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3 Takes: Big Seattle Mariners questions halfway through season

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3 Takes: Big Seattle Mariners questions halfway through season


The Seattle Mariners hit the midway mark of the season earlier this week, which makes it the perfect time to reflect on the first half and look ahead to the next second half.

Watch: Mariners prospect slugs four homers during historic night

As the Mariners sit atop the AL West at 46-37, how do you evaluate their performance over the first three months? What moves should they make at the trade deadline? And how will they ultimately fare the rest of the way?

SeattleSports.com writers Brent Stecker, Zac Hereth and Cameron Van Til give their thoughts on those questions and more.

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Checking in on the Seattle Mariners

1. What grade would you give the Mariners’ first half of the season?

Brent Stecker: Here’s how I’m going to look at it. Forget about everything you’ve seen thus far this season. You don’t know that the Seattle Mariners had a 10-game lead before the last road trip. You don’t know the ins and outs of the offensive struggles. All you know is that through 83 games, the Mariners lead the AL West by 4 1/2. Feels pretty good, right? I’d rate that feeling an A-minus. Could be better. And when you do factor in other things like the aforementioned 10-game lead and how Houston and Texas left the gate wide open, it should be better. But hey, not gonna argue with a decent division lead with room to grow.

Zac Hereth: Considering all the things that have gone wrong so far, it’s pretty encouraging that Seattle is nine games above .500 and leading the division. How much more could you ask for when your star slugger (Julio Rodríguez) is going through a power outage, your offseason additions have disappointed and two of your presumed top-three bullpen arms haven’t thrown a single pitch this season? With that being said, I’ll go with a solid B. There’s no doubt this team could (and probably should) be better, but the expectation that the M’s would be cruising to wins by wide margins while being an offensive force is unrealistic. It’s just not how the team is built.

Cameron Van Til: The Mariners are a tough team to evaluate, given the stark contrast between an elite starting rotation that’s among the best in baseball and a struggling lineup that’s been among the worst. So far, their impressive arsenal of arms has been enough to outweigh the issues at the plate. Seattle is nine games over .500 and leads the AL West by 4 1/2 games, while sporting the fourth-best record in the AL and the eighth-best in the majors. To me, that feels like a B-plus. Plenty of questions remain and there’s certainly lots of room for improvement. But the starting rotation deserves its credit and the M’s are firmly a playoff-caliber team, which this grade reflects.

2. Who or what been the most pleasant surprise?

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Stecker: Trent Thornton and his iconic sport goggles deserve some attention. Acquired last year after he was designated for assignment by Toronto, the 30-year-old right-hander was pretty good in 2023 for Seattle and has been even better this season. He has a 3.22 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and .190 opponent average with nine holds and a save in 36 games. Good thing the Mariners have him, too, because he bailed them out of a bases-loaded, no-outs jam in the ninth inning of Wednesday’s 5-2 win over the Rays. On the topic of relievers, Kentwood High and UW Huskies product Austin Voth needs a shoutout, too. He’s got a 3.62 ERA, is tied with Thornton for the best opponent average among M’s relievers at .190, and has the best WHIP out of Seattle’s bullpen at 0.93 in 33 games.

Hereth: Josh Rojas. Does much more need to be said? Rojas has cooled off at the plate since his red-hot start, but still holds the second-best batting average (.251) and second-best on-base percentage (.318) on the team among hitters with at least 200 at-bats. He’s also been rock-solid defensively with five outs above average at third base, tied for the AL lead. It’s become clear this season why the Mariners insisted on Rojas being a part of the return package for Paul Sewald last summer, because he looks like the type of a gritty player that’s the glue of a championship team. When good things are happening for the Mariners, Rojas has a knack for being in the middle of it.

Van Til: Josh Rojas’ defense. I could also go with Rojas as a whole, but I’ll focus specifically on his fielding. The Mariners had more than a decade of elite glove work at third base with Kyle Seager and Eugenio Suárez, but after trading Suárez this past offseason, there were massive defensive question marks at the hot corner. Rojas has completely wiped away those concerns. As Zac mentioned, Rojas is tied for the AL lead with five outs above average at third base. He also has eight OAA overall, including his work at second base and left field. He’s come a long way since his time with the Diamondbacks, when he logged minus-nine OAA in 2021 and minus-five in 2022. Mariners infield coach Perry Hill continues to work wonders.

