Business
Inside Elon Musk’s Plan for DOGE to Slash Government Costs
An unpaid group of billionaires, tech executives and some disciples of Peter Thiel, a powerful Republican donor, are preparing to take up unofficial positions in the U.S. government in the name of cost-cutting.
As President-elect Donald J. Trump’s so-called Department of Government Efficiency girds for battle against “wasteful” spending, it is preparing to dispatch individuals with ties to its co-leaders, Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, to agencies across the federal government.
After Inauguration Day, the group of Silicon Valley-inflected, wide-eyed recruits will be deployed to Washington’s alphabet soup of agencies. The goal is for most major agencies to eventually have two DOGE representatives as they seek to cut costs like Mr. Musk did at X, his social media platform.
This story is based on interviews with roughly a dozen people who have insight into DOGE’s operations. They spoke to The Times on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly.
On the eve of Mr. Trump’s presidency, the structure of DOGE is still amorphous and closely held. People involved in the operation say that secrecy and avoiding leaks is paramount, and much of its communication is conducted on Signal, the encrypted messaging app.
Mr. Trump has said the effort would drive “drastic change,” and that the entity would provide outside advice on how to cut wasteful spending. DOGE itself will have no power to cut spending — that authority rests with Congress. Instead, it is expected to provide recommendations for programs and other areas to cut.
But parts of the operation are becoming clear: Many of the executives involved are expecting to do six-month voluntary stints inside the federal government before returning to their high-paying jobs. Mr. Musk has said they will not be paid — a nonstarter for some originally interested tech executives — and have been asked by him to work 80-hour weeks. Some, including possibly Mr. Musk, will be so-called special government employees, a specific category of temporary workers who can only work for the federal government for 130 days or less in a 365-day period.
The representatives will largely be stationed inside federal agencies. After some consideration by top officials, DOGE itself is now unlikely to incorporate as an organized outside entity or nonprofit. Instead, it is likely to exist as more of a brand for an interlinked group of aspirational leaders who are on joint group chats and share a loyalty to Mr. Musk or Mr. Ramaswamy.
“The cynics among us will say, ‘Oh, it’s naïve billionaires stepping into the fray.’ But the other side will say this is a service to the nation that we saw more typically around the founding of the nation,” said Trevor Traina, an entrepreneur who worked in the first Trump administration with associates who have considered joining DOGE.
“The friends I know have huge lives,” Mr. Traina said, “and they’re agreeing to work for free for six months, and leave their families and roll up their sleeves in an attempt to really turn things around. You can view it either way.”
DOGE leaders have told others that the minority of people not detailed to agencies would be housed within the Executive Office of the President at the U.S. Digital Service, which was created in 2014 by former President Barack Obama to “change our government’s approach to technology.”
DOGE is also expected to have an office in the Office of Management and Budget, and officials have also considered forming a think tank outside the government in the future.
Mr. Musk’s friends have been intimately involved in choosing people who are set to be deployed to various agencies. Those who have conducted interviews for DOGE include the Silicon Valley investors Marc Andreessen, Shaun Maguire, Baris Akis and others who have a personal connection to Mr. Musk. Some who have received the Thiel Fellowship, a prestigious grant funded by Mr. Thiel given to those who promise to skip or drop out of college to become entrepreneurs, are involved with programming and operations for DOGE. Brokering an introduction to Mr. Musk or Mr. Ramaswamy, or their inner circles, has been a key way for leaders to be picked for deployment.
That is how the co-founder of Loom, Vinay Hiremath, said he became involved in DOGE in a rare public statement from someone who worked with the entity. In a post this month on his personal blog, Mr. Hiremath described the work that DOGE employees have been doing before he decided against moving to Washington to join the entity.
“After 8 calls with people who all talked fast and sounded very smart, I was added to a number of Signal groups and immediately put to work,” he wrote. “The next 4 weeks of my life consisted of 100s of calls recruiting the smartest people I’ve ever talked to, working on various projects I’m definitely not able to talk about, and learning how completely dysfunctional the government was. It was a blast.”
