The downturn in cryptocurrencies is predicted to gasoline a wave of consolidation within the crypto sector in the course of the second half of this yr and into 2023, in response to Needham.
Valuations for public crypto corporations have fallen by about 70% this yr, senior analysis analyst John Todaro instructed Barron’s. The sector can also be within the midst of a crypto crash, which has worn out about $2 trillion in worth prior to now a number of months. This implies crypto corporations are cheaper now than they have been a yr in the past when the sector was within the midst of an upturn, Todaro stated.
“This might current a possibility for a standard firm to get their foot within the sector at a decrease valuation than they might’ve six to 9 months in the past,” Todaro stated.
Advertisement
Conventional, or non-crypto-native, corporations which were lively crypto acquirers embody Animoca Manufacturers, the gaming funding firm, which has made three acquisitions within the crypto area, Todaro stated in a June 22 word. In Could, the alternate operator
Cboe World Markets
closed its purchase of Eris Digital Holdings (ErisX), which operates a U.S.-based digital asset spot market. Based on Todaro, different potential strategic patrons embody funding agency CollinStar Holdings; Deutsche Boerse, which operates the Frankfurt Inventory Alternate; and on-line dealer
Robinhood Markets
(HOOD).
Advertisement
E-newsletter Signal-up
Evaluate & Preview
Each weekday night we spotlight the consequential market information of the day and clarify what’s prone to matter tomorrow.
Crypto mergers signify a tiny chunk of the general deal market. Based on Dealogic, 14,667 world introduced mergers have totaled $2.2 trillion as of June 22. This compares to only 43 crypto transactions valued at about $6 billion for a similar interval. The most important crypto transaction this yr is the merger of Coincheck, a Japanese alternate, with particular function acquisition firm
Advertisement
Thunder Bridge Capital Companions IV ,
which Dealogic values at $1.75 billion.
Whereas the downturn represents a possibility for conventional patrons, Todaro anticipates that a lot of the dealmaking will probably be crypto-to-crypto. “Probably the most acquisitive corporations will doubtless be the exchanges,” he stated.
Coinbase World
(COIN) has been a pacesetter in shopping for up companies, Todaro says. Because it was based in 2012, the alternate has scooped up 26 corporations valued at over $800 million, Todaro stated.
FTX, a crypto alternate, has been lively just lately, agreeing to purchase Canadian alternate Bitvo final week, whereas its affiliate FTX US acquired inventory clearinghouse Embed Monetary Applied sciences on Tuesday. FTX can also be offering a $250 million credit score facility to BlockFi.
Advertisement
Kraken, a smaller rival to Coinbase, has accomplished a dozen offers, whereas the crypto alternate Binance.US has executed eight acquisitions, Todaro stated. Then, there’s
Galaxy Digital Holdings ,
which isn’t an alternate however a crypto-focused monetary companies agency; it has accomplished three acquisitions because it was fashioned in 2018 and has a pending deal for crypto-custody specialist BitGo. The 4 transactions are valued at greater than $1 billion, Todaro stated.
Todaro additionally expects extra distressed mergers because it’s tougher for companies to lift cash now in comparison with 2021, he stated. Some crypto corporations have already began to work with authorized companies on restructuring, he added.
Advertisement
Celsius
Community, the crypto lender that suspended buyer withdrawals final week, has employed restructuring attorneys from legislation agency Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP to advise on potential options for its debt points, The Wall Avenue Journal reported final week. Celsius and Akin Gump didn’t instantly reply to requests for remark.
Though extra difficult than conventional M&A, “restructuring represents a gorgeous alternative to purchase corporations at a deep low cost,” Todaro stated.
Write to Luisa Beltran at luisa.beltran@dowjones.com
A representation of Bitcoin and a price chart are seen in this October 2023 photo illustration. Reuters-Yonhap
South Korea and the United States are conducting joint research to strengthen protection against cryptocurrency heist attempts amid growing concerns of such attacks by North Korea-linked hackers, officials said Sunday.
