Finance
New trading tech doesn’t alter long-standing investment fundamentals, best-selling financial author William Bernstein suggests
Advancements in investment products and trading platforms haven’t altered long-standing investing fundamentals, according to neurologist and best-selling financial author William Bernstein.
Bernstein, who released the second edition of his 21-year-old classic investment guidebook “The Four Pillars of Investing” this summer, joined CNBC’s Bob Pisani on “ETF Edge” this week.
The first pillar of investing according to Bernstein is theory, in which he stressed that risk and return are “joined at the hip.”
“If you want a perfectly safe portfolio, you’re not going to have high returns,” Bernstein said. “If you want the high returns that come with equities, you’re going to have to sustain bone-crushing losses.”
His second pillar is history. It plays off the idea markets overshoot on the upside and the downside, and only bottom in retrospect.
“Markets don’t get either very expensive or very cheap without a good reason,” Bernstein said. “You have to just be able to keep your discipline and understand that the expected market return has to do with the perceived risk of the market, and the perceived risk of the environment you’re in.”
The third pillar is psychology. Bernstein believes investors tend to be overconfident about their ability to pick stocks.
“The metaphor I like to use [for investing] is that you’re playing tennis with an invisible opponent, and what you don’t understand is the person on the other side of the net is Serena Williams,” Bernstein said.
Bernstein also emphasizes that investors tend to be overconfident on their own risk tolerance.
“One of the things I learned both in 2008 and more recently during the March 2020 Covid swoon was that how you behave in the worst 2% of the markets probably describes 90% of your overall investment performance,” he said.
Bernstein’s final investing pillar is business. It’s the notion the primary business of most fund companies is collecting assets rather than managing money.
This idea is one of the reasons Bernstein feels positive about the exchange-traded funds business and its role in reducing fees.
“One can purchase a lot of investment products now for next to nothing in terms of expenses — a couple of basis points,” Bernstein said.
Finance
IFF Names Michael DeVeau Chief Financial Officer
DeVeau has served in senior global financial leadership roles across the organization during his 15-year IFF tenure, most recently as SVP, Corporate Finance and Investor Relations
NEW YORK, December 10, 2024–(BUSINESS WIRE)–IFF (NYSE: IFF) today announced that Michael DeVeau—currently Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance and Investor Relations at IFF—has been named the company’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective Jan. 1, 2025. DeVeau will succeed current CFO and Business Transformation Officer Glenn Richter, whose previously announced planned retirement will take effect at the end of 2024.
“We could not be more pleased than naming Mike as our CFO,” said Erik Fyrwald, IFF CEO. “Mike is a trusted, experienced executive at IFF and has been a pivotal leader across our company’s global finance functions over the last 15 years. We conducted a thorough evaluation process, and I am proud that we identified the right leader with decades of industry experience and longstanding relationships with the investment community and our global colleagues from within IFF. Mike will be a strong partner as we continue to strengthen IFF’s financial foundation and execute our long-term strategy to drive shareholder value creation. I would also like to thank Glenn for his many contributions to IFF and wish him all the best in his well-earned retirement.”
“I am honored to assume the CFO role and begin the next chapter of my IFF career,” said DeVeau. “Glenn has been a terrific partner who has significantly improved our balance sheet and positioned IFF for financial success, and I am grateful for his support over the past several years. I look forward to working with him during this transition period and alongside Erik, our Board and the rest of our talented global team to build on our strong business momentum.”
Since joining IFF in 2009, DeVeau has held multiple senior finance leadership roles across the global organization, including as SVP, Corporate Finance and Investor Relations; Divisional CFO, Scent, where he led financial planning, forecasting, analysis, acquisitions and performance management for the company’s largest division; and Chief Strategy Officer, where he guided a refreshed corporate strategy focused on long-term profitable growth, portfolio development and transformation. In his current role, DeVeau oversees the company’s corporate and divisional financial planning and analysis team, with responsibility for corporate strategy and investor relations. Prior to joining IFF, he served in leadership positions in investor relations, finance and corporate development at PepsiCo. DeVeau began his career as an equity research analyst at Citigroup Investment Research. He holds a bachelor’s degree from Fordham University and completed a Global Executive Leadership Program at INSEAD.
Finance
In a shift, Biden to bar most fossil fuel financing overseas
President Joe Biden is poised to back restrictions on international funding for oil and gas projects in a move that could free up billions of dollars for clean energy and crystallize his climate legacy.
It marks a shift from the United States’ approach over the past three years. Biden joined a group of wealthy nations in 2021 to restrict financing of coal-fired power plants in other countries but hasn’t support efforts to expand those restrictions to other fossil fuels.
Now, his administration and those of a handful of other rich countries are expected to call for curtailing public financing for oil and gas projects internationally at a virtual meeting Tuesday of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development — a group of 38 countries that collaborate on issues of trade and finance — according to three people who are familiar with the administration’s plans.
“It will have a huge impact and, I think, really leave a strong climate legacy for the Biden administration,” said Kate DeAngelis, deputy director of international finance at Friends of the Earth.
The U.S. is expected to back a so-called emission threshold that would prevent the U.S. Export-Import Bank and other publicly funded export credit agencies from financing carbon-intensive energy projects. That would be in line with interim guidance by the Biden administration to end international fossil fuel financing that was never made public but was viewed by analysts at the Natural Resources Defense Council.
