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Column: Bidenomics has been a boon for working class voters. Why don’t they give him credit?

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Column: Bidenomics has been a boon for working class voters. Why don’t they give him credit?

No one doubts that the fiscal buzzword of the moment is “Bidenomics.” The question at hand is whether President Biden will be able to wear it proudly as a badge, or his Republican adversaries will hang it around his neck like an albatross.

President Biden himself plainly sees it as a net positive. During his appearance in Chicago on June 28 to talk up his economic message, the term was emblazoned on the podium and on bunting draped around the hall.

Republicans inevitably see it as just the opposite. “Highest inflation in 40 years. 24 straight months of pay cuts. 37.2% increase in energy prices. That’s Bidenomics in action,” Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-Tenn.) tweeted that same day.

President Biden has amassed a historic record in his first term. Why aren’t he and his party bragging about it?

— Michael Tomasky, The New Republic

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“Savings, real wages, and economic confidence are all down while prices continue to skyrocket, and hardworking Americans pay the price for failed ‘Bidenomics,’” chimed in Republican National Committee Chair Ronna Romney McDaniel.

So which is it? The truth is that by most objective measures Biden’s economic policies have been yielding sustained economic growth, including an annualized gain of 2% after inflation in the first quarter of this year, fueled largely by strong exports and consumer spending.

Inflation has come down sharply. The 40-year peak that Blackburn referenced occurred more than a year ago, in June 2022. Since then the year-over-year inflation rate has been cut by more than half, to 4%. The most recent monthly rate of 0.1% in May points to an annualized inflation rate a bit over 1.2%, well below the Federal Reserve Board’s target of 2%.

Energy prices? They came down by 20% in May compared with a year earlier. Fuel oil prices fell by more than 37% and gasoline by 19.7% in the same period. This month has seen further declines, with the average price per gallon down to $3.54, according to the AAA, a drop of 29.6% from the peak of $5.03 last June.

Lower-income workers were the chief beneficiaries of Biden policies and the general economic environment in recent years. Those earning an average of $12.50 an hour recorded a gain of 6% after inflation from 2020 through 2022, Politico’s Victoria Guida reports.

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According to a recent paper by economists David Autor of MIT and Arindrajit Dube and Annie McGrew of the University of Massachusetts, lower-income workers have recovered about 25% of the increase in wage inequality experienced over the last four decades. That’s partially the result of a dramatic restructuring of labor-management relations in the pandemic era, as workers found it easier to quit and find new jobs than they had in years.

Biden’s pro-labor policies may have had something to do with the improvement in workers’ fortunes. Under Biden, the National Labor Relations Board has reversed its hard-bitten pro-management slant under Trump.

Even Biden’s momentary bow to railroad bosses during the holiday season last year, when he imposed a contract settlement that shortchanged workers on sick days, has been reversed since then, with the railroad unions obtaining the paid sick days they were originally denied.

Administration pressure made a big difference. “The Biden administration played the long game on sick days and stuck with us for months … without making a big show of it,” Al Russo, the head of the railroad department of the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, said on June 20, when the deal was reached with four major rail lines.

As for McDaniel’s assertions, Timothy Noah of The New Republic points out that Americans’ saving rate has actually been rising for most of this year. Wages are down when inflation is factored in, but then again inflation is falling. And contrary to McDaniel, economic confidence has been surging, both as an assessment of current conditions and expectations for the future. That’s according to the Conference Board, which keeps the numbers.

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Its consumer confidence index was up sharply in June to its highest level in a year, “reflecting improved current conditions and a pop in expectations,” says Dana Peterson, the board’s chief economist.

The stock market has also signaled increasing confidence that the economy will be able to avert a recession despite the Federal Reserve’s battle against inflation, which encompassed the sharpest increase in interest rates in history. Since Election Day 2020, when Biden defeated Trump, the Dow Jones industrial average has risen by almost 25% and the broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index by 32%. That’s despite a painful downturn in the S&P 500 of 23% last year (adjusted for inflation).

It’s fair to say that the economy hasn’t yet recovered the strength it needs to produce the tide that lifts all boats. Many Americans still feel the pain of higher prices and narrowed employment opportunity; where one stands on the economy depends as much as always on where one sits.