Based on a recently signed technical annex between the South Korean government and the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, the two sides will jointly develop technologies to prevent cryptocurrency-targeted attacks and to track stolen assets, according to authorities and cybersecurity industry officials.
The science ministry plans to support such research through the Institute of Information & Communications Technology Planning & Evaluation until 2026.
The move comes as the price of bitcoin recently surged to $100,000 after the U.S. presidential election last month, raising concerns of increased attempts by hackers to steal virtual assets.
Advertisement
While the United States collaborates with other countries for cybersecurity research, it is known to have chosen South Korea for research on digital asset tracking technology as North Korea is seen as a key culprit behind cryptocurrency heists.
Under the program, South Korean and U.S. researchers, including those from Korea University and the RAND research institute, will focus on technologies to prevent and track hackers when they steal assets from a cryptocurrency exchange.
They will also focus on understanding how they convert or launder other financial assets they obtain into virtual assets through illegal ransomeware or other methods.
North Korea is known as a major player in cryptocurrency heists, with hackers linked to the country estimated to have stolen $1.34 billion worth of cryptocurrency across 47 incidents this year, according to Chainalysis, a blockchain analysis firm. (Yonhap)
There is no question that the cryptocurrency industry witnessed explosive growth in 2024, with the flagship cryptocurrency Bitcoin continuing to lead the market. Data shows that the total market capitalization of the crypto industry has more than doubled over the past year.
While it has been challenging to find a common theme for how the market has improved in 2024, it is easy to point out the different aspects of growth in the digital asset industry this year. A prominent blockchain firm has identified five trends that reflect the shift experienced in the crypto market in the past 12 months.
5 Trends In The Crypto Space In 2024
In its latest weekly report, market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock explained the five major on-chain trends that reflect the growth of the cryptocurrency industry in the past year. It’s been all (or mostly) fireworks for the digital asset market, specifically Bitcoin, in 2024.
Firstly, IntoTheBlock pointed to the growth and the rising dominance of Bitcoin in the crypto market, especially after the approval of spot exchange-traded funds in the United States. As a result, the premier cryptocurrency’s market share hit its highest level in over three and a half years.
The crypto analytics firm highlighted that Trump’s success in the presidential elections also played a role in driving higher the value of Bitcoin. All in all, Bitcoin’s dominance has now moved from under 50% to 59% year-to-date.
Advertisement
Like Bitcoin, the meme coin market also witnessed unprecedented growth in 2024, with its aggregate market capitalization surging by over 400%. IntoTheBlock specifically mentioned the introduction of Solana-based launchpad Pump.fun, which catalyzed a meme coin explosion in the Solana ecosystem.
Source: IntoTheBlock
However, this meme coin trend on the Solana network left a negative impact on the Ethereum ecosystem and ETH’s price performance in 2024. With meme coins shifting to Solana and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) not making a strong return this bull cycle, there was a decline in Ethereum network fees, leading to less ETH being burnt.
Furthermore, decentralized finance (DeFi) saw a resurgence in 2024, as fresh capital flowed into various protocols and projects. As less value was lost to hacks and exploits and regulatory pressure was reduced in 2024, the aggregate market cap of the DeFi sector hit its highest since early 2022.
Finally, IntoTheBlock noted that new projects that were pioneered during the last bear market saw remarkable growth in 2024. For instance, restaking projects and basis trading protocols were some of the highlights in the crypto space in the past year.
Advertisement
Total Crypto Market Cap
As of this writing, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization stands at around $3.49 trillion. According to data from TradingView, the crypto market cap has increased by more than 105% year-to-date.
The total cryptocurrency market capitalization at $3.3 trillion | Source: daily TOTAL chart on TradingView
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has proven to be one of the best-performing assets in modern history.
The value of the cryptocurrency has increased some 1,000 times over the past decade, far outpacing US stocks and real estate.
Buoyed by United States President-elect Donald Trump’s crypto-friendly stance, Bitcoin’s record rally hit a new high of $107,000 on Monday after the Republican reiterated his intention to create a Bitcoin strategic reserve.
