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Kamala Harris’ chances of winning Wisconsin, new polls show

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Kamala Harris’ chances of winning Wisconsin, new polls show


The battle for Wisconsin is caught in a dead heat between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in the final days of the 2024 election.

The Badger State is set to be among a handful of states that could tip the results of the presidential election. Harris held a slight lead in the key swing state shortly after she entered the presidential race, but the gap with Trump has closed as November 5 inches closer.

President Joe Biden won Wisconsin in 2020, flipping the state that sided with Trump during his first presidential run in 2016. But Trump lost the state by just 0.63 percentage points, or around 20,000 votes. Four years prior, Trump beat then-Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by just 0.7 percentage points.

According to FiveThirtyEight, as of Wednesday, the vice president is leading her Republican opponent by 0.4 points on average across statewide polls, and several recent surveys have found that the candidates are tied in Wisconsin. In a poll released by Quinnipiac University on Wednesday, Harris and Trump were locked at 48 percent apiece, based on the responses of 1,108 likely voters.

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Former President Donald Trump, left, speaks at a rally on October 6 in Juneau, Wisconsin. Trump is caught in a dead heat in the Badger State against Vice President Kamala Harris, right, who’s pictured at…


Scott Olson/Getty Images;KAMIL KRZACZYNSKI/AFP via Getty Images

A poll by Morning Consult and Bloomberg garnered the same results, with Trump and Harris tied at 48 percent among 624 likely voters. A survey by the Trafalgar Group, a conservative pollster, from October 18 to October 20, also found Harris and Trump locked at 46.8 percent each among 1,083 likely voters in Wisconsin.

Harris was given a small lead in a poll by Redfield and Wilton Strategies, in partnership with The Telegraph, that was released Monday, with the vice president ahead 47 percent to 46 percent among 730 eligible Wisconsin voters surveyed from October 16 to October 18. The results, however, fall within the poll’s margin of error of 3.63 percent.

Trump was found ahead by 1 point (50 percent to 49 percent) in a poll released last week by Napolitan News. But given the poll’s margin of error of 3.5 percent, the results are considered a toss-up.

Both campaigns have prioritized stops in Wisconsin in the final weeks of the election. Harris stopped in three different cities on Thursday in an effort to motivate voters before the state’s first day of early voting on Tuesday.

Former President Barack Obama later hosted a “get out the vote” event in Madison on the day polls opened alongside Harris’ running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, during which the duo highlighted the closeness of the race.

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“When the stakes are the highest, winners are the ones who step up, and that’s exactly what we’re going to do,” Walz said during the event at the Alliant Energy Center.

Trump made four stops in Wisconsin in an eight-day span at the start of the month. The former president took a different tone than his Democratic opponents, and spoke confidently about his chances come November.

“They say that Wisconsin is probably the toughest of the swing states to win,” Trump said during an event in Juneau on October 6. “I don’t think so.”

State election officials said that over 97,000 people cast absentee ballots in person on the first day of early voting this week in Wisconsin, a jump from the nearly 80,000 who cast ballots on the opening day of voting in 2020.

As of Wednesday, 475,460 absentee ballots had been returned. There are over 3.5 million voters registered in Wisconsin, but registration is open through Election Day.

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Wisconsin basketball signs Miami transfer Eian Elmer, who gives ‘scoring punch’

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Wisconsin basketball signs Miami transfer Eian Elmer, who gives ‘scoring punch’


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  • The Wisconsin men’s basketball team has signed Miami (OH) transfer Eian Elmer.
  • Elmer, a 6-foot-7 wing, averaged 12.7 points and 5.9 rebounds last season while shooting efficiently from 3-point range.
  • He is the third transfer portal addition for the Badgers this offseason.

Wisconsin men’s basketball has added a sharpshooting wing via the transfer portal.

Miami (Ohio) transfer Eian Elmer has signed with the Badgers, the team announced April 18. The 6-foot-7 wing will join UW with one year of eligibility remaining.

