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The Volatility of Cryptocurrency: Barrier or Enabler of Nuclear Escalation? — Global Security Review

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The Volatility of Cryptocurrency: Barrier or Enabler of Nuclear Escalation? — Global Security Review

The volatility of cryptocurrency markets has been a major topic of discussion since the inception of digital assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Its impact extends beyond financial speculation and the promise of decentralized finance. Cryptocurrency’s creation is creating distinct ripples through the global economy, even reaching security and geopolitical affairs. Among the more intriguing dimensions of this impact is the interplay between cryptocurrency volatility and nuclear deterrence.

Too few Americans contemplate the role of digital currency volatility in acting as a barrier or an enabler to nuclear deterrence. The reality is that there are opportunities and risks that volatile cryptocurrency plays in the strategic calculus of nuclear states.

Cryptocurrency and Geopolitical Shifts

Cryptocurrencies are decentralized and borderless, challenging traditional financial systems and reshaping how states interact economically. Their volatility stems from market immaturity, speculative trading, regulatory uncertainties, and evolution of these ever-changing technologies. Essentially created to prevent intermediaries, like banks and financial institutions, cryptocurrencies lay the foundation for trustless transactions for illicit activities.

This volatile mix of person-to-person transactions and zero oversight introduces both unpredictability and opportunity, raising questions about their implications for nuclear deterrence, which now must deal with a domain that includes ungoverned access to financial streams that can be used by state and non-state actors to engage in elicit behavior that undermines deterrence stability.

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Nuclear deterrence relies on a delicate balance of power, with states maintaining assured second-strike capabilities to dissuade adversaries from initiating conflict. This balance hinges on credibility and capability. Cryptocurrencies, with their volatile swings in value, could serve to undermine stability within a country or enable elicit actors to engage in a range of nonnuclear actions that undermine strategic stability.

The Risks of Cryptocurrency Volatility as a Barrier

Cryptocurrency volatility can act as a barrier to nuclear deterrence by creating financial instability and undermining a state’s ability to project economic power. Traditional nuclear powers depend on stable economies to maintain robust defense capabilities, fund deterrence strategies, and support diplomatic efforts. Sharp and unpredictable fluctuations in digital assets can undermine financial stability, weakening a state’s capacity to fund critical defense initiatives.

For the United States, crypto is not a major issue currently. But, for North Korea, who funds its nuclear program through elicit activities, crypto is important. Proliferators also use crypto to conduct activity. Instability in crypto makes illicit activity even more high stakes and unpredictable.

Instability creates advantages for state and non-state actors to exploit cryptocurrency markets for nefarious purposes, such as evading sanctions, financing proliferation, and bypassing traditional financial controls. The decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies complicates efforts to monitor, track, and regulate illicit activities, potentially undermining efforts to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons or restrict financing for state and non-state actors pursuing destabilizing weapons programs.

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Cryptocurrency instability also presents a challenge to strategic stability through cyber threats. If critical financial systems or exchanges are disrupted, or if adversaries manipulate markets to harm a nation’s economy, it could create economic shocks severe enough to destabilize deterrence relationships, increase miscalculation risks, or fuel insecurity-driven arms build-ups.

The Darknet and Conflict Escalation

Darknet cryptocurrency markets empower bad actors by offering anonymity and decentralized financial tools, enabling a wide range of conflict-escalating activities. These markets facilitate the purchase of illegal arms, military-grade technology, and hacking tools, often used to destabilize regions and target critical infrastructure (command-and-control systems) through cyberattacks.

Terror organizations leverage cryptocurrencies for anonymous funding, allowing them to finance operations, recruit globally, and expand their influence. Sanctioned entities exploit these markets to bypass international restrictions and acquire resources that fuel aggressive actions.

The ability to transact anonymously with cryptocurrencies also shields organized crime, including narcotics and human trafficking, whose revenues often fund conflict zones and insurgent groups. Covert exchanges on the darknet can increase espionage, destabilize international relations, and provoke hostilities to serve a radically motivated agenda.

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In parallel, extremist groups utilize these platforms to spread propaganda, incite violence, and radicalize populations, further destabilizing fragile regions. The combination of anonymity, decentralized systems, and hidden economies presents a formidable challenge for global security efforts aimed at conflict prevention and stability.

Cryptocurrency as an Enabler of Nuclear Deterrence

On the other hand, cryptocurrency volatility also opens new avenues for strengthening nuclear deterrence through financial resilience and innovation. The decentralized nature of digital assets can enable states to diversify their financial resources and reduce dependency on traditional systems that might be vulnerable to adversarial influence or geopolitical tensions. In times of economic crisis or sanctions, cryptocurrencies can provide states with alternative means to maintain fiscal stability, thus supporting their deterrent capabilities. Countering bad activities with good can be as challenging as the reliance on traditional financial stability for positive security assurance.

