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The many challenges facing Jay Powell as he tries to pull off a soft landing

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The many challenges facing Jay Powell as he tries to pull off a soft landing

Jay Powell argued this week that the Fed is not “behind” as it starts a cycle of interest rate cuts.

His main challenge in the coming months is to keep that narrative intact if the job market keeps cooling and the economy deteriorates.

“We don’t think we’re behind,” the Federal Reserve chairman said during a Wednesday press conference following a decision to cut rates for the first time since 2020. “We think this is timely, but I think you can take this as a sign of our commitment not to get behind.”

Some on Wall Street still have their doubts, arguing the jumbo 50 basis point move announced this week is an attempt to play catch up and that the path ahead for rate cuts may be too shallow.

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference at the Federal Reserve in Washington, Wednesday, Sept. 18, 2024. (AP Photo/Ben Curtis)

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference at the Federal Reserve in Washington on Wednesday. (AP Photo/Ben Curtis) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

The central bank is being “reactionary” instead of proactive, said EY Chief Economist Gregory Daco, who pointed to the fact that Powell acknowledged the Fed might have cut rates in July if its policymakers had seen July’s employment figures first.

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Those figures, released just two days after the Fed’s July 31 meeting, showed that the unemployment rate had risen to 4.3%, stoking concerns the Fed had waited too long.

The rate dropped to 4.2% in August, but another rise in the coming months could bring those same fears back.

“It’s essential for Fed policymakers to adopt a robust forward-looking framework and abandon data dependency,” Daco said. “Unfortunately, that’s not the case so far.”

There remain “real risks” that a soft landing for the US economy may not be achieved especially if the labor market deteriorates, Nationwide chief economist Kathy Bostjancic told Yahoo Finance Thursday.

“Chair Powell is trying to get ahead of that…but there is always the risk they have been a little too slow in doing this.”

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Fed officials this week predicted the unemployment rate would tick up to 4.4% this year and hold at that level through next year.

Another hurdle for Powell is that Wall Street expects more future cuts than predicted by central bank policymakers, who this week estimated two more smaller cuts of 25 basis points through the rest of 2024 followed by four smaller cuts in 2025.

One Wall Street firm that came out with a more aggressive forecast was BofA Global Research, which raised its call for rate cuts during the remainder of this year to 75 basis points.

JPMorgan Chase chief economist Michael Feroli also said he is still expecting a faster pace of rate cuts than the Fed consensus.

Feroli expects a 50 basis point cut at the next meeting in early November contingent on further softening in the two jobs reports between now and then.

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Luke Tilley, chief economist for Wilmington Trust, said the Fed’s predicted path is too slow for an economy where the job market has normalized and inflation is likely to reach the Fed’s 2% target in the first quarter of 2025.

Tilley thus expects 200 basis points of cuts next year — double the Fed’s projection — and for rates to come down to neutral – the level that neither boosts nor slows growth — by next fall.

“It’s the longer-term path that matters more, and here the Fed is still a bit behind in that the median expectation is for just 100 bps of cuts next year,” he said.

But the Fed expects the economy to continue to show strength, aligning with their shallower rate cut predictions. Officials see the economy expanding at 2% this year, roughly inline with the 2.1% previously forecast, and coasting at that level the next few years.

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And the goal is to preserve that economic growth without re-stoking inflation. Officials predict inflation will end the year at 2.6%, down from 2.8% previously, before falling to 2.2% next year.

No matter what happens, Powell will also have to manage signs of internal division over the path ahead.

The Fed’s rate-setting committee is almost evenly split on the number of additional rate cuts expected this year, with seven policymakers favoring one additional 25 basis point rate cut before year end and nine members favoring 50 basis points of additional easing.

Two policymakers expect no more rate cuts.

That path implies several officials could have supported a 25 basis point cut this week but decided to err on the side of caution and not regret further deterioration in the job market.

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Fed governor Michelle Bowman even voted against the 50 basis point cut, arguing instead for a smaller quarter point cut. Her dissent was the first for the Fed since 2005.

“The Fed chair is now seen to have significant influence over the FOMC as he managed to convince most officials that front-loading cuts was optimal,” said EY’s economist Daco.

“The bargain is probably that policymakers may be more resistant to rapid easing at the next two policy meetings.”

Bostjancic, the chief economist at Nationwide, said she believes the Fed should cut another 50 basis points at its next meeting in November, even though that is not her firm’s forecast.

But to cut by another 50 “you would really have to have consensus” among Fed officials. “It’s a hurdle and you would have to have broad agreement.”

