Crypto
Tucker Carlson Calls Markets ‘Fake’ After 60 Days of Middle East Conflict
Key Takeaways
- Tucker Carlson called public markets “fake,” pointing to oil trading under $100/barrel despite 60+ days of war disruption.
- Bitcoin climbed to $82,000 and drew $2B in April ETF inflows as investors bypassed traditional safe-haven assets like gold.
- With the Strait of Hormuz still contested in May 2026, analysts warn record S&P 500 highs near 7,300 could reverse fast.
Tucker Carlson: ‘Markets Are Doing Things You Would Not Expect Markets to Do’
The comments came against a backdrop that has left many analysts searching for explanations. Operation Epic Fury, the U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran, launched on February 28, 2026. Strikes hit Iranian leadership and infrastructure. Iran responded with missiles, drones, and disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of global oil flows.
A fragile ceasefire emerged during the first week of April, but brinkmanship, ship strikes, and intermittent violence have continued into May. Despite all of it, equities climbed. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 10% in the initial weeks, then staged a sharp recovery, closing above 7,000 in mid-April and trading near 7,389 by May 8. The Nasdaq 100 logged a 13-day winning streak, its longest in over a decade. The Dow approached 50,000.
Carlson pointed to oil prices as the clearest sign that something is wrong. “The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for months now, in effect,” he stressed. The political commentator added:
“And yet oil, as of airtime tonight, was under 100 bucks a barrel. Much lower than it was in, say, 2008. That is bizarre. But it’s more than bizarre. It’s fake.”
Brent crude did spike above $116 per barrel on May 5 amid Hormuz threats, but fell back below $100 on any signal of de-escalation. That whipsaw pattern repeated itself throughout the conflict, with traders pricing in a rapid resolution each time.
Gold told a similar story. Prices climbed to the $4,500 to $4,700 range overall but failed to deliver the sustained safe-haven rally many investors expected. Correlations broke. Inflation fears, a stronger dollar, and doubts about rate cuts kept the metal from running.
Bitcoin moved differently. It climbed to $80,000 and then near the $83,000 range, pulled in a record $2 billion in exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows during April, and outperformed both the S&P 500 and gold in several stretches. Observers called it a digital hedge that absorbed geopolitical risk better than traditional alternatives.
Carlson saw this divergence as evidence of manipulation rather than fundamentals. “Markets are doing things you would not expect markets to do if they were behaving rationally in a free way, if they weren’t rigged,” he said. He argued that gold and oil have stayed “far lower than you would rationally expect them to stay after 60 days of terrible news.”
Wall Street analysts offered competing explanations. JPMorgan directly asked why stocks were hitting record highs without an Iran resolution, then attributed it to corporate earnings strength. Roughly 83% of S&P 500 companies beat estimates in recent quarters. Barclays analyst Stefano Pascale told the New York Times that “the market is trading assuming we have seen the worst of the conflict.”
In the same NYT editorial, ECB President Christine Lagarde called the tendency to assume “business as usual” simply strange. Still, Carlson pushed further. “It’s become too obvious to deny, over the past couple of months, that public markets are not what they told us they were, which is to say, open and free and equal for everyone to participate in,” he said.
He acknowledged retail investors have not fully absorbed this yet, but he suggested the knowledge is spreading. “Some people are getting rich from this, and most people aren’t,” he added. The debate over whether markets are rational or rigged is unlikely to be resolved while the Strait of Hormuz remains contested, inflation risks linger, and ceasefire terms stay unfinished.
History suggests equity markets tend to recover through geopolitical conflict. But history has shown some of the greatest crashes following irrational all-time highs. Whether any of these episodes fit historical patterns depends on what happens next.
Crypto
Why Lummis Says the CLARITY Act Will End the ‘Absurdity’ Facing US Software Developers
Key Takeaways
Developers in the Crosshairs
Lummis made her case via a statement shared on June 22, singling out the legal exposure faced by the people who write code for decentralized finance ( DeFi) tools, wallets and other onchain services. She has repeatedly argued that the absence of clear rules leaves engineers guessing whether routine work could later be treated as a crime, a fear that has lingered over the industry since a wave of enforcement actions in prior years. She added:
“Software developers should not need an army of lawyers to know if their code is legal. The Clarity Act ends that absurdity.”
The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, known as the CLARITY Act, would split oversight of digital assets between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and set out when a token should be treated as a security or a commodity.
It also carries language to shield developers and infrastructure providers who never take custody of customer funds from being classified as money transmitters, a designation that carries heavy licensing and surveillance obligations.
A Bill Months in the Making
The legislation has been advancing in stages, with the House passing its version in July 2025 by a 294-134 margin, and on May 14, 2026, the Senate Banking Committee advanced an amended bill in a bipartisan 15-9 vote. The measure has since been placed on the Senate calendar, making it formally eligible for floor consideration.
Not everyone is convinced, though, and Senator Elizabeth Warren has routinely opposed the bill during the committee markup, offering 44 amendments, none of which passed, and warning that the framework could blow up the economy. Lummis, by contrast, has cast the stakes in national terms, cautioning that inaction could cede digital-asset leadership to China and Europe.
The senator has also put a clock on it, warning that missing the current window could push comprehensive crypto legislation to 2030. She has said customers may lack guaranteed rights to their holdings if a digital-asset exchange goes bankrupt, leaving them stuck in creditor proceedings rather than recovering their assets directly.