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Elmer averaged a career-high 12.7 points and 5.9 rebounds while shooting 49.8% from the field and 42.9% from 3-point range in 2025-26. His production helped the RedHawks go 32-2 and earn an at-large NCAA Tournament bid.

“We are really excited to add another excellent addition to our spring signees,” UW coach Greg Gard said in a release. “Eian brings a wealth of experience and scoring punch as a 6-7 wing. … A terrific shooter, his skillset and production fit excellently into our plan as we build out next year’s team. Throughout our evaluation process, our staff loved his size, power and skill and truly believe he will thrive in our system.”

Elmer is Wisconsin’s third transfer portal addition since the end of the 2025-26 season, joining former George Washington guard Trey Autry and former Hofstra forward Victory Onuetu. UW also added Australian guard Owen Foxwell.

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The additions of Autry, Onuetu and now Elmer leave Gard’s staff with three more roster spots to fill ahead of the 2026-27 season.

The Badgers are looking to replace much of their production from a 2025-26 team that went 24-11. Nolan Winter is expected to be the team’s only returning starter after John Blackwell and Aleksas Bieliauskas entered the transfer portal and Nick Boyd and Andrew Rohde exhausted their eligibility.



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Wisconsin storms aftermath: Widespread damage, river flood warnings in effect

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Wisconsin storms aftermath: Widespread damage, river flood warnings in effect


Friday’s severe storms have passed. And with that, the threat of any severe weather has also passed for the immediate future as no storms or rain are expected for several days.

However, plenty of damage remains across southeastern Wisconsin as of Saturday morning, in addition to the ongoing flooding threat.

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Several area rivers are at flood stage, and there are multiple river flood warnings in effect.

FOX6 Weekend WakeUp on Saturday begins at 6 a.m.

On the scene in the morning

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What we know:

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FOX6 Weather Extras

Local perspective:

Meanwhile, FOX6Now.com offers a variety of extremely useful weather tools to help you navigate the stormy season. They include the following:  

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FOX6 Storm Center app

FOX LOCAL Mobile app

FOX Weather app

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Maps and radar

We have a host of maps and radars on the FOX6 Weather page that are updating regularly — to provide you the most accurate assessment of the weather. From a county-by-county view to the Midwest regional radar and a national view — it’s all there.

SIGN UP TODAY: Get daily headlines, breaking news emails from FOX6 News

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School and business closings

When the weather gets a little dicey, schools and businesses may shut down. Monitor the latest list of closings, cancellations, and delays reported in southeast Wisconsin.

FOX6 Weather Experts in social media

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The Source: Information in this post was compiled by the FOX6 Weather Experts.

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Wisconsin transfer Aleksas Bieliauskas joins SEC team with ties to Badgers

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Wisconsin transfer Aleksas Bieliauskas joins SEC team with ties to Badgers


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  • Former Wisconsin forward Aleksas Bieliauskas has committed to South Carolina.
  • Bieliauskas averaged 4.9 points and 4.4 rebounds as a freshman for the Badgers.
  • South Carolina’s head coach, Lamont Paris, is a former Wisconsin assistant coach.

MADISON – One of Wisconsin men’s basketball’s departing transfers is headed to an SEC program with some connections to the Badgers.

Ex-UW forward Aleksas Bieliauskas has committed to South Carolina, he announced on April 17.

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Bieliauskas left the Badgers after appearing in all 35 games as a freshman and making 28 starts. He averaged 4.9 points and 4.4 points in 20.2 minutes, and highlights of his freshman year included his five 3-pointers in UW’s upset over eventual national champion Michigan.

He’ll join a program with plenty of Wisconsin ties. South Carolina head coach Lamont Paris was an assistant coach at Wisconsin from 2010-17 on Bo Ryan and Greg Gard’s staffs. South Carolina assistant coach Tanner Bronson and director of video services Roman DiPasquale also are UW alumni.

Bieliauskas is the second of UW’s four departing transfers to commit to a new school. Reserve forward Jack Robison committed to North Dakota State on April 15. Starting guard John Blackwell and reserve forward Riccardo Greppi have not announced their next schools yet.



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