It’s likely the last chance the administration would have to push for an agreement at the OECD. President-elect Donald Trump, who has attacked climate science and promised to drill for more oil at home, is unlikely to support ending fossil fuel investments abroad when he takes office in January.
The move comes amid pressure by climate activists to deliver on a promise Biden made when he took office in 2021 to end overseas financing of all carbon-intensive fossil fuel projects. The U.S. joined dozens of other countries later that year at climate talks in Glasgow, Scotland, in agreeing to stop funding international fossil fuel projects before 2023. Reaching an agreement now, they say, would put rules in place that are tough to unwind, forcing the incoming Trump administration to comply with the deal or pull out of it.
A spokesperson from the Trump transition didn’t respond to a question about how the administration would treat such an agreement but said voters elected Trump based in part on promises he made while campaigning to lower energy costs for consumers.
“When he takes office, President Trump will make America energy dominant again, protect our energy jobs, and bring down the cost of living for working families,” spokesperson Karoline Leavitt said in an email.
Jake Schmidt, senior director for international climate at NRDC, thinks the Biden administration would have supported the agreement if Vice President Kamala Harris had won the election. But Trump’s victory might be pushing the administration to act more quickly.
“They clearly realized the end of the year is fast approaching and their ability to secure a climate win is rapidly winding down,” he said.
‘Finish the job’
The meeting will center on an export credit agency agreement among the European Union and 10 other wealthy nations: Australia, Canada, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, Norway, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States.
It follows a 2021 deal by the U.S. and other rich countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development to end public investments in coal power projects that don’t capture and store their emissions.
Earlier this year, the European Union proposed to extend the coal prohibition to cover oil and gas, except in limited circumstances that align with the Paris climate agreement, which aims to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
The idea has earned the support of Canada, Norway and the United Kingdom, among others, but the U.S. has so far not backed it publicly or offered an alternative. That will change Tuesday, when the U.S. is expected to support a separate plan for establishing emission thresholds.
Export credit agencies currently offer billions of dollars in financing for fossil fuel projects, prompting pressure from climate activists who are calling on Biden to fulfill his earlier pledges.
But the U.S. Export-Import Bank has continued to approve financing for fossil fuel projects internationally despite a Biden executive order that instructed federal agencies to end such support.
That matters because although the Treasury Department represents the U.S. in OECD negotiations, the Ex-Im Bank would need to implement any decision reached under it. The Ex-Im Bank has previously said that its charter prevents it from discriminating against specific industries such as oil and gas.
Schmidt of NRDC said an emissions threshold could be seen as a “cleaner and clearer” way to set restrictions than the EU proposal, which could allow for more loopholes if countries don’t explicitly define what types of projects are compatible with the 1.5 C limit.
One remaining challenge, however, will be getting South Korea to join the agreement, particularly amid the political turmoil gripping the nation following a failed effort by President Yoon Suk Yeol to establish martial law. Agreements made at the OECD must be done by consensus.
Last month, three Democratic senators sent a letter to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan urging them to use the Tuesday meeting “to fulfill a key and durable promise on international energy finance.”
“Having the senators weighing in was an important reminder that the White House needs to finish the job,” said Schmidt.
Finance
Bank of England: Non-Banks Could Pose New Risks to Financial Stability | PYMNTS.com
Non-bank financial institutions like pension funds, insurance companies, hedge funds and money market funds could present risks to financial stability as their role in the financial system grows, Dave Ramsden, deputy governor, markets and banking at the Bank of England, said Monday (Dec. 9).
In a speech given at the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum in London, Ramsden said non-bank financial institutions account for about half of the total assets in the financial systems of both United Kingdom and the world amid a continuing shift in consumer and business savings and borrowing habits — a transition he said he would pick out as “one theme to describe 2024.”
“There are potential benefits to that shift, by increasing the range of intermediation channels, reducing concentration and improving risk sharing, but we have also noted how non-banks can pose new forms of liquidity risks to financial stability in the context of the post global financial crisis era,” Ramsden said.
Ramsden also said in his speech that the absence of financial instability seen in 2024 does not mean lasting stability has been achieved.
He added that he gave a speech at this time last year noting the failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse, and a speech a year earlier about the “significant shocks” that struck the U.K. economy in 2022.
Amid this year’s relative stability, it’s important not to get complacent, because “the comparatively calmer market conditions of this year could lead to greater risk-taking in future,” Ramsden said.
“We must continue to be vigilant in light of increasing uncertainty around the outlook, by effectively monitoring and assessing risks present in U.K. financial markets, and utilizing our balance sheet when it is appropriate to do so,” Ramsden said. “Getting the balance right in our balance sheet operations should help us to maintain financial stability and, in doing so, lay the foundations for sustainable growth.”
The Bank of England said in November that it aims to develop the ability to lend to non-bank financial institutions to address potential liquidity challenges in core financial markets that could threaten the U.K.’s financial stability.
In a final report on its systemwide exploratory scenario exercise, the central bank said it found that while non-bank financial institutions have become more resilient in recent years, that could change over time, and those changes could be amplified by the financial system as a whole.
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