Industry and National Security Support
Outside Congress, the bill has drawn an unusually broad coalition. A group of 160 national security, intelligence and law enforcement veterans signed a letter to Senate leaders backing the measure, while more than 1,200 tech companies pressed the Senate to pass it quickly. Ripple Chief Executive Brad Garlinghouse has thrown the company’s weight behind the bill, saying “this is the moment” for U.S. crypto rules.
Supporters argue that regulatory certainty would keep developers and startups onshore rather than pushing them toward jurisdictions with clearer frameworks, such as the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regime. Without it, they say, the U.S. risks exporting its most promising builders along with the jobs and tax revenue they generate.
The next hurdle is a full Senate vote, where the bill must clear the 60-vote filibuster threshold before any reconciliation with the House version and a signature from President Donald Trump. With the legislative calendar tightening, Lummis and her allies are betting that the prospect of renewed prosecutions and the risk of falling behind global rivals will be enough to move undecided senators. For developers watching from the sidelines, the outcome will determine whether writing code remains a legal gray area or finally gets a clear rulebook.
1,200 Tech Companies Push Senate to Pass CLARITY Act Quickly as US Crypto Rules Face Global Pressure
The Consumer Technology Association, which represents more than 1,200 technology companies, urged Senate leaders to advance the CLARITY Act as…
1,200 Tech Companies Push Senate to Pass CLARITY Act Quickly as US Crypto Rules Face Global Pressure
The Consumer Technology Association, which represents more than 1,200 technology companies, urged Senate leaders to advance the CLARITY Act as…
1,200 Tech Companies Push Senate to Pass CLARITY Act Quickly as US Crypto Rules Face Global Pressure
The Consumer Technology Association, which represents more than 1,200 technology companies, urged Senate leaders to advance the CLARITY Act as…
Crypto
Commentary: Crypto bill is bad for small businesses
Small businesses have taken big financial hits over the past 12-plus months.
New tariffs have raised costs to small businesses that depend on importing products. The Iran war has caused the price of gas and diesel to skyrocket along with the cost of other goods small businesses need.
As a result, inflation is at 4.2 percent, decreasing consumer purchasing power, which lowers the essential sales that small businesses need to survive.
Now, the U.S. Senate is about to launch another attack on small businesses: the CLARITY Act.
For more than 26 years I have represented small business interests at the state and national levels.
One of the key ingredients to start and grow a small business is access to capital. Entrepreneurs either bring their own capital to the business or obtain a loan from a bank, credit union or Community Development Financial Institution, which serves low-income and underserved communities.
Traditional financial institutions make their loans from the deposits of customers, including small businesses. Community Development institutions are partially funded by these same financial institutions.
Now, the cryptocurrency companies want to drain banks, credit unions and CDFIs of the funds they lend to small businesses to start and grow.
Instead of putting money into local financial institutions with community-based loan officers making decisions about small business lending, crypto companies tout putting locally grown funds into private digital wallets. The benefits to small businesses, they claim, are faster and less expensive financial transactions (i.e., buying and selling) especially in the “global” economy.
More than 200 crypto companies say their crypto platforms, where the money in digital wallets is housed, will enable small business lending and borrowing.
No need for local banks. Everyone with a crypto account can make loans to other entrepreneurs around the world who they will never meet. Likewise, decisions about obtaining a small business crypto loan will be made by those global digital wallet holders, probably with advice from artificial intelligence programs.
Crypto
Latam Insights: Inside Argentina’s Tax Relief for Exchanges and El Salvador’s Growing Bitcoin Stack
President Milei Exempts Registered Crypto Exchanges From Argentina’s ‘Cheque Tax’
President Javier Milei has issued an executive order declaring tax exemptions for virtual asset service providers (VASPs) registered in Argentina. The measure aims to increase the inclusion of crypto exchanges in the Argentine financial products market, leveling the playing field with traditional institutions.
The “debt and credit” tax, commonly known as “cheque” in Spanish, affected flows going in and out of crypto exchanges since November 2021, when former President Alberto Fernández issued executive order 796/2021, which included traditional banks in these exemptions but explicitly excluded operations involving crypto assets.
Executive Order 475/2026 extends these exemptions to VASPs, stating that it was necessary to “adapt the regulations applicable to certain actors in light of technological advances and the resulting new regulatory framework, and, on the other hand, to equalize the conditions of entities that—while carrying out activities of a similar nature—are subject to different tax treatment.”
Cuba Passes 176 Historic Reforms to Open Its Economy to Private Banks and Real Estate
On Thursday, the National Assembly of Cuba passed a set of 176 reforms to liberalize the Cuban economy, which has traditionally been state-driven, and to open several sectors, including the financial sector, to private capital.
The changes would allow private investment to enter real estate development on the island, enabling the state to sell part of its properties to national and foreign individuals and institutions, walking back the state-ownership exclusivity characteristic of the communist model.
The existence of private banks, overseen by the state, would also be allowed under these new rules, as the rise of businesses in Cuba with over 100 employees. This would pave the way for the surge of large private companies.
El Salvador Adds to Bitcoin Reserve Again as Daily Buys Push Stack Past 7,680 BTC
El Salvador has once again added to its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, summing up its strategy in four words, i.e., “Buying the dip, every day.” The latest buy continues a routine that has become a defining feature of President Nayib Bukele’s economic policy.
The country’s reserve now stands at 7,687 BTC, valued at more than $510 million, according to recent counts. Bitcoin.com News reported that El Salvador has been treating market weakness as an invitation to add to its national stack, scooping up coins even as bitcoin slid close to $66,000.
Between January and April alone, authorities added more than 1,600 coins, consistent with a long-running policy of acquiring one bitcoin per day regardless of short-term volatility.
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