season.”

“If competition requires temporary sacrifices, make those decisions together and keep communication open.”

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Zero sugar, more problems? Study reveals surprising gut health effects

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Zero sugar, more problems? Study reveals surprising gut health effects

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Eliminating sugar from your diet may seem like the key to healthy eating, but research suggests it could have unintended effects on digestive health.

A study presented at ENDO 2026, the Endocrine Society’s annual meeting, suggests that a total lack of sucrose, or table sugar, may harm gut health and disrupt the body’s natural metabolism.

To explore how the total absence of dietary sugar impacts the body, researchers at the Dasman Diabetes Institute in Kuwait City conducted a 16-week study on two groups of mice. Both groups were placed on a low-fat diet, but with one critical difference.

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One group consumed a low-fat diet that included a standard amount of sucrose, while the other group ate a low-fat diet that was completely sugar-free, according to the study’s press release.

Throughout the trial, the scientists monitored a wide variety of physiological factors, including the animals’ weight, glucose tolerance, insulin sensitivity, hormone levels, internal inflammation and the specific composition of their gut bacteria.

A total lack of dietary sugar can cause imbalances in the gut bacteria and lead to signs of fatty liver disease, even without any weight gain, researchers said. (iStock)

The study outcome suggested that completely removing sugar caused several unexpected health problems.

“Completely removing sucrose from a low-fat diet may unexpectedly disrupt gut health and promote inflammation and metabolic dysfunction,” Rasheed Ahmad, principal scientist and head of the Immunology & Microbiology Department at the Dasman Diabetes Institute, said in the release.

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Even though the mice on the sugar-free diet did not gain any extra weight compared to the control group, their internal health indicators deteriorated.

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The animals that lacked sucrose developed an imbalance in their gut microbes and increased inflammation within the intestines and liver.

They also showed signs of poor glucose regulation, insulin resistance and cellular changes associated with fatty liver disease, according to the research.

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Future dietary guidelines may shift away from strict, absolute sugar bans and instead focus on overall gut health through balanced nutrition. (iStock)

“The findings suggest that complete removal of sucrose from a low-fat diet may negatively affect gut microbiota and metabolic health,” Ahmad concluded.

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While the risks of high-sugar diets are well-established, the researchers noted that little attention has been given to the effects of completely eliminating sugar from low-fat meals.

Scientists say these new findings highlight that dietary carbohydrates play a valuable role in supporting balance between the immune system and the gut microbiome.

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Completely cutting sucrose from a low-fat diet can unexpectedly trigger gut inflammation and disrupt the metabolism, experts say. (iStock)

Because this research was conducted on mice over a relatively short 16-week period, further clinical trials are necessary to determine whether a completely sugar-free diet causes the same gut and liver inflammation in humans.

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Additionally, the study focused specifically on removing sucrose from low-fat meals, meaning the results might not apply to people eliminating sugar while following higher-fat or ketogenic eating plans, the researchers noted.

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The team believes that future dietary guidelines may shift away from strict, absolute sugar restrictions and instead place a greater emphasis on maintaining a diverse, healthy population of gut bacteria through balanced nutrition.

“In the long term, these findings could help improve strategies for preventing and managing metabolic disorders, fatty liver disease and chronic inflammatory conditions,” Ahmad said.

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