San Francisco, CA
San Francisco 49ers laying a TD at home to the Los Angeles Chargers – Week 10, 2022 odds and pick
Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports activities
The San Francisco 49ers emerge out of the bye with bettering well being and excessive expectations for the second half of the season. The Niners will welcome the Los Angeles Chargers to Levi’s on Sunday night time soccer as sizeable favorites. Right here we focus on the chances and evaluation from a betting perspective.
- When: Sunday November thirteenth, 2022 at 5:20pm PT (NBC)
- The place: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California
- Line: 49ers -7, o/u 45.5
Los Angeles Chargers
Regardless of its depleted receiving corps, the Los Angeles Chargers had been buoyed by a receiving and speeding landing from Austin Ekeler and a couple of area targets within the final 6 minutes of the sport, together with the sport winner, from Cameron Dicker to drag off a 20-17 win on the Atlanta Falcons, transferring their report to 5-3 on the season.
After 9 weeks, Los Angeles ranks twenty first in whole weighted DVOA (defense-adjusted worth over common) at -5.4 %, twenty first in whole weighted offensive DVOA at -3.8 % with a sixteenth ranked offensive cross DVOA at 11.7 % and twenty ninth ranked offensive rush DVOA at -21.2 %. The Chargers protection is rated twentieth in whole weighted defensive DVOA at 3.4 % with a tenth rated defensive cross DVOA at -2.2 % and twenty ninth rated defensive rush DVOA at 5.5 %.
Justin Herbert is eleventh in defense-adjusted yards above alternative (DYAR) at 396 and eleventh in whole QBR at 58.4 with 13 landing passes, 5 interceptions, 2 fumbles misplaced and a 66.4 completion share. Los Angeles’ offensive line is twenty seventh in run blocking with 4.12 adjusted line yards and 1st in cross safety with adjusted sack fee of three.4 %. The Chargers’ defensive position is twenty fourth in opposition to the run with 4.71 adjusted line yards and sixteenth with an adjusted sack fee of seven.3 %.
The Chargers are 5-3 ATS and 4-4 to the over/underneath. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS as an away crew, 1-0 ATS as an underdog, 4-1 to the over/underneath in non-divisional video games. Linebacker Joey Bosa and cornerback J.C Jackson stay on IR, defensive deal with Austin Johnson, kicker Dustin Hopkins and receiver Mike Williams are out, offensive deal with Trey Pipkins III, receiver Keenan Allen, defensive deal with Jerry Tillery and linebacker Chris Rumph II are questionable for Week 10.
San Francisco 49ers
Earlier than the bye week, the 49ers showcased how Christian McCaffrey’s additional integration into the crew and playbook unlocked the potential of Kyle Shanahan’s offense in an unprecedented method, with the brand new working again scoring a passing, receiving and speeding landing en path to a 31-14 domination on the Los Angeles Rams, sweeping the season sequence.
After 9 weeks, San Francisco ranks ninth in weighted whole DVOA at 9.0 %, eleventh in weighted offensive DVOA at 6.7 % with a seventh ranked offensive cross DVOA at 24.3 % and twenty third ranked offensive rush DVOA at -9.3 %. The 49er protection is rated eleventh in whole weighted defensive DVOA at -3.9 % with a thirteenth rated defensive cross DVOA at 2.5 % and 4th rated defensive rush DVOA at -18.4 %.
Jimmy Garoppolo is sixth in defense-adjusted yards above alternative (DYAR) at 529 and twenty third in whole QBR at 47.4 with 11 landing passes, 4 interceptions, 2 fumbles misplaced and a 67.0 completion share. San Francisco’s offensive line is twentieth in run blocking with 4.36 adjusted line yards and nineteenth in cross safety with adjusted sack fee of seven.4 %. The Niners’ defensive position is third in opposition to the run with 3.76 adjusted line yards and eighth with an adjusted sack fee of 8.5 %.
