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The $2.8 Billion Hole in U.S. Sanctions on Iran

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The .8 Billion Hole in U.S. Sanctions on Iran

Tugboats maneuvered the tanker Eternal Fortune into a berth at the Kharg Island oil terminal on Oct. 28, 2023, while it was falsely broadcasting its location as in the Gulf of Oman. The vessel was insured by an American company.

Maxar Technologies

Tug boats maneuvered the tanker Eternal Fortune into a berth at the Kharg Island oil terminal on Oct. 28, 2023 while it was falsely broadcasting its location as in the Gulf of Oman. The vessel was insured by an American company.

Maxar Technologies

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For months, as Iran-backed groups attacked U.S. forces and allies in the Middle East, the Biden administration hailed its efforts to restrict Iran’s oil revenue — and the country’s ability to fund proxy militias. The Treasury secretary told Congress that her teams were “doing everything that they possibly can to crack down” on illegal shipments, and a senior White House adviser said that “extreme sanctions” had effectively stalled Iran’s energy sector.

But the sanctions failed to stop oil worth billions of dollars from leaving Iran over the past year, a New York Times investigation has found, revealing a significant gap in U.S. oversight.

The oil was transported aboard 27 tankers, using liability insurance obtained from an American company. That meant that the U.S. authorities could have disrupted the oil’s transport by advising the insurer, the New York-based American Club, to revoke the coverage, which is often a requirement for tankers to do business.

Instead, the 27 tankers were able to transport shipments across at least 59 trips since 2023, The Times found, with half the vessels carrying oil on multiple journeys.

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The Treasury Department did not respond to a question about whether it was aware the ships had transported Iranian oil while insured by the American Club.

The tankers exhibited warning signs that industry experts, and the Treasury, have said collectively warrant greater scrutiny. Among other red flags, the ships are: owned by shell companies, older than average vessels and use a tactic called “spoofing” to hide their true locations.

The Times found 27 ships picking up Iranian oil on at least 59 trips since 2023

Satellite imagery, much of it freely accessible to the public, captured the tankers during their oil transports.

fortune galaxy

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Feb. 25, 2023

galaxy star

Mar. 10, 2023

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cathay kirin

Mar. 12, 2023

duplic dynamic

Jun. 11, 2023

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fortune galaxy

Jun. 24, 2023

fortune galaxy

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Jul. 13, 2023

cathay kirin

Aug. 8, 2023

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fortune galaxy

Aug. 18, 2023

fortune galaxy

Sept. 4, 2023

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galaxy star

Sept. 19, 2023

fortune galaxy

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Oct. 4, 2023

eternal fortune

Oct. 29, 2023

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eternal success

Nov. 23, 2023

fortune galaxy

Nov. 24, 2023

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Sources: Copernicus Sentinel-2, Planet Labs, Maxar Technologies, TankerTrackers.com, Spire Global, MarineTraffic

Satellite images on display represent one of several methods that The Times relied on to locate each tanker.

It is unclear who the U.S. government considers primarily responsible for identifying suspicious tankers. The Treasury is tasked with administering sanctions by investigating and blacklisting individuals or companies participating in illicit activities. But it places some of the burden on insurers to monitor for suspicious behavior through the regular release of advisories and alerts.

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To identify the shipments of Iranian oil, The Times built a database of thousands of tankers and their whereabouts using maritime data and satellite imagery. Vessels whose voyage paths showed irregularities were cross-referenced with information provided by Samir Madani, co-founder of TankerTrackers.com, a company that monitors oil shipping.

SynMax and Pole Star, two other companies that monitor shipping, provided additional data.

In late-January, several weeks after the American Club was mentioned at a Congressional hearing titled “Restricting Rogue-State Revenue”, coverage for many of the tankers identified by The Times abruptly ended. The company said that the stoppages were the result of its own internal investigations. Five of the vessels are still insured by the company, according to data listed on its website; the American Club said it is still investigating those ships.

The Times’s findings come as the Biden administration is under increasing scrutiny from lawmakers and advocacy groups for its handling of sanctions on Iran.

“It is very concerning,” said Senator Maggie Hassan, a Democrat of New Hampshire, who has filed a bill to strengthen the enforcement of sanctions on deceptive ships.

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“The United States must use every tool at its disposal to identify, stop and sanction these bad actors,” she said. “These new revelations highlight the stakes.”

In response to Times findings, a Treasury spokesperson said in a statement: “Treasury remains focused on targeting Iran’s sources of illicit funding, including exposing evasion networks and disrupting billions of dollars in revenue.”

The spokesperson added that this month the department had taken action against what it called a Hong Kong-based front company, which U.S. officials said had funded Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps.

Kharg Island, pictured in 2017, is one of Iran’s main oil terminals where many of the American Club-insured tankers loaded oil.

Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

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The insurance provided by companies like the American Club is a key factor in the tankers’ ability to move oil; industry insiders call it a vessel’s “ticket to trade.” Most major ports insist that ships have proof of liability coverage, among other requirements, before they can enter and do business.

The American Club is one of only 12 major insurers of its kind, and the only one based in the United States. Specifically, the company says, its policies cover third parties affected during an accident caused by a ship’s negligence.

Because of these insurers’ importance to shipping, they have been consulted by the U.S. government when developing sanctions on Russian oil sales.

Daniel Tadros, the American Club’s chief operating officer, said his company has one of the most stringent compliance programs in the industry. But he said that the company’s six-person compliance team was overwhelmed each month with hundreds of inquiries about potentially suspicious vessels, and that investigating even a single case takes time.

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“It’s impossible for us to know on a daily basis exactly what every ship is doing, where it’s going, what it’s carrying, who its owners are,” Mr. Tadros said. “I would like to think that governments have a lot more capability, manpower, resources to follow that.”

He added that the U.S. government had only recently suggested the use of satellite imagery for maritime-related businesses looking for sanctions evasion. Satellite imagery has been used as a ship-tracking tool in the industry for at least a decade.

Shipowners willing to skirt trade restrictions can make more than their normal commissions. But to maintain business connections with the West, including with insurers, they may resort to using deceptive tactics.

Since the start of 2023, the 27 vessels moved roughly 59 million barrels of oil, according to a Times analysis. The calculation is based on a tanker’s depth in the water before and after the oil was loaded, a measurement used by industry analysts.

There is no official source detailing the amount of oil that leaves Iran. According to estimates from Kpler, a company that monitors global trade, the oil carried by the tankers would amount to roughly 9 percent of Iran’s oil exports over that period.

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Iranian oil pickups by American Club-insured tankers since January 2023

Sources: Copernicus Sentinel-2, Planet Labs, Maxar Technologies, Spire Global, MarineTraffic, TankerTrackers.com

Note: Pickups include those made at Iranian ports as well as via transfer at sea from other ships to American Club-insured ships. The map does not represent all oil pickups The Times found.

Many of the tankers ultimately ended up in China, which has tripled its imports of Iranian oil over the past two years.

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Some of the shipments continued into the fall, as one Iran-backed group, Hamas, led the Oct. 7 assault on Israel, and other Iran-aligned militants, like the Houthis in Yemen, launched attacks on shipping routes and U.S. forces in the region.

By then, the tankers had transported at least $2.8 billion in crude oil, based on the lowest reported prices of Iranian oil in 2023.

That dollar amount could be higher. The Times found eleven more tankers, anchored off Iranian oil ports last year, that used deceptive practices and carried American Club insurance. Although there is little other reason for the ships to hide their presence, The Times could not verify whether they loaded oil.

Where contact information was available, The Times sought comment from more than 40 entities linked to the tankers involved in moving Iranian oil. None replied.

Some experts expressed doubt that the American Club was doing everything it could to identify deceptive ships.

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“Responsible, reputable insurers waste no time in confronting their clients or club members,” Mr. Madani of TankerTrackers.com said.

David Tannenbaum, a former sanctions compliance officer for the Treasury Department who now works as a consultant for a compliance advisory company, said his research showed that the American Club covers a large proportion of deceptive vessels when compared with similar insurers.

“While we’ve seen spoofers infiltrate almost all of the major protection and indemnity clubs, they are definitely a leader,” he said.

Last week, Bloomberg reported that the American Club had insured more ships suspected of violating sanctions than other comparable insurers, according to data from United Against Nuclear Iran, a privately funded group advocating stronger sanctions on Iran.

(Many of the vessels noted by the group were also identified by The Times. Mr. Tadros, the American Club executive, said his company had removed insurance for the claims it could corroborate. He said in some cases United Against Nuclear Iran presented flawed evidence, which The Times also concluded for one of the accused tankers.)

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The Times was able to use satellite imagery and information available to the shipping industry, such as signals that ships transmit to report their purported locations, to identify the tankers.

The tankers’ deception mainly involved a practice known as “spoofing” in which vessels broadcast fake route information to hide their true locations. Last August, for example, the tanker Glory broadcast that it was off the coast of the United Arab Emirates when it was really loading oil in Asaluyeh, Iran.

A spoofed location near Dubai obscures an oil pickup over 200 miles away in Iran

Sources: Copernicus Sentinel-2, Spire Global, MarineTraffic, TankerTrackers.com, SynMax

Note: Locations relative to each other are approximate in time.

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In some cases, tankers also conducted ship-to-ship transfers, exchanging goods with another vessel at sea. The practice is common, but can be used to conceal a cargo’s origin, especially when used with spoofing. Ship-to-ship transfers near Iran frequently occurred just off the coast, such as when the tanker Shalimar took on oil in October. For each transfer, The Times traced the cargo back to Iranian oil terminals.