Bitcoin, the first decentralised digital currency, was invented by the pseudonymous figure Satoshi Nakamoto in the wake of the 2007-2008 global financial crisis.
Nakamoto introduced the blockchain system – a digital ledger that stores transactions in a network of computers – to enable anyone to make financial transactions without the involvement of banks, financial firms or governments.
Advertisement
Once widely derided as a speculative asset with no intrinsic value, Bitcoin is being taken increasingly seriously by governments, financial institutions and investors alike.
Boaz Sobrado, a London-based fintech analyst, said Bitcoin has transformed from being a niche asset favoured by political dissidents and criminals carrying out Illicit transactions “to something that central banks have to keep in mind and consider”.
“The IMF has put very firm anti-crypto political guidelines into place when negotiating with countries that might require its own assistance. It’s gone from being an academic question to a practical, real one and one that central banks are taking very seriously now,” Sobrado told Al Jazeera.
In January, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds), allowing investors to have exposure to the asset on the stock exchange for the first time.
In an October report, the US Department of the Treasury referred to Bitcoin as “digital gold”, noting its use as a store of value.
Advertisement
A number of countries have made big bets on the cryptocurrency.
El Salvador has accumulated some $600m worth of Bitcoin reserves and is one of just a handful of countries, along with the Central African Republic, that accepts the asset as legal tender.
Other countries, including the US and the United Kingdom, have acquired large holdings of Bitcoin through the seizure of assets implicated in criminal activity.
The US has seized at least 215,000 Bitcoins, valued at almost $21bn at current prices, since 2020, according to an analysis by crypto firm 21.co.
With Trump returning to the White House, Bitcoin supporters are hopeful that cryptocurrencies will gain unprecedented legitimacy after years of government-led crackdowns on the sector.
Advertisement
Despite once labelling Bitcoin “a scam”, Trump has emerged as arguably the world’s most powerful advocate for the asset.
After pledging to make the US “crypto capital of the planet”, he has picked several high-profile crypto enthusiasts to join his incoming administration, including former PayPal Chief Operating Officer David Sacks as crypto tsar and Paul Atkins as SEC chair.
Trump’s pro-crypto stance has found allies in the US Congress, such as Senator Cynthia Lummis, a Republican from Wyoming, who earlier this year introduced the BITCOIN Act of 2024, which would include Bitcoin among reserve assets such as gold and oil as a long-term store of value.
Under Lummis’s plans, the government would buy roughly 200,000 Bitcoins every year for five years, and then hold the assets for 20 years as a hedge against inflation.
“If we did that with five percent of all the Bitcoin that will ever exist – which is roughly a million Bitcoin – we could cut our debt in half in 20 years,” Lummis said in a television interview with Fox Business.
On Wall Street, derision and mockery have also given way to more positive appraisals.
Advertisement
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, who once described Bitcoin as an “index of money laundering”, in January said the commodity was “no different than what gold represented for thousands of years” and an “asset class that protects you”.
‘Currency of resistance’
The key attribute of Bitcoin that makes it revolutionary is that it separates money from the state, according to Max Keiser, senior Bitcoin adviser to El Salvador President Nayib Bukele.
“This is the first time in history that this has ever happened – money exists that has no central authority controlling it. This is what makes it unique, very powerful,” Keiser told Al Jazeera.
“There’s now this growing feeling that the 21st century will be the century of Bitcoin.”
Keiser spotted Bitcoin’s potential early on and advised people to buy it when its value was only $1 in 2011. That year, he and his wife, television presenter Stacy Herbert, called Bitcoin “the currency of resistance”, and predicted it would top $100,000.
Advertisement
One of the reasons Bitcoin has gained strength in value is the poor performance of economies such as Argentina, where inflation last year skyrocketed more than 200 percent, according to Gerald Celente, founder and director of the New York-based Trends Research Institute.
“People were seeing their currencies being devalued… People were saying: ‘I’m losing all my money, what am I going to do?’ They can’t afford to buy gold, so they started buying whatever they could in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, so that kept it strong,” Celente told Al Jazeera.