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3. Who or what been the biggest disappointment (beside the slow start for Julio Rodríguez)?

Stecker: The road record. It’s great that the Mariners have turned T-Mobile Park into a fortress, jumping out to a 27-12 record at home. But the impact of that is lessened by the fact that Seattle has scuffled to a 19-25 mark in away games. Give the M’s credit for figuring out how to build a team around their ballpark, but their moves at the deadline need to help them get better on the road. Of course, just hitting better in general would help, too.

Hereth: The offensive offseason additions. While the Mariners didn’t break the bank to sign Shohei Ohtani or send a massive haul to San Diego for Juan Soto, the additions they made to the lineup this offseason were more promising than last year, and they should have improved this offense. Mitch Haniger’s struggles aren’t as surprising, but Mitch Garver and Jorge Polanco’s production falling off to the levels they have is a head-scratcher. Those guys need to be better for this team to make a real postseason push.

Van Til: The widespread underperformance on offense. Every lineup will usually have one or two hitters going through a down year, but the sheer number of underperforming hitters in Seattle’s lineup is jarring. Eight of the 10 Mariners with at least 150 plate appearances have an OPS that’s below their career average, including four hitters (Jorge Polanco, Mitch Haniger, Julio Rodríguez and Mitch Garver) whose OPS is at least 140 points below their career number. There has to be some sort of regression to the mean at some point, right?

4. If you could acquire two specific players at the trade deadline, who would they be?

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Stecker: How about a couple of guys with the same last name who aren’t related (as far as we know)? Arizona first baseman Christian Walker and San Francisco reliever Ryan Walker both seem perfect for Seattle’s needs. Christian Walker is a veteran, ballpark-proof masher who would be a rental, so it keeps his price down. Ryan Walker, meanwhile, is a local product from Arlington High and WSU with a funky delivery, great numbers and plenty of club control. The only problem is both of their sub-.500 teams remain firmly in the jumbled mess that is the National League’s wild card race, so who knows if they’ll actually be available.

Hereth: I’ll stick with the offense here, but a left-handed reliever or starter is a close third. New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso is a no-brainer to me. Excluding the shortened 2020 season, Alonso hasn’t hit less than 37 home runs in a season, and his raw power shouldn’t have any troubles with T-Mobile Park. Alonso along with Tampa Bay Rays third baseman Isaac Paredes would really change this offense. Paredes hits for average, provides pop and has a low strikeout rate that the lineup would surely welcome. He’s under club control through 2027, so the cost would be steep.

Van Til: The Mariners’ situation necessitates a bold move, so I’ll go with Blue Jays slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The three-time All-Star has seen his power numbers decline since his 48-homer season in 2021, but he’s still produced an impressive 126 OPS+ over the past three seasons. It would cost a lot to acquire Guerrero, given that he’s still only 25 and is under club control through next season, but he’s the type of big-time bat who would bolster this lineup with both his power and his career .280 batting average. It might be tough to acquire another impact bat in addition to Guerrero, but I’ll go with Angels left fielder Taylor Ward as the second player. He has a 118 OPS+ over the past four seasons and is under club control through 2026.

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5. What’s your prediction for the rest of this Seattle Mariners season?

Stecker: Seattle really has no choice but to push all the chips in to win the AL West for the first time in 23 years, and what the Mariners do at the trade deadline is going to only make them more dangerous into October. I think they’ll win 95 games, win both an AL Wild Card Series and ALDS, but run into an AL East team that knocks them out in the ALCS. Sounds like a lot of good baseball in Seattle’s future.

Hereth: The Mariners do make a splash at the deadline with a trade on nobody’s radar. They get a serious scare from Texas or Houston (or both) down the stretch, but pull away in September for their AL West crown since 2001 at 92 wins. They reach the ALDS and play a must-see five-game series with Cleveland, and homefield advantage helps the 93-win Guardians reach the ALCS.

Van Til: The Mariners make their most aggressive trade deadline move in years and it pays off in a big way down the stretch. With an improved lineup and a healthier bullpen, the M’s win 94 games and capture their first AL West title since 2001. As the No. 3 seed in a loaded AL playoff field, they win their wild-card series and then beat the Guardians in a dramatic five-game ALDS before falling to the Orioles in the ALCS.

