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Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 1-20-2024
Two historic NFC teams with recent postseason history will collide again on Saturday night. The San Francisco 49ers (12-5; 9-8-0 ATS) are 5-4 all-time in playoff matchups against the Green Bay Packers (10-8; 10-8-0 ATS). That includes a January 2022 Lambeau Field victory that pushed their head-to-head winning streak to four games during the postseason. All four of those playoff wins over the Packers have been since 2013. This time, San Francisco gets to host in Levi’s Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. EDT. Who will survive the weekend?
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Packers Pummeled Dallas
Green Bay played last weekend, taking on the Dallas Cowboys on the road. They jumped out to a 27-0 lead and extended it to 48-16 during the fourth quarter. The offense cut through the Dallas defense like a knife through butter. In their past three road games, the Packers have put up 114 points (38.0 ppg). In general, the offense has been much sharper since November began and finished the season 12th in scoring (22.5 ppg). The offensive line allowed the third-fewest sacks, the rushing attack finished ninth in yards per carry, and only five teams were better at protecting the football. With 7.2 yards per pass attempt (11th), the Packers ended the year eighth in yards per play. Green Bay quietly has a complete offense that is only getting better each week. If AJ Dillon can return on Saturday, that’ll only help even more.
Defensively, Green Bay is banged up and lost Kingsley Enagbare to a suspected ACL injury last week. With whoever is on the field, the Packers will try to replicate their performance in Dallas, which was highlighted by four sacks and two interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown. This year’s Packers defense allowed 20.6 points per game, the 10th-best mark in the NFL. However, most of their numbers aren’t as sparkling. Green Bay allowed the 28th-most rushing yards and 23rd-most yards per carry. Against the pass, they allowed 7.3 yards per attempt (20th). Overall, opponents picked up 5.4 yards per snap (20th). Green Bay had 18 takeaways (23rd) and 45 sacks (16th), so there weren’t many impact plays either. A lot of Dallas’ scoring came in garbage time, but the Packers did end up allowing 32 points last Sunday. Will they stifle an even tougher 49ers team?
49ers Finished First
San Francisco, as the top seed in the NFC, got to watch the rest of the conference beat each other up last weekend. Now, it’s go-time for a group that finished the season third in scoring at 28.9 points per game. Like the Packers, the 49ers finished with only 18 giveaways, a number that was tied for sixth in the league. Brock Purdy is behind an offensive line that allowed the sixth-fewest sacks. That same offensive front powered the 49ers to the most yards per play, 6.6. Brock Purdy led a passing game that picked up the most yards per attempt, while Christian McCaffrey led all NFL players in rushing yards. As a team, the Niners finished third in rushing yards and fourth in yards per attempt. It’s pretty clear how the 49ers claimed the NFC throne this season.
Especially since the defense also finished third in scoring, holding foes to 17.5 points per game. San Francisco was tied for fifth in takeaways and finished seventh in sacks. They allowed the seventh-fewest yards per play (5.0), led by the fifth-fewest yards per pass attempt (6.4). The 49ers allowed the third-fewest rushing yards this season and 4.1 yards per carry (14th). The Ravens and Bengals were the only teams to score at least 20 points on the 49ers in Levi’s Stadium. Can this group dominate again?
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Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
Rating:
The Packers are playing well, but the 49ers have them beaten in almost every way. When it comes to the offenses, San Francisco has the better weapons and ball movement. San Francisco matches Green Bay’s strong ball security and pass protection.
Defensively, the 49ers are better against the run, better against the pass, and force more turnovers. San Francisco also has better pass rushing. The Packers are good, but facing a better team on the road. Roll with the 49ers to cover the spread as they keep the Packers under 20 points and score at least 30.
Prediction: San Francisco 49ers -9.5
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
Rating:
This game should sneak over the total, especially with how Green Bay has been playing lately. They’re averaging 38.0 points per game in their last three road contests. The Packers put up at least 33 in each of those games. This game won’t be as easy but the Packers are in an offensive groove.
Then, there’s a 49ers team that averaged 28.9 points per game this season. The Packers have a weak rushing defense, so San Francisco should be able to use Christian McCaffrey to run all over them. Don’t be surprised when the 49ers exceed 30 points. Take the over in this one. Santa Clara is supposed to be sunny on Saturday.
Prediction: Over 50.5