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How a lone Nebraska district could decide the presidential election

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How a lone Nebraska district could decide the presidential election

A single congressional district in the state of Nebraska could wind up playing a critical role in deciding the outcome of this year’s presidential election.

“It could decide who the eventual winner will be,” Jimmy Keady, president of JLK Political Strategies, a national Republican consulting firm, told Fox News Digital of Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District.

That district, which encompasses Omaha and the Council Bluffs metropolitan area, could play an outsized role in determining the next president thanks to Nebraska’s unique way of dividing up its Electoral College votes. Unlike most states that have winner-take-all systems, Nebraska awards one Electoral College vote to the candidate who wins each of its three congressional districts, while the winner of the state overall receives the remaining two votes.

Nebraska has long been forgotten about in presidential politics thanks to its longtime solidly red disposition, making it a rarely talked about location on a map full of critical swing states. 

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Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign event at IBEW Local Union #5 on Sept. 2, 2024 in Pittsburgh. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

However, that red reputation does not always hold true in the 2nd Congressional District, which has swung back and forth in recent elections. President Biden took the district and its one electoral vote in 2020, while former President Donald Trump emerged with a victory in the district in 2016. Sen. Mitt Romney, R-Utah, won the district during his 2012 bid for president, but former President Barack Obama captured the electoral vote in 2008.

The Second Congressional District’s lone vote has never been the deciding factor in an election, but in a year in which the presidential race looks as close as ever, it could end up playing a decisive role.

Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump gestures as he departs a campaign event at Central Wisconsin Airport on Saturday, Sept. 7, 2024 in Mosinee, Wisconsin. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

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“With swing states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin continuing to be labeled as tossups and a potential 269-269 Electoral College, Republicans should prioritize securing this seat that could get them the necessary 270,” Keady said.

Though such a scenario remains unlikely, a look at the election map shows a path to the Omaha area’s potential deciding role. If Vice President Kamala Harris were to win the “Blue Wall” swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, while former President Donald Trump secures all the other swing states of Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, as well as a swing district in the similarly positioned state of Maine, the Electoral College vote would stand at 269-268 for Harris. 

A Harris win in the district gets her to the needed 270 and an election victory, while Trump taking the district would result in a 269-269 tie and send an already dramatic election to the House of Representatives.

Playing such a role might just be fitting for the district, which is one of only seven in the country, the Cook Political Report gives a Partisan Voting Index Score of “EVEN,” meaning the district traditionally votes in line with the national electorate.

This map shows a hypothetical situation in which Nebraska’s Second Congressional District holds the key to who wins the election. (270 To Win)

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That fact will not be lost on Republicans, Keady argued.

“With the Democrats propping up a nominee that has not earned a single vote on the national stage, Republicans have the opportunity to make a play to win this seat for President Trump,” Keady said. “By staying focused on kitchen table issues that move voters to the right – the economy, illegal immigration, and public safety – Republicans have a good shot at picking up this seat and securing the presidency.”

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Midwest

FBI director warns media not to ‘cement false narrative’ as agencies probe Minnesota violence

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FBI director warns media not to ‘cement false narrative’ as agencies probe Minnesota violence

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FBI Director Kash Patel urged calm and caution as investigations into incidents involving federal agents play out in Minnesota.

“Do not let the media cement a false narrative. Let these investigations run its course,” Patel said on “Hannity” Monday.

“Let us do our job with our inter-agency and state and local partners, and let’s all take a breath and calm down the situation, because when investigations like this are run properly, like we’ve done under President Trump’s leadership, that’s the only way you can drop the murder rate 20 points.”

FBI Director Kash Patel called for calm amid high-profile investigations into alleged crimes in Minnesota. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

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Patel’s comments came as the Department of Homeland Security probes two killings involving ICE and Border Patrol agents in Minnesota.

Patel also addressed the FBI’s inquiry into a chat group on the Signal app that allegedly shares information about ICE agents’ movements.

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“Only if you incite violence or threaten to do harm to law enforcement officials and break the law in any other way does it become an investigatory matter. So this Signal chat is something that we, the FBI, are looking at,” he said.

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Patel insisted his agency isn’t targeting peaceful protesters, freedom of speech or the right to bear arms.

Scenes of vandalism in the northeast section of Minneapolis on Jan. 14, 2026. (Jamie Vera/Fox News)

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He added that the bureau arrested four people involved in stealing sensitive information from an FBI vehicle after vandalizing it, claiming the information was used to “threaten the lives of federal agents, [and their] wives and children.”

Patel then noted that the FBI “led the charge to arrest those involved with violating the FACE Act” after anti-ICE protesters stormed a Minnesota church, stating that such a violation amounts to a federal charge.

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Detroit, MI

Man faces multiple charges after Roseville officer shot

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Man faces multiple charges after Roseville officer shot




Man faces multiple charges after Roseville officer shot – CBS Detroit

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A Metro Detroit man is facing 15 charges — 14 of them felonies — after a Roseville officer was shot during a standoff last week.

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Milwaukee, WI

Milwaukee Brewers bring Frozen Sausage Tour to school

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Milwaukee Brewers bring Frozen Sausage Tour to school


At MacDowell Montessori School in Milwaukee, the genuine excitement from these young students was palpable.

A winter surprise

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What we know:

That’s because the Milwaukee Brewers and their Famous Racing Sausages stopped by as part of the team’s “Frozen Sausage Tour.”

“Recognizing and acknowledging the importance of education, together with celebrating our Brewers fans across the entire state just gets us out in the winter and allows us to say thank you and to remind kids that we know it’s the depths of winter, but baseball is coming and to bring them a little touch of the Milwaukee Brewers,” said Marti Wronski, Brewers Chief Operating Officer. 

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And who better to represent the Brewers than infielder Caleb Durbin and pitcher Chad Patrick.

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The duo spent time talking to the student beforehand. They had one main message in mind and that was the importance of education.

“They just see us on the field and there’s a lot more to us than just being an athlete,” said Brewers infielder Caleb Durbin. “We went through the whole school system, some of us up through college and that was a big part of our life that I don’t think a lot of, definitely a lot of kids don’t really realize that we’re in their same position at one point.”

“It’s cool just to you know, give back and let these kids know you know, that your teachers are important,” said Brewers pitcher Chad Patrick. “School is important and just be respectful to them.”

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Learning never stops

What they’re saying:

The pair reminded the students that they are no different from them. After all, even as professional baseball players, they’re still learning everyday from Brewers manager Pat Murphy.

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“When you have one of the best teachers in the world kind of helping you with your craft, it gives you confidence,” said Durbin. “We feel like Murph prepares us better than anyone else that can do the job. There’s a lot of confidence going into the offseason that he’s got our back.”

“We’re just students of the game,” said Patrick. “You know, we’re learning everyday and whether you’re stepping in his office and he’s giving you a lot of advice, or whether it’s you know, the other coaches around us, giving us advice too, we’re always winning.”

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Honoring educators

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To further emphasize the importance of rewarding educators, the Brewers honored teacher Heidi Henriques, who received the Grand Slam Teacher Award.

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MacDowell Montessori School also received a $1,000 check from the team. 

To add to the excitement, the Brewers’ Famous Racing Sausages finished the day with a race around the gym. 

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“The Brewers take every one of these moments to heart and we hope that we get to share a little something special that might stick with some of the kids,” said Wronski.

The Brewers also made stops in Green Bay and Madison.

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The Source: The information in this post was collected and produced by the FOX6 sports team.

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