More on the M’s from Seattle Sports

• Lefko: Julio’s struggles magnify Mariners’ need to add impact bat
• How much did bumpy road trip hurt first-place Seattle Mariners?
• ‘Mr. Mariner’ Alvin Davis shares his advice for struggling Julio Rodríguez
• A team that could help Mariners at trade deadline in multiple ways
• Drayer: Why Seattle Mariners’ needs may include another starting pitcher

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Seattle, WA

2024 NHL Draft Recap: Every pick the Seattle Kraken made

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2024 NHL Draft Recap: Every pick the Seattle Kraken made


The 2024 NHL Draft continued starting with the second round Saturday, and the Seattle Kraken kicked off the day in a similar fashion to Friday’s first round by tapping into an in-state Western Hockey League squad.

Morosi: Why Dan Bylsma is ‘best possible’ coach for Seattle Kraken

Rounds 2 through 7 took place on the draft’s second and final day. Here’s a look at the seven players Seattle picked on Saturday, plus Friday’s first-round pick.

Round 1

Eighth overall: Berkly Catton, C

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The Kraken kicked off their fourth draft as a franchise by taking a talented offensive prospect in Catton from the WHL’s Spokane Chiefs. The 18-year-old center racked up 54 goals and 62 assists with the Chiefs last season. Catton, a 5 foot 10, 170-pounder, was the WHL Rookie of the Year in 2022-23 with 23 goals and 22 assists.

The Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, native is a left-handed shot and the eighth-ranked North American skater in the draft, according to NHL Central Scouting.

Round 2

40th overall: Julius Miettinen, C

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Seattle’s second pick came from one of Spokane’s cross-state division rivals in the WHL. Miettinen, a 6 foot 3, 203-pounder, netted 31 goals and added 36 assists for the Everett Silvertips last season.

The Helsinki, Finland, native is another left-handed-shooting centerman, but much larger in stature than Catton. Miettinen was a late riser on draft boards, moving from 49th to 18th in NHL Central Scouting’s final international skater rankings.

63rd overall: Nathan Villeneuve, C

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The Kraken continued their early run on centers by taking Villeneuve from the Ontario Hockey League’s Sudbury Wolves with their second second-round pick. Villeneuve, an Ottawa, Ontario, native, amassed 23 goals and 27 assists in 56 games with the Wolves last season.

The 5-foot-11, 192-pounder made it three for three in terms of left-handed shooters taken early by Seattle. Villeneuve, 18, is the 60th-ranked North American skater.

Round 3

73rd overall: Alexis Bernier, D

Bernier, 18, had four goals and 27 assists in 67 games for the Baie-Comeau Drakkar of the Quebec Maritimes Junior Hockey League last season. Bernier, a 6-foot-1, 189-pound right-handed shot, is the 62nd-ranked North American skater.

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88th overall: Kim Saarinen, G

Saarinen, 17, is a big-bodied goaltender who played across multiple levels in Finland this past season. The 6-foot-4, 176-pounder from Finland is the third-ranked international goalie.

Round 4

105th overall: Oliver Josephson, C

Josephson, 17, was the third left-handed WHL centerman taken by the Kraken. He totaled 12 goals and 35 assists for the Red Deer Rebels last season. Josephson, who measures in at 6-foot, 178 pounds, is the 40th-ranked North American skater.

Round 5

141st overall: Clarke Caswell, LW

Caswell, 18, scored 26 goals and dished out 51 assists for the WHL’s Swift Current Broncos last season. The 5 foot 11, 170-pounder is the 77th-ranked North American skater.

Round 7

202nd overall: Jakub Fibigr, D

Fibigr, 17, netted seven goals and had 36 assists in 61 games for the Mississauga Steelheads of the Ontario Hockey League last season. The 6-foot, 171-pounder is a left-handed shot and the 67th-ranked North American skater.

Potential Sonics return may have played role in Kraken coach change

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

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Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions


The Minnesota Twins (45-37) and Seattle Mariners (47-37) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 3-2

The Mariners exacted a little revenge for dropping 3 of 4 games in Minnesota May 6-9, opening this series with a 3-2 win as a moderate favorite (-126) Friday night as the Under (7) easily connected.

The Twins offense was cooled off, as Minnesota entered play with 115 runs scored in the previous 17 outings, or 6.8 runs per game. It had scored 3 or more runs in 15 of those 17 games while cashing the Over at an 8-3 clip in the previous 11 contests.