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Supervisor Horvath Sounds the Alarm After Today’s LAHSA Finance Committee Meeting – Supervisor Lindsey P. Horvath

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Supervisor Horvath Sounds the Alarm After Today’s LAHSA Finance Committee Meeting – Supervisor Lindsey P. Horvath



Supervisor Horvath Sounds the Alarm After Today’s LAHSA Finance Committee Meeting – Supervisor Lindsey P. Horvath
















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Supervisor Horvath Sounds the Alarm After Today’s LAHSA Finance Committee Meeting


Supervisor Horvath Sounds the Alarm After Today’s LAHSA Finance Committee Meeting


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Supervisor Lindsey P. Horvath







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Mesirow Financial Investment Management Buys 2 Million Shares of Akre Focus ETF | The Motley Fool

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Mesirow Financial Investment Management Buys 2 Million Shares of Akre Focus ETF | The Motley Fool

An actively managed ETF, Akre Focus targets high-quality U.S. companies with strong returns and disciplined management.

On Feb. 4, 2026, Mesirow Financial Investment Management, Inc. disclosed a new position in the professionally managed Akre Focus ETF  (AKRE +0.00%).

What happened

According to an SEC filing dated Feb. 4, 2026, Mesirow Financial Investment Management acquired 2,012,662 shares. The value of the position was $131.8 million as of Dec. 31, 2025. The quarter-end value of the position matched the estimated trade size based on the ETF’s average trading price during the quarter.

Professionally Managed Portfolios – Akre Focus ETF

Today’s Change

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(0.00%) $0.00

Current Price

$0.00

What else to know

  • This is a new position for the fund, representing 2.7% of its 13F-reported AUM in the filing.
  • Top holdings after the period include:
    • UNK: BRK-B: $408 million (8.4% of AUM)
    • NASDAQ: AAPL: $271 million (5.6% of AUM)
    • NYSEMKT: MOAT: $205 million (4.2% of AUM)
    • NASDAQ: GOOG: $164 million (3.4% of AUM)
    • NASDAQ: MSFT: $140 million (2.9% of AUM)
  • As of Feb. 4, 2026, AKRE shares were priced at $58.33, or 14.5% below the 52-week high.
  • AKRE was down 14.5% over the last year, underperforming the S&P 500 by 30 percentage points.

Company Overview

Metric Value
Fund assets $7.5 billion
Price (as of market close 2/4/26) $58.33
Sector Financial Services
Industry Asset Management

Company Snapshot

  • Offers a diversified portfolio of U.S. equities, preferred stocks, warrants, options, cash equivalents, and select foreign securities.
  • Operates as an actively managed ETF, seeking to invest in companies with high returns on capital, strong management, and attractive reinvestment opportunities.
  • Provides exposure to high-quality U.S. and select global equities through a concentrated, fundamentals-driven investment approach.

Akre Focus ETF is an actively managed fund specializing in high-quality U.S. companies with strong shareholder returns and disciplined management. The fund’s strategy emphasizes purchasing businesses at reasonable valuations, with flexibility to invest in a range of equity-like instruments and up to 35% in foreign securities. The ETF’s competitive advantage lies in its focused, fundamentals-driven selection process and its ability to adapt allocations based on valuation and opportunity.

What this transaction means for investors

Mesirow Financial Investment Management holds an extensive portfolio mixed with quality growth stocks and ETFs. Notably, the firm reduced positions in several holdings last quarter, including large-cap tech stocks like Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet, while adding a relatively large position in the Akre Focus ETF.

AKRE is a new ETF version of the famous mutual fund by the same name, which has put together a solid record since its 2009 inception. The fund holds a portfolio of around 20 to 30 quality stocks that the manager has thoroughly researched and believes can compound at above-average rates over the long term.

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Since 2009, AKRE has returned about 14% annually — almost identical to the S&P 500 return. But over the last five years, it has underperformed by about six percentage points annually.

After a year that saw tech stocks soar, Mesirow is rotating out of some of its winners and into a quality, actively managed fund that could see better days ahead. AKRE’s focus on looking for undervalued “compounding machines” could pay off for patient investors.

John Ballard has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Campaign finance data shows most Anchorage Assembly races are close on fundraising

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Campaign finance data shows most Anchorage Assembly races are close on fundraising
Election officials prepare the Assembly Chambers for in-person voters on Monday, March 24, 2025. (Bill Roth / ADN)

Half of the Anchorage Assembly’s seats will be decided in this April’s municipal election. According to campaign finance reports submitted to the Alaska Public Offices Commission earlier this week, many of the six races are close in terms of fundraising, with some exceptions.

In the years since Anchorage shifted to mail-based balloting for its elections, many candidates have generally adjusted their spending strategies, retaining cash until March, when voters begin receiving their ballot packets. Several of this cycle’s candidates appear to have held off on major spending. But a number of challengers seeking to knock off incumbents have made significant expenditures already.

Voters will begin receiving their ballots in the mail in mid-March, and ballots are due back by the April 7 deadline.

