San Francisco, CA
Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-28-2024
The Detroit Lions will play the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday at Levi’s Stadium in the NFC Championship Game. Kickoff between the Super Bowl contenders is at 6:30 p.m. ET.
Detroit (14-5 SU, 13-6 ATS, and 12-7 O/U) beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last weekend. The Lions were outgained but won the turnover and time of possession battles. Detroit is 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS on the road.
San Francisco (13-5 SU, 9-9 ATS, and 9-8-1 O/U) beat Green Bay 24-21 last weekend. The 49ers narrowly outgained the Packers but won the turnover battle and converted 10 of their 16 third-down attempts. SF is 6-3 SU and 3-6 ATS at home.
The 49ers are seven-point spread favorites and the game total is 51.5 points.
Injury Report
Lions: TE James Mitchell, CB Jerry Jacobs, and G Jonah Jackson are out. WR Kalif Raymond (knee) is questionable and C Frank Ragnow (knee) is probable.
49ers: TE Ross Dwelley, WR Danny Gray, and DL Clelin Ferrell are out. WR Deebo Samuel (shoulder) is questionable.
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Is Detroit America’s Team?
The Lions earned a trip to the NFC title game with an impressive string of victories. They were blessed by Detroit faithful and adopted as America’s underdog this season, winning with toughness and talent. Will they finish the job by defeating the frontrunner 49ers?
Detroit scores 27.1 points per game (5th) and averages 394.8 total yards (3rd), including 258.9 passing yards (2nd) and 135.9 rushing yards (5th). It converts 41.3 percent of its third-down attempts (9th) and scores a touchdown on 66.2 percent of its red zone trips (2nd).
The Lions give up 23.2 points (23rd) and 336.1 total yards (19th) per game, including 247.4 passing yards (27th) and 88.8 rushing yards (2nd). They accumulated 40 sacks and 12 interceptions during the regular season. Detroit’s opponents convert 36.7 percent of their third-down attempts (10th) and find the end zone on 64.4 percent of their visits to the red zone (29th).
“It’s been special to watch.”
Ben Johnson on #OnePride showing up on the road this season 💙 pic.twitter.com/IzNF0BMfrh
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) January 25, 2024
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The 49ers are heavy favorites for a reason
The Niners found a way to the NFC Championship without starting a top draft pick at quarterback, relying instead on “Mr. Irrelevant.” QB Brock Purdy’s unexpected rise to stardom aside, San Francisco is a veteran squad with star talent all over the field. Has it gone as far as it can without an elite signal-caller, though?
San Francisco scores 28.9 points per game (3rd) and averages 398.4 total yards (2nd), including 257.9 passing yards (4th) and 140.5 rushing yards (3rd). It converts 48.7 percent of its third downs (3rd) and finds the end zone on 67.6 percent of its visits to the red zone (1st).
The Niners surrender 17.5 points (3rd) and 303.9 total yards (8th) per game, including 214.2 passing yards (14th) and 89.7 rushing yards (3rd). They accumulated 48 sacks and 22 interceptions during the regular season. San Francisco’s opponents convert 41.6 percent of their third-down attempts (27th) and score a touchdown on 53.0 percent of their red zone trips (12th).
Eyes on the prize. #DoItForTheBay x @united pic.twitter.com/2vxARjZFQ9
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) January 25, 2024
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Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
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The Lions’ offense won’t be up to the task, forcing them to leave their Super Bowl dreams on the tarmac on Sunday night. The visitors have not fared as well outdoors this season, averaging 17.8 points in open-air stadiums (five games) compared to 30.7 points per game indoors. Most of those games were played in good weather conditions, too. They have also come up short on the road, scoring nearly six fewer points per game.
The 49ers have held their opponents to 21 points or less in 13 of 18 games this season. They will put relentless heat on QB Jared Goff, whose own outdoor struggles are well-known, forcing the Lions signal-caller into check-downs, throwaways, or risky decisions. With Goff likely to be conservative in those scenarios, Detroit may focus more on the ground game in hopes of finding success against the Niners’ run defense. While SF allowed 4.2 yards per carry, the Lions will be too one-dimensional to keep up with the 49ers’ electric offense.
