San Francisco, CA
Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-28-2024
The Detroit Lions will play the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday at Levi’s Stadium in the NFC Championship Game. Kickoff between the Super Bowl contenders is at 6:30 p.m. ET.
Detroit (14-5 SU, 13-6 ATS, and 12-7 O/U) beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last weekend. The Lions were outgained but won the turnover and time of possession battles. Detroit is 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS on the road.
San Francisco (13-5 SU, 9-9 ATS, and 9-8-1 O/U) beat Green Bay 24-21 last weekend. The 49ers narrowly outgained the Packers but won the turnover battle and converted 10 of their 16 third-down attempts. SF is 6-3 SU and 3-6 ATS at home.
The 49ers are seven-point spread favorites and the game total is 51.5 points.
Injury Report
Lions: TE James Mitchell, CB Jerry Jacobs, and G Jonah Jackson are out. WR Kalif Raymond (knee) is questionable and C Frank Ragnow (knee) is probable.
49ers: TE Ross Dwelley, WR Danny Gray, and DL Clelin Ferrell are out. WR Deebo Samuel (shoulder) is questionable.
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Is Detroit America’s Team?
The Lions earned a trip to the NFC title game with an impressive string of victories. They were blessed by Detroit faithful and adopted as America’s underdog this season, winning with toughness and talent. Will they finish the job by defeating the frontrunner 49ers?
Detroit scores 27.1 points per game (5th) and averages 394.8 total yards (3rd), including 258.9 passing yards (2nd) and 135.9 rushing yards (5th). It converts 41.3 percent of its third-down attempts (9th) and scores a touchdown on 66.2 percent of its red zone trips (2nd).
The Lions give up 23.2 points (23rd) and 336.1 total yards (19th) per game, including 247.4 passing yards (27th) and 88.8 rushing yards (2nd). They accumulated 40 sacks and 12 interceptions during the regular season. Detroit’s opponents convert 36.7 percent of their third-down attempts (10th) and find the end zone on 64.4 percent of their visits to the red zone (29th).
“It’s been special to watch.”
Ben Johnson on #OnePride showing up on the road this season 💙 pic.twitter.com/IzNF0BMfrh
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) January 25, 2024
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The 49ers are heavy favorites for a reason
The Niners found a way to the NFC Championship without starting a top draft pick at quarterback, relying instead on “Mr. Irrelevant.” QB Brock Purdy’s unexpected rise to stardom aside, San Francisco is a veteran squad with star talent all over the field. Has it gone as far as it can without an elite signal-caller, though?
San Francisco scores 28.9 points per game (3rd) and averages 398.4 total yards (2nd), including 257.9 passing yards (4th) and 140.5 rushing yards (3rd). It converts 48.7 percent of its third downs (3rd) and finds the end zone on 67.6 percent of its visits to the red zone (1st).
The Niners surrender 17.5 points (3rd) and 303.9 total yards (8th) per game, including 214.2 passing yards (14th) and 89.7 rushing yards (3rd). They accumulated 48 sacks and 22 interceptions during the regular season. San Francisco’s opponents convert 41.6 percent of their third-down attempts (27th) and score a touchdown on 53.0 percent of their red zone trips (12th).
Eyes on the prize. #DoItForTheBay x @united pic.twitter.com/2vxARjZFQ9
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) January 25, 2024
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The Lions’ offense won’t be up to the task, forcing them to leave their Super Bowl dreams on the tarmac on Sunday night. The visitors have not fared as well outdoors this season, averaging 17.8 points in open-air stadiums (five games) compared to 30.7 points per game indoors. Most of those games were played in good weather conditions, too. They have also come up short on the road, scoring nearly six fewer points per game.
The 49ers have held their opponents to 21 points or less in 13 of 18 games this season. They will put relentless heat on QB Jared Goff, whose own outdoor struggles are well-known, forcing the Lions signal-caller into check-downs, throwaways, or risky decisions. With Goff likely to be conservative in those scenarios, Detroit may focus more on the ground game in hopes of finding success against the Niners’ run defense. While SF allowed 4.2 yards per carry, the Lions will be too one-dimensional to keep up with the 49ers’ electric offense.
Prediction: San Francisco -7.5
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As I mentioned earlier, Goff won’t be able to drive the football down the field. He will be cautious, forcing Detroit into a conservative offensive game plan to wear down the Niners’ below-average run defense. While this may be the best course of action in a vacuum, I don’t envision it leading to big chunk plays or opening up the passing game via play-action on the road in a conference championship atmosphere.
As talented as the 49ers’ offense can be, there’s no denying the impact a limited or unavailable Samuel will have on their game plan. I predict the home team will manage to get out to a sizable first-half lead with the Lions unable to create scoring opportunities, prompting the Niners to lean on their ground game in the second half. This slow-paced attack — they run the slowest-tempo offense in terms of seconds per play — will work in the under’s favor one way or another. If it’s successful, it will drain the game clock, but if Detroit’s talented run-stop unit rises to the occasion, these teams will end up punting the ball back and forth until the final whistle blows.
Prediction: Under 51.5
San Francisco, CA
Sam Smith’s San Francisco Residency Charts New Course for the Castro
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Sam Smith has kicked off his residency at the Castro Theatre in San Francisco, with the singer’s 20-date stint helping to officially usher in a new era for the historic landmark.
First erected in 1922, the Castro closed in 2024 for a reported $41 million renovation project. But the century-old Spanish-style Baroque theatre is open for business — and music — once again, with its gilded ceiling and ornamental walls restored to its original design, while seating is now reconfigurable for different events, including 650 seats that can be removed to create more standing room space (like for Smith’s concert). More importantly, city officials hope the re-opening of the Castro Theatre will also help revive the predominantly queer neighborhood it sits in, which shares a name with the venerable venue.
