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The Real Jurgen Klopp, part five: The manager who made Liverpool believe again

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The Real Jurgen Klopp, part five: The manager who made Liverpool believe again

After almost nine years in charge and seven major trophies, Jurgen Klopp is leaving Liverpool.

He has been one of the most transformative managers in the club’s history and in English football’s modern era.

To mark his departure, The Athletic is bringing you the Real Jurgen Klopp, a series of pieces building the definitive portrait of one of football’s most famous figures.

For part five, James Pearce spoke to more than a dozen current and former players, staff members and executives to reveal his managerial secrets.

Read the rest of the series here:

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Pep Lijnders takes his time as he ponders how best to sum up the scale of Klopp’s contribution to Liverpool.

What a vantage point he’s had. The Dutchman was there to greet Klopp when he first arrived in 2015 and has been beside him almost every step of the way ever since on his coaching staff.

“In the past 30 to 40 years, not many coaches have changed a club like Jurgen,” Lijnders tells The Athletic. “Louis van Gaal at Ajax, Johan Cruyff at Barca, Pep Guardiola at Barca, Arrigo Sacchi at Milan. Then, for me, Jurgen here.

“Wherever we would have gone in the world, even if we had worn different colours, people would have recognised what they saw and said: ‘Ah, this is Liverpool Football Club’. As a coach, you cannot get a bigger compliment than that.”

Ask the same question about Klopp’s impact at Anfield to Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andy Robertson, the dynamic full-backs who will forever be associated with his reign, and you get a similar answer: this was about far more than trophies.

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“Look at the stories that we’ve written, the journeys we’ve all been on,” Alexander-Arnold says. “He’s helped us all develop into what we’ve always dreamed of. He took us to the pinnacle.”

Robertson, nodding in agreement beside him, agrees. “From the moment I walked in through the door, I could sense the belief everyone had in him. It’s been a fun ride. There’s always been excitement. He’s pretty decorated when it comes to silverware, but it’s more a story of how he got a club and fanbase believing again.”

For owners Fenway Sports Group (FSG), there’s also a huge debt of gratitude. “He enthused the club with a competitive spirit that’s really quite unmatched,” says Liverpool chairman Tom Werner. “There’s something in his philosophy of life that bled into the storyline of Liverpool over the past nine years. Here is a man who is not even born in the UK, yet he’s become the Scouser we all love and admire.”


No managerial appointment in Liverpool’s history had created such a sense of fervour.

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It was just after 5.30pm on Thursday, October 8, 2015, when Klopp arrived at the city’s Hope Street Hotel. After the Mercedes V-Class he was travelling in had battled past the supporters outside, he headed for The Sixth boardroom to sign a three-year contract alongside Werner, chief executive Ian Ayre and agent Marc Kosicke.

A week earlier, Klopp had flown to New York to meet Liverpool’s owners at the New York offices of law firm Shearman & Sterling after deciding to cut short his sabbatical, five months after leaving Borussia Dortmund.

Werner: “My first impression was that he uses humour in order to make people feel good. Obviously, the position was important to him, but he was also just enjoying a trip to New York City. You could sense his great love of life when we said goodbye.

“After that first meeting, we turned to each other and said: ‘Forget his tactical strategy, he’s absolutely the right person for this club’. We had interviewed other coaches but he was just extraordinarily charismatic. He could be the CEO of any number of big companies outside of football. He has this remarkable ability to motivate people.”

First-team development coach Lijnders, goalkeeping coach John Achterberg and academy director Alex Inglethorpe were among those invited to have dinner with Klopp at Hope Street Hotel after he had signed his contract.

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Klopp is unveiled as the new Liverpool manager with chairman Werner (left) and managing director Ayre (Paul Ellis/AFP via Getty Images)

Achterberg: “The conversation just flowed. I felt like I’d known him for 10 years. I thought, ‘Yeah, I’m going to enjoy working for this guy’.”

Inglethorpe: “The day after he came to watch the under-18s play Stoke at the academy. It was clear he had a genuine interest in what we do. An awful lot of managers talk about being committed to the development of young players but only some of them mean it. Jurgen’s commitment never wavered. He made our jobs easier by ensuring that pathway was always clear. I can’t think of another manager who has done it in quite the same way.”

At his Anfield unveiling, Klopp described himself as “the normal one” and urged fans to “change from doubters to believers”.

“If we want, this could be a very special day,” he said. “If you are prepared to work for it, if you are patient enough. If I’m sat here in four years, I think we will have won one title in this time. If not, the next one (job) may be in Switzerland.”

Liverpool were 10th in the Premier League with 12 points from eight matches. They had won just a solitary League Cup since 2006 and had only qualified for the Champions League in one of the previous six seasons as Brendan Rodgers’ reign unravelled following the heartache of missing out on the title in 2013-14.

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Klopp waited until the club’s internationals had returned to their Melwood training base before assembling the squad in the media room. Each member of staff on site was asked to pass through and describe their role.

Goalkeeper Simon Mignolet: “They all came through like a train. Jurgen said: ‘Who are all these people?’ Everyone said: ‘They’re the staff.’ He said: ‘No, we’re all one family: the Liverpool family. Everyone has to know everyone’s name. These people are here to help you perform.’ Jurgen’s point was that everyone is a part of the puzzle. That set the tone for everything that came after.”

Melwood gateman Kenny Grimes: “There’s no doubt that the players’ attitude changed towards us. Previously, sometimes they used to drive straight past you but after that (meeting with Klopp), they started to let on a lot more. Everyone just seemed happier, more relaxed. There were never any airs and graces with Jurgen. The culture changed. He made you feel part of Liverpool FC to a much greater extent.”

Klopp, who brought assistants Peter Krawietz and Zeljko Buvac with him, felt that the squad he inherited was talented but weighed down by expectation levels and pressure. He told them: “The only criticism which is really important is mine.”

He brought in new rules about players eating together and reinforced that Melwood was a place of work, not for hangers-on. Time off was reduced as the training schedule became more intensive in order to adapt to his gegenpressing strategy.

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As he stood addressing his players, he wrote on the board:

T – TERRIBLE
E – ENTHUSIASTIC
A – AMBITIOUS
M – MENTALLY-STRONG MACHINES

Mignolet: “I remember him saying that ‘terrible’ was how opponents were going to feel after going up against us for 90 minutes. He talked about how we were going to out-work and out-run teams.”

The defining image from his first game in charge — a 0-0 draw at Tottenham — was the sight of a shattered Adam Lallana falling into his arms after being substituted.


Lallana comes off exhausted during Klopp’s first match, at Tottenham, in 2015 (John Powell/Liverpool FC via Getty Images)

Lijnders: “I loved his team talk before that game. He said that Tottenham’s confidence was like a little flower. He stood up and then started stamping his foot down on the floor! That was what he wanted the team to do to the flower! I thought: ‘It’s going to be fun working with this guy’.”

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Achterberg: “His force of personality quickly changed the mood around the place. What I liked early on was that Jurgen talked up the standard of the players he inherited. He knew the transfer window was shut and he couldn’t change anything. He immediately got a lot more out of players who had been struggling. He told everyone that everyone would have a fair chance.

“The mantra was: ‘Don’t run forward if you can’t run back’. He said: ‘I’m responsible for the defeats, you boys are responsible for the wins’. He didn’t bulls*** anyone and he was demanding, but working for him was so rewarding. He trusted you to get on with your job and people were prepared to go into battle for him.”

Defender Martin Skrtel: “There was something about the way he talked us as players, the way he motivated us. With Jurgen, he’s real. He’s not playing games. He’s not talking behind your back. That’s why players love him.”

Striker Daniel Sturridge: “It was hearing his voice on the training pitch more than anything. The way he would give his messaging resonated with everyone. It’s hard to get players thinking they’d run through a brick wall for this guy, but he did that.

“With every top manager, it’s teetering on the line of fear and respect. The players need to respect the boss — but the boss needs to command the respect of the players. You have to control the situations at big clubs, and he did that.”

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It wasn’t just on the field where Klopp had to alter the mindset. A month into his tenure, he declared he felt “pretty alone” as fans left early when Liverpool trailed Crystal Palace 2-1 at home.

Achterberg: “He felt like the supporters were not fully behind the team. They didn’t really believe. He spoke a lot about that needing to change — how he needed everyone on board.