These recruits are assigned to specific agencies where they are thought to have expertise. Some other DOGE enrollees have come to the attention of Mr. Musk and Mr. Ramaswamy through X. In recent weeks, DOGE’s account on X has posted requests to recruit a “very small number” of full-time salaried positions for engineers and back-office functions like human resources.
The DOGE team, including those paid engineers, is largely working out of a glass building in SpaceX’s downtown office located a few blocks from the White House. Some people close to Mr. Ramaswamy and Mr. Musk hope that these DOGE engineers can use artificial intelligence to find cost-cutting opportunities.
The broader effort is being run by two people with starkly different backgrounds: One is Brad Smith, a health care entrepreneur and former top health official in Mr. Trump’s first White House who is close with Jared Kushner, Mr. Trump’s son-in-law. Mr. Smith has effectively been running DOGE during the transition period, with a particular focus on recruiting, especially for the workers who will be embedded at the agencies.
Mr. Smith has been working closely with Steve Davis, a collaborator of Mr. Musk’s for two decades who is widely seen as working as Mr. Musk’s proxy on all things. Mr. Davis has joined Mr. Musk as he calls experts with questions about the federal budget, for instance.
Other people involved include Matt Luby, Mr. Ramaswamy’s chief of staff and childhood friend; Joanna Wischer, a Trump campaign official; and Rachel Riley, a McKinsey partner who works closely with Mr. Smith.
Mr. Musk’s personal counsel — Chris Gober — and Mr. Ramaswamy’s personal lawyer — Steve Roberts — have been exploring various legal issues regarding the structure of DOGE. James Burnham, a former Justice Department official, is also helping DOGE with legal matters. Bill McGinley, Mr. Trump’s initial pick for White House counsel who was instead named as legal counsel for DOGE, has played a more minimal role.
“DOGE will be a cornerstone of the new administration, helping President Trump deliver his vision of a new golden era,” said James Fishback, the founder of Azoria, an investment firm, and confidant of Mr. Ramaswamy who will be providing outside advice for DOGE.
Despite all this firepower, many budget experts have been deeply skeptical about the effort and its cost-cutting ambitions. Mr. Musk initially said the effort could result in “at least $2 trillion” in cuts from the $6.75 trillion federal budget. But budget experts say that goal would be difficult to achieve without slashing popular programs like Social Security and Medicare, which Mr. Trump has promised not to cut.
Both Mr. Musk and Mr. Ramaswamy have also recast what success might mean. Mr. Ramaswamy emphasized DOGE-led deregulation on X last month, saying that removing regulations could stimulate the economy and that “the success of DOGE can’t be measured through deficit reduction alone.”
And in an interview last week with Mark Penn, the chairman and chief executive of Stagwell, a marketing company, Mr. Musk downplayed the total potential savings.
“We’ll try for $2 trillion — I think that’s like the best-case outcome,” Mr. Musk said. “You kind of have to have some overage. I think if we try for two trillion, we’ve got a good shot at getting one.”
Business
Which Countries Depend the Most on Persian Gulf Oil and Gas
The war in the Middle East has halted most of the oil and gas trade from the region, forcing countries thousands of miles to contend with their energy supplies suddenly vanishing.
The Persian Gulf accounts for roughly a fifth of the world’s energy needs. As Iran effectively blocks shipments, international prices for oil and gas have shot up. That in turn has meant gasoline, jet fuel and other products have become costlier — hurting drivers, business owners and others from Los Angeles to Lahore, Pakistan. As the world becomes gripped by the energy crisis, some nations are feeling the loss more acutely.