District 1 – Downtown/North Anchorage

Assembly Chair Chris Constant is barred by term limits from running again. Four candidates are vying to fill his seat, though only two reported significant fundraising and campaign expenditures.

Sydney Scout reported raising $50,130 since launching her campaign last year. She’s spent a little more than half of that, with close to $23,000 in cash still on hand.

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Among Scout’s donors are a number of political action groups representing labor and public safety unions. She saw a few larger contributions from local donors but overwhelmingly reported smaller contributions under $500. Among her financial supporters are many prominent local politicos, including several current members of the Assembly and Anchorage School Board, as well as Democratic groups.

Most of her $27,509 in expenditures so far have gone to campaign services paid to Amber Lee Strategies, as well as $7,500 to True Blue Associates, a strategy firm run by two former progressive bloggers who have worked for Democrats in the Legislature in the past. There are a number of purchases for ads on Meta’s social media platforms, Facebook and Instagram, as well as in-person campaign events.

Justin Milette reported raising $36,771 in his Alaska Public Offices Commission disclosure, with at least $13,000 from Milette himself. He received several other major donations, including $5,000 from a loan officer at Alaska Growth Capital, another $5,000 from a local attorney and $2,500 from independent investor Justin Weaver. That was about the same amount Weaver contributed to Scout’s campaign.

Milette received contributions from a number of prominent local political figures and advocates, including Republican gubernatorial candidate Treg Taylor and Sami Graham, who briefly served as chief of staff for former Mayor Dave Bronson.

Most of Milette’s spending — $22,566 — has gone to the firm Red Dirt Campaigns for a range of services, including donor data, printing, canvassing data and media products.

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Two other candidates filed to run for the seat, Nicholas Danger and Max Powers. Danger reported no campaign income. Powers had not submitted a fundraising disclosure report to APOC as of Thursday.

District 2 – Eagle River

Assembly member Scott Myers, who currently represents the communities north of the Anchorage Bowl, is not running for a second term.

First-time candidate Donald Handeland reported raising more than $40,000, of which a little more than $26,000 has been spent so far.

Though Handeland reported contributing $2,500 of his own money, he raised the overwhelming majority of his funds through relatively modest donations from well over a hundred people.

Many prominent conservatives show up on Handeland’s donor rolls, including former heads of the Alaska Republican Party Tuckerman Babcock, Randy Ruedrich and Peter Goldberg; both of the district’s current Assembly members, Myers and Jared Goecker; and many of the individuals who regularly contributed to Bronson’s mayoral campaigns.

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Handeland reported spending more than $13,000 on campaign services from Red Dirt Campaigns. He also bought digital ads on social media. He split costs with four other candidates for a fundraising event called “Axe the Tax” at a local ax-throwing parlor. The fundraiser was premised on candidates’ shared opposition to a proposed city sales tax, which was eventually pulled back by Mayor Suzanne LaFrance in early January.

Campaigning against Handeland is Kyle Walker, who ran unsuccessfully to represent the district during the last cycle. Of the $8,258 he reported raising, $5,500 came from union PAC contributions. The remainder were small individual donors.

Though Walker reported a little more than $4,000 in expenses so far, he listed another $13,666 in financial commitments to the Ship Creek Group for campaign management and a comprehensive suite of services. Ship Creek has been a major player in local politics, working primarily with moderate and left-leaning candidates, but is attached to only one other Assembly campaign this cycle.

District 3 – West Anchorage

The race is a rematch of the 2023 contest for the same seat, in which Assembly Vice Chair Anna Brawley beat challenger Brian Flynn by a 17-point margin. Then as now, there is a lot of money flowing to both candidates.

So far, Flynn has outraised Brawley but is also spending down his war chest more aggressively, primarily on campaign services by firms both inside and outside of Alaska.

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Brawley reported $52,044 in campaign contributions, including thousands of dollars from just under a dozen organized labor PACs. Her largest individual donor was retired banker Victor Mollozzi, who contributed $4,000 in two separate installments. Among her prominent backers are current members of the Assembly and school board, Democratic former U.S. Sen. Mark Begich and Democratic gubernatorial candidate and former state Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins.

Brawley has spent several thousand dollars so far on campaign services from Amber Lee Strategies, the same firm that handled her 2023 run. She’s also paid for printed signs, as well as access to the Alaska Democratic Party’s voter information. But most of her resources are in reserve. Brawley listed $17,400 committed to the The Mobilization Center, a local outfit that handles field operations for political campaigns.

Flynn reported raising $81,663. Among his contributors are a number of prominent local Republican and conservative politicians, including outgoing School Board member and current Assembly candidate Dave Donley, Republican former House Minority Leader and current state Rep. Mia Costello, and former Anchorage first lady Deb Bronson.

Flynn received a few hefty donations from individuals. John and Kari Ellsworth, who own part of the Anchorage Wolverines junior hockey franchise, gave a combined $6,500. Business owners Teresa Hall and Diane Bachman each gave $5,000.