Prediction: San Francisco -7.5
Full-Game Total Pick
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As I mentioned earlier, Goff won’t be able to drive the football down the field. He will be cautious, forcing Detroit into a conservative offensive game plan to wear down the Niners’ below-average run defense. While this may be the best course of action in a vacuum, I don’t envision it leading to big chunk plays or opening up the passing game via play-action on the road in a conference championship atmosphere.
As talented as the 49ers’ offense can be, there’s no denying the impact a limited or unavailable Samuel will have on their game plan. I predict the home team will manage to get out to a sizable first-half lead with the Lions unable to create scoring opportunities, prompting the Niners to lean on their ground game in the second half. This slow-paced attack — they run the slowest-tempo offense in terms of seconds per play — will work in the under’s favor one way or another. If it’s successful, it will drain the game clock, but if Detroit’s talented run-stop unit rises to the occasion, these teams will end up punting the ball back and forth until the final whistle blows.
Prediction: Under 51.5
San Francisco, CA
Santa Rosa: The 1906 earthquake almost lost to history
Santa Rosa prepares for next big earthquake
The Great 1906 earthquake devastated the Bay Area, destroying much of San Francisco and killing more than 3,000 people. The city marked the quakes 120th anniversary this weekend, but whats not as widely recognized is the damage to surrounding comunities like Santa Rosa.
SANTA ROSA, Calif. – While the Great 1906 Earthquake was a centerpiece of news around the world when its massive damage and fire destroyed much of San Francisco and took 3,000 lives, another far smaller, far less famous town, suffered massive damage almost forgotten by history.
Nearly forgotten
On this day 120 years ago, stunned people were digging for survivors two nights after the quake. Like a demon in the night, the Great 1906 Earthquake also came to Santa Rosa also bent on mass death and destruction.
Eric Stanley is the history curator and deputy director of the Museum of Sonoma County in Santa Rosa that supplied these pictures. “Santa Rosa, in particular, was devastated by the 1906 earthquake,” he said.
Survivors were shaken awake as whole buildings collapsed around them or on them. “A good portion, a really significant portion, of downtown Santa Rosa was completely destroyed,” said Stanley.
Many never woke up; crushed to death in their sleep. There were over a hundred people killed in the 1906 earthquake in Santa Rosa that only had 7,000 people in it at the time,” said the curator.
Active fault line
Sixty-three years later, in 1969, a time of budding, but far better science-based building codes, a double shaker nonetheless did significant damage and killed one person. “Even understanding all those things, you kind of at the earlier stage of that in the sixties,” said Stanley.
Today, four of Santa Rosa’s School buildings lie near or on the Rodgers Creek Earthquake Fault, capable of up to a 7.3 magnitude rupture. One is already closed with another due to close at the end of the school year for budgetary reasons.
That leaves two elementary schools, Hidden Valley, alongside the fault and Proctor, on the fault. The school board says both are seismically sound and safe to continue operating. “The two that are remaining open are both the ones that have the potential and the ability to grow because the entire site is not impacted by the fault line,” said Nick Caston, Santa Rosa City School Board president.
Staying prepared
In other words, things can and will eventually be moved around.
“What we’re gonna end up having to do is redesign the campus over the next several decades to have our fields and our parking in the front, which are totally acceptable to be over a fault line and actually move our academic builds and our student-serving buildings to the back,” said Caston.
Ultimately, the pictures and relics museums hold from natural disasters are given to those who come, a lesson and a warning. “Real people went through these experiences and we really do have to be aware of that and do our very best to prepare for those kinds of things,” said Stanley.
The 1933 Field Act requires earthquake-safe construction of schools, with evolving seismic codes as we learn more.
San Francisco, CA
Sea lion pup found in San Francisco’s Outer Sunset malnourished but ‘feisty’
A California sea lion pup found last week on a San Francisco street corner is malnourished but “active and quite feisty,” The Marine Mammal Center said Monday.