But generally speaking, Biden’s approach to economic policy has been to push it in the direction of favoring ordinary Americans through initiatives such as infrastructure spending, regulatory policies, and the effort to reduce the burden of student debt (blocked by a far-right Supreme Court). That’s a big change from the Trump years, when the GOP’s most significant legislative achievement was an enormous tax cut for corporations and the wealthy.

Despite all that, opinion polls still show that Biden gets low marks for his management of the economy. There are a few reasons for that.

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An established truism regarding voters’ opinions about the economy is that they lag well behind reality, especially when the reality is a recovery from a slump. People will typically think that a recession is still in full flood long after conditions have turned higher.

Republicans once used”Obamacare” as an epithet to denigrate Obama’s signature social policy. But the program is now more popular than ever.

(Kaiser Family Foundation)

One reason may be that bad news sells better than good news. Marketers of economic nostrums such as cryptocurrency and gold investments don’t win customers by proclaiming that happy days are here again.

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They do so by offering remedies for the dark days that are supposedly here and are only going to get worse. Surely it’s no coincidence that these investment trapdoors are advertised by right-wing websites featuring apocalyptic screeds and pitched by the likes of Sean Hannity and Tucker Carlson.

Opposition politicians, always on the lookout for issues to run on, also strive invariably to paint the economic picture in the darkest hues, typically by pointing fingers at the incumbent party and president.

One can’t reproach them for blaming Biden for economic circumstances that are truly out of his control — such as the supply-chain logjams and Russian invasion of Ukraine, which triggered inflation a year ago — any more than one can reproach a dog for drinking out of the toilet. It’s natural behavior, of which Democrats are just as guilty when they’re out of office. One can only point out that the economic boons that GOP politicians are taking credit for are the result of policies they tried to kill.

In recent weeks, for example, Republican senators and representatives were out and about associating themselves with federally funded infrastructure projects in their constituencies.

Sen. Tommy Tuberville of Alabama crowed about the “crucial funds” ($1.4 billion) he had helped his state secure for broadband access. Blackburn celebrated the progress her state of Tennessee had “made in expanding broadband.” Sen. John Cornyn of Texas announced a $3.3-billion grant to his home state for the same purpose.

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You can probably see the punchline coming a mile away: Every one of them voted against the infrastructure bill that appropriated the money. In the House, the measure passed with two GOP yea votes and 201 against; in the Senate, 19 Republicans voted for the measure and 30, including Tuberville, Blackburn and Cornyn, voted no.

Biden has been appropriately wry about the Republicans’ touting the impact of measures they tried to kill. “Tuberville,” he said at a June 28 appearance in Chicago to talk up Bidenomics, “strongly opposed the legislation that now he’s hailing…. He says, ‘Great to see Alabama receive critical funds to boost ongoing broadband efforts.’ End of quote. I told him I’ll see him at the groundbreaking.”

One doesn’t need to go too far back in history to find parallels for the majestic dishonesty of the GOP campaign on the Biden economy. In 2009, scores of Republican lawmakers jostled to take maximal credit for post-recession recovery grants flowing into their districts as a result of a stimulus measure that had passed the House without a single GOP vote and the Senate with only three GOP votes.

Another factor may be Republicans’ skills at crafting talking points, one area in which their superiority to Democrats is indisputable. “Democrats, Wake the Hell Up!” New Republic editor Michael Tomasky urged recently. “President Biden has amassed a historic record in his first term. Why aren’t he and his party bragging about it?”

Accepting the label of Bidenomics for economic policies may be a political risk for Biden. But it may be an encouraging sign that he’s leaning into a label that the GOP has tried to turn into a dirty word, since he does have a lot to brag about. It should be remembered that the Republicans tried to turn public discontent with the Affordable Care Act into a millstone for Democrats by calling it “Obamacare.”

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Over time, however, Obamacare became a blessing, not a curse. In its most recent tracking poll on the Affordable Care Act, the Kaiser Family Foundation determined that Americans now have a favorable view of the program by a 60-40 margin, its best showing ever. That should make Democrats optimistic that the virtues of their policies get recognized by voters eventually, but pessimistic over the fact that it took the ACA, which was enacted in 2010, some 13 years to reach that promised land.

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Albania Gives Jared Kushner Hotel Project a Nod as Trump Returns

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Albania Gives Jared Kushner Hotel Project a Nod as Trump Returns

The government of Albania has given preliminary approval to a plan proposed by Jared Kushner, Donald J. Trump’s son-in-law, to build a $1.4 billion luxury hotel complex on a small abandoned military base off the coast of Albania.

