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New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-25-2024

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New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-25-2024


The New Mexico State Aggies (9-10, 3-1 C-USA) are on the road Thursday for a Conference-USA game at Bernard G Johnson Coliseum in Huntsville, Texas with the Sam Houston State Bearkats (10-9, 3-1 C-USA). New Mexico State defeated Middle Tennessee 73-62 on Saturday for its second straight win and fourth in the last five. Sam Houston State was defeated by Liberty 82-66 on Saturday, snapping a four-game winning streak for the Bearkats. Sam Houston and New Mexico State are tied for second in the C-USA. New Mexico State will play without Jaylin Jackson. Sam Houston State does not have any players on its injury report.

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New Mexico must improve its shooting

New Mexico State is scoring 70.4 points per game which is 277th, while shooting 42.9% (282nd) overall and 34.8% (139th) from three point land. New Mexico State’s free throw percentage is 70.4% which is 221st. Femi Odukale is the leading scorer with an average of 11.2 points per game, while Robert Carpenter is the second leading scorer with an average of 10.6 points per game. Jordan Rawls is the leader in assists with an average of 4.4 per game.

 

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New Mexico State is allowing opponents to score an average of 71.3 points per game which is 161st in the nation while opponents are shooting 40.80% (56th) overall and 34.1% (240th) from downtown. New Mexico State averages 34.2 rebounds per game led by Odukale with an average of 5.8 per contest. Rawls is the leader in steals with an average of 1.3 per game and Jonathan Kanyanag is the leader in blocked shots of 0.8 per game.

Sam Houston State must improve its scoring and shooting

 Sam Houston State is scoring an average of 71.7 points per game which is 255th in the nation. The Bearkats are shooting 40.8% (333rd) overall and 32.7% (232nd) from 3 point land. Sam Houston State is shooting 72.1% from the free throw line which is 157th. Lamar Wilkerson is the leading scorer for Sam Houston State with an average of 15.5 points per game and Davon Barnes is second with an average of 13.7 points per game. Sam Houston has just two players averaging double figures in scoring. Jaden Ray is the leader in assists with an average of 4.0 per game.

The Bearkats are allowing an average of 71.9 points per game which is 189th in the nation. Sam Houston State is allowing an average of 44.5% (249th) shooting overall and 32.4% (134th) shooting from three point land. Sam Houston State averages 37.3 rebounds per game led by Kian Scroggins with an average of 5.7 per contest. Damon Nicholas Jr is the leader in steals with an average of 1.3 per game, while Souleymane Doumbia is the rim protector with an average of 1.1 blocked shots per game.

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In what should be a very close game from start to finish, Sam Houston State has the advantage as they will be playing on their home court. The Bearkats are allowing an average of 71.9 points per game and scoring slightly less at 71.7 points per game. New Mexico State scores an average of 70.4 points per game and allows slightly more at 71.3 points per game. Both are shooting well below average. The rebounding edge goes to Sam Houston State at 37.3 per game to 34.4 per contest. Sam Houston State averages 9.2 offensive rebounds per game which is 123rd and New Mexico State averages just 7.9 which is 252nd. Offensive rebounds could make the difference since both shoot poorly and with more offensive rebounds per game, Sam Houston State will have more second looks. New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in two of its last three, while Sam Houston State has covered the spread in three of its last four.

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Prediction: Sam Houston State Bearkats -4.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both New Mexico State and Sam Houston State shoot below average and the total has finished under in five of New Mexico State’s last six and in six of Sam Houston State’s last nine. New Mexico State has an adjusted tempo of 67.4 which is 217th while Sam Houston State has an adjusted tempo of 69.0 which is 128th. The two tempos are not conducive for high scoring games since both shoot below average.

Prediction: UNDER 142

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Written By
Kevin Vallego , “Kevin V.”

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin’s best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.

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New Mexico

3 thoughts: New Mexico 81, SDSU 76 … Kudos for the local kid, mid-majors getting the squeeze and European bigs

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3 thoughts: New Mexico 81, SDSU 76 … Kudos for the local kid, mid-majors getting the squeeze and European bigs


ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — Three thoughts on San Diego State’s 81-76 loss at New Mexico on Saturday afternoon:

1. Kudos

No loss is a happy occasion within SDSU’s basketball program, but it was mitigated somewhat by the how and who:

The how: A 3-pointer from the left wing with 43 seconds left that broke a 74-74 tie.

The who: Luke Haupt, a sixth-year senior from St. Augustine High School and Point Loma Nazarene University who is one of those classy, genuine guys you can’t help but root for.

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Aztecs coaches know him and his family well, his father Mike being the longtime head coach at Saints who sent Trey Kell to them. Aztecs players know him from the Swish summer league and open gyms during the summer.

Coach Brian Dutcher: “Kudos to Luke, known him a long time. Coaches are a little different than fan bases, where sometimes (fans) get too hard on the opposition. I wanted to win in the worst way, trust me when I tell you that. But … tip your hat to guys who make important and timely plays.”

Junior guard Miles Byrd: “Credit to Luke Haupt. He’s a San Diego kid. He’s going to (get) up for these type of games. You respect that. Players show up in games like this, and he showed up.”

There’s respect for the moment and respect for what it took to get there.

Haupt grew up, like most kids in San Diego, watching the Aztecs and dreaming of maybe one day playing in Viejas Arena. He went to Division II PLNU instead and toiled in relative anonymity for five seasons, one of which was abbreviated by the pandemic and 1½ of which was wiped out by knee surgery.