A faked location hides a pickup from another vessel at sea

Sources: Copernicus Sentinel-2, Spire Global, MarineTraffic, TankerTrackers.com

Note: Locations relative to each other are approximate in time.

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The Times also found some tanker crews altering the physical appearance of their ships. On one spoofing vessel, a red tarp was spread over its green deck in an apparent effort to disguise itself from satellites.

How a spoofing tanker used a tarp to change its appearance

A month after leaving China, the American Club-insured tanker Irises reaches the Gulf of Oman for at least the fourth time in 2023.

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Red tarps appear partially covering the deck of the Irises. The ship begins spoofing its location as it approaches the Persian Gulf.

Elsewhere, a ship owned by the National Iranian Tanker Company loads oil from Kharg Island.

The two ships meet in the Persian Gulf, with more red tarp visible on the Irises’ deck. The Iranian ship transfers oil to the Irises.

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Sources: Planet Labs, Copernicus Sentinel-2, Spire Global, MarineTraffic, TankerTrackers.com

Even though the tankers used deceptive tactics, their spoofing had identifiable patterns. Many pretended to anchor off Oman or in the Persian Gulf for days, while satellite imagery showed they were not there. Some ships even broadcasted signals showing them on land and moving at high speeds, a physical impossibility.

Several of the tankers had a history of picking up oil in other countries under U.S. sanctions. Before they moved the Iranian oil, a Times analysis found, eight of the tankers spoofed their locations while carrying Venezuelan oil that was subject to sanctions. It’s unclear if they were insured by the American Club at the time.

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One of the tankers did carry American Club insurance when The Times found it likely evading Russian sanctions last year.

The American Club’s role in insuring the 27 tankers could put the company in potential violation of sanctions, industry experts said.

Mr. Tadros disagreed. He said the company includes a clause in its contracts, based on Treasury guidance, that nullifies coverage if a ship violates sanctions. He argued this protects the insurer from being complicit in potential violations.

“The American Club takes its obligations seriously and works diligently to comply with sanctions regulations,” Mr. Tadros said.

The Treasury office has publicly enforced sanctions on the American Club only once in the past 20 years. In 2013, the office announced that it found the insurer had processed dozens of claims for ships that violated sanctions on Cuba, Sudan and Iran. Treasury officials calculated the penalty for the apparent violations totaled more than $1.7 million.

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Ultimately, the office said the American Club did “not appear to have been willful or reckless” and the case was settled. The company agreed to pay a reduced fine of $348,000.

Sources and Methodology

Times reporters built a database of nearly 20,000 tankers and their owners, operators, managers and insurers by combining information from Equasis; the International Maritime Organization; and Pole Star, a maritime intelligence company. Times reporters cross-referenced this information with the websites of the major insurance companies, which all maintain freely accessible databases of ships they insure.

The publicly available location data of the ships, known as their automatic identification system or AIS, was obtained through MarineTraffic and Spire Global. The platforms show live ship locations around the world and keep records of past voyages.

To detect any irregularities in the AIS paths that may be signs of deceptive practices, The Times used data on spoofing ships provided by TankersTrackers.com, as well as from SynMax, a satellite data analytics company, and Spire Global; and information collected through The Times’s own reporting. Reporters then crossed-referenced the sources with satellite imagery.

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The satellite imagery used to search for the ships’ reported and actual locations came from Planet Labs, Maxar Technologies and the European Space Agency’s Copernicus Sentinel-2 satellite, which is publicly available. A large share of the spoofing tankers had already been spotted in Iranian waters by TankerTrackers.com.

To estimate the amount of oil carried in each shipment, The Times looked at how deep a ship’s hull dropped below the waterline after taking cargo. This number, known as draught depth, is publicly reported by each ship. The Times verified the changes in draught depth with Samir Madani at TankerTrackers.com.

The barrels’ worth was determined by taking the lowest reported price of Iranian crude oil in 2023, which stood at approximately $70 per barrel, and applying a commonly cited discount price of $10 per barrel for Chinese buyers. China was the most common destination for crude oil tracked by The Times. The Times used data obtained from Kpler, a company that monitors global trade, to estimate Iran’s total oil exports.

These are the 27 ships that The Times identified as using deceptive tactics to transport Iranian oil products. The ships are listed with their names, which can change frequently, and their International Maritime Organization numbers, which are permanent identification numbers.

I.M.O.

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Ship Name
9208473 azza
9294240 cathay kirin
9247780 datura
9337195 duplic dynamic
9230907 eternal fortune
9307633 eternal success
9257010 fortune galaxy
9247792 gabrielle
9237632 galaxy star
9247077 glory
9237618 gulf knot
9254082 irises
9315654 kapok

I.M.O.

