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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Consolidate With A Down Day, But: 'Second Leg Of The Bull Cycle Is Underway,' Says Trader

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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Consolidate With A Down Day, But: 'Second Leg Of The Bull Cycle Is Underway,' Says Trader

Cryptocurrency markets are trading lower on Thursday, consolidating gains from earlier in the week.

Cryptocurrency Price     Gains +/-
Bitcoin BTC/USD  $66,879.97 -1.3%
Ethereum ETH/USD  $2,583.46 -1.1%
Solana SOL/USD  $148.51 -3.8%
Dogecoin DOGE/USD  $0.1213 -4%
Shiba Inu SHIB/USD  $0.00001767 -5%

Notable Statistics:

  • IntoTheBlock data shows Bitcoin large transaction volume decreasing by 14.8% and daily active addresses falling by 20.1%. Transactions greater than $100,000 are down from 9,654 to 9,147 in a single day. Exchanges netflows are down by 267%.
  • Coinglass data reports 55,803 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours, with total liquidations at $155.31 million.
  • Arkham Intelligence reported ETFs have purchased $1.38 billion of BTC in three days this week. This is already the biggest ETF week in four months.

Notable Developments:

Top Losers:

Cryptocurrency Price     Gains +/-
THORChain RUNE/USD  $4.70 -8.5%
Conflux CFX/USD  $0.1545 -6.8%
Maker MKR/USD  $1,195.62 -6.9%

Trader Notes: Despite Bitcoin prices dropping, crypto trader Jelle sees Bitcoin having broken out from a 7-month long channel / flag structure. He concluded, “The second leg of the bull cycle is underway.”

Rekt Capital stated that Bitcoin is approaching a crucial retest of the Channel Top, a resistance level it has failed to break through in several previous attempts over the past few months.

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A successful retest is needed for BTC to continue moving higher, but if it fails again, the price could struggle to rise.

Michaёl van de Poppe explained Bitcoin is still consolidating implying some weakness for the markets. The crypto king is only a few weeks away from elections and a potential renewed rate cut from the Federal Reserve. He concludes, “The ATH for Bitcoin is close.”

What’s Next: The influence of Bitcoin as an institutional asset class is expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga’s upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.

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Image: Shutterstock

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Crypto

Russia's Digital Currency Measures Fail to Satisfy FATF, Blacklist Possible – Featured Bitcoin News

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Russia's Digital Currency Measures Fail to Satisfy FATF, Blacklist Possible – Featured Bitcoin News
Russia’s financial regulator maintains that its anti-money laundering system, including strengthened virtual currency regulations, remains effective even if the country faces potential blacklisting by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF).
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Cryptocurrency dilemma: India must balance between adoption and oversight | Policy Circle

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Cryptocurrency dilemma: India must balance between adoption and oversight | Policy Circle
India’s regulatory regime for cryptocurrency remains uncertain, leaving investors and businesses in a state of limbo.

Despite its global popularity, cryptocurrency has struggled to gain solid footing in India, with the central bank remaining sceptical even years after its inception. Many support the RBI’s cautious stance, arguing that cryptocurrency offers little value while posing significant risks. As virtual currencies operate without the need for regulation, their very nature presents substantial threats. As a result, the future of cryptocurrency in India remains uncertain.

However, the Indian government has shown some openness to dialogue. A panel led by the Secretary of the Department of Economic Affairs (DEA) recently issued a consultation paper seeking feedback from stakeholders on how to regulate crypto assets. This indicates that the government is taking an active interest in shaping the future of digital currencies in the country.

READ | A nation in the dark: Census delay risks India’s future

Cryptocurrency Regulation

India’s G20 presidency marked a pivotal moment for cryptocurrency regulation. One of the most significant outcomes was a comprehensive discussion on a regulatory approach to crypto assets. G20 members, along with the IMF and FSB, jointly agreed on a Synthesis paper, setting the stage for a unified regulatory framework. The discussions outlined key elements of effective regulation while also identifying responsible entities for implementation.

Nevertheless, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman recently noted that, despite global agreement on the need for regulation, each country will need to adopt its own legislative framework. This will require coordination within countries and across borders, demanding efforts at both the macro and micro levels. In September 2023, Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth stated that the government would carefully consider the recommendations based on the consensus built and then decide on policies moving forward. Given the heightened risks associated with cryptocurrencies, especially for emerging economies, India must tailor its regulations to ensure stability.

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As part of its regulatory efforts, India banned nine offshore crypto platforms, or Virtual Digital Asset (VDA) service providers, for violating the Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA) of 2002. Even Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, faced scrutiny. However, in December 2023, Binance re-entered the Indian market after registering with the Financial Intelligence Unit.

India’s stance on cryptocurrency has been evolving. After introducing a ban in 2018 that prohibited Indian banks from facilitating cryptocurrency transactions, the Supreme Court overturned the decision in 2020. In the Union Budget 2022-23, a 30% tax on income from the transfer of digital assets was proposed, along with a 1% tax deduction at source (TDS) on such transactions to discourage crypto trading.