Asian countries are the biggest buyers of Persian Gulf energy
Pakistan
Total energy imports in 2024
$17 bil. Japan
Total energy imports in 2024
$139 bil. Thailand
Total energy imports in 2024 $43 bil. South Korea
Total energy imports in 2024
$144 bil. India
Total energy imports in 2024
$180 bil. Maldives
Total energy imports in 2024
$774.1 mil. Taiwan
Total energy imports in 2024
$47 bil. China
Total energy imports in 2024 $413 bil. Sri Lanka
Total energy imports in 2024
$4 bil. Malaysia
Total energy imports in 2024
$44 bil. Singapore
Total energy imports in 2024
$86 bil. Philippines
Total energy imports in 2024
$16 bil. Israel
Total energy imports in 2024 $3 bil. Brunei
Total energy imports in 2024
$5 bil. Myanmar
Total energy imports in 2024
$5 bil. Indonesia
Total energy imports in 2024
$35 bil. Armenia
Total energy imports in 2024
$535.9 mil. Turkey
Total energy imports in 2024 $26 bil. Hong Kong
Total energy imports in 2024
$12 bil. Uzbekistan
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. Kazakhstan
Total energy imports in 2024
$628 mil. Yemen
Total energy imports in 2024
$23.5 mil. Azerbaijan
Total energy imports in 2024 $2 bil. Kyrgyzstan
Total energy imports in 2024
$1 bil. Jordan
Total energy imports in 2024
$641 mil. Cambodia
Total energy imports in 2024
$3 bil. Syria
Total energy imports in 2024
$131.2 mil. Bangladesh
Total energy imports in 2024 $7 bil.
In 2024, nearly 21 million barrels of oil a day crossed through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow passageway connecting the Persian Gulf to the world. Four-fifths of that supply went to Asia.
China has long been the biggest purchaser of oil and gas from Persian Gulf nations. And with more than a third of its total supply coming from the region, the disruption is significant for Beijing. But other countries are almost entirely reliant on the region for their energy needs.
Pakistan has considered imposing a four-day workweek, and remote school and work, in order to preserve energy stockpiles. A state-led fund in Thailand, to subsidize the cost of fuel when prices surge, plunged into a deficit this month.
In India, where the economy depends on the Middle East for roughly 40 percent of the country’s oil imports and 80 percent of its gas, a shortage of cooking gas is squeezing households. And across Asia, fliers are being stranded because airlines running low on jet fuel have canceled thousands of flights.
Europe has been more insulated, sort of
Greece
Total energy imports in 2024
$19 bil. Lithuania
Total energy imports in 2024
$7 bil. Poland
Total energy imports in 2024
$28 bil. Serbia
Total energy imports in 2024 $2 bil. Bulgaria
Total energy imports in 2024
$5 bil. Slovenia
Total energy imports in 2024
$4 bil. Italy
Total energy imports in 2024
$50 bil. Albania
Total energy imports in 2024
$931.9 mil. France
Total energy imports in 2024 $73 bil. Ireland
Total energy imports in 2024
$6 bil. Iceland
Total energy imports in 2024
$1 bil. U.K.
Total energy imports in 2024
$62 bil. Netherlands
Total energy imports in 2024
$105 bil. Spain
Total energy imports in 2024 $53 bil. Romania
Total energy imports in 2024
$8 bil. Denmark
Total energy imports in 2024
$6 bil. Ukraine
Total energy imports in 2024
$8 bil. Austria
Total energy imports in 2024
$10 bil. Germany
Total energy imports in 2024 $66 bil. Norway
Total energy imports in 2024
$5 bil. Portugal
Total energy imports in 2024
$10 bil. Moldova
Total energy imports in 2024
$1 bil. Cyprus
Total energy imports in 2024
$3 bil. Belgium
Total energy imports in 2024 $47 bil. Latvia
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. Sweden
Total energy imports in 2024
$18 bil. Finland
Total energy imports in 2024
$10 bil. Estonia
Total energy imports in 2024
$1 bil. North Macedonia
Total energy imports in 2024 $902.7 mil. Croatia
Total energy imports in 2024
$6 bil. Switzerland
Total energy imports in 2024
$8 bil. Bosnia and Herzegovina
Total energy imports in 2024
$1 bil. Slovakia
Total energy imports in 2024
$4 bil.