“Gradually, Anfield became a lot more positive. Critics said Jurgen was celebrating a point when he got the players to hold hands in front of the Kop after Divock Origi got a late equaliser against West Brom, but they missed the point. That was his way of saying: ‘Thank you, this is what’s possible if we all stick together’. The first big example of that was the fightback against Dortmund (in the Europa League). That underlined how he had tapped into the power of Anfield.”

Liverpool trailed 4-2 on aggregate in the second leg of the Europa League quarter-final with just 25 minutes to go but goals from Philippe Coutinho, Mamadou Sakho and Dejan Lovren stunned Klopp’s former club.

Lijnders: “I believe that the character of the leader becomes the character of the team. You get a passionate guy coming in who really knows what he’s doing and why he’s doing it. He had the experience of knowing what works and came with new football ideas. People started seeing development and the people around him were able to express themselves freely.”

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In December 2015, the players had expected their Christmas party to be cancelled after a 3-0 defeat to Watford. Instead, they received a message from the manager that read: “Whatever we do together, we do as well as we can and tonight that means we party.” Nobody was allowed to leave Formby Hall, a golf resort and spa complex near Liverpool, until 1am.

By the end of the season, Liverpool had competed in but lost two major finals: the League Cup to Manchester City (on penalties) and the Europa League to Unai Emery’s Sevilla.

Determined to lift spirits at the post-match party in Basel’s Novotel, Klopp grabbed the microphone and said: “Two hours ago you all felt s***. But now, hopefully, you all feel better. This is just the start for us. We will play in many more finals.” He then launched into a defiant rendition of “We Are Liverpool”.


Klopp wanted to share in his players’ celebrations — such as at Norwich in 2016 (Lindsey Parnaby/AFP via Getty Images)

Achterberg: “Jurgen was adamant that the party should go ahead. He said sometimes you have to lose in order to learn how to win.”

Midfielder Lucas Leiva: “OK, we lost both finals but just getting to them was a real sign of progress. Jurgen was building something special – you could see it, you could smell it. He always found positives in defeats. His man management was the best I ever had.”

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Little by little, Klopp was beginning to build a squad in his own image.

Marko Grujic was the first signing of the Klopp era. Bought from Red Star Belgrade for £5.1million ($6.5m) in January 2016, the young midfielder stayed in Serbia on loan for the rest of the season before linking up with Liverpool in the summer. He made just 16 appearances for the club, but even he was shaped by Klopp’s philosophy.

Grujic: “Going to such a huge club probably came too early for me, but I learned so much from Jurgen. The most difficult thing was the high press — so much sprinting and changing direction. It became the most famous thing about the team. It became the biggest weapon but so many hours on the training field went into getting that right.

“Buvac would take a lot of the technical drills and he was a big help to me as he spoke my language, but Jurgen was such a good coach and also a nice guy. He would make everyone laugh with jokes and always had time for everyone — whether it was the ladies in the canteen or the kit guys.”

Sadio Mane, Georginio Wijnaldum, Joel Matip and Loris Karius were also new additions to the squad in the summer of 2016, while Klopp boosted his backroom staff by recruiting head of fitness Andreas Kornmayer and nutritionist Mona Nemmer from Bayern Munich.

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It was made abundantly clear that indiscipline would not be tolerated. Sakho was sent home in disgrace from the pre-season tour of America after being late for the team flight to California and a team meal and then failing to turn up to a treatment session. “We have rules. If somebody doesn’t respect it or somebody gives me the feeling he is not respecting it, then I have to react,” Klopp said.

The French defender had missed the end of the previous season following a failed UEFA drugs test. He was subsequently cleared but Klopp was furious that he had taken weight-loss supplements without the club’s knowledge. Sakho joined Crystal Palace, initially on loan the following January, and never played for Liverpool again.

With Roberto Firmino, who had initially struggled under Rodgers after arriving from Hoffenheim, transformed after being moved into a central attacking role and Mane scoring freely, Liverpool returned to the Champions League as they beat Middlesbrough on the final day of the 2016-17 season. It was Lucas’ swansong after a decade of service.

Lucas: “I had a year left on my contract but the team was evolving, I was playing less and less and I had a good offer from Lazio. It was hard to leave but I really appreciated how Jurgen handled it all. We had an honest talk and agreed it was best for myself and the club.”

Nurturing young talent proved to be a theme of the Klopp era. Alexander-Arnold was handed his debut at the age of 18 in 2016-17 and the academy graduate soon established himself as the first-choice right-back.

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Alexander-Arnold: “Especially early on, as a young player coming through at such a big club, you go through a lot: the demands, the pressure, the expectation. Jurgen helped me so much. He put an arm around me and took the pressure off. He talked to me about managing my emotions. He knew when a bollocking was needed, or a little bit of love. He helped me go from being a young player breaking through to being a leader of this team. I owe him so much.”

Shrewd recruitment ensured that momentum was maintained. In the summer of 2017, Mohamed Salah was signed from Roma for £43.9million. Klopp had initially wanted Bayer Leverkusen’s Julian Brandt, but sporting director Michael Edwards convinced him that the Egyptian attacker — who Chelsea had previously off-loaded — was the best option available.

Signing players with a point to prove appealed to Klopp. Robertson arrived in the same window for £10million after being relegated with Hull City. Wijnaldum had suffered the same fate with Newcastle United.

Robertson: “It’s pretty rare that a big club signs you off the back of something like that. The first time I met Jurgen, it was at Melwood; he had just flown back with the squad from Asia. He walked over, gave me a big hug and welcomed me to the club. He explained what he thought about me as a player, where he thought I could improve, how he wanted me to play. I believed in every word he said.

“The club had just got back into the Champions League and it felt like the first steps of the journey. You could see how much belief everyone had in him. The whole club was connected. Before, from the outside looking in, it didn’t look that way. Part of that was signing good characters: people who could carry his messages within the changing room as his eyes can’t be everywhere.”

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Salah, Mane and Firmino netted 91 goals between them in 2017-18. Salah, who was crowned PFA Player of the Year and FWA Footballer of the Year, set a new best of 32 league goals over a 38-game season as he scored 44 times in all competitions.


Mane, Firmino and Salah formed a formidable trio (Laurence Griffiths/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

When Coutinho belatedly got his wish and was sold to Barcelona for £142million in January 2018, there were concerns that Liverpool’s charge would be derailed but Klopp didn’t share them. He felt that too often team-mates looked to the Brazilian to provide the creative spark and that without him they would become more unpredictable.

He was proved right. It helped that £75million of the fee was spent on the transformative signing of Virgil van Dijk from Southampton.

Lijnders: “We could play a higher line with Virgil — more aggressive because of how he deals with space and longer balls.”

With Van Dijk, Liverpool surpassed all expectations in reaching the Champions League final in Kyiv. Ahead of the game with Real Madrid, Klopp sought to relieve the tension in a team meeting by lifting up his top to reveal he was wearing Cristiano Ronaldo-branded boxer shorts.

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Wijnaldum: “Everyone was laughing their heads off. That really broke the ice. Usually in those situations, everyone is serious and concentrated. But he was relaxed. He is a father figure for players and a really special man for me. He really cares about the welfare of a player and wants to know you away from football.”

The tears flowed in the Liverpool dressing room after the 3-1 defeat to Zinedine Zidane’s side. Karius sat with his head in his hands after gifting Madrid two goals with glaring errors. Salah was crestfallen after being forced off with a shoulder injury.

Alexander-Arnold: “In terms of team talks, the biggest one for me was the messaging Jurgen gave us after Kyiv. He said: ‘This defeat is not going to define us. As a group, we are going to get back here. This is where we’re destined to be.’”

When Klopp finally made it back to his house in Formby just after 6am, the beer flowed and he led a sing-song with old friends including Krawietz, Campino, the lead singer of German punk rock band Die Toten Hosen, and Johannes B Kerner, a well-known German TV personality.

We saw the European Cup,
Madrid had all the f***ing luck,
We swear we’ll keep on being cool,
We’ll bring it back to Liverpool!

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It was typical Klopp. No doom and gloom, no self-pity. Transfer plans were already well advanced. Naby Keita was arriving from RB Leipzig for £52.75million and, within two days of Kyiv, they had completed a £40million move for Monaco’s holding midfielder Fabinho.

The big dilemma for the manager was the goalkeeper situation and how to handle a distraught Karius. His compassionate instinct was to wrap an arm around him and rehabilitate his Liverpool career rather than show him the door.