The project is one of several involving Mr. Trump and his extended family that directly involve foreign government entities that will be moving ahead even while Mr. Trump will be in charge of foreign policy related to these same nations.

The approval by Albania’s Strategic Investment Committee — which is led by Prime Minister Edi Rama — gives Mr. Kushner and his business partners the right to move ahead with accelerated negotiations to build the luxury resort on a 111-acre section of the 2.2-square-mile island of Sazan that will be connected by ferry to the mainland.

Mr. Kushner and the Albanian government did not respond Wednesday to requests for comment. But when previously asked about this project, both have said that the evaluation is not being influenced by Mr. Kushner’s ties to Mr. Trump or any effort to try to seek favors from the U.S. government.

“The fact that such a renowned American entrepreneur shows his interest on investing in Albania makes us very proud and happy,” a spokesman for Mr. Rama said last year in a statement to The New York Times when asked about the projects.

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Mr. Kushner’s Affinity Partners, a private equity company backed with about $4.6 billion in money mostly from Saudi Arabia and other Middle East sovereign wealth funds, is pursuing the Albania project along with Asher Abehsera, a real-estate executive that Mr. Kushner has previously teamed up with to build projects in Brooklyn, N.Y.

The Albanian government, according to an official document recently posted online, will now work with their American partners to clear the proposed hotel site of any potential buried munitions and to examine any other environmental or legal concerns that need to be resolved before the project can move ahead.

The document, dated Dec. 30, notes that the government “has the right to revoke the decision,” depending on the final project negotiations.

Mr. Kushner’s firm has said the plan is to build a five-star “eco-resort community” on the island by turning a “former military base into a vibrant international destination for hospitality and wellness.”

Ivanka Trump, Mr. Trump’s daughter, has said she is helping with the project as well. “We will execute on it,” she said about the project, during a podcast last year.

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This project is just one of two major real-estate deals that Mr. Kushner is pursuing along with Mr. Abehsera that involve foreign governments.

Separately, the partnership received preliminary approval last year to build a luxury hotel complex in Belgrade, Serbia, in the former ministry of defense building, which has sat empty for decades after it was bombed by NATO in 1999 during a war there.

Serbia and Albania have foreign policy matters pending with the United States, as both countries seek continued U.S. support for their long-stalled efforts to join the European Union, and officials in Washington are trying to convince Serbia to tighten ties with the United States, instead of Russia.

Virginia Canter, who served as White House ethics lawyer during the Obama and Clinton administrations and also an ethics adviser to the International Monetary Fund, said even if there was no attempt to gain influence with Mr. Trump, any government deal involving his family creates that impression.

“It all looks like favoritism, like they are providing access to Kushner because they want to be on the good side of Trump,” Ms. Canter said, now with State Democracy Defenders Fund, a group that tracks federal government corruption and ethics issues.

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Craft supplies retailer Joann declares bankruptcy for the second time in a year

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Craft supplies retailer Joann declares bankruptcy for the second time in a year

The craft supplies and fabric retailer Joann filed for bankruptcy for the second time in less than a year, as the chain wrestles with declining sales and inventory shortages, the company said Wednesday.

The retailer emerged from a previous Chapter 11 bankruptcy process last April after eliminating $505 million in debt. Now, with $615 million in liabilities, the company will begin a court-supervised sale of its assets to repay creditors. The company owes an additional $133 million to its suppliers.

“We hope that this process enables us to find a path that would allow Joann to continue operating,” said interim Chief Executive Michael Prendergast in a statement. “The last several years have presented significant and lasting challenges in the retail environment, which, coupled with our current financial position and constrained inventory levels, forced us to take this step.”

Joann’s more than 800 stores and websites will remain open throughout the bankruptcy process, the company said, and employees will continue to receive pay and benefits. The Hudson, Ohio-based company was founded in 1943 and has stores in 49 states, including several in Southern California.

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According to court documents, Joann began receiving unpredictable and inconsistent deliveries of yarn and sewing items from its suppliers, making it difficult to keep its shelves stocked. Joann’s suppliers also discontinued certain items the retailer relied on.

Along with the “unanticipated inventory challenges,” Joann and other retailers face pressure from inflation-wary consumers and interest rates that were for a time the highest in decades. The crafts supplier has also been hindered by competition from others in the space, including Michael’s, Etsy and Hobby Lobby, said Retail Wire Chief Executive Dominick Miserandino.