Europe has traditionally been less reliant on the Gulf than Asia has been. It used to get most of its natural gas from Russia, but in recent years it has relied more on the United States and Norway. But the continent has had to endure one energy crisis after another in recent years, including from Russia’s war with Ukraine and the Western sanctions that followed.
Russia is the world’s third-largest producer of oil and second-largest producer of gas, and the sales of its energy products have been significantly restricted while Moscow continues its invasion of Ukraine.
This current crisis comes as European countries, confronting lackluster economic output, try to rebuild their industrial bases and fend off competition from cheaper Chinese exports.
Confronted with soaring prices since its attack with Israel on Iran, the United States temporarily lifted sanctions on Russian oil that is currently at sea, hoping to ease the global supply and markets in the process. The European Union has not made similar moves.
Parts of Africa will be hit hard
Seychelles
Total energy imports in 2024
$308.6 mil. Mauritania
Total energy imports in 2024
$973.5 mil. Uganda
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. Mauritius
Total energy imports in 2024
$1 bil. Kenya
Total energy imports in 2024 $5 bil. Egypt
Total energy imports in 2024
$16 bil. Zambia
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. Namibia
Total energy imports in 2024
$1 bil. Malawi
Total energy imports in 2024
$476.1 mil. South Africa
Total energy imports in 2024 $18 bil. Tanzania
Total energy imports in 2024
$5 bil. Morocco
Total energy imports in 2024
$8 bil. Mozambique
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. Madagascar
Total energy imports in 2024
$841.3 mil. Zimbabwe
Total energy imports in 2024 $2 bil. Senegal
Total energy imports in 2024
$4 bil. Nigeria
Total energy imports in 2024
$13 bil. Benin
Total energy imports in 2024
$398.4 mil. Angola
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. Burkina Faso
Total energy imports in 2024 $2 bil. Tunisia
Total energy imports in 2024
$3 bil. Cote d’Ivoire
Total energy imports in 2024
$4 bil. Central African Republic
Total energy imports in 2024
$196.7 mil. Gambia
Total energy imports in 2024
$206.6 mil. Niger
Total energy imports in 2024 $113.6 mil. Lesotho
Total energy imports in 2024
$214.4 mil. Cameroon
Total energy imports in 2024
$424.4 mil. Libya
Total energy imports in 2024
$4 bil.
African nations, like many other countries in the global south, could feel the disruption unevenly. Seychelles, the island nation off the east coast of Africa, imported almost all of its energy from Gulf states in 2024. Mauritius has had a similar reliance, while Nigeria, an oil-rich state and a member of the OPEC Plus oil cartel, has traditionally imported relatively few fossil fuels from the Middle East.
But as the war continues, the impact is being felt beyond the imports of oil and gas. The Persian Gulf is a dominant source of fertilizer, partly because the region’s abundance of energy has spurred the development of factories that make the raw materials for many types of agricultural chemicals.
A sustained rise in the cost of fertilizer could force governments in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa to subsidize the cost of growing crops or otherwise watch food prices climb. That could add to debt burdens afflicting many lower-income countries.
The Americas and elsewhere are feeling broader economic shocks
Argentina
Total energy imports in 2024
$3 bil. Brazil
Total energy imports in 2024
$28 bil. United States
Total energy imports in 2024
$233 bil. Paraguay
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. Canada
Total energy imports in 2024 $31 bil. Uruguay
Total energy imports in 2024
$1 bil. Australia
Total energy imports in 2024
$37 bil. Dominican Republic
Total energy imports in 2024
$5 bil. Guatemala
Total energy imports in 2024
$4 bil. Chile
Total energy imports in 2024 $13 bil. Fiji
Total energy imports in 2024
$888.1 mil. Peru
Total energy imports in 2024
$9 bil. Honduras
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. Ecuador
Total energy imports in 2024
$5 bil. Colombia
Total energy imports in 2024 $6 bil. El Salvador
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. Costa Rica
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. New Zealand
Total energy imports in 2024
$6 bil. Mexico
Total energy imports in 2024
$34 bil. Belize
Total energy imports in 2024 $235.5 mil. Bolivia
Total energy imports in 2024
$2 bil. Nicaragua
Total energy imports in 2024
$1 bil. Barbados
Total energy imports in 2024
$552.3 mil.
