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Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

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Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions


The Toronto Blue Jays (12-9) and San Diego Padres (11-12) wrap up a 3-game series at Petco Park Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-0

The Blue Jays, who were -118 favorites, won 5-2 in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. LF Daulton Varsho hit a 3-run HR for the Blue Jays, who have won 6 of their last 7 games.

The Padres have lost 3 straight games and scored a total of just 3 runs over that span. San Diego has not been swept in a series this season.

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Blue Jays at Padres projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Bassitt (2-2, 4.03 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 22 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-1 home victory vs. New York Yankees Monday
  • Career vs. Padres: 1-2, 4.71 ERA (21 IP, 11 ER) in 4 starts

Musgrove (2-2, 6.29 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.77 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 24 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 7-3 victory at Milwaukee Brewers Monday
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-0, 1.47 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 3 ER) in 2 starts and 2 relief appearances

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Blue Jays at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Padres -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-190) | Padres -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Blue Jays at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 3, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

The PADRES (-130) have not been swept in a series this season, and Bassitt on the mound for Toronto should help San Diego’s offense get back on track Sunday.

Bassitt has struggled against San Diego in past years and started this season by allowing 4 or more runs in back-to-back outings. Musgrove, on the other hand, has been solid vs. the Blue Jays, and it’s unlikely that he picks up his 1st career loss against them Sunday.

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BET PADRES (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

With how the Padres have been struggling offensively, I wouldn’t recommend playing them on the run line, especially since they’re at home and may not play the bottom of the 9th.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Under has hit in the 1st 2 games of this series, and with how quiet the Padres’ bats have been, it’ll likely be the safer play again Sunday. While both pitchers have allowed 4 or more runs in multiple starts this season, I don’t trust either offense to do most of the heavy lifting and help the Over hit in the final game of this series.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

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San Diego, CA

Letters: A selective immigration policy ultimately fails us all

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Letters: A selective immigration policy ultimately fails us all


How interesting that Donald Trump is deporting Brown people who pay taxes and contribute to our economy (though they will never reap any benefits from those taxes) and instead is using our tax money to import and set up South Africans (none of whom are anything but White) who have never contributed to our economy. Could skin color perhaps have something to do with this policy?

— Nita Herpolsheimer, San Diego



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Did California’s assault weapons ban save lives in San Diego mosque attack?

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Did California’s assault weapons ban save lives in San Diego mosque attack?


California’s assault weapons ban may have helped limit the ability of two attackers to take lives at the Islamic Center of San Diego last week, according to a prominent gun control organization.

But the executive director of a San Diego gun rights group said the fact the attack even happened is proof the ban failed.

What the two don’t dispute is that the video from the attackers’ livestream shows one of them using a rifle that appears to comply with California’s strict gun laws. While authorities have not confirmed what models of firearms were used in the attack, representatives of the two organizations identified it as a semi-automatic Ruger Mini-14 rifle.

The alleged suspect’s Ruger Mini-14 rifle is seen in this screenshot from a livestream obtained by KPBS of the attack on the Islamic Center of San Diego on May 18, 2026.

KPBS is not publishing the video, which authorities have not released, the names of the two teenage suspects or their writings, where they wrote they were motivated to conduct the attack by a number of sex and race-related grievances. They wore emblems associated with white supremacists and neo-Nazis and lashed out in their writings against women, Jewish people, Muslims and LGBTQ+ people.

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They wrote they were inspired by the 2019 attack on two mosques in Christchurch, New Zealand, that killed 51 Muslims. In their writings, the suspects said they wanted to replicate the Christchurch attack in San Diego.

The attack in Christchurch prompted New Zealand to change its gun laws.

Semiautomatic rifles sold in California have to meet certain criteria that other states don’t require.

The barrels must be at least 30 inches long and may not have collapsible or folding stocks. They cannot have a pistol grip behind the trigger, nor one attached at the forward part of the rifle.

And they cannot have a magazine that holds more than 10 rounds.

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“From everything I saw from the video, (the rifle) looked like it met those criteria and looked like a very stock firearm that you could purchase at many dealers here in California,” said Steve Lindley, a policy advisor for the Brady Campaign.

