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Analyzing the best-case scenarios for the Milwaukee Bucks in playoff seeding

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Analyzing the best-case scenarios for the Milwaukee Bucks in playoff seeding


Sometimes, in any sport, across all levels, certain teams just have your number. They can hit shots they don’t normally make, score goals they don’t normally score, or just get past whatever defense you try to play.  For the Milwaukee Bucks, it has to be the Miami Heat.

Fans can still taste the bitterness of losing to Miami in round one of last year’s NBA Playoffs. The Heat right now are seeded sixth, but just barely. The 76ers and Pacers are also right there. If Milwaukee can avoid playing Miami, that would be a big positive for a run at the 2023-2024 NBA championship. 

All time, the Heat have a 12-6 record vs. the Bucks in the NBA Playoffs. That has provided plenty of sour memories for Milwaukee Bucks fans.

With the playoffs inching closer, let us now look at some best-case seeding scenarios.

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The best-case scenario for the Milwaukee Bucks would be to play the Chicago Bulls in a playoff series.

The Bulls, including all of those great Michael Jordan years and championship runs, still only have a 9-14 record against the Bucks in the playoffs.

The Bucks seem to have the Bulls number when it comes to playoff basketball. 

However, for this to happen, quite a few “what-ifs” would have to come true.

Chicago at (31-32) appears to be a “lock” to make the play-in tournament. The Bulls would need to come out of that play-in game from the number eight versus nine game to take on the Bucks, who would have to cement their spot as the second seed. If all of this were to happen, then Milwaukee would have homecourt advantage. Is there any way that the series wouldn’t go 4-0 or 4-1 in Milwaukee’s favor? Feels like a lock.

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Milwaukee was 3-1 in the regular season series against Chicago. The lone win the Bulls did have went to overtime. The game was played at the United Center. It felt like a “Super Bowl moment” for the Bulls.

A close second, another solid scenario would be to play the Orlando Magic. Orlando seems to be fading a little bit.

All time, Milwaukee is 7-2 vs Orlando in the postseason. This season, they are (1-1) so far, but the win looked good, while the loss felt “off.” All of this took place before Doc Rivers was even thought of.

For this season, save a “fluky” loss on November 11th, Milwaukee should want to play Orlando. Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner are good, talented young players. However, the operative word there is “young.” The experience Giannis ANtetokounmpo, Brook Lopez and Khris Middleton would bring to that series would be a big advantage. 

In the win on December 21st, Giannis looked as dominant against Orlando as he looked all season. The Bucks did not have a particularly strong shooting night in that game, but the homecourt advantage they had at the Fiserv was certainly in play. 

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The Bucks were able to play and win as a team. Six players accounted for more than eight points, with Giannis and Damian Lillard leading the way. The way the team was able to move and pass the ball was impressive. That tea leaf bodes well for a playoff series. 

That series feels like a 4-1 first-round victory for sure.

This one feels kinda self-evident, but to be able to take on an “Embiid-less” 76ers team would be an excellent first-round pairing. In a good win on the 25th of February, the Bucks beat the shorthanded 76ers in Philadelphia (119-98). 

So far, Milwaukee is 2-0 on the season vs. Philadelphia.

Embiid is currently sidelined with an injured lateral meniscus, and it’s unclear if he will be back on the court this season.

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The worst-case scenario would be to somehow, someway, fall out of one of the top six seeds. But right now, that feels statistically unlikely. With 19 games remaining, Milwaukee would need to go through a horrendous stretch for the “pack” to catch them with flipped records. 

Right now, even if Milwaukee was to just play .500 basketball, a top-four seed feels like a given.



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Milwaukee man accused in ‘card cracking’ scheme already in prison for fatal crash

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Milwaukee man accused in ‘card cracking’ scheme already in prison for fatal crash


A Milwaukee man, already serving prison time for a fatal crash, is now accused of scamming people and banks out of tens of thousands of dollars before that crash even happened.

In Court:

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Prosecutors said 27-year-old Jaquon Benson used fraudulent checks to take cash out of multiple ATMs in a scheme known as “card cracking.” He is charged with six felonies. 

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‘Card cracking’ scheme

The backstory:

Court filings said Benson was caught on camera at ATMs across the Milwaukee metropolitan area, cashing out what investigators said were fraudulent checks.

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According to a criminal complaint, Benson was the ringleader in a scheme that spanned several months in 2023. Here’s how investigators said it worked.

ATM surveillance image of Jaquon Benson (Courtesy: MCDAO)

First, someone needs a check or bank information. Benson is accused of recruiting a friend to steal checks from USPS drop boxes. The stolen checks would then be modified, sometimes to the tune of thousands of dollars.

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Next, prosecutors said Benson took to social media to recruit people to use their bank accounts or to open up new accounts. Investigators said, after depositing the fraudulent checks into those accounts, Benson would pull up to the ATM to withdraw – or attempt to withdraw – the money he had just deposited.

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Multiple banks were targeted to the tune of more than $116,000. Court filings said the victims ranged from people to business – to even the “Milwaukee County Office of the Sheriff.” But not all that money was pocketed.

The complaint said many banks had security measures in place to stop potential fraud before it happened. Still, Benson is accused of cashing out close to $61,000.