The United States is the world’s largest producer of oil and gas. That means the impact of halting the energy trade from the Middle East is much less severe.
But the United States and other countries in the region that do not import great quantities from the Gulf are still feeling economic strain. The jump in oil prices – to over $100 a barrel in recent weeks – has already weighed on other major economic factors.
The cost of gasoline has jumped by about a dollar a gallon nationally since the war began. American airlines have begun to cut flights because of fuel costs. Concerns about inflation have pushed mortgage rates to their highest level in three months, just weeks after they fell below 6 percent for the first time since 2022.
If the war drags on, or if oil and gas prices continue to rise, the damage will most likely grow, economists say. It is perhaps one reason why the White House has forcefully insisted that it does not need Middle Eastern oil — and is increasingly trying to use military force to stop Iran’s blockade of it.
Methodology
To calculate total energy imports for each country, The New York Times used 2024 international trade data from the Observatory for Economic Complexity and tallied the value of imports for a subset of energy-related goods. A share of imports from Gulf countries was then calculated from that subset.
The Gulf countries included are: Kuwait, Iraq, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Iran.
The categories used were: crude petroleum oils (HS 270900), bituminous petroleum distillates (HS 271000), liquefied natural gas (HS 271111), liquefied propane (HS 271112), liquefied butanes (HS 271113) and liquefied petroleum gases (HS 271119).
Business
As malls and department stores fade, California’s Ross and other discounters are booming
As big malls and department stores close, bargain chains like Ross Dress for Less are rolling out new stores.
Economic anxiety and inflation are leading shoppers to spend less and search for savings. In this bombed-out retail landscape, some chains are thriving and opening new outlets.
At a new Ross in Alhambra, Liz Lopez was shopping for a designer purse. She is a big fan of the Dublin-based chain and thrilled to now have one just 10 blocks from her home.
People check out after shopping at a newly opened Ross store.
(Jason Armond / Los Angeles Times)
“I come on Tuesdays for the senior discounts,” Lopez said, showing off her new black Dolce & Gabbana purse. “I always find good deals.”
The new store on East Valley Boulevard opened this month. One of its sister shops — dd’s Discounts, which is owned by the same parent company — opened in North Hollywood.
This year, the parent company, Ross Stores Inc., plans to open 110 new outlets across the country, after 90 last year.
Ross Chief Executive Jim Conroy said Ross is capturing market share by attracting customers away from other retail chains.
“The share shift is more from mainstream retail, department stores and other places like that,” he told analysts after announcing strong growth early this month.
Other discount outlets, including T.J. Maxx, Dollar General, Nordstrom Rack and Five Below, are also expanding to capitalize on tough times.
Retail data show shoppers are visiting a broader spectrum of destinations to find lower prices, said Placer.ai, which tracks people’s movements based on cellphone usage.
“Consumers have become increasingly selective and price-sensitive, actively pivoting away from traditional mid-market chains in favor of discount retailers and value-oriented brands,” Placer.ai said in a report this month. “Because affordability remains a core focus, average households are spreading their visits across a wider number of non-discretionary stores to hunt for deals.”
Discount retailers have been popular for decades, but a combination of factors is now driving accelerated growth for some, experts said.
Dollar stores and the first off-price retailers rose to popularity in the 1990s, but really took off around 2010 following the recession, according to Dylan Carden, a specialty retail analyst at William Blair.
Since then, the stigma surrounding bargain stores has lessened for both customers and brands.
“They’re phenomenal at what they do,” Carden said of the major off-price retailers, including Ross and TJX, which owns T.J. Maxx, Marshalls and Home Goods.