The 49ers are 4-4 ATS and 3-5 to the over/underneath. the 49ers are 2-0 ATS as a house favourite, 2-1 ATS as the house crew, 1-5 to the over/underneath as the favourite, 0-2 to the over/underneath as a house favourite. Linebacker Dre Greenlaw, defensive deal with Arik Armstead, cornerback Jason Verrett, fullback Kyle Juszczyk, receiver Deebo Samuel and receiving Jajuan Jennings are questionable and working again Elijah Mitchell stays on IR to date for Week 10.
Prediction
The 49ers could have a good report as house favorites this season, however Kyle Shanahan has not fared nicely as a favourite, even much less in order a big favourite at Levi’s, and we’re hesitant to identify Justin Herbert and a Chargers crew that’s 4-0 ATS on the highway a complete landing.
The 49ers have been an underneath crew for many of the season and unders, significantly in prime time video games, have been cashing at a historic fee to date this yr, however can we anticipate these tendencies to proceed?
2022 NFL betting replace:
Underdogs: 53-82-1 SU, +11.6 models
Underdogs 77-56-3 (58%) ATS
Unders: 81-55 (60%)
Unders in Primetime: 18-10 (64%)Information per @Bet_Labs
— John Ewing 🦁 (@johnewing) November 8, 2022
In anticipating regression to the imply, the query is just not “if” however “when”, and with extra time for Christian McCaffrey to potentiate Kyle Shanahan’s offense and an arm in Justin Herbert’s that may make up yards and factors rapidly and leaves backdoors open for ATS covers, we foresee extra scoring than anticipated on Sunday night time.
Choose: Over 45.5
2022 Season ATS: 4-5
Ballot
The opinions inside this text are these of the author and, whereas simply as necessary, are usually not essentially these of the positioning as a complete.
The San Francisco 49ers will maintain 4 full practices this week because the crew comes off it is bye and prepares for its Week 10 matchup in opposition to the Los Angeles Chargers.
Head coach Kyle Shanahan, defensive coordinator DeMeco Ryan, offensive line/run recreation coordinator Chris Foerster, and quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo are scheduled to talk with the media. The 49ers will make the press conferences out there at 49ers.com, on the crew’s official cell app, and YouTube web page.
Beneath is the schedule, which is topic to vary, for the
The San Francisco 49ers hope to get working again Elijah Mitchell again for this weekend’s recreation in opposition to the Los Angeles Chargers. Mitchell, who suffered an MCL sprain in Week 1, noticed his follow window opened on Monday.
Two weeks after Mitchell was sidelined, linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair suffered the identical harm. On Monday, the 49ers additionally opened his follow window however had beforehand said that they believed he was a few weeks behind Mitchell’s timeline, which is smart contemplating the timing of the harm.
“I do not assume [he’ll return] proper after the bye,” head coach Kyle Shanahan lately stated of Mitchell. “I believe he is bought a few extra weeks
The San Francisco 49ers anticipate to be more healthy once they exit their bye week. Can they continue to be wholesome down the stretch? That is the nice unknown. However, if they’ll, most anticipate this much-improved roster to be a pressure within the second half of the season.
“Their weak point over time somewhat bit has been simply [being] unfortunate with accidents,” NFL Community analyst Steve Mariucci stated Thursday on KNBR’s Tolbert & Copes present.
Rely Mariucci amongst those that anticipate the 49ers to be powerful to beat going ahead, although. The previous 49ers head coach shared that he sees a lot expertise on the roster, naming gamers like linebacker Fred Warner and others anticipated to return, like large receiver Deebo Samuel and defensive lineman Arik Armstead.
“They’ve simply
The San Francisco 49ers made an enormous splash weeks in the past with their acquisition of working again Christian McCaffrey, however they don’t seem to be performed making strikes.
ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported that the 49ers are buying and selling working again Jeff Wilson Jr. to the Dolphins for a 2023 fifth-round decide.
Commerce: 49ers are buying and selling RB Jeff Wilson to Miami, per supply.— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 1,