Uncommon Knowledge
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Home prices in the former pandemic boomtown of Austin, Texas, have slowly started to climb back in March and April, according to Redfin data, but are far from their 2022 peak, as the market is flipping in favor of buyers and the city experiences troubles with developers abandoning projects.
In April, the latest data available on Redfin, the median sale price of a home was $567,000, up 0.4 percent compared to a year earlier but down 16 percent compared to the peak of $667,000 reached in May 2022. Austin, once one of the hottest markets in the U.S.—and one of the most overvalued—experienced the biggest drop of any metropolitan area in the country following the pandemic.
In May 2024, according to data compiled by ResiClub using the Zillow Home Value Index, home prices in Austin were down 18.7 percent compared to the May 2022 peak.
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The only other cities that experienced price drops beyond the 10 percent mark from their pandemic peak were New Orleans, Louisiana (-13.7 percent); Lake Charles, Louisiana (-11.7 percent); and Boise, Idaho (-10.4 percent).
The U.S. housing market experienced a modest price correction between late summer 2022 and spring 2023, driven by the increasing unaffordability of buying properties in a higher mortgage rates environment.
In Austin, which saw a huge influx of residents during the pandemic driving up prices, the correction was a much more dramatic phenomenon. Prices slid down as coastal and remote workers started leaving the city after the end of the pandemic and new construction projects got on the way, increasing Austin’s inventory.
While a historic lack of supply at the national level has contributed to keeping prices from plunging and is now leading their slow comeback in Austin too, there’s no doubt that the city is not the same place it was during the pandemic years.
Software giant Oracle Corp. announced a month ago that it would be moving out of Austin and creating its “world headquarters” in the city’s archrival, Nashville, Tennessee. The company had arrived in the Texas capital only in 2020.
In recent months, Austin has seen developers abandon several construction projects, as reported by Austin realtor Jeremy Knight in a series of videos on YouTube. In a previous comment to Newsweek, Knight explained that many of these projects started in 2020-2021 as the market was beginning to skyrocket.
“There was a lot of demand with more people moving to Austin. Unfortunately, the city of Austin has a lot of red tape and logistics to get through. Many of these projects take years to get greenlit,” he said.
“Now add the delays with workforce during the pandemic, the backlog, and developers rushing to buy in Austin, and then a turn in the market of 21 percent peak to trough. The valuations many of these developers put on these projects no longer make sense. Now add the fact that interest rates have doubled and nearly tripled since the projects started. Many of these small developers are facing headwinds.”
In a recent video, Knight said that over 57 percent of the inventory on the market is now vacant.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Austin had a particularly itchy and drippy cedar fever season to start the year. Many winter days, from late December into February, had high or very high ashe juniper (aka cedar) pollen counts.
Central Texas has a year-round allergy season with mold popping up at any time. For the more traditional spring and fall allergy seasons, forecasters at AccuWeather are predicting some of the allergens across the country will be worse this year than average.
Texas, though, is a different story.
For grass allergies, which happen now through September, AccuWeather estimates Austin will have an average season. However, just west of the Interstate 35 corridor in the Hill Country to almost El Paso, that season is expected to be worse than normal.
“Texas may experience above-average grass pollen for a few weeks,” AccuWeather’s allergy report said, “though the season could be shorter-lived compared to northern areas.”
How much rain we get in the next six months and the perennial Texas heat will all affect the growing season for grasses and weeds, as well as the amount of pollen trees produce. The Farmers’ Almanac and the Old Farmers Almanac are both predicting a wetter and warmer spring.
Rain helps plants grow, which can increase pollen production over time. However, rainfall during allergy season can also bring temporary relief by washing pollen out of the air. That’s what we’re expecting this weekend, with our first meaningful rain chance in nearly three weeks. Tree and weed pollen levels might briefly drop, but mold could spike because it thrives in damp, humid weather.
If spring continues with excessive heat like we saw in February, it could limit the growth of some plants and trees. Extreme heat can reduce how much they grow, and how much pollen they produce. On the other hand, if we get a healthy balance of rain and only slightly above-normal temperatures — not extreme heat — pollen counts could climb. That’s especially true as we head into April, typically our windiest month of the year, which helps spread pollen more easily.
If you are feeling the effects of allergies, here are some things you can do to lessen them:
Consider these household tips to improve your chances of keeping allergens away:
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