Since Trump’s election, Bitcoin’s price has risen by more than 50 percent and with an incoming pro-crypto administration, Celente predicts an even greater rally.
“[The value] could go through the roof, but we don’t see [Bitcoin] going down much at all,” he said.
Crypto supporters argue that Bitcoin’s winning advantage is that its global supply is capped at 21 million.
Advertisement
Unlike central banks that can print money indefinitely, Bitcoin’s supply stays constant no matter the demand, which has helped boost its value against the dollar.
Armando Pantoja, futurist and tech investor, believes that Bitcoin will appreciate in value “forever”, likening the purchase of the asset to buying real estate in Manhattan.
“Bitcoin has value not because of the currency, but because of the technology that governs it, blockchain technology,” Pantoja told Al Jazeera.
“In Bitcoin’s blockchain, there’s a certain supply of Bitcoin that comes out every 10 minutes, and every four years they cut it in half. Over time there is less and less Bitcoin being generated.
“Once it reaches the limit, no more can be created… That’s why it’s going to keep going up, every four years when they cut the supply, it has to respond positively. It has to keep going up to supply the demand.”
Advertisement
Keiser predicts Bitcoin will reach $1m in value in the coming years, with a market cap at least equal to gold’s market cap of $20 trillion.
“That would be $1m a coin. I think that would be a conservative estimate for the price for the next three to four years,” he said.
Bitcoin’s stellar rise, however, has not convinced everyone.
Despite its recent rally, the commodity continues to be extremely volatile.
After hitting $107,000 at the start of the week, the asset had by Friday plunged below $97,000.
Many financial analysts continue to view Bitcoin as a bubble with little to support its stunning rise.
Advertisement
“The more resources Americans misallocate to #Bitcoin and #crypto-related businesses, the fewer resources will be available to devote to making stuff we actually need,” Peter Schiff, chief economist at Euro Pacific Capital, said in a post on X last month.
“The end result will be larger trade deficits, a weaker dollar, higher inflation, and a lower standard of living.”
Even as Trump’s positive stance towards Bitcoin has thrilled crypto enthusiasts, some pro-crypto governments have reined in their support of the sector.
El Salvador announced this week that it would privatize or close its cryptocurrency wallet “Chivo” as part of the terms of a $1.4bn loan deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Bukele’s government also agreed to make acceptance of Bitcoin by businesses voluntary, within steps to assuage the IMF’s concerns about Bitcoin-related risks.
Advertisement
Central bank digital currencies
Some crypto supporters see governments and central banks taking a leading role in the global march towards digitised money with the development of their own currencies.
Celente of the Trends Research Institute said the US, for example, could create its own digital currency as a way to pay off its federal debt.
“There’s no way the US can pay off their $36 trillion worth of government debt. They may come up with a new cryptocurrency as part of CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currency),” Celente said.
“You’re seeing more and more of the central banks talking about CBDCs, they’re definitely going to go into that direction,” Celente added.
“They’re going to use this as an excuse to come up with a coin because they cannot pay off the debt that they have now. They’re going to say, ‘This [digital currency] is worth a lot more than the dollar, yuan, the euro,’ and use that to pay off their debt.”
Advertisement
Some observers have warned that the introduction of CBDCs would open a Pandora’s box of problems related to government control and surveillance of people’s finances.
Trump’s pick for commerce secretary, Howard Lutnick, is the CEO of Cantor Fitzgerald, which manages the stockpile of US Treasuries that back Tether, the largest stablecoin by market cap.
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies that are pegged to a traditional commodity or currency to maintain a stable price. They have reached record volumes of more than $200bn in total market cap.
Sobrado said there could be an opening for Tether to become the national de facto privatised CBDC for the US, and for smaller economies such as the UAE, Hong Kong, Singapore and Switzerland to issue their own CBDCs.
“The pro-crypto voices and Fed-critical voices have never been louder in the White House,” Sobrado said.
Advertisement
Celente said he had no doubt that the future of money is digital.