Social media image included in criminal complaint filed against Jaquon Benson (Courtesy: MCDAO)

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Dig deeper:

Benson was caught driving a stolen car in May 2024. When officers tried to stop him, he took off and crashed into a van at 27th and Locust – killing a 41-year-old man. He was sentenced to more than a decade in prison.

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The Source: FOX6 News reviewed a criminal complaint filed with the Milwaukee County District Attorney’s Office and Wisconsin Circuit Court records, as well as prior coverage of the fatal crash case. 

Crime and Public SafetyNewsMilwaukee



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Behind Milwaukee’s recent restaurant closures

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Behind Milwaukee’s recent restaurant closures


Milwaukee’s dining community is grappling with a recent string of restaurant closures that includes longtime neighborhood fixtures and newer concepts. The losses have sparked disappointment among diners and raised broader questions about why even popular locations and prime riverfront spots are struggling to survive.

On Milwaukee’s Lori Fredrich told WTMJ’s Adam Roberts that restaurant owners are increasingly speaking candidly about the realities of running a business, using social media to share financial pressures and warn customers when closure may be imminent. The shift marks a departure from past practices, when restaurants often closed quietly without explanation.

With January and February historically among the toughest months for restaurants, local leaders are urging residents to buy local. Programs like Visit Milwaukee’s Buy Local Bonus aim to provide short-term relief, but many in the industry worry about what the year ahead may bring.

Hear more about this story on WTMJ’s Reporter’s Notebook, on Sundays at 10 am or wherever you get your podcasts.

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‘We’re still struggling’: Milwaukee mom seeks help after historic flooding as Christmas approaches

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‘We’re still struggling’: Milwaukee mom seeks help after historic flooding as Christmas approaches


MILWAUKEE — Wisconsin has confirmed a new 24-hour rainfall record after more than a foot of rain fell in Milwaukee during historic summer flooding, but for some families like Victoria Kiepert’s, the damage never ended.

The August 9th and 10th storms brought 14-and-a-half inches of rain to northwest Milwaukee in just 24 hours, now officially the most rain ever recorded in a single day in Wisconsin. Behind that historic number are families still trying to rebuild as Christmas approaches.

“We lost all of our stuff in the basement,” Kiepert said.

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Victoria Kiepert lost everything in the floods in August.

Floodwaters damaged Kiepert’s northside home, destroying nearly everything her family owned. She applied for help, but says months later, recovery is still falling on her shoulders.

“Beds, appliances, all that stuff, kids’ clothes, TVs, everything,” Kiepert said.

The Milwaukee mother, who cares for five children, says her family was left homeless for two weeks after the flooding.

Victoria Kiepert cares for five people in her home, she says she needs beds, clothing and dressers for her kids.

Victoria Kiepert

Victoria cares for five people in her home, she says she needs beds, clothing and dressers for her kids.

“We had to move, and I couldn’t find a house right away, so we were homeless for two weeks, and then we moved and still don’t have the things we need,” Kiepert said.

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Watch: Milwaukee mom seeks help after historic flooding as Christmas approaches

Milwaukee mom seeks help after historic flooding as Christmas approaches

Climate experts say the storms were unprecedented, with rain falling one to three inches an hour for several hours, overwhelming basements, streets, and sewer systems. Radar estimates show 10 to 12 inches fell across northern Milwaukee and northeast Waukesha counties, confirming the devastation was widespread.

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Kiepert says she and her kids have to sleep on air mattresses, and the holidays only add more pressure to an already overwhelming situation.

“People think that after people get FEMA money, it’s just done and over with, and that should be enough, but it’s really not because it takes months, even years, sometimes when you’re starting all over,” Kiepert said.

She’s unsure how she will provide gifts for her kids this Christmas, her family still needs basic necessities months after the flooding.

Victoria's family is hoping for a Christmas miracle.

Victoria Kiepert

Victoria Kiepert’s family is hoping for a Christmas miracle.

“We still need beds, dressers, kids’ clothing, a lot of stuff,” Kiepert said.

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As Wisconsin marks a new chapter in climate history, families like Kiepert’s say recovery can’t stop at statistics, especially as Christmas approaches.

“This year’s really hard, because mostly because of the flood, cause all the stuff we lost, I have to buy them new stuff, because that money isn’t available for Christmas,” Kiepert said.

The flooding has made this Christmas particularly challenging for Kiepert’s family, including her youngest daughter experiencing her first Christmas.

“This is my daughter’s first Christmas, it would help for all my kids but mainly for her, to make like a Christmas miracle for them,” Kiepert said.

Despite the hardships, Kiepert maintains perspective on what matters most during the holidays.

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“Sometimes it’s not about the gifts, it’s about being stable and having family around,” Kiepert said.

As Victoria’s family continues to rebuild, community support can make a real difference. A GoFundMe is available for those who wish to donate money or provide much-needed household items. If you can donate any of the furniture items she seeks, her email is Victoria.kiepert@icloud.com, or you can reach out to me by email at gideon.verdin@tmj4.com, and I will connect you with Victoria.

This story was reported on-air by a journalist and has been converted to this platform with the assistance of AI. Our editorial team verifies all reporting on all platforms for fairness and accuracy.


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