In the last year or so, well-established retailers that were already grappling with intense competition from online retailers have been hit as their customers cut back on discretionary spending amid inflation, tariffs and global conflict.
Savings signs on the walls at a newly opened Ross store in Alhambra.
(Jason Armond / Los Angeles Times)
For stores such as Ross, this dip in demand at department stores means a larger supply of discounted products, as they often buy unsold merchandise from struggling high-end outlets and manufacturers.
“These companies offer a tremendous value to shoppers, but they perhaps offer an even greater value to the brands,” said Simeon Siegel, a senior managing director at Guggenheim Partners. “They’ve solidified their role in the retail ecosystem.”
Five Below, the Pennsylvania-based discount outlet aimed at teens and tweens, opened 150 new stores in 2025 and has plans to open more this year. Its same-store sales rose 15% in the fourth quarter last year.
Ross sells everything from neckties to shower curtains. Its fourth-quarter profits last year rose 10% from the year prior. Ross reported record sales for 2025 of $22.8 billion, up 8% from the year prior. Its net income was $2.1 billion, similar to 2024, while comparable store sales grew 5%.
Investors have been happy with its outperformance.
Ross shares surged around 70% over the past year. TJX shares rose around 30%.
A man exits after shopping at a newly opened Ross store.
(Jason Armond / Los Angeles Times)
TJX has also seen year-over-year increases in sales and net income, according to its most recent earnings release. It plans to open 146 new stores this year.
“The revenues, the stores, the businesses are doing excellent,” Siegel said. “They are absolutely in their stride.”
In contrast, some department stores are struggling.
Macy’s closed two California locations earlier this year as part of its plan to reduce its footprint by 30% by 2027. Twelve more closures are planned in the coming months across the U.S.
Saks Global, which owns Saks Fifth Avenue and Neiman Marcus, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in January, citing overwhelming debt.
“The department store pressure and the off-price success are not coincidental,” Siegel said. “They are clearly linked. Off-price has effectively become the new department store.”
In addition to opening new stores, Ross is working to streamline the shopping process by better organizing its stores and adding self-checkout at more branches.
The new Ross in Alhambra has several self-checkout lanes and well-stocked aisles organized into categories such as apparel, technology and cosmetics.
Lopez, a regular at Ross Dress for Less, put a pack of clothing hangers in her cart along with her new purse before checking out.
“I always seem to find what I need,” she said.
Business
Amazon MGM Studios’ ‘Project Hail Mary’ rockets to the top of the box office
The Ryan Gosling-led “Project Hail Mary” rocketed to the top of the box office this weekend, marking a big win for Amazon MGM Studios.
The film — which stars Gosling as a science teacher who embarks on a space mission to save humanity — hauled in $80.5 million in the U.S. and Canada, making it the biggest domestic debut of the year so far. Globally, “Project Hail Mary” brought in $140.9 million.
The movie is an adaptation of a novel by Andy Weir, author of “The Martian” — another successful book-to-screen adventure. The big opening weekend for “Project Hail Mary” is a boost for Amazon MGM Studios, which had heavily promoted the film as an example of the big blockbusters it could produce.
“We believe deeply in the Hail Mary, and it’s clear audiences do as well,” Kevin Wilson, head of domestic theatrical distribution for Amazon MGM Studios, said in a statement. “What we’re seeing in theaters —the energy, the exit scores, the word of mouth — is everything we believed this film would deliver.”
Walt Disney Co. and Pixar’s “Hoppers” came in second at the box office this weekend with a domestic total of $18 million. The original animated film has now garnered $120.4 million in the U.S. and Canada since it debuted in theaters earlier this month.
Indian action film “Dhurandhar The Revenge” came in third with $10 million, followed by Disney-owned Searchlight Pictures’ horror film “Ready or Not 2: Here I Come” and Universal Pictures’ romance “Reminders of Him” rounding out the top five.
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