Four days after the final, Klopp received a call from Germany legend Franz Beckenbauer, who alerted him to the possibility that Karius may have been concussed by a blow to the head from Madrid’s Sergio Ramos shortly before his first costly blunder of the final.

Karius, who was on holiday in the U.S, was sent to see a specialist in Boston. Brain scans showed Karius had ‘visual-spatial dysfunction’, which can result in an inability to judge where objects are. “What the rest of the world is making of it, I don’t care. We don’t use it as an excuse: we use it as an explanation,” insisted Klopp, who branded Ramos “a brutal wrestler”.

Publicly, Klopp talked about a fresh start for Karius but the ‘keeper was a bag of nerves the following pre-season. His confidence was shot to bits.

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Behind the scenes, Liverpool had been working on a replacement long before the Champions League final. Klopp didn’t have complete faith in either Mignolet or Karius, which created uncertainty and a degree of resentment between the two ’keepers.


Loris Karius reflects on his traumatic Champions League final (Franck Fife/AFP via Getty Images)

Achterberg: “It was a really hard situation for Jurgen and all of us to deal with. We played Chester away in the first friendly after Kyiv. I kicked the ball towards Loris during the warm-up and it went straight through his hands and legs and into the net. Someone filmed it and it went viral on social media. Then we played Tranmere and he dropped the ball and they scored.

“I’d been watching Alisson’s development closely since (ex-Roma and Liverpool goalkeeper) Alexander Doni told me about this guy coming through at Internacional in Brazil. The problem was he didn’t have an EU passport, which meant we couldn’t have signed him when he went to Roma in 2016.

“When we played against Ali in a pre-season friendly in the States (in August 2016), I told Jurgen: ‘This is the one I was telling you about’. I kept watching and writing reports on every game he played. I spoke to all the recruitment guys about him.

“There was a meeting in January 2018 with Ali’s agent when we said how highly we rated him. That summer, the club were going to sign midfielder Nabil Fekir from Lyon but they backed out because he had a bad knee (a fee of £62million had been agreed).

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“If the Fekir deal had gone through, would we have had the money to sign Alisson? Things certainly turned out for the best. I told the boss that Ali was the one. We needed to move quick in mid-July because we knew Thibaut Courtois was leaving Chelsea (to join Madrid) and they needed a replacement.”

Initially quoted £90million by Roma, Edwards negotiated a £65m deal for Alisson. It was the final piece in the jigsaw.

In his first season at Anfield, he won the Premier League Golden Glove for most clean sheets (21) and was crowned goalkeeper of the year by both UEFA and FIFA. Klopp would walk around Melwood singing “All you need is Al-i-sson Beck-er” to the tune of Queen’s Radio Ga Ga.

There was also a significant change among the backroom staff. Lijnders had left Liverpool in January 2018 to manage Dutch outfit NEC Nijmegen but he returned just four months later after Klopp offered him the assistant manager’s job. The vacancy had arisen following the exit of Buvac, who had become increasingly distant as relations strained with other staff members.

Lijnders: “Jurgen gave me responsibility for the entire training process and that was very important to me. I wouldn’t have come back just for my old job. It meant I could continue with the things that I loved: planning training, delivering training, finding tactical and strategical plans. We challenged each other.

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“I’ve known him for nine years and he still surprises me every day. I always loved the meetings in Jurgen’s office the day before each game. That’s where you decide who starts, how we’re going to build the game, how we’re going to press them, what the messages to the players will be. Things become clear in our heads before we speak with the team.”


Klopp and Lijnders have a close bond on and off the field (Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)

Klopp then made some subtle changes to Liverpool’s blueprint. “We need more game management and control,” he explained. “Everyone talks about our intensity but sometimes when we run like devils, I have to say, ‘Come on, please cool down’.”

Prior to 2018-19, he prioritised improving Liverpool’s output from set pieces. Lijnders and Krawietz were tasked with coming up with the routines to make them count. By the end of the season, Liverpool were top of the Premier League set-piece goals table with 29.

Klopp the innovator was always seeking marginal gains. That summer, he recruited specialist throw-in coach Thomas Gronnemark after reading about his work in a German newspaper.

Gronnemark: “Before I met Jurgen, it was frustrating. I had all this knowledge about how to keep possession from throw-ins and create chances, but people didn’t want to listen. They only wanted long throw-ins. The first club that took it all on board was Liverpool. That says a lot about the mentality and the culture Jurgen created at Liverpool.”

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Fast forward to May 7, 2019, and Liverpool went into the second leg of their Champions League semi-final with Barcelona at Anfield 3-0 down and needing a miracle to avoid finishing the season empty-handed.

The previous night, title rivals Manchester City had beaten Leicester City courtesy of Vincent Kompany’s piledriver to remain masters of their own destiny. For the Barca game, Salah was sidelined by concussion and Firmino was injured.

Robertson: “The morning of the Barcelona game really stands out for me. The way he spoke and addressed Kompany’s goal, which pretty much finished the title race. It was like: ‘Right, does anyone want to say anything about what happened last night? No, right, here we go’.

“Then in the team meeting at the hotel, he said: ‘For anyone else, this is impossible, but because it’s you lot, there’s a chance.’ Belief built by the hour. You could sense it. You just couldn’t wait to get to Anfield. The changing room before the game was the loudest one I’ve ever been in.”

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Achterberg: “He said to the boys, ‘Close your eyes and imagine the best game you have ever played. Go out there and write a story to tell your grandkids one day’. The words were perfect. It was the greatest night ever at Anfield.”

The 3-0 deficit had already been wiped out when Alexander-Arnold’s quickly taken corner caught Barcelona napping and Origi swept home Liverpool’s fourth goal.

Alexander-Arnold: “That night epitomised what Jurgen had created. The mentality he had instilled in us that no matter what position we’re in, whoever we’re up against, we just believe that anything is possible. It’s happened so many times. All those fightbacks, all the late winners.”

Werner: “I was watching the game with John Henry in Boston. It will be etched in our memories forever. The fourth goal was just crazy.

“The sense of unity Jurgen had created was clear. I had the privilege of watching training one day and Jurgen got everyone in a circle to tell them it was Sadio Mane’s birthday. He got Sadio to sing ‘Happy Birthday’ in his native language and then turned to Virgil and said, ‘Why don’t you sing it in Dutch?’ Then he turned to Mo Salah and said ‘Why don’t you sing to Sadio in Arabic?’ On it went with everyone laughing. I just thought, ‘What a wonderful way to start the day.’”

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Despite achieving a club-record haul of 97 points and losing just one league match all season, the Premier League title eluded Liverpool on the final day as City finished one point clear. “That was our first chance to win it — not our last,” Klopp reassured his players.

The three-week gap to the Champions League final in Madrid wasn’t ideal but a friendly was arranged with Benfica’s B team at Liverpool’s training camp in Marbella as their style and formation was deemed similar to opponents Tottenham.

Klopp, who was bidding to end a run of six successive final defeats as a manager, was so relaxed he had a two-hour sleep in his hotel room on the afternoon of the final.

Robertson: “The night before in the stadium, he got us all in a circle. He said: ‘This is where we become Champions League winners tomorrow night’. It made the hairs on the back of your neck stand up. You just thought, ‘Yeah, this is it’. From the heartbreak of the year before in Kyiv, the feeling was: ‘Get us to that game, let’s do our job and get our hands on that trophy.’”


Klopp tells his players that this is where they will win the Champions League (Mohd Rasfan/AFP via Getty Images)

“Let’s talk about six, baby,” beamed Klopp after Salah’s early penalty and Origi’s drilled finish late on sealed the club’s sixth European Cup. “Did you ever see a team like this, fighting, with no fuel in the tank? They suffer for me. They deserve it more than anybody.”

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The celebrations inside the club’s private party in Madrid’s Eurostars Hotel went on until dawn. There was a symbolic moment when Klopp and friends, including Campino, headed to a side room to record an impromptu follow-up to their song from a year earlier:

We’re sending greetings from Madrid,
Tonight we made it number six,
We brought it back to Liverpool,
Because we promised we would do.

Around 750,000 people turned out in Liverpool for the homecoming parade. “If you could’ve put all the emotions, all the excitement, all the love in the air that day and bottled it up, the world would be a better place,” Klopp said.