According to Flynn’s APOC report, he’s spent $63,414. The biggest portion of that, more than $21,000, has gone to Optima Public Relations, a Wasilla-based firm that primarily handles conservative and Republican political campaigns. He also spent more than $7,000 on direct mail handled by national Republican consulting firm Axiom Strategies, and several hundred dollars more to its polling arm Remington Research for text messaging services. A $3,700 expenditure was listed to former Assembly candidate Travis Szanto for “putting up signs, sign frames.”

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District 4 – Midtown

Incumbent Felix Rivera is terming off the Assembly. The race to replace him is between two older candidates who both have experience with local political campaigns, and are roughly even on their fundraising and expenditures so far.

Dave Donley has served as a Republican in the Alaska Legislature, and is winding down three terms on the Anchorage School Board. He reported raising close to $39,000 so far, of which he’s spent almost $28,000. A number of influential conservative politicians, both current and former, chipped in to his campaign, including gubernatorial candidates Treg Taylor and Shelley Hughes, as well as former Anchorage mayors Rick Mystrom and George Wuerch. He also received contributions from several union PACs.

Donley’s main expenditures include services provided by Red Dirt Campaigns, which range from consulting work and data to social media and content production. He’s also spent money advertising on conservative opinion blogs.

Paralegal and former nurse Janice Park reported raising $42,226, and has spent less than half of that. Park has unsuccessfully run several times for legislative positions as a Democrat. She received contributions from several current and former Democratic lawmakers, as well as current members of the Assembly and the Anchorage Democrats. Her largest contributor was Justin Weaver, the private investor, who so far has donated $14,000 to Park.

Park has made a lot of small ad buys to Meta for social media reach, as well as on traditional analog printed signs. But her largest expenditure is for “campaign consulting, including communications, compliance, and strategy” to True Blue Associates.

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Kim Winston, a third candidate who formally filed for the seat, reported no income to APOC.

District 5 – East Anchorage

Incumbent George Martinez is fending off a challenge from Cody Anderson, a retired non-commissioned Air Force officer and church pastor.

Martinez raised close to $11,000, most of it in new contributions from individual donors and unions, on top of $5,000 in money carried over from a past campaign. Several current Assembly members chipped in modest amounts, along with a $300 contribution from the Anchorage Democrats.

Martinez only listed $5,634 in campaign spending so far. The two largest expenditures in his APOC report were $1,000 for “promotion/advertisement” to a company based in Miami, Florida, and $1,256 to Alaska Airlines for “travel,” with no additional details listed in the report.

Anderson reported raising $45,878, however his campaign finance disclosure listed payments to his campaign manager and other substantial expenditures as income, distorting the total by more than $16,000, according to a review of his APOC report.

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Among those donations are thousands of dollars from employees at Mountain City Church, where Anderson works, including $1,000 from former head Jerry Prevo and $2,000 from lead pastor Ron Hoffman. The Anchorage Republican Women’s Club donated $750.

Anderson’s biggest expenditures listed were $5,500 to his campaign manager for various services and $7,500 for content creation and social media placement to Stephanie Williams, who worked as a special assistant under former Mayor Bronson before resigning in 2021.

District 6 – South Anchorage

Incumbent Zac Johnson is running for a second term against Bruce Vergason, whose background is in business and construction, as well as a third candidate, Janelle Anausuk Sharp, an environmental scientist.

Johnson reported $33,272 in contributions, with $9,239 spent and more in future financial commitments to a local political firm.

Johnson received contributions from several organized labor groups, along with current and former members of the Assembly.

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He listed $11,500 in future payments committed to Ship Creek Group for comprehensive campaign management services.

In his APOC filing, Vergason listed $43,843 in fundraising and $17,052 in spending. He received major contributions from local business owner Susanne Gionet and physician John Nolte, who donated $5,000 each.

On top of $6,290 paid to Optima for campaign work, Vergason also paid $2,460 to election data firm i360 for canvassing services, along with significant outlays for sign printing. Vergason was part of January’s ax-themed fundraiser, coordinating with Handeland, Anderson, Donley and Flynn on the joint event.

Sharp appears to have raised around $3,500. Though her APOC disclosure listed a significantly higher figure, it erroneously categorized expenses as income. Cheryl Frasca, who is listed as her campaign treasurer, has a long record of handling compliance reports for political campaigns, including several current Republican gubernatorial candidates, and headed the municipality’s Office of Management and Budget under Bronson.

Outside of a $679 contribution to Optima for campaign logo design, Sharp’s biggest expenditure was $4,233 to The Business MD for services that include “assisting with general campaign strategy and organization, communications guidance, and outreach planning to help strengthen voter connection organization, all of which is advisory in nature.” The company is run by a local businesswoman focused on emotional intelligence coaching.

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