Furthermore, blockchain technology, which underpins cryptocurrencies, offers potential for transparency, accountability, and verification mechanisms in arms control agreements. By leveraging blockchain, states can create tamper-proof records for tracking nuclear materials, enhancing verification regimes, and building trust between adversaries. The volatility of digital assets may fuel innovation and drive investment into these applications, ultimately strengthening nuclear stability and deterrence structures.

Balancing the Risks and Opportunities

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While the volatility of cryptocurrencies poses undeniable risks, it is essential to approach them with a nuanced perspective to find the right balance between risk and reward. Policymakers must strike a balance between leveraging the opportunities that digital assets present and mitigating their risks to global security. Collaborative efforts to regulate and stabilize cryptocurrency markets can reduce the likelihood of financial instability while harnessing the potential of decentralized systems.

In addition, enhanced cybersecurity measures must accompany any state or multilateral effort to integrate cryptocurrency into the financial systems that underpin deterrence capabilities. Protecting digital infrastructure against malicious actors will ensure that the advantages of decentralized assets are not overshadowed by their exploitation for destabilizing purposes.

A New Strategic Frontier

The volatility of cryptocurrency markets is both a challenge and a frontier for instability of nuclear deterrence. While it poses risks through financial instability, illicit use, and cyber threats, it also offers opportunities for financial resilience, innovation, and transparency. In today’s evolving digital environment, nations must adapt to this dual-edged sword, developing strategies that incorporate the volatility of digital assets into a comprehensive approach to deterrence.

Ultimately, whether cryptocurrencies become a barrier or enabler of nuclear deterrence depends on how nations, regions, and regulators in the broader international community respond to this evolving challenge. By advocating cooperation, innovation, and regulation, cryptocurrencies can strengthen global security architectures and contribute to a stable nuclear order—turning volatility into a force for strategic stability and peace.

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Greg Sharpe is the Marketing and Communications Director at the National Institute for Deterrence Studies. The views expressed in this article are his own.


Greg Sharpe

Mr. Greg Sharpe is the director of Communications and Marketing for the National Institute for Deterrence Studies and the Managing Design Editor for the Global Security Review.

He has 25+ years in marketing and communications focusing in digital marketing and analysis.  Greg has over 35 years of military, federal civilian and defense contractor experience in the fields of database development, digital marketing & analytics, and organizational outreach and engagement.

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New Alabama law targets cryptocurrency kiosk scams

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New Alabama law targets cryptocurrency kiosk scams

BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) – Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey signed the Cryptocurrency Kiosk Fraud Prevention Act into law this week, putting rules and regulations on cryptocurrency ATMs.

In Hoover, community members have lost more than $800,000 to scammers luring them to crypto kiosks over the last five years. Many of these ATMs are found in places like gas stations or grocery stores.

“A lot of people who are victims of these scams they’re not stupid people. They’re people who are educated and have good jobs, and many times I have lived a very full life. They just fall victim because the scammers know what language to use,” said Capt. Daniel Lowe with the Hoover Police Department.

Under the Cryptocurrency Kiosk Fraud Prevention Act, transactions will be capped, fraud warnings displayed on machines and refund mechanisms set in place for confirmed fraud cases.

“Now that we have some parameters around these kiosks to hopefully prevent some of this fraud, especially the daily limits alone will at least lower the dollar amount that people can put into one of these at one time,” Lowe said.

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The law also requires the kiosks to have a customer service line based in the United States. Anyone who violates it can face civil and criminal charges.

“It’s been a really prevalent problem, and we’re glad that our state is taking some steps to help get some parameters on this and hopefully keep our citizens’ money in their pockets because they’ve earned it,” Lowe said.

Police in Hoover do want to remind you that law enforcement would never ask anyone to pay a fine by using cryptocurrency. If someone gets a call asking them to do this, they should hang up and call police.

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Copyright 2026 WBRC. All rights reserved.

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Tucker Carlson Calls Markets ‘Fake’ After 60 Days of Middle East Conflict

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Tucker Carlson Calls Markets ‘Fake’ After 60 Days of Middle East Conflict

Key Takeaways

Tucker Carlson: ‘Markets Are Doing Things You Would Not Expect Markets to Do’

The comments came against a backdrop that has left many analysts searching for explanations. Operation Epic Fury, the U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran, launched on February 28, 2026. Strikes hit Iranian leadership and infrastructure. Iran responded with missiles, drones, and disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of global oil flows.

A fragile ceasefire emerged during the first week of April, but brinkmanship, ship strikes, and intermittent violence have continued into May. Despite all of it, equities climbed. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 10% in the initial weeks, then staged a sharp recovery, closing above 7,000 in mid-April and trading near 7,389 by May 8. The Nasdaq 100 logged a 13-day winning streak, its longest in over a decade. The Dow approached 50,000.

Carlson pointed to oil prices as the clearest sign that something is wrong. “The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for months now, in effect,” he stressed. The political commentator added:

“And yet oil, as of airtime tonight, was under 100 bucks a barrel. Much lower than it was in, say, 2008. That is bizarre. But it’s more than bizarre. It’s fake.”