With captain Jordan Henderson and vice-captain James Milner around, there was never any danger of standards slipping.  The 2019-20 season was one of ruthless and relentless consistency. There was no title race, just a procession. Klopp’s men took 79 points out of the first 81 on offer and lifted the European Super Cup and Club World Cup along the way. Everyone played their part, but the full-backs were so influential with the quality they provided from wide areas.

Robertson: “It was intense but the way the manager wanted us to play suited Trent and I in terms of trying to create. It was a massive part of our success, overloading the wide areas, having the three of us — myself, Gini and Sadio — more often on the left, and then Trent, Hendo and Mo on the right, trying to create overloads.

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“But we also had to be part of a strong defence. When Jurgen first came in, they were winning games 5-4 like the one at Norwich. That more often than not doesn’t win you titles. You have to be able to keep clean sheets.


Robertson and Alexander-Arnold were key under Klopp (Paul Ellis/AFP via Getty Images)

“There are lots of elements to his philosophy — like when we lose the ball, reacting quickly to win it back. That’s especially important against deeper-lying, low-block teams. That’s when spaces open up because maybe one of them is out of position. It was full throttle. You knew you needed to be at 100 per cent every game. It wasn’t as controlled as some other teams but you knew when you played against us, you had to outrun us and want it more than us to have a chance.”

Lijnders: “If players feel inspired, if they feel like they’re improving, there’s nothing better. If you work for a long time with the same group, you need to dress up well. It’s the same if you’re in a marriage! You always need to find new ways to inspire. The reason why we were successful is our players had unbelievable character, potential and attitude. We created stability by keeping Jurgen, staff and players together, always doing the same type of work on the training pitch.

“In the best games, it was our counter-pressing that made the big difference; not waiting for things to happen. When emotions become high, players forget the tactical plan. It’s the training and the repetition that makes the difference.”

In the summer of 2019, Klopp recruited performance psychologist Lee Richardson. He also invited German big-wave surfer Sebastian Steudtner to speak to the players about managing stress and teaching them breathing techniques.

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Richardson: “Jurgen is the best communicator I’ve ever seen. The head psychologist at Liverpool is Jurgen in many ways. He’s the one who affects most people with everything he does — with every team talk he gives, every decision he makes. The role of the actual psychologist is about being a support for different things that the manager can’t always be dealing with.”


Klopp perfected the art of the team talk (Paul Ellis/AFP via Getty Images)

With Liverpool on the cusp of ending their 30-year title drought in March 2020, the season was suspended due to the Covid-19 pandemic. The players assembled in the canteen at Melwood when Klopp told them: “Don’t worry about football for now. You are the best team in England and the most worthy champions there has ever been.”

The triumph was belatedly confirmed on June 25, 2020 after Manchester City lost to Chelsea. Liverpool were an unassailable 23 points clear of City with seven games remaining.

Alexander-Arnold: “We knew there was a chance it could happen, so Jurgen got everyone together for a barbecue. You never grow up dreaming of becoming a Premier League champion sitting at Formby Hall in the middle of a global pandemic! You think about a last-minute winner that snatches it, a full house at Anfield, celebrating with the fans.

“But it was still a special one for us. It was such a dominant season. We blew every team away. Looking back on that season, I don’t see how any team could have beaten us with the mentality that we had. We won games in so many different ways.”

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Klopp was reduced to tears as he went around hugging his players. His knack of making even those on the fringes of the squad feel important was underlined on the night Liverpool lifted the Premier League trophy after beating Chelsea at Anfield. Turning to his fourth-choice goalkeeper, he said: “Andy Lonergan, champion of England, champion of Europe, champion of the world. What a guy!”

The players responded by chanting the name of someone who had not made a single appearance for the club.

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Having scaled such heights, Liverpool fell quickly – despite the arrivals of Diogo Jota from Wolves and Thiago from Bayern Munich. For a team that fed off the emotional energy in the stands, playing behind closed doors during the pandemic was a hard, soulless slog.

Klopp also had to deal with the personal anguish of losing his mother Elizabeth and not being able to travel home to Germany for the funeral due to travel restrictions. On the field, Liverpool had a centre-back crisis after Van Dijk, Joe Gomez and Matip all suffered season-ending injuries. Playing Henderson and Fabinho in the back line didn’t work as it weakened the midfield. Klopp turned to rookies Nat Phillips and Rhys Williams to help salvage their top-four hopes.

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Phillips: “I look back on that period with a lot of pride — it brings a smile to my face. I’d only played once for Liverpool before that season: the FA Cup tie against Everton the year before when Curtis Jones scored a brilliant winner. Jurgen placing his faith and trust in me was a huge boost. He was always providing reassurance. He was very complimentary about me in the press. He made me feel that I deserved to be there.

“Before I was exposed to first-team football, I always had the impression there would be big personalities and big egos in there. But what struck me was that no one in that dressing room thought they were better than anyone else.”

Lijnders: “We had to keep each other positive. The moment I became negative, Jurgen became positive. When he was negative, I stayed positive – that’s the best way to describe it. The mindset was always, ‘What do we have?’ Not, ‘What don’t we have?’”

Robertson: “Even during the tough times, I don’t think anyone ever doubted the manager – you always felt he would find a way out of it. Of course, there were days when his energy wasn’t as high, results weren’t great, and times when we had to lift him.

“At the start of that season, if you had said we would be relying on Nat and Rhys to get us into the Champions League I don’t think many would have believed you. But Jurgen found a way. After all the problems we faced, it felt like a massive achievement.”

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Liverpool took 26 points out of the last 30 on offer to finish third in 2020-21. The highlight of the run-in was Alisson’s headed winner at West Bromwich Albion in the last minute of stoppage time. He became the first goalkeeper to score a competitive goal in the club’s 129-year history.

Achterberg: “I thought maybe Ali could be a nuisance in their box — but I wasn’t expecting that! There was a lot of passion on the bench because we were so desperate for that win. Ali’s part in the story is so big. Without the save he made late on against Napoli (to deny Arkadiusz Milik in the Champions League group stage in December 2018), there would have been no run to Madrid, no European Cup, no Super Cup or Club World Cup.

“Jurgen joked that if he had known Ali was this good he would have paid double. With Caoimhin Kelleher, we created the best goalkeeper department the club has ever had.”


Klopp on the podium with his players after the 2019 Champions League win (Erwin Spek/Soccrates/Getty Images)

Liverpool are set to appoint Arne Slot as their new head coach — and The Athletic has every angle covered.


Klopp’s “mentality monsters” kicked on during a breathless 2021-22. Both domestic cups were won on penalties against Chelsea at Wembley with the manager saluting the “incredible impact” of Neuro11, the German neuroscientists that had been recruited to work with the players on dead-ball situations. Liverpool scored 17 of their 18 spot-kicks across the two shootouts.

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Quadruple talk gathered pace but Liverpool missed out on the two biggest prizes by the finest of margins. Once again the title race went down to the final day. City’s late fightback from 2-0 down to beat Aston Villa 3-2 ensured they finished a point clear.

Achterberg: “Jurgen never talked about City. His attitude was: ‘We only play them twice a season, so why worry?’ You can’t influence what they do. We knew that City had much greater resources but we were so close to winning the lot that year.”

On the same night that Liverpool beat Villarreal to reach a third Champions League final under Klopp, on-loan Phillips was celebrating helping Bournemouth win promotion back to the top flight.

Phillips: “My phone buzzed with a message from Jurgen. He thanked me and Rhys for the part we had played in getting them into the Champions League the season before. The fact he had us in his mind at that time says a lot about him.”

The chaos outside Stade de France blighted the showpiece occasion in Paris. On the field, Liverpool were thwarted by the heroics of Real Madrid goalkeeper Courtois and Vinicius Junior’s goal.

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Werner: “We spent a lot of time with Jurgen in Paris after that defeat. It was so discouraging because we all felt we were the better team on the night. If we replayed that match 10 times, we probably win eight. But Jurgen was so optimistic about the future. He was far more cheerful than any of us.

“He has such a unique perspective. There’s that famous quote that ‘football is the most important of the least important things in life’. Jurgen knows that football at its best is a real tonic for people. He appreciates the wins but keeps the losses in perspective. He articulates himself after a defeat in such a way that it soothes your pain. He carries that balance. It’s demonstrated in his relationship with the team, his staff, the supporters and the city. He always has a grasp of the bigger part.”


Having built one great team, Klopp set about assembling another. The frontline evolved with the signings of Luis Diaz, Darwin Nunez and Cody Gakpo. But he over-estimated what some loyal servants had left in their legs after an energy-sapping 63-game campaign.