“Do you guys realize how special this street is?” Smith asked the sold-out crowd, during night two of their residency last week. “I grew up in a village in the middle of f-ckin’ nowhere,” they shared. “I was the only gay in the village and yes I was very dramatic about it as well,” they added with a laugh.
“There is nothing like this street and nothing like the Castro and the community here,” Smith said. “I’ll never forget coming here when I was 20 years old, so reopening this theater now is such an honor.”
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Tickets to Smith’s Castro residency quickly sold out when the shows were first announced but you can still find stubs on sites like StubHub, Vivid Seats and SeatGeek. New users can use the promo code THR30 to save $30 on orders of $300 and up at VividSeats.com. SeatGeek customers can use promo code HOLLYWOOD10 to save $10 at SeatGeek.com.
Smith’s San Francisco stint follows their “To Be Free: New York City,” residency which took place last fall at Brooklyn’s historic Warsaw club. Other artists set to play at the Castro this spring include Father John Misty, José González, Santigold and Lucy Dacus. The Castro will also help celebrate the 50th anniversary of the LGBTQ-themed Frameline Film Festival this June.
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Smith’s residency runs until March 14.
According to tourism officials and local businesses, Smith’s new Castro residency and the reopening of the theatre has already helped to bring in a number of new visitors to the area. Mat Schuster, the executive chef and owner of long-time neighborhood fixture, Canela, says business has been “very busy” in the last few weeks, crediting Smith’s show with bringing out new diners to the Spanish restaurant, which has been on Market Street since 2011. Other local hotspots like wine bar Bar49, the San Francisco outpost of Hi Tops, and the women’s sports bar, Rikki’s (named after Gay Games Federation founder Rikki Streicher), were all packed on a recent evening following Smith’s Castro concert.
According to San Francisco Tourism, the reopening of The Castro Theatre is poised to deliver “meaningful economic gains” to the surrounding neighborhood, which some stats estimating that the venue will draw more than 200,000 visitors annually.
With the Castro Theatre now open again, local officials are looking ahead to other upcoming celebrations, including a planned reimagining of the Castro and Market Street intersection into The Memorial at Harvey Milk Plaza, honoring the first openly gay elected official in California (and the inspiration for the 2009 Sean Penn film). Milk’s legacy is already enshrined at the San Francisco airport of course, with terminal 1 at SFO renamed as the “Harvey Milk Terminal;” the new memorial is scheduled to be completed by 2028. The annual Castro Street Fair, meantime, a community street celebration founded by Harvey Milk in 1974, will take place on the first weekend of October.
The reopening of the Castro comes amidst a busy few months for San Francisco, which recently saw a number of athletes and celebrities in town for the Super Bowl. Steph Curry’s new speakeasy, The Eighth Rule, was among the hotspots over the big game weekend and the basketball star’s bourbon-forward bar continues to be a hot reservation in the city. Opened in the fall, the bar is tucked away in a nondescript hallway inside the Westin St. Francis hotel in Union Square, offering an intimate and exclusive setting for the Golden State Warriors point guard’s Gentleman’s Cut Bourbon, which can be ordered on its own or as part of a six-course omakase-style cocktail tasting (we loved the clarified coconut milk punch and the truffle-vanilla whiskey sour). Of course, guests can also order cocktails a la carte, choosing from different bourbons and whiskeys, plus a full selection of other spirits.
Next door to The Eighth Rule is Bourbon Steak San Francisco, the latest outpost of Chef Michael Mina’s award-winning steakhouse. The restaurant marks the celebrity chef’s return to the Westin St. Francis, where he opened his first eponymous restaurant in 2004. In addition to its selection of steaks, seafood and caviar offerings (like Mina’s famous “caviar twinkee”), this Bourbon Steak outpost offers a family-style dining experience for six people, available through advance reservations. This is the only Bourbon Steak location to offer this communal table format.
New this month is the highly-anticipated opening of JouJou, an elevated French brasserie concept from the owners of the two Michelin-starred Lazy Bear. Located in the city’s Design District, JouJou is poised to be the next celebrity hangout, with its ornate dining room and marble-topped counters setting the scene for steak frites and star sightings alike. As chef David Barzelay told the San Francisco Chronicle when asked about the inspiration for JouJou: “It always feels like you’re just in a place where it’s happening.”
San Francisco, CA
San Francisco, Oakland report warmest February morning on record
Saturday morning in the Bay Area was muggy and mild, if not warm. Temperatures only cooled down to the upper 50s to low 60s across much of the Bay Area – five to 15 degrees above average for late winter.
For San Francisco and Oakland, it was a record warm start to the last day of the month. With temperatures only dipping down to 62 in San Francisco, it was the warmest morning in recorded history during the month of February, and those records go back to 1875. The old record was 61° in 1985.
Oakland’s old record was also in 1985, when the low was 60°. Now Oakland’s new record for warmest February morning was set on Saturday, with a low of 61. It was also extremely muggy, with dew points in the upper 50s and humidity over 90%.
Why? It mostly has to do with the extremely warm blob of water sitting off the Bay Area’s coast. It’s technically called a “Marine Heatwave” and the one we are currently dealing with began in May 2025.
Normally this time of year, ocean temperatures are near 53 degrees – but it was about 57 near the Golden Gate Bridge as of Saturday morning.
Warmer ocean water warms up the air above it, and then winds carry the warmer air over land and warms us up. The warmer water also increases evaporation, raising moisture content in the air (aka humidity).
So now you know, you can blame the warm blob of ocean water for the reason it was so muggy.
San Francisco, CA
Sunset Night Market makes official return to San Francisco
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