Ship Name
9174397 lisa
9245794 marianne
9133082 muland
9232931 narcissus
9408798 penna
9174220 selene
9296810 serendi
9295593 shalimar
9226011 sincere 02
9263693 sino star
9252436 starry
9224570 tabark
9245782 toyomi
9007386 venus 7

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Ukraine races to bolster air defenses as Putin’s strike pause nears end

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Ukraine is racing to reinforce its air defenses as a brief pause in Russian strikes on Kyiv and other cities approaches its expiration, and military and diplomatic experts warn the move may do little to change conditions on the battlefield and could ultimately strengthen Moscow’s negotiating position.

Earlier Friday, President Donald Trump said at the White House, “I think we’re getting very close to getting a settlement,” expressing optimism about the upcoming Russia-Ukraine talks. “Zelenskyy and Putin hate each other, and it makes it very difficult, but I think we have a good chance of getting it settled.”

The Kremlin said President Vladimir Putin agreed to a personal request from Trump to halt airstrikes on Kyiv until Feb. 1 to create what it described as favorable conditions for negotiations. Ukrainian officials stressed there is no formal ceasefire.

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Veterans of Ukraine’s 3rd Separate Assault Brigade serve free hot meals to residents without electricity in a residential area of Kyiv Tuesday, Jan. 27, 2026. (Danylo Antoniuk/AP)

As temperatures in Kyiv are expected to plunge to minus-26 degrees Celsius beginning Sunday, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Ukraine is moving to strengthen short-range air defenses against drones to protect frontline cities in the south and northeast.

“Protection against Russian drones must be reinforced in our cities, such as Kherson and Nikopol, as well as in the border communities of the Sumy region, where the Russians have essentially set up an ongoing ‘safari’ against civilians,” Zelenskyy said on Telegram.

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Against that backdrop, experts told Fox News Digital the pause appears far more symbolic than transformative.

Vice Adm. Robert S. Harward, a retired Navy SEAL and deputy commander of U.S. Central Command, said the halt in strikes reflects political signaling rather than a military shift.

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“It’s symbolic in the sense of the dialogue and where we are in the negotiations,” Harward told Fox News Digital. “President Trump wants to illustrate to the U.S. that his relationship with Putin delivers results. This is a validation of that relationship, which could be an indicator of where the overall negotiations are on ending the war.”

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Carrie Filipetti, executive director of the Vandenberg Coalition and a former senior State Department and U.S. Mission to the United Nations official, said Russia’s agreement should not be misread as a move toward peace.

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This photograph taken on Jan. 23, 2024 shows graves, most of which are of the victims killed during the Russian strike last year on a shop and café in Groza village, at the cemetery in Groza, Kharkiv region, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine. (Roman Pilipey/AFP via Getty Images)

She added that the short duration of the pause leaves Ukraine exposed.

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“Given how short the pause is and the duplicity of Russia saying it agreed to a week-long pause that expires in two days, this does not meaningfully change any conditions on the battlefield,” she said.

Harward said Ukraine could face diplomatic consequences once the pause expires.

“The risk to Ukraine is that this further weakens and isolates their role and position in the negotiations,” he said.

Zelenskyy has also warned that Ukraine’s ability to defend civilians has been strained by delays in Western funding. He said European allies delayed payments under the PURL weapons purchase program, leaving Ukraine without Patriot air defense missiles ahead of recent Russian strikes that knocked out power across parts of Kyiv.

Russian President Vladimir Putin visits the destroyer Vice-Admiral Kulakov at the Naval Base of the Black Sea Fleet Sept. 23, 2014, in Novorossiysk, Russia.  (Sasha Mordovets/Getty Images)

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“This is a critical issue for protecting civilians and Ukrainian cities and Ukraine’s energy infrastructure during the brutally cold winter months,” Filipetti said. “As President Zelenskyy has said, there will be no electricity and therefore no heat for civilians if they don’t have enough Patriot missiles to defend against Russia’s ballistic missiles.”

Harward noted that the problem extends beyond Ukraine. 

“Air Defense has been in high demand globally, considering the threats from Russia and China,” he said. “Resources, expenses and the increased time to deliver and implement the capabilities add to the challenge.”

On whether the pause could open the door to broader de-escalation, both experts expressed caution.

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President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky shake hands at a news conference after a meeting at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago club Dec. 28, 2025, in Palm Beach, Fla. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

“This tactical pause only serves to reinforce Russia’s negotiating position,” Harward said. “Putin is showing the world that he is willing to listen and respond. In return, he’ll want more support of his position and demands.”

“Only time will tell,” Filipetti said. “Diplomacy can always appear fruitless until there is a real deal. If this short pause, delivered by President Trump’s continued engagement and pressure on Putin, can be used to build additional progress in the trilateral talks, that would be a very positive outcome.”

Reuters contributed to this report.

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