The 2022-23 season was bleak as an ageing midfield was repeatedly over-run and injuries cut deep. The tactical tweak of moving Alexander-Arnold into the centre when Liverpool were in possession sparked a late revival but it was in vain as they missed out on a top-four finish.

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Henderson and Fabinho were lured away by Saudi Arabia’s riches, following the departures of Milner, Keita, Firmino and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain as free agents. The midfield overhaul saw Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai, Wataru Endo and Ryan Gravenberch recruited.

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Lijnders: “Jurgen and I had good talks last summer about the future. We said, ‘OK, let’s do one more year, see how it goes’. I said to all the guys at the start of pre-season: ‘The first one who is negative, I’ll punch in the face!’ We needed a reset with new players and that worked out well. It must have been late October or November that Jurgen and I had some good talks.

“We both came to the conclusion that the right thing to do was to go at the end of the season. Jurgen had made his mind up and I was quite clear that it was the right time to make my own way. We wanted to leave the club with Champions League football and a team the next manager can really take care of. I think we did the right thing.”

When Van Dijk’s extra-time header secured Carabao Cup glory against Chelsea at Wembley in February, Klopp described it as “easily the most special trophy I’ve ever won”. At the time, he was wrestling with an injury crisis and turned to youth. Harvey Elliott, Conor Bradley, Jarell Quansah, Bobby Clark, James McConnell and Jayden Danns all played their part.

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Who’s who on Team Klopp

1 Michelle Hudson, masseur
2 Motonori Watanabe, masseur/therapist
3 Paul Small, masseur
4 James French, opposition analyst
5 Jonathan Power, club doctor
6 Lee Nobes, head of physiotherapy
7 Mona Nemmer, head of nutrition
8 Chris Morgan, physiotherapist
9 Jurgen Klopp, manager
10 Ray Haughan, first-team operations manager
11 John Achterberg, goalkeeping coach
12 Vitor Matos, elite development coach
13 Andreas Kornmayer, head of fitness and conditioning
14 Joel Bonner, post-match analysis
15 Jack Robinson, assistant goalkeeping coach
16 Dr Conall Murtagh, first-team fitness coach
17 Louise Dobson, senior first-team operations officer
18 Lorna Butler, assistant nutritionist
19 Connor Stewart, catering supervisor
20 Pep Lijnders, assistant manager
21 Daniel Spearritt, post-match and elite player development analyst

Inglethorpe: “Jurgen believes that anything is possible, and puts young players at ease. I would have wanted to play for him. Whatever talent you have, he would get the best out of you; that’s a magical quality. He’s consistently given young players a stage to play on and when it’s been best for their career to move on, he’s done it with care and thought. He will have a seat at the top table when people talk about the all-time greats who have managed this club.”

After Klopp publicly announced in late January his decision to stand down and take a break from football, there was a period when it looked like he would get the perfect farewell as Liverpool rode a wave of emotion. However, they couldn’t sustain it and their challenge for further honours wilted.

But his status remains undimmed. What a ride it’s been, and what a legacy he’s leaving behind, one that will be celebrated at Anfield on Sunday by many of the people who shared in the journey.

Alexander-Arnold: “It’s going to be a hard transition for us as players. It’s an emotional one. It’s going to be very difficult to say goodbye. It’s one that I’ll never be ready to do, to be honest. The only thing I can really say to him is ‘thank you’. Everything I’ve achieved is down to him and the opportunities he gave me. When I’m done with football, I’ll look back and think of the years we spent together as the most fun, the best and the most important.”

Achterberg: “Look where Liverpool were when Jurgen arrived and where they are now. As well as the trophies, look at the new training ground and the redevelopment of Anfield. He won everything and fulfilled all our dreams. He created one of the best teams European football has ever seen and brought joy to so many people.”

Werner: “It’s about far more than the trophies. Look at the number of young players from the academy who surpassed expectations. Jurgen is a very selfless man. Part of the love people have for him is that he really understands the club and the relationship the club has with the supporters. The idea of him ever coaching another Premier League team is absurd. It just wouldn’t happen. He’s got LFC tattooed on his heart.”

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Robertson: “Without him, what I’ve achieved in football wouldn’t have been possible. He gave us the best time of our lives. When my kids were born, he was one of the first to congratulate me and make sure my wife was OK. Those are the kinds of things you don’t forget. In the seven years I’ve been here, a lot has happened in my life and he’s been a key support throughout on and off the pitch. I will look back on it when I’m old and grey and think, ‘Without him, it wouldn’t have been possible’.”

Lijnders: “‘Unforgettable’ is the word I would use. I feel really blessed that we could stay so long at a club and conquer so many major trophies. What an honour it’s been — to work with Jurgen Klopp, to be part of something so beautiful.”

(Top photos: Getty Images; design: Eamonn Dalton)

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Culture

The secret of Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid’s creative partnership: ‘Let’s see how far we can take it’

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The secret of Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid’s creative partnership: ‘Let’s see how far we can take it’

In the days before his first Super Bowl, Patrick Mahomes was on a practice field with a small group of offensive players and coaches while the rest of the team worked on special teams.

In Mahomes’ early years as an NFL quarterback, the Kansas City Chiefs’ special teams period had become his personal lab — the time he could push the boundaries of what was possible, breaking rules, inventing plays, experimenting with new mechanics. Chiefs coach Andy Reid had a phrase for that way of thinking: “I’m giving you the keys,” he’d say.

At practice before the biggest game of his young career, Mahomes turned the keys and floored the gas. As he sprinted out to his right, he pulled the ball down and went full Magic Johnson, flinging a behind-the-back pass to tight end Travis Kelce. Deland McCullough, the Chiefs’ running backs coach at the time, watched in stunned silence.

“I’m not talking about Travis being 10 yards away,” McCullough said. “Travis might have been 25, 30 yards away.”

It wasn’t the last time Mahomes flirted with a behind-the-back pass. He teased the possibility in interviews and lobbied Reid to let him try it in a game, convinced he could pull it off. Last season, former Chiefs receiver Marcus Kemp was so sure that Mahomes still wanted to attempt a behind-the-back pass that he was hesitant to talk about it.

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“I think Pat is still trying to get it in,” Kemp said. “He has been for probably three years now.”

When Mahomes finally pulled it out in the preseason, finding Kelce against the Lions on Aug. 17, the internet did its usual thing. But the most revealing reaction came from Reid, the man who loaned Mahomes the keys years ago.

“I’ve been telling you to do that for a while,” Reid told his quarterback.


The Reid-Mahomes partnership is already one of the most successful in NFL history.

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In the six seasons since Mahomes became the full-time starter, no team in the league has won more games or scored more points. There are also the three Super Bowl trophies, the six straight appearances in the AFC Championship game and the prospect this season of the first Super Bowl three-peat, but the relationship is more than results. It is an innovative force more in line with Lennon-McCartney or Wozniak-Jobs, a prolific duo that thrives on creative collaboration.

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Reid, the 66-year-old son of a Hollywood set designer, doesn’t want his players to color outside the lines; he wants them to expand the boundaries to somewhere off the page. Mahomes, the 28-year-old son of a major-league pitcher, doesn’t just want to excel at quarterback; he wants to reimagine what the position looks like.

“(Reid) has made this environment around him where he keeps people around who he believes have the same core values,” Kemp said. “I do believe he brought in Pat for that reason.”

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“That environment was like, ‘Wow,’” McCullough said. “The juices were always flowing.”

Reid pushed Mahomes to think bigger from their first practices together in 2017. “I want you to stretch the offense,” the coach would tell his quarterback again and again.

That meant taking deep shots. Forcing tight-window throws. Exploring what was possible, even if it meant Mahomes might occasionally fail.

“Let’s see how far we can take it,” Reid would say.

As the two became more comfortable with each other — and as Mahomes displayed rare talent — they fostered a creative energy that allowed them to bring the most out of their individual abilities. Reid was the offensive guru who would try anything, the kind of tinkerer who once put a 350-pound nose tackle at running back and implored his assistants to follow a simple rule: “Don’t Judge.” Mahomes was the quarterback who believed he could pull off anything, a risk-taker who unleashed his first no-look pass during the fourth quarter of a close game in college.

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Veteran players in Kansas City began to notice something in the early years.