Lindley spent almost 30 years in law enforcement, according to his biography. He worked for the National City Police Department and spent eight years leading the Bureau of Firearms at the California Department of Justice.

Lindley said features such as pistol grips make rifles more lethal.

“Over time it makes it easier for the shooter to have the firearm to their shoulder and in their hands,” he said. “Less fatigue, and it lines up a little bit better with your eyesight. The capacity of the magazines and other features on the firearm make it more accurate and easier to use in close quarters.”

The video shows the body cam operator firing the Mini-14 until it appears to jam. He struggles to clear the chamber and appears to remove and reinsert the magazine. He works the bolt, apparently unable to chamber a new round.

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As the video continues, he continues to struggle with the bolt of the rifle before giving up, drawing a handgun and stepping outside.

The attackers never made it beyond the lobby, where about 100 schoolchildren and staff were inside the center. Authorities say they were delayed by the three men killed in the attack: Mansour Kaziha, 78, Nadir Awad, 57, and armed security guard Amin Abdullah.

From left to right, Mansour Kaziha, Amin Abdullah and Nadir Awad.

The Islamic Center of San Diego

Undated photos of (left to right) Mansour Kaziha, Amin Abdullah and Nadir Awad.

“Looking at the reality of this, a good guy with a gun stopped a bad guy with a gun from killing a lot of kids. Full stop,” said Michael Schwartz, the executive director of the San Diego County Gun Owners PAC.

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“The assault weapons ban that California has implemented clearly failed — it didn’t stop these two people,” he said.

Schwartz described the features banned by California as “cosmetic” and that the semi-automatic rifles function the same regardless of their stock, grips or magazine size.

“The idea that … the (high-capacity) magazine ban stopped them from getting a high-capacity magazine … there just isn’t any evidence or proof,” he said.

While high-capacity magazines can’t be bought or sold in California, Schwartz said anyone can travel to the next state over and buy as many as they want.

Although the Mini-14 used in the attack is capable of accepting 30 or 40-round magazines, said Lindley, the shooters appeared to only have a California-compliant 10-round magazine.

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“If you have ten round magazines, you have ten rounds to shoot before you need to change magazines,” he said. “If you have a 30- or 40-round magazine, you can shoot 30 or 40 rounds before you need to reload.”

That’s important, Lindley said, because when shooters stop to reload, it gives victims time to either escape or attempt to subdue the attacker.

Schwartz said that didn’t affect the Islamic center attack.

“If he had a bigger magazine or he had a pistol grip or whatever, it wouldn’t have changed the outcome of this at all,” he said.

Lindley played a part in crafting more than 100 gun bills, according to the Brady Campaign. He said with so many guns in the United States, authorities can’t stop shootings — all they can do is try to limit the damage.

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“We can prevent a lot of victimology by lowering the capacity of the magazines,” he said.



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Alleged San Diego Gunman Had Violent Obsessions

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Alleged San Diego Gunman Had Violent Obsessions



Police were so unsettled by one of the teens later accused in the deadly shooting at the Islamic Center of San Diego that they took his guns away more than a year before the attack. Court records show Chula Vista police secured a gun violence restraining order against then-high school student Caleb Vazquez in January 2025 after classmates and staff reported he idolized mass shooters, talked about a “day of retribution,” and came to school dressed as mass murderers and the TV serial killer Dexter, per NBC News and KGTV. The school had shared social media posts in which Vazquez praised killers, including those behind a 2011 attack in Norway and a 2019 shooting at a Walmart in El Paso, Texas, NBC reports.


Vazquez allegedly admitted an infatuation with mass killings and an idolization of Adolf Hitler and was put on a 72-hour psychiatric hold. His father—initially uncooperative, according to a police affidavit—removed 26 weapons from the home and arranged for therapy before the restraining order was dismissed that March. Just over a year later, police say Vazquez, 18, and a 17-year-old he’d met online killed three people at the mosque—security guard Amin Abdullah, caretaker Mansour Kaziha, and neighbor Nadir Awad—before wounding a landscaper and dying by suicide. FBI officials say writings left behind were steeped in extremist hatred. In the aftermath, community members are questioning how so many warnings failed to prevent the attack and calling for stronger, earlier interventions on mental health and homicidal ideation.

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