Finance
Why Viking Therapeutics could be 'onto something pretty amazing'
Eli Lilly (LLY) and Novo Nordisk (NVO) have become hot stocks over the past year thanks to their blockbuster GLP-1 drugs to treat obesity.
Over the last year, Lilly and Novo shares are up 72% and 44%, respectively. By market cap, Novo is the largest company in Europe while Lilly ranks eighth among US companies with a market cap of $900 billion.
Shares of both companies have been bolstered by promising research that shows expanded indications beyond losing weight and treating diabetes, sending investors on the hunt for the next big breakthrough in the space.
On a recent segment of Good Buy or Goodbye (video above), RSE Ventures CEO Matt Higgins made the case for Viking Therapeutics (VKTX).
“We all know what Eli Lilly and what [Novo Nordisk have] done,” Higgins, who is invested in $VKTX, told Yahoo Finance. “But it’s a massive TAM [total addressable market]. It’s a $150 billion market. And [Viking] is a biotechnology firm … and they are onto something pretty amazing. They are working on two products: One is a shot that you would take once a month, and the other is a pill, which is the holy grail and early studies show that it’s being very well tolerated.”
Higgins isn’t the only one who’s noticed. Viking’s shares are up nearly 250% this year. At a market cap of $7 billion, its size is dwarfed by Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly.
Another big contrast with the pharma giants is that Viking doesn’t yet have any revenue because its treatments are still in development. And as of June, the company didn’t even have 30 full-time employees; combined, Novo and Lilly employ more than 100,000 people.
Even with the surge in Viking stock this year, Higgins thinks shares are still attractive, with two potential catalysts going forward.
One is the possibility of being acquired: He ballparks a takeout value at $15 billion, or roughly double today’s value.
The other is a conference in November, at which Viking is speculated to update its findings around its GLP-1s.
“I don’t think it’s priced in at all,” Higgins said.
Julie Hyman is the co-host of Market Domination on Yahoo Finance. You can find her on social media @juleshyman.
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Finance
Aussie lawyer warns of ‘middle class’ family battles after budget introduces ‘backdoor death tax’
Australians are expected to pass on trillions of dollars in assets in the coming years as the grey tsunami of wealthy baby boomers crashes across the economy. But some of those expecting the windfall could be more likely to find themselves in a potential dispute with their loved ones as tax changes introduced to trusts commonly used in estate planning increase the likelihood of conflict.
Lawyers who deal with contested wills and estates foresee issues of conflict more likely to arise if the proposed changes go ahead. Alun Hill is the national director of the contested estates division of Armstrong Legal and believes there will be more reasons for discontent and for wills to be challenged due to the increased tax take being slipped in.
“It widens the battleground,” he told Yahoo Finance. “It just creates more reason why there might be someone who wants to contest a will.”
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Under the changes in Labor’s controversial budget, the unprecedented 30 per cent minimum level of capital gains tax will apply to the most common form of estate planning trust, known as a the testamentary discretionary trust.
While the government says its legislation pertaining to tax changes for trusts will be brought before parliament later this year, the slated changes would come into effect from July 1, 2028, and only specifically exclude fixed testamentary trusts. Fixed trusts are different from discretionary trusts as trustees don’t have the discretion to change the proportion of income a beneficiary is entitled to.
“Discretionary trusts aren’t just used as a tax minimisation vehicle,” Hill said. “Traditionally they’ve been used to provide the trustee with the ability to do what’s necessary to carry out the intentions of the testator (the person who wrote the will).”
While the finer details remain to be seen, the new tax floor regardless of the income of beneficiaries and the overall higher CGT on assets, will mean beneficiaries will see less passed on than previously expected – and that can be grounds for a challenge.
“What this really does is create the potential for claims being made against the estate by the spouse or by whoever the intended beneficiary is, who is no longer receiving adequate provision or appropriate provision under the testamentary trust,” Hill said.
Finance
Man who built Guernsey finance charity retires
A charity has announced its new chair following the retirement of its founder.
Peter Neville worked for more than five years to set up Guernsey Community Savings, which first opened its doors in September 2020 to support people who were not able to access mainstream banking, staff said.
Former banker James Ellis is taking over the role. Neville said: “James brings exactly the right blend of financial services experience, charitable involvement and community understanding.”
The charity had helped about 200 people, who would otherwise have been excluded from the financial system access, to accounts and linked debit cards, and offered money‑management guidance to many more, staff said.
Neville said: “The initiatives now being discussed, together with the additional features offered by the new money‑transmission platform, reassure me that James’s vision aligns perfectly with the aims we set in those early days.
“I wish the board and GCS staff every success as they take the charity forward.”
Ellis said: “‘The creation of Guernsey Community Savings in 2020 was only possible because of Peter’s unique set of qualities that enabled him to create a talented team and the structure to tackle the issues facing the financially excluded in our island.
“I was delighted when he asked me to continue with his work and further expand his vision, which I share, to provide help in the form of bank accounts, debit cards and financial education and to realise our ambition to provide grants and soft loans where needed.”
He added he was pleased Neville agreed to remain involved with the charity as life president.
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Finance
Hong Kong’s first 5-year plan to tackle economic gaps, boost jobs: Paul Chan
Hong Kong’s first five-year plan will map out concrete paths to address the city’s shortcomings and magnify socio-economic benefits, including how artificial intelligence can create quality jobs, the financial chief has said a day ahead of the public consultation on the blueprint.
Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po said on Sunday that the key task for the blueprint would be the upgrading and transformation of the city’s economy, vowing to press ahead with the Northern Metropolis megaproject and make it a “spatial carrier for deploying emerging and future industries”.
“Hong Kong’s five-year plan aims not only to provide greater momentum for economic development and better application of technology, but also to promote more inclusive and equitable development in society, provide residents with more quality employment opportunities, and create a better life,” he said in his weekly blog.
The efforts to formulate Hong Kong’s first five-year plan are led by Chief Executive John Lee Ka-chiu, and the blueprint is expected to be finalised by the end of 2026.
Lee said last week that the public consultation for the outline would begin on Monday, confirming an earlier South China Morning Post report.
The public can submit views via dedicated websites during the two-month period, and the government would hold multiple sessions to gather input from various sectors, including lawmakers and industry representatives.
The blueprint aims at aligning Hong Kong’s development with China’s 15th five-year plan, which positions the city as an international hub for finance, shipping, trading, innovation and technology, offshore yuan and global talent.
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