“That youthful exuberance that Pat has has rubbed off on Coach and gave him some extra life,” said Mitchell Schwartz, a former Chiefs offensive lineman. “Because he didn’t have to be quite so regimented. He had this guy who was able to do what he wanted to do.”

Reid’s willingness to explore allowed Mahomes to tap into the full depth of his unique and often unconventional skills. When Mahomes was backing up Alex Smith in 2017, he ran the scout team. One day, Reid whistled and called over Brad Childress, then the team’s assistant head coach. Reid told Childress to pull out his play sheet and start marking plays: “Play 3, Play 5, Play 6, Play 8 … ”

Reid had just witnessed Mahomes throw at least four no-look passes, bewildering veteran linebacker Justin Houston and the rest of the first-team defense.

“Justin Houston’s reaction — it was unbelievable,” Childress said. “He looked in the flat. He looked at the quarterback. He looked where the ball got completed. He looked at Coach Reid. He looked back at the quarterback. He looked back at the flat. He’s like: ‘What just happened?’”

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Reid kept his poker face. Just watch the film of those plays, he told Childress. But Childress had been around long enough to know: Reid was hiding a smile.



Patrick Mahomes confers with Andy Reid before Super Bowl LVIII in February. (Harry How / Getty Images)

When Schwartz played for the Chiefs from 2016 to 2020, the team held a walkthrough practice on Tuesday after they watched film. Players wore regular clothes. No cleats. Pretty casual vibe.

There was one unique feature: Every week, Reid wandered around with a little piece of paper scribbled with new plays even his assistant coaches hadn’t seen before. To players and coaches, Reid looked like a man weaving through a full-sized chess board, pulling receivers into new spots, moving a tight end a few yards this way, trying to visualize the geometry.

It wasn’t a solo process. Reid would hold a notecard up in the huddle, allowing players to, as Kemp said, “figure it out in their mind.” Then they would line up. Usually the play didn’t even have a name.

“He might go through seven or eight things and maybe four of them make the cut,” McCullough said.

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The process felt so elemental — as if a play was being invented in real-time — that it demystified the process. Players were empowered to offer their own suggestions and tweaks. It was exactly what Reid wanted.

“That’s where Patrick started to feel comfortable enough to create those plays by himself,” Kemp said. “It was seeing the head man do it and work through it on the field. You didn’t have to have a perfect play that you had to bring to him.”

Under Reid, the Chiefs are famous for mining plays from anywhere: friends, rivals, college games, the 1948 Rose Bowl. Even from insane-seeming ideas during walkthroughs.

“I feel like Coach just kind of observes stuff Pat does during practice having fun and is like, ‘Hmm, that could be pretty cool,’” Schwartz said.


The most outside-the-box collaboration of the Reid-Mahomes era came on Jan. 7, 2023. That was the day the Chiefs ran “Arctic Circle” — otherwise known as the “Circle of Death” — a play that began with a spinning huddle and descended into pure anarchy.

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Running back Jerick McKinnon lined up in the shotgun, ran a run-pass option, then flipped the ball to Mahomes, who stopped and threw the ball back across the field to receiver Kadarius Toney, who scampered into the end zone only for the touchdown to be wiped out by a holding penalty.

The plan was pure razzle-dazzle, but the spinning huddle was even weirder. The only people who weren’t fazed were the players on the field.

“We had seen it for pretty much for the entire year in different capacities,” Kemp said.

The play had been born at a series of Saturday walkthroughs, when the Chiefs would run through a list of Hail Marys and end-of-game trick plays. After running many of the same looks for four or five years, the staff started looking for ways to spice it up.

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“That’s a time for Pat and the entire offense to get creative,” Kemp said. “It doesn’t really matter if it’s legal or not.”

At some point, someone wondered: What if we all started spinning in a circle before breaking the huddle?

What looked like chaos was actually a finely edited script: Reid took a weird idea and broke it down step by step, one of the hallmarks of his success. “He’ll poke out the details of it so he can teach it over and over and over again,” Kemp said. “He told everybody specifically what direction to turn and when to break and who was going to call it and where the receivers needed to end up and how they needed to do specific things. I think that’s why it worked out: details.”

After several Saturdays of tinkering and perfecting the circle-of-death concept, Reid signed off: Let’s put it in.

Of course, Mahomes has the kind of talent that makes any idea seem like a good one. “Pat is one of those dudes that is really good at a lot of things he does,” Kemp said, “so he’ll do something randomly and it will just click for him or a coach and they’ll find a way to incorporate it.”

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When Mahomes took over as the starter in 2018, he started lobbying to throw a shovel pass underhand because he thought it would disguise the play better than a traditional shovel pass. When the timing didn’t work, Reid built a new formation over the course of two or three weeks so it would.

The play became a staple.

Around the same time, Mahomes started making center Austin Reiter practice snaps on the run. It began as another fun practice experiment, but soon enough the quarterback was asking assistant coach Tom Melvin if it was legal, and then he took it to the finishing lab — the special teams period — where he worked on plays with Kelce. All that was left was Reid, who installed a play called “Ferrari Right.”

“Coach Reid knows that fine line where he’s just crazy enough but just safe enough,” said Anthony Gordon, a former Chiefs quarterback.

“It was never a tense environment,” added Matt McGloin, another former quarterback. “It was always fun. It was always exciting. You were always learning, which was incredible. It was always a big collaborative effort.”

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One day before the 2018 season, Mahomes and Reid ran through a play sheet for an upcoming preseason game. Mahomes had made one career start, against Denver the previous year, and Reid was in his 20th season as an NFL head coach. But when Mahomes said he didn’t like one of the plays in the game plan, Reid crossed it off.

“That’s the confidence that Andy had in his players,” McGloin said.

Six years later, the partnership thrives.

On the eve of last season’s AFC Championship Game in Baltimore, Mahomes sat in another meeting with Reid as the team’s offensive staff talked through end-of-game plays. If they needed to convert a third-and-long to win the game, Mahomes said he wanted a play that could beat man-to-man coverage and counter the Ravens’ pressure.

The next night, the Chiefs led the Ravens 17-10 with 2:19 left. It was third and 9. Mahomes walked over to the sideline.

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“Give me the ball,” he said.

Reid knew the play Mahomes wanted. He handed the keys to Mahomes again.

The Chiefs lined up three receivers to the left, the Ravens showed Cover Zero, and Mahomes found receiver Marques Valdes-Scantling on a deep shot over the middle, sending Kansas City back to the Super Bowl.

(Illustration: Meech Robinson / The Athletic; photos: Ryan Kang / Getty Images; David Eulitt / Getty Images)

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Why each of the Top 10 Super Bowl contenders will (or won’t) hoist the Lombardi in February

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Why each of the Top 10 Super Bowl contenders will (or won’t) hoist the Lombardi in February

The Kansas City Chiefs have won back-to-back Super Bowls, so the entire NFL will be looking to knock them off their perch atop the league. What’s surprising, though, is that despite winning two titles in a row, my NFL Projection Model does not see the Chiefs as the favorites to win it all this year. That’s more a testament to the AFC, which is deep with talented teams, making the Chiefs’ march to another conference crown extremely difficult.

Then again, the road won’t be easy for any team. If it were, we wouldn’t be watching.

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With that in mind, and the start of the season less than a week away, let’s examine the 10 teams most likely to win the Super Bowl and provide reasons why they will or won’t be the last team standing in February.

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NFL Projection Model: Super Bowl

Why they’ll win the Super Bowl

The 49ers still have arguably the best roster in the NFL, with my projection model suggesting they have the best offense and fourth-best defense in the league. Quarterback Brock Purdy is 17-4 as a starter in his young career, and coach Kyle Shanahan is one of the best offensive minds in football. When you have top-five units on both sides of the ball and you’re coming off a second NFC title in three years, it’s not hard to argue for why you’ll win it.

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Why they won’t win the Super Bowl

Contract chaos. Negotiations with star receiver Brandon Aiyuk and All-Pro left tackle Trent Williams spill into the season, and without these two practicing for the majority of the summer, the offense sputters out of the gate and struggles to find a rhythm.

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And if the 49ers ultimately deal Aiyuk, that will be a huge blow to the offense despite their investment in the position in the draft. The 49ers employ a rookie contract quarterback, so they have plenty of talent beyond Aiyuk and Williams, but without those two pushing the unit to full strength, it’s hard to envision San Francisco reaching another Super Bowl.