Globally, countries have adopted diverse approaches to cryptocurrency regulation. Some have imposed strict regulations, while others have opted for outright bans. India’s approach has been a mix of both.

Although India has historically taken a cautious stance toward virtual assets, it has been recognised that an outright ban is not an “easy option,” as the IMF-FSB paper pointed out. A ban could drive investors to more crypto-friendly regions, increasing financial integrity risks and potentially leading to India losing oversight of digital assets.

A more viable path forward is to regulate and supervise licensed or registered cryptocurrency issuers and service providers. This approach could help close information gaps and facilitate oversight of cross-border activities. The Cryptocurrency Bill of 2021, introduced in the Lok Sabha, was a significant step toward regulating India’s growing cryptocurrency market. The bill proposed guidelines for the Reserve Bank of India to create an official digital currency while seeking to ban all other private cryptocurrencies.

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Despite the government’s efforts to limit digital assets, Chainalysis’ 2023 Global Crypto Adoption Index ranked India first among 154 nations for grassroots crypto adoption. This suggests that ordinary people in India are actively using cryptocurrencies in their daily lives, regardless of government concerns. Investors now await meaningful regulations that will address the growing interest in the sector while also protecting them from potential risks.

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If You Invested $1,000 In Bitcoin When Tesla Bought The Leading Cryptocurrency, Here's How Much You'd Have Today

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If You Invested ,000 In Bitcoin When Tesla Bought The Leading Cryptocurrency, Here's How Much You'd Have Today

Leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin BTC/USD hit new all-time highs in March 2024 and could be headed to higher highs ahead of the 2024 presidential election.

Here’s a look back at the purchase of the cryptocurrency by Tesla Inc TSLA and how much investors could have made following the lead of the electric vehicle company.

What Happened: While MicroStrategy may have led the way with adding Bitcoin to their balance sheet and holding the leading cryptocurrency since 2020, Tesla is not far behind with a purchase that was made in January 2021 disclosed in February 2021 to investors.

Tesla announced on Feb. 8, 2021 that it purchased $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin. The purchase helped boost the price of Bitcoin that day as it was viewed as a key catalyst for the future of cryptocurrency.

Tesla later announced it sold $272 million of its Bitcoin in the first quarter, which it said had a “positive impact” on its quarterly profitability with $128 million in proceeds from Bitcoin.

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In fiscal 2022, Tesla announced the sale of 75% of its Bitcoin during the second quarter, bringing in $936 million in cash to its balance sheet.

In recent quarters, Tesla has shown $184 million in “digital assets” on its balance sheet. That number could include both Bitcoin and Dogecoin DOGE/USD, a cryptocurrency that can be used to buy merchandise from Tesla’s online store.

Tesla stated previously it could increase or decrease its digital asset holdings “at any time,” depending on business needs and the company’s view of the cryptocurrency market.

A recent report linked Tesla moving its Bitcoin holdings around to unknown wallets, which could foreshadow a potential sale of the cryptocurrency.

Here is a look at how Bitcoin has performed since Tesla’s purchase.

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Investing $1,000 in Bitcoin: The leading cryptocurrency fell in 2022 thanks to several macroeconomic issues and cryptocurrency events such as the bankruptcy of FTX, which rattled the sector.

Fast-forward to 2024, and Bitcoin hit new all-time highs in March. This followed the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, which saw strong demand and led to more financial institutions purchasing Bitcoins.

Bitcoin surged to $46,203.93 on Feb. 8, 2021, following Tesla’s purchase announcement, up from a high of $39,621.84 the previous day.

A $1,000 investment in Bitcoin at its high on Feb. 8, 2021, could have purchased 0.0216 BTC. The $1,000 investment would be worth $1,468.65 today, up 46.9%.

An investor who put the $1,000 into Tesla stock instead would have turned the investment into $758.39, down 24.2% over the same time period.

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While Bitcoin has outperformed Tesla stock since the company disclosed its Bitcoin purchase, the leading cryptocurrency has not outperformed the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY, which tracks the S&P 500 Index.

A $1,000 investment in the ETF would be worth $1,491.58 today, up 49.2% over the same time period. This means that investors could have done better investing in the S&P 500 Index than Bitcoin

Investors who bought Bitcoin have outperformed top stocks and market indexes over many time periods, but the day of Tesla’s purchase disclosure is not one of them.

MicroStrategy co-founder Michael Saylor encouraged Tesla CEO Elon Musk to invest the company’s cash into Bitcoin back in December 2020. Had Musk listened and done so then, Tesla would have made a greater return on their Bitcoin investment and provided a better starting point for investors following along.

Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $73,750.07 on March 14, 2024.

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This article was previously published by Benzinga and has been updated.

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