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Minnesota RHP Pablo Lopez took a perfect game into the 6th inning in his last start against the Athletics, twirling 8 scoreless innings while matching a career high with 14 strikeouts.

The Mariners improved to 18-9 in 1-run games with the 3-2 win Friday. That’s the most wins in the majors in games decided by a single run, with the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays next best with 16 one-run wins.

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Lopez (7-6, 5.11 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 88 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 14 K (102 pitches) in 3-0 victory at Oakland A’s Sunday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-3, 5.09 ERA (46 IP, 26 ER), 1.07 WHIP, .209 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 9 HR, 13 BB, 58 K in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Mariners: 1-0, 1.42 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start, an 11-1 home win May 9
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-1, 2.45 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 3 HR, 12.3 K/9 in 3 starts

Miller (6-6, 3.90 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 92 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 3 K in 6-4 setback at Miami Marlins Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 4-2, 1.82 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.83 WHIP, .159 OBA, 3 HR, 14 BB, 59 K in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 1-0, 9.53 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 1 start, an 8-7 road win July 26, 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 p.m. ET.

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  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+140) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (+100) are a good bet to run it back by the same score as Friday’s series opener.

While Lopez is coming off a huge performance last time out, it was also against the Athletics. He is pitching with a lot of confidence, though, and he’ll give the Twins (-120) a chance.

However, Miller has been money at home. He has stark splits on the road and at T-Mobile Park, posting a 6.28 ERA in 43 IP in 8 road starts and a 1.82 ERA in 49 1/3 IP in 8 home outings.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners +1.5 (-165) are a little too expensive if you would prefer some insurance and just cannot back Seattle straight up for whatever reason.

AVOID.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-120) is the way to go, as Lopez and Miller should produce plenty of donuts.

The Under is now 5-1-1 in the past 7 games at T-Mobile Park for the M’s following Friday’s series opener.

The Over is 6-2 in the past 8 for the Twins, but the Under is 2-1 in the past 3 road starts for Lopez.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Ex Seattle Seahawks RB Explains Super Bowl XL Disadvantage

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Ex Seattle Seahawks RB Explains Super Bowl XL Disadvantage


Despite what one might expect, the Seattle Seahawks’ first Super Bowl appearance in franchise history is often viewed as one to forget.

In 2005, the Seahawks earned the top seed in the NFC with a 13-3 record, then powered their way through the playoffs to punch their ticket to Super Bowl XL at Ford Field in Detroit. There, they met the Pittsburgh Steelers, the sixth seed in the AFC, which on paper should have given them an advantage.

However, that was far from the case. The Seahawks fell to Steelers 21-10 in a game where nothing seemed to go their way. Some questionable calls are still talked about today, but Seattle failing to capitalize on its chances arguably did even more damage.

Even almost 20 years later, players from both teams are still talking about this game. In a recent book titled “Facing the Pittsburgh Steelers: Players Recall the Glory Years of the Black and Gold” by Sean Deveny, former Seattle fullback Mack Strong explained the inherent advantage Pittsburgh had in that matchup. Rather than harping on the officials like many before him, though, Strong instead pointed to the overwhelming ratio of Steelers fans in the crowd.

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“Where it was different, though, was on game day. Detroit is like an hour flight from Pittsburgh. There were probably 60,000 Steelers fans there and about 10,000 Seahawks fans. It definitely felt like a home game for them, an away game for us,” Strong said. “That was the only time— I stepped out onto that field and I was like, ‘This is different.’

“It was supposed to be neutral. But we were just building our fan base at the time, and the Steelers, of course, had 30 or 40 years of winning and history behind them. It was weird walking into a neutral stadium and literally trying to figure out, ‘Wait, where are our fans at?’”

It doesn’t take a detective to figure out why the Steelers had such a strong crowd advantage. Like Strong said, a flight from Pittsburgh to Detroit is just over an hour, while a flight from Seattle to Detroit is over four hours. Add in that the Steelers had history on their side and that Hall of Fame running back Jerome Bettis, a Detroit native, was playing in his final NFL game, and it’s easy to see why black and gold dominated the stands.

Even though this game ended in disappointment, the Seahawks would finally earn their first championship eight years later with a 43-8 dismantling of the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XLVIII.



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