Kansas City Chiefs (11.8%)

Why they’ll win the Super Bowl

You know the reasons. It’s hard not to sound like a broken record when talking about this era of the Chiefs, but here goes: They have a generational quarterback in Patrick Mahomes, an all-time great coach in Andy Reid, one of the best assistant coaches in recent memory in defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo and a championship-caliber roster. If Mahomes is healthy and under center, it’s hard to see them as an underdog against anyone.

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Why they won’t win the Super Bowl

No team in the Super Bowl era has ever three-peated. It’s incredibly difficult to win the Super Bowl, and despite Mahomes and Co. making it look so easy, the AFC really is stacked this year. One thing I’m worried about is that the Chiefs kind of sleepwalked through the regular season last year. If they have to go on the road in the playoffs again, maybe the defense takes a step back (replacing star CB L’Jarius Sneed won’t be easy) and they trip up in a tough environment like Baltimore or Buffalo.


Can coach Dan Campbell lead the Detroit Lions to the franchise’s first Super Bowl title? (Gregory Shamus / Getty Images)

Why they’ll win the Super Bowl

The defense becomes respectable, especially in the secondary. Last year, the Lions ranked 24th in EPA/play and 29th against the pass, according to TruMedia. They should have no problem on offense — they’re ranked third by my model — but if they’re going to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, the defense needs to take strides. And since their first two picks in the NFL Draft were both spent on cornerbacks (first-rounder Terrion Arnold and second-rounder Ennis Rakestraw Jr.), I’d say general manager Brad Holmes and coach Dan Campbell agree.

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Why they won’t win the Super Bowl

The offense becomes stale under Jared Goff, just like it did in Los Angeles. In Year 3 with the Rams, Goff reached the Super Bowl with his EPA/dropback and success rate metrics hitting a peak. In Year 4, his numbers dropped off, and the Rams went from 13 wins to nine. If Goff follows a similar trajectory in his fourth year in Detroit, with an improving division, the Lions could fall short of expectations.

Why they’ll win the Super Bowl

Coordinator upgrades on both sides of the ball allow the Eagles to reach their full potential. The Eagles were a mess last year, and getting the coordinator hires right could offset losing Jason Kelce and Fletcher Cox to retirement. Vic Fangio should be a huge upgrade to a defense that lost its way last year. And the addition of an explosive playmaker in Saquon Barkley should allow new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore to take some of the burden off Jalen Hurts as a runner, which will help keep the quarterback healthy for the entire season en route to the Super Bowl.

Why they won’t win the Super Bowl

The defense just doesn’t quite put it together. The Eagles’ first three picks in April’s draft were all spent on the defensive side of the ball, and the first two — defensive backs Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean — will be expected to contribute in the secondary. That’s a lot of pressure to put on a pair of inexperienced players. My model has the Eagles defense projected to be a league-average unit as it stands right now, and if the young players in the secondary don’t show up, Philadelphia won’t last long in January.

Baltimore Ravens (6.3%)

Why they’ll win the Super Bowl

The defense remains one of the best in the NFL despite losing defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald to the Seattle Seahawks. If Zach Orr can step in and keep things at the standard they were at under Macdonald, this is one of the best teams in football. Orr has been with the Ravens as a player and coach for all but one year of his career, so he will have all the knowledge needed to keep the ship on course. Also worth mentioning: Two-time MVP QB Lamar Jackson and running back Derrick Henry could be the most dangerous backfield duo since the turn of the century, and that ends up being a huge reason for their success.

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Why they won’t win the Super Bowl

Losses on the offensive line are too much to overcome, and the Ravens find themselves struggling to fend off contenders in a deep AFC. Jackson can erase a lot of deficiencies, but replacing three offensive linemen and relying on Ronnie Stanley’s health becomes a roster-building mistake even Jackson can’t overcome. The Ravens had one of the better offensive lines in the league last year, but no offense can reach its goals if it’s struggling in the trenches. If this line fails to come together, so will the Ravens.

Why they’ll win the Super Bowl

Because the defense improves without Dan Quinn. Though things got stale with Mike Zimmer as a head coach in Minnesota, I still think he is one of the better defensive minds in football. Despite rostering one of the best pass rushers in the league in Micah Parsons, the Cowboys defense always seemed to come up short against great offenses during Quinn’s tenure —  especially against those running the Shanahan/Sean McVay schemes. If Zimmer gets a little more out of this talented unit, the Cowboys offense has enough firepower to take them to their first Super Bowl since 1994.

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Why they won’t win the Super Bowl

Because Dak Prescott can’t overcome negative plays in big games. Listen, Prescott is a good quarterback and I think he’s one of few capable of leading an NFL team to a ring. But he tends to throw interceptions and take sacks at a higher rate than the league’s elite when it matters. Last year (playoffs included), Prescott ranked 13th in sacks plus INT rate at 7.4 percent. Against 2023 playoff teams (eight games), he ranked 26th at 10.3 percent. If Prescott and the Cowboys offense can’t avoid the disaster plays in the big games, they will endure yet another disappointing end to their season.

Buffalo Bills (5.6%)

Why they’ll win the Super Bowl

Because Josh Allen is the second-best quarterback in the NFL and lifts a Bills offense that no longer has star wide receiver Stefon Diggs. The Chiefs traded away Tyreek Hill and won back-to-back Super Bowls, and while I don’t think Allen is Mahomes, he’s the next closest thing. The Bills look to be following the Chiefs’ blueprint of keeping the roster healthy for the long term rather than spending too much on one position (Diggs/Hill). If Allen can rise to the occasion like Mahomes has, there is no reason the Bills can’t finish on top in February.

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Why they won’t win the Super Bowl

The defense isn’t deep enough to carry its weight. Linebacker Matt Milano, a vital member of the Bills defense, is going to miss extended time recovering from a torn biceps injury he suffered earlier this month. With Milano in the lineup, my projections have the Bills as a fringe top-10 defense. Without him, they look more like an average unit, as the model is not overly fond of the remaining back seven. Without depth in that area, I’m afraid that hill will be too steep to climb for Buffalo.

Why they’ll win the Super Bowl

Quarterback Joe Burrow plays a full season. Burrow has been one of the league’s best quarterbacks when healthy, but he’s struggled to stay on the field. The offense has the weapons in place to be one of the best units in the league, and if Burrow is out there, it’s a good bet that unit will be near the top five. Factor in the fourth-place schedule the Bengals will play this season, and there is an easier-than-expected path through the stacked AFC. In fact, Burrow has a chance to lead the Bengals to a first-round bye.

Why they won’t win the Super Bowl

The defense isn’t championship-caliber. The Bengals ranked 25th in EPA/play on defense last year, so it’s going to take an awful lot to get back into the top 10. My model has them projected to be an average unit entering the season, and that’s likely not good enough considering where the offense is. Burrow is a great quarterback, but I don’t think he’s shown the ability to carry an average defense to a Super Bowl.

Why they’ll win the Super Bowl

Because coach Matt LaFleur, quarterback Jordan Love and this offense dismantled the Cowboys in the playoffs last year and took the 49ers to the wire in the divisional round. And that was no fluke. Another offseason for Love and the ceiling for the Packers on that side of the ball is as high as anyone’s in the league. If they come close to reaching that ceiling, they have a great shot to go all the way.

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Why they won’t win the Super Bowl

Because while the offense was a top-five unit by EPA/play in the second half of last season, the defense ranked in the bottom 10, and the special teams was the worst unit in football during the same period. Changes have been made at defensive coordinator — Jeff Hafley replaced Joe Barry — and the talent is there, but can it all come together for Green Bay? It’s a tough thing to bet on. Even if the defense is average, combined with horrible special teams play, that’s just too much burden for the offense to carry.

Why they’ll win the Super Bowl

The easy answer here is that Aaron Rodgers plays like an MVP, but I think the more glaring issue is the offensive line, which allowed pressure at the sixth-highest rate last year. The Jets addressed this by upgrading the unit in free agency (Tyron Smith, Morgan Moses, John Simpson) and the draft (Olu Fashanu). Even though Fashanu hasn’t played an NFL snap yet, he’ll serve as crucial depth behind the oft-injured Smith.

If the Jets keep Rodgers upright, all he needs to do is be an above-average quarterback, and the Jets can make a run with their elite defense.