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The 6-foot-7 wing finally got to Division I for his sixth and final year, lured to New Mexico by former UC San Diego coach Eric Olen, and has averaged 7.2 points per game with a career high of 30 against Boise State. He had 17 on Saturday against his hometown team, the final three coming with 43 seconds left in a tie game.

The play wasn’t designed for him. Fate sent the ball his way.

“It was a big shot, but it was everything I’ve worked on my entire career and basketball life,” Haupt said. “It’s all the people who have helped me get here and all the work that’s been put in.

“These are moments you dream about.”

2. Death of Cinderella

The Aztecs have slipped off the NCAA Tournament bubble with losses in three of their last four games, yet their metrics are comparable and in some cases better than a year ago, when they didn’t win the conference tournament and sneaked into the First Four in Dayton.

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They are hanging tough at 42 in Kenpom and 44 in NET. Last year they were 46 and 52 on Selection Sunday.

The problem is that there might be historically few at-large berths available to mid-major conferences as the preposterous sums of money coursing through the sport accentuates the divide between the haves and have-nots. The latest field from ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has 11 teams from the SEC, nine from the Big Ten and eight each from the Big 12 and ACC.

The Big East, considered a power conference given its financial commitment to men’s basketball (although that is starting to wane), is expected to get only three, but do the math: Power conferences account for 34 of the 37 at-large invitations to the 68-team field.

Lunardi, and several other bracketologists, has only three mid-majors getting at-large berths: Saint Mary’s and Santa Clara from the WCC, and New Mexico from the Mountain West.

Only Saint Mary’s is in the main bracket. Santa Clara and New Mexico are in his First Four (and the Lobos are his last team in).

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“It’s harder,” Dutcher said, “because there are only so many at-large bids that are going to go to non-power conference teams. When thrown up against the power conferences, the Selection Committee is finding ways to put the power conference teams in.”

Since the tournament expanded from 65 to 68 in 2011, mid-majors have averaged a combined 6.3 at-large berths. The high was 10 in 2013, but it’s been seven as recently as 2024. Last year it slipped to four, equaling the record low, and no mid-major teams reached the Sweet 16.

If teams like Utah State, Saint Louis and Miami (Ohio) win their conference tournaments, knocking out “bid stealers,” it could be three, maybe even two.

Money is talking. It doesn’t guarantee success, but it certainly increases the chances.

3. Euros

The Aztecs have not dipped into the European professional market for players, but maybe this season will change their perspective.

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They have nine losses. Seven have come against teams with a European big.

The latest was New Mexico, which got 24 points and 18 rebounds from the 6-foot-9, 240-pound Tomislav Buljan, a 23-year-old Croatian pro granted one season of collegiate eligibility by the NCAA. He had 20 and 14 in the first meeting, when the Aztecs narrowly escaped with an 83-79 win after trailing in the final minute.

“He was a monster tonight,” Haupt said. “That was huge for us. Loved the way he played.”

The week before, the Aztecs lost to Colorado State and Rashaan Mbemba from Austria.

They’ve lost to Grand Canyon twice with 7-1 Turkish pro Efe Demirel, a 21-year-old “freshman” who has experience in the Euroleague, the continent’s most prestigious competition.

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In the December loss to Arizona where the Aztecs were crushed 52-28 on the boards, 7-2, 260-pound Lithuanian center Motiejus Krivas had 13.

Michigan, which beat SDSU in November, has 7-3 Aday Mara of Spain.

Baylor beat the Aztecs two days later with 6-9 Michael Rataj of Germany, then a few weeks later added 7-0 James Nnaji from Spanish club FC Barcelona.

Only Troy and Utah State didn’t start a European big in wins against SDSU — although Mexican forward Victor Valdes had 20 points for Troy.

“Obviously, it’s changing the game,” Dutcher said. “The European pros are coming over because they can make more money over here than they can in Europe. They come over and they’re making good money, whether it’s Demirel at Grand Canyon or it’s Buljan at New Mexico.

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“These are good players who come up through a club system and are basically professional basketball players.”



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New Mexico

New Mexico veteran cemetery coming to Carlsbad via $8M in federal funds – Carlsbad Current-Argus

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New Mexico veteran cemetery coming to Carlsbad via M in federal funds – Carlsbad Current-Argus


Adrian Hedden Carlsbad Current-Argusachedden@currentargus.com Mack Dyer served for 21 years in the U.S. Army. He fought in Operation Desert Storm in 1991 and Operation Iraqi…



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New Mexico

New Mexico spoils Nevada’s Senior Day as Lobos leave Reno with 63-56 win

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New Mexico spoils Nevada’s Senior Day as Lobos leave Reno with 63-56 win


The Nevada women’s basketball team dropped its final home contest of the 2025-26 season on Saturday with New Mexico spoiling Senior Day and pushing past the Wolf Pack for a 63-56 win.

The Wolf Pack led 36-34 at halftime behind a hot-shooting start. Skylar Durley, Imbie Jones and Ahrray Young each had six points as Nevada shot 14-of-25 from the field (56%). But things cooled off in the second half, with the Lobos outscoring the Wolf Pack 19-13 in the third quarter to take a four-point lead into the fourth. Nevada’s shooting woes only worsened in the final period when it made just three field goals, including none in the final four minutes.

Durley led Nevada with 16 points and six rebounds. Young finished with 10 points, three rebounds and three assists. The Wolf Pack made just one three-pointer out of its nine attempts.

The loss drops Nevada to 9-20 overall, 5-14 within the Mountain West Conference. The Wolf Pack now heads to Utah State for Tuesday’s regular-season finale before opening the Mountain West Tournament play next Saturday in Las Vegas.

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Watch our coverage of the game below.

Highlights and reaction from Nevada’s loss to New Mexico.



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