“It did not necessarily learn to evolve like its nearby competitors,” Miserandino said of Joann. “Not many people have heard of Joann in the way they’ve heard of Michael’s.”

Joann is not the first retailer to continue to struggle after going through bankruptcy. The party supply chain Party City announced last month it would be shutting down operations, after filing for and emerging from Chapter 11 bankruptcy in 2023.

Over the last two years, more than 60 companies have filed for bankruptcy for a second or third time, Bloomberg reported, based on information from BankruptcyData. That’s the most over a comparable period since 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic kept shoppers home.

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Discount chain Big Lots filed for bankruptcy last September, and the Container Store, a retailer offering storage and organization products, declared bankruptcy last month. Companies that rely heavily on brick-and-mortar locations are scrambling to keep up with online retailers and big-box chains. Fast-casual restaurants such as Red Lobster and Rubio’s Coastal Grill have also struggled.

High prices have prompted consumers to pull back on discretionary spending, while rising operating and labor costs put additional pressure on businesses, experts said. The U.S. annual inflation rate for 2024 was 2.9%, down from 3.4% in 2023. But inflation has been on the rise since September and remains above the Federal Reserve’s goal of 2%.

If a sale process for Joann is approved, Gordon Brothers Retail Partners would serve as the stalking-horse bidder and set the floor for the auction.

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U.S. Sues Southwest Airlines Over Chronic Delays

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U.S. Sues Southwest Airlines Over Chronic Delays

The federal government sued Southwest Airlines on Wednesday, accusing the airline of harming passengers who flew on two routes that were plagued by consistent delays in 2022.

In a lawsuit, the Transportation Department said it was seeking more than $2.1 million in civil penalties over the flights between airports in Chicago and Oakland, Calif., as well as Baltimore and Cleveland, that were chronically delayed over five months that year.

“Airlines have a legal obligation to ensure that their flight schedules provide travelers with realistic departure and arrival times,” the transportation secretary, Pete Buttigieg, said in a statement. “Today’s action sends a message to all airlines that the department is prepared to go to court in order to enforce passenger protections.”

Carriers are barred from operating unrealistic flight schedules, which the Transportation Department considers an unfair, deceptive and anticompetitive practice. A “chronically delayed” flight is defined as one that operates at least 10 times a month and is late by at least 30 minutes more than half the time.

In a statement, Southwest said it was “disappointed” that the department chose to sue over the flights that took place more than two years ago. The airline said it had operated 20 million flights since the Transportation Department enacted its policy against chronically delayed flights more than a decade ago, with no other violations.

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“Any claim that these two flights represent an unrealistic schedule is simply not credible when compared with our performance over the past 15 years,” Southwest said.

Last year, Southwest canceled fewer than 1 percent of its flights, but more than 22 percent arrived at least 15 minutes later than scheduled, according to Cirium, an aviation data provider. Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, Alaska Airlines and American Airlines all had fewer such delays.

The lawsuit was filed in the United States District Court for the Northern District of California. In it, the government said that a Southwest flight from Chicago to Oakland arrived late 19 out of 25 trips in April 2022, with delays averaging more than an hour. The consistent delays continued through August of that year, averaging an hour or more. On another flight, between Baltimore and Cleveland, average delay times reached as high as 96 minutes per month during the same period. In a statement, the department said that Southwest, rather than poor weather or air traffic control, was responsible for more than 90 percent of the delays.

“Holding out these chronically delayed flights disregarded consumers’ need to have reliable information about the real arrival time of a flight and harmed thousands of passengers traveling on these Southwest flights by causing disruptions to travel plans or other plans,” the department said in the lawsuit.

The government said Southwest had violated federal rules 58 times in August 2022 after four months of consistent delays. Each violation faces a civil penalty of up to $37,377, or more than $2.1 million in total, according to the lawsuit.

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The Transportation Department on Wednesday also said that it had penalized Frontier Airlines for chronically delayed flights, fining the airline $650,000. Half that amount was paid to the Treasury and the rest is slated to be forgiven if the airline has no more chronically delayed flights over the next three years.

This month, the department ordered JetBlue Airways to pay a $2 million fine for failing to address similarly delayed flights over a span of more than a year ending in November 2023, with half the money going to passengers affected by the delays.

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