Why they won’t win the Super Bowl

Because having an elite defense year over year is tough. The New England Patriots are the only team to rank in the top five  of EPA/play on defense in each of the past three seasons. And you could argue the quarterback play in the AFC East during the stretch has inflated the Patriots’ ranking. The Jets defense enters the season in the top three, per my model. If the unit were to slide down, even to seventh best, that could too big of a hill to climb for an offense that has uncertainties.

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(Photo illustration: Dan Goldfarb / The Athletic;
photos: Lauren Leigh Bacho, Ryan Kang and Ric Tapia: Getty Images) 

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Culture

The ‘Middle’ Is a Muddle

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The ‘Middle’ Is a Muddle

“Americans want policies that give every American a chance to make it to the middle class.” Middletown “A leader who understands the middle class because she grew up in the middle class.” midlist “We have a chance to elect a president who is for the middle class because she is from the middle class.” middlebrow “We are charting a new way forward. Forward to a future with a strong and growing middle class because we know a strong middle class has always been critical to America’s success and building that middle class will be a defining goal of my presidency. And I’ll tell you, this is personal for me. The middle class is where I come from.” mid “Everyone in Middletown runs absorbed in keeping his job or raising his wages, building his home, ‘boosting’ his club or church, educating his children.” middle of the pack “Kings have frequently lamented the miserable consequence of being born to great things, and wished they had been placed in the middle of the two extremes, between the mean and the great.” middle of the road “If any human being, man, woman, dog, cat or half-crushed worm dares call me ‘middlebrow’ I will take my pen and stab him, dead.” middle seat middle age “A tepid ooze of Midcult is spreading everywhere.” middle school “We have entered the golden age of Mid TV.” middle finger Middle Ages “Be careful: these are dangerous streets for us upper-lower-middle-class types.” “Americans want policies that give every American a chance to make it to the middle class.” Middletown “A leader who understands the middle class because she grew up in the middle class.” midlist “We have a chance to elect a president who is for the middle class because she is from the middle class.” middlebrow “We are charting a new way forward. Forward to a future with a strong and growing middle class because we know a strong middle class has always been critical to America’s success and building that middle class will be a defining goal of my presidency. And I’ll tell you, this is personal for me. The middle class is where I come from.” mid “Everyone in Middletown runs absorbed in keeping his job or raising his wages, building his home, ‘boosting’ his club or church, educating his children.” middle of the pack “Kings have frequently lamented the miserable consequence of being born to great things, and wished they had been placed in the middle of the two extremes, between the mean and the great.” middle of the road “If any human being, man, woman, dog, cat or half-crushed worm dares call me ‘middlebrow’ I will take my pen and stab him, dead.” middle seat middle age “A tepid ooze of Midcult is spreading everywhere.” middle school “We have entered the golden age of Mid TV.” middle finger Middle Ages “Be careful: these are dangerous streets for us upper-lower-middle-class types.” “Americans want policies that give every American a chance to make it to the middle class.” Middletown “A leader who understands the middle class because she grew up in the middle class.” midlist “We have a chance to elect a president who is for the middle class because she is from the middle class.” middlebrow “We are charting a new way forward. Forward to a future with a strong and growing middle class because we know a strong middle class has always been critical to America’s success and building that middle class will be a defining goal of my presidency. And I’ll tell you, this is personal for me. The middle class is where I come from.” mid “Everyone in Middletown runs absorbed in keeping his job or raising his wages, building his home, ‘boosting’ his club or church, educating his children.” middle of the pack “Kings have frequently lamented the miserable consequence of being born to great things, and wished they had been placed in the middle of the two extremes, between the mean and the great.” middle of the road “If any human being, man, woman, dog, cat or half-crushed worm dares call me ‘middlebrow’ I will take my pen and stab him, dead.” middle seat middle age “A tepid ooze of Midcult is spreading everywhere.” middle school “We have entered the golden age of Mid TV.” middle finger Middle Ages “Be careful: these are dangerous streets for us upper-lower-middle-class types.”

Everybody loves the middle class. Nobody wants to be mid, or middling. “Middle” is a tricky word.

Are you middle class? Am I? Is everybody?

In American politics, “middle class” doesn’t just name a particular segment of the population, a demographic group whose votes are necessary to electoral success. It represents an ideal, a moral principle, a set of values and interests that are not particular but universal.

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At the Democratic convention, the phrase seemed to pop up in every other speech. Full-throated tributes to the middle class were offered by, among others, a governor who is also the billionaire scion of a hotel empire, an actor who happens to be a son and grandson of Hollywood moguls, and a congresswoman who once worked as a bartender.

“Americans want policies that give every American a chance to make it to the middle class.”Gov. J.B. Pritzker of Illinois

“A leader who understands the middle class because she grew up in the middle class.”the actor Tony Goldwyn

“We have a chance to elect a president who is for the middle class because she is from the middle class.”Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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And also, of course, by Vice President Kamala Harris, a daughter of an economist and a medical researcher, who was portrayed by speaker after speaker as both a product of the middle class and its champion.

“We are charting a new way forward. Forward to a future with a strong and growing middle class because we know a strong middle class has always been critical to America’s success and building that middle class will be a defining goal of my presidency. And I’ll tell you, this is personal for me. The middle class is where I come from.”Vice President Kamala Harris

Allegiance to the middle class doesn’t define the left or the right; it transcends such divisions. Political parties are expected to move to the center, and to prioritize the needs of Middle America, which both is and isn’t a geographical designation.

Nearly a century ago, the sociologists Helen Merrell Lynd and Robert Staughton Lynd called their classic study of the American heartland “Middletown.” It was about Muncie, Ind., but there are plenty of actual Middletowns out there. The one in Ohio is Senator JD Vance’s hometown.

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“Everyone in Middletown runs absorbed in keeping his job or raising his wages, building his home, ‘boosting’ his club or church, educating his children.”Helen Merrell Lynd and Robert Staughton Lynd, “Middletown”

The middle is everywhere. Which, when you stop to think about it, is odd, even illogical. The creme may be the best part of the Oreo, but it exists only in relation to the wafers that surround it. If it’s only middle, it isn’t a cookie at all, just a blob of sweet goo.

That may be why politicians seek out the middle so eagerly.

“Kings have frequently lamented the miserable consequence of being born to great things, and wished they had been placed in the middle of the two extremes, between the mean and the great.”Daniel Defoe, “Robinson Crusoe”

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The rest of our culture often goes in the opposite direction. In art, up high is where the masterpieces are; down low is where the fun is.

The middle — the midlist, the middlebrow, the just plain mid — is a dead zone. Average. Ordinary. Common. Median. Mediocre. Meh.

“If any human being, man, woman, dog, cat or half-crushed worm dares call me ‘middlebrow,’ I will take my pen and stab him, dead.”Virginia Woolf

“A tepid ooze of Midcult is spreading everywhere.”Dwight Macdonald, “Masscult and Midcult”

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“We have entered the golden age of Mid TV.”James Poniewozik, The New York Times

The middle is not good enough to be great, not bad enough to be trash, and thus comes in for a special kind of contempt. Middle of the pack. Middle of the road. Middle seat. Middle school is miserable, and so is middle age. So were the Middle Ages!

Which, as it happens, is when the middle class got started, as a kind of catchall category between the established feudal ranks. There were people who owned the land and people who worked on it, and then there were people who did other things. Across Europe, those merchants, manufacturers and, well, middlemen tended to congregate in market towns. The French word for that kind of place was bourg, and so this class of non-peasants and non-aristocrats came to be called the bourgeoisie.

“Full of seething, wormy, hollow feelings
rather nasty —
How beastly the bourgeois is!”D.H. Lawrence

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“The bourgeoisie, during its rule of scarce 100 years, has created more massive and more colossal productive forces than have all preceding generations together.”Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels

Everybody hates the bourgeoisie. Maybe not everyone, but you rarely hear “bourgeois” used as a compliment. The word connotes priggish respectability, pomp and pretentiousness, a way of life lacking the elegance and distinction — the class — of the old landed elite. It also referred to the ruling class, the factory owners and capitalists whose historic antagonists were the workers they employed, also known as the proletariat.

That isn’t a word you hear much anymore. Working class — a term favored by some of the speakers at the Republican convention as well as a few Democrats — is now a synonym for middle class, which only heightens the contradiction. The modern-day middle class now somehow includes both sides of the historical class struggle.

“Be careful: These are dangerous streets for us upper-lower-middle-class types.”Homer Simpson

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The middle is divided against itself — an aspirational ideal and a default setting, a state of equilibrium and a place to get stuck. The center cannot hold.

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