The sea lion, believed to be about 10 months old, had apparently wandered into city’s Outer Sunset neighborhood and was discovered early Thursday morning, authorities said.
The pup was spotted near 48th and Irving Streets, one block from Ocean Beach and Sunset Dunes park. A trained responder from the Marine Mammal Center was joined by San Francisco park rangers and police officers to safely corral the pup, now named ‘Irving’, into a carrier crate.
Dubbed ‘Irving’ by his rescuers, Irving weighed in at 40 pounds and is considered malnourished, the Marine Mammal Center said.
“The sea lion is active and quite feisty which is a positive initial sign in terms of general behavior,” the center said in a news release on Monday.
During an exam by veterinarians, a series of blood samples were also taken to determine whether there’s any underlying ailment.
Irving is being tube fed a fish smoothie blend two times per day to boost hydration and weight; offers of whole herring will also begin shortly.
The quick actions by police, recreation and parks staff and Ocean Avenue Animal Hospital gave the young sea lion a second chance at life, said Lauren Campbell, animal husbandry manager at The Marine Mammal Center.
“As a roughly 10-month-old pup in his first year of learning how to forage on his own, this animal has a long road to recovery due to his severe malnutrition,” Campbell said. “We are hopeful that in the coming weeks with continued specialized care that this pup starts to make positive strides toward recovery and release.”
Irving will be held in the Center’s Intensive Quarantine Unit until clearing medical protocols, before likely being transferred this week to a traditional rehabilitation pool pen. A long-term prognosis and potential release timeline are not currently known.
San Francisco, CA
Giants Head Home to San Francisco After Shutout Loss
After Sunday’s 3-0 loss to the Washington Nationals, the San Francisco Giants headed back to the West Coast. They’re going back to the Bay Area, too.
The Giants have a date with the Los Angeles Dodgers for a three-game series at Oracle Park starting Tuesday night.
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So, San Francisco probably wanted to get out of Washington, D.C., with a win. That didn’t happen at Nationals Park on Sunday afternoon.
Nationals reliever Andrew Alvarez, the third pitcher used by the team on Sunday, picked up the victory with 4 1/3 innings of work. Giants starter Robbie Ray absorbed the loss, falling to 2-3 this season.
Ray worked six innings, giving up seven hits, three runs (all earned), walking one, and striking out seven Nationals. If the Giants’ offense had found a way to tack on some runs, then Ray’s outing wouldn’t have looked so bad.
The Giants’ bats, though, had eight hits. The big number for Giants manager Tony Vitello to look at in the box score after this one was, well, pretty big. San Francisco left 10 runners on base on Sunday, going 0-for-11 with runners in scoring position. This indicates that San Francisco had plenty of opportunities to score some runs.
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They just didn’t get the job done.
Let’s go to the bottom of the fifth with the Giants and Nationals in a scoreless tie. With nobody out, the Nationals’ Keibert Ruiz connected for his third double this season. Nasim Nuñez scored to put Washington up 1-0.
With one out, Curtis Mead sent a Ray pitch over the left-field wall, a two-run blast that gave the Nationals a 3-0 lead.
San Francisco had a scoring threat in the top of the eighth inning. With runners at first and second base and nobody out, Casey Schmitt grounded into a double play. Matt Chapman, who was on second base, went to third. But the Giants were unable to bring him home.
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Rafael Devers and Drew Gilbert went 2-for-4 at the plate for the Giants, producing half of the Giants’ hits.
The Giants fall to 9-13 this season, sitting in fourth place in the National League West Division. The Nationals’ record goes to 10-12, good enough for third place in the National League East Division.
All eyes now turn toward Oracle on Tuesday night. It’ll be a chance for two longtime rivals to renew their rivalry.
Baseball fans know that the Giants-Dodgers matchups usually are must-see TV.
That’s probably going to be the case once again as Giants fans watch their team battle the Dodgers. Those lucky to have tickets to the three-game series at Oracle Park will show up in Giants colors, hoping to see Los Angeles head back to Southern California with either a series loss or a Giants’ sweep.
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Buckle up, Giants fans. It’s about to get rowdy at Oracle Park.
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