Brent crude did spike above $116 per barrel on May 5 amid Hormuz threats, but fell back below $100 on any signal of de-escalation. That whipsaw pattern repeated itself throughout the conflict, with traders pricing in a rapid resolution each time.

Gold told a similar story. Prices climbed to the $4,500 to $4,700 range overall but failed to deliver the sustained safe-haven rally many investors expected. Correlations broke. Inflation fears, a stronger dollar, and doubts about rate cuts kept the metal from running.

Bitcoin moved differently. It climbed to $80,000 and then near the $83,000 range, pulled in a record $2 billion in exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows during April, and outperformed both the S&P 500 and gold in several stretches. Observers called it a digital hedge that absorbed geopolitical risk better than traditional alternatives.

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Carlson saw this divergence as evidence of manipulation rather than fundamentals. “Markets are doing things you would not expect markets to do if they were behaving rationally in a free way, if they weren’t rigged,” he said. He argued that gold and oil have stayed “far lower than you would rationally expect them to stay after 60 days of terrible news.”

Wall Street analysts offered competing explanations. JPMorgan directly asked why stocks were hitting record highs without an Iran resolution, then attributed it to corporate earnings strength. Roughly 83% of S&P 500 companies beat estimates in recent quarters. Barclays analyst Stefano Pascale told the New York Times that “the market is trading assuming we have seen the worst of the conflict.”

In the same NYT editorial, ECB President Christine Lagarde called the tendency to assume “business as usual” simply strange. Still, Carlson pushed further. “It’s become too obvious to deny, over the past couple of months, that public markets are not what they told us they were, which is to say, open and free and equal for everyone to participate in,” he said.

He acknowledged retail investors have not fully absorbed this yet, but he suggested the knowledge is spreading. “Some people are getting rich from this, and most people aren’t,” he added. The debate over whether markets are rational or rigged is unlikely to be resolved while the Strait of Hormuz remains contested, inflation risks linger, and ceasefire terms stay unfinished.

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History suggests equity markets tend to recover through geopolitical conflict. But history has shown some of the greatest crashes following irrational all-time highs. Whether any of these episodes fit historical patterns depends on what happens next.

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State issues cease-and-desist to halt suspected crypto pyramid scheme in Hawaii

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State issues cease-and-desist to halt suspected crypto pyramid scheme in Hawaii

HONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) – State officials ordered BG Wealth Sharing and two women to stop soliciting investors, as federal investigators also move in on what some authorities describe as a cryptocurrency pyramid scheme.

BG Wealth Sharing has been operating in Hawaii with small initial investments, promises of wealth and incentives for recruiting new members, according to state regulators.

Joy Arcenas, who is from California, posted a video in January saying she was in Honolulu to do training for top leaders and members. Her Instagram includes posts of BG investment parties across the West, where people hear a story that started with $333.

“That $333 brought me to a level seven at $4,100 a day and now with $30,000 a month,” Arcenas said in the video.

Regulators said Arcenas also hosted Zoom webinars to help investors, many of whom appeared confused about cryptocurrency rules and how to cash in their investments.

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Her internet posts indicate she hosted multiple meetings in Hawaii. A woman who emailed Hawaii News Now said the scheme is spreading in the Filipino American community across Hawaii and that a relative is influencing other members of her family, including an elderly mother, into investing.

The woman said many people lost their hard-earned money.

“It’s sad that something like this is actually continuing to happen,” said Randal Lee, a former judge and prosecutor.

Lee said it is not the first time pyramid schemes have targeted the Filipino community.

“You have to stop it immediately because it will grow like wildfire if you do not stop it,” Lee said.

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State securities investment regulators served Arcenas, BG Wealth Sharing and a local woman named Cranci Ilima Luci Hoopai with a cease-and-desist order.

The order describes a meeting of 40 to 50 people at Nanakuli Library in April, where investigators said Arcenas claimed $500 was enough to earn benefits for a lifetime and people could be millionaires in 11 months if they worked hard to sign up and train new members.

Hoopai used testimonials from her own family to prove the investments were legitimate, according to the order.

“But the red flag should be that if you’re going to become a millionaire within 11 months, that’s totally unrealistic,” Lee said.

The order directs BG Wealth Sharing, Arcenas and Hoopai to stop soliciting investors. State regulators also ordered each to pay $50,000 for failing to register as securities brokers.

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Federal authorities are also moving in on the mainland company. In recent days, the company’s website was seized under a federal warrant by the Department of Justice. There are also reports the company’s mainland bank accounts have been frozen.

“I love BG with all my might and protect BG with all your heart,” Arcenas said in a video.

Lee said investors who recruited friends and family are often warned by scammers that they could be prosecuted if they talk. He said that is not usually true. Investors who believed the scheme was legitimate would most likely be treated as victims.

Copyright 2026 Hawaii News Now. All rights reserved.

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