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San Diego State vs. New Mexico odds: 2024 college basketball picks, February 16 best bets by proven model

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San Diego State vs. New Mexico odds: 2024 college basketball picks, February 16 best bets by proven model


The San Diego State Aztecs will face off against the New Mexico Lobos in a Mountain West matchup on Friday. San Diego State is 19-6 overall and 12-0 at home, while New Mexico is 20-5 overall and 5-3 on the road. New Mexico defeated San Diego State, 88-70, at home on Jan. 13 in their first meeting of the season.

Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET at San Diego State’s Viejas Arena. The Aztecs 6.5-point favorite in the latest New Mexico vs. San Diego State odds, according to the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 152 points. Before entering any San Diego State vs. New Mexico picks, you’ll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 15 of the 2023-24 season on a 131-88 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $2,500 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 24-12 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on New Mexico vs. San Diego State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and betting lines for New Mexico vs. San Diego State:

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  • .San Diego State vs. New Mexico spread: San Diego State -6
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico over/under: 152 points
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico money line: San Diego State -282, New Mexico +226
  • NM: New Mexico is 7-2 ATS over its last nine games
  • SDS: San Diego State is 7-3 ATS as a home favorite this season
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico picks: See picks here

What you need to know about New Mexico

New Mexico is coming off a thrilling 83-82 victory over Nevada on Tuesday. Despite having a 10-point lead at halftime, New Mexico trailed by two points with 30 seconds left in the second half. Jamal Mashburn Jr. then made the winning 3-pointer from the corner with 20 seconds left for the game’s final points. 

Mashburn is third on the team in scoring (15.3 points per game) behind senior guard Jaelen House and sophomore guard Donovan Dent, who both average 15.6 ppg. New Mexico is fourth in the Mountain West Conference in field goal percentage (47.3%), including fourth in 3-point percentage (35.2%). The Lobos are the best total rebounding team in the conference, also leading in offensive rebounds (12.2 per game) as those second-chance opportunities could make a huge difference on Friday. See which team to pick here.

What you need to know about San Diego State

San Diego State is coming off a 71-55 win over Colorado State on Tuesday. The Aztecs have yet to lose a contest at home this season, going 12-0, including 6-0 in conference matchups with an average margin of victory of 16 points. San Diego State has the Mountain West Conference’s leading scorer in Jaedon LeDee, a 6-foot-9 senior forward averaging 20.3 ppg. He’s also third in rebounds (8.5 per game). LeDee scored 27 points against Colorado State on Tuesday with Lamont Butler adding 11 points and 10 rebounds. 

San Diego State is tied for the best scoring defense in the conference, allowing 66.8 ppg this season. The Aztecs have held their opponents 70 points or fewer in seven of their last eight games and are allowing 64 ppg over their last four contests. San Diego State is 6-3 over their last nine matchups against New Mexico and hasn’t lost back-to-back matchups to the Lobos since 2017 and 2018.  See which team to pick here.  

How to make San Diego State vs. New Mexico picks

The model has simulated New Mexico vs. San Diego State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins San Diego State vs. New Mexico, and which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model is on a 24-12 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.

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Machado's walk-off lifts Padres to 10-inning comeback victory over Cards

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Machado's walk-off lifts Padres to 10-inning comeback victory over Cards


SAN DIEGO — The Padres earned a split against the Cardinals in dramatic fashion on Sunday afternoon. Nick Castellanos hit a game-tying two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth, and Manny Machado’s sacrifice fly won it in the 10th.
Here’s some instant reaction from the Padres’ wild 3-2 victory



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Padres come back, walk off with win over Cardinals to split series

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Padres come back, walk off with win over Cardinals to split series


It seemed like the same tired story.

Instead, it was the same thriller.

The Padres pushed their offensive lethargy as long as possible without paying for it Sunday, tying the game with two outs in the ninth inning on Nick Castellanos’ two-run homer and then celebrating after Manny Machado’s sacrifice fly in the 10th inning gave them a 3-2 victory over the Cardinals.

“Getting it done,” Machado said.

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That’s it. That is all they are doing.

And at what is essentially the quarter mark of the season, the Padres are 24-16 and tied with the Dodgers atop the National League West.

The shocking component of their having the major leagues’ fifth-best record is that the Padres rank in the bottom three among MLB’s 30 teams in batting average and OPS.

They split with the Cardinals despite having 14 hits, their fewest in a four-game series in franchise history. Their 61 hits over their past 10 games are the fewest in a stretch that long since 2019, and they are 5-5 in those games.

“It sucks; we need to hit; Machado said. “I mean, you know, look, it’s obvious. We’re not hitting. It’s obvious, but we’re getting things done, man.”

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Nick Castellanos #21 of the San Diego Padres watches his two-run home run in the ninth inning against the St. Louis Cardinals at Petco Park on May 10, 2026 in San Diego, CA. (K.C. Alfred / The San Diego Union-Tribune)

Sunday was the Padres’ 12th victory this season in which the decisive run was scored in the seventh inning or later. That is exactly half their victories.

It was their fourth walk-off victory, their second in extra innings. It was the seventh time that a run scored in their final offensive half-inning decided a victory.

So it is no small thing to proffer that Sunday was possibly their most dramatic triumph. Because it was possibly their most unlikely one.

Not only were they a strike away from defeat, but they began the ninth inning having gotten two hits all day.

The Cardinals took a 2-0 lead in the fourth inning on their first two hits off Walker Buehler — a single by Alec Burleson and a home run by Jordan Walker with two outs. Buehler pitched six innings, allowing just one more hit before Ron Marinaccio worked two scoreless innings.

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But the Padres were unable to make anything of their seven at-bats with runners in scoring position over the first eight innings. They had walked five times but had just Jackson Merrill’s third-inning single and Xander Bogaerts’ fourth-inning double to that point.

“Really good teams find ways to win games when they’re not doing their best,” Gavin Sheets said. “… We’re not clicking on all cylinders by any means. And I don’t think any of us would say that he’s on a roll right now, but we’re getting hits in a timely fashion and it’s someone different every night.”

Almost.

The Padres have game-winning RBIs from 10 different players. They have go-ahead RBIs from 13 of the 14 position players who have been on their roster this season. Sunday was Castellanos’s third game-tying RBI.

His home run, on the ninth pitch of his at-bat against Cardinals closer Riley O’Brien, was something of a clinic by a veteran hitter who is in his first season as a role player.

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Castellenos, who entered the game as a pinch-hitter in the seventh inning and remained in right field, came to the plate with Bogaerts at first base with two outs.

Bogaerts’ single leading off the inning had been followed by two strikeouts, and Castellanos fell behind 0-2 before working the count full and then sending a 99 mph sinker on the inner edge of the plate almost to the ribbon scoreboard fronting the second level of seats beyond left field.

“The first pitch started, and I was probably looking to do what I did,” he said. “And then I ended up getting 0-2 and chasing. After that, just took a deep breath and tried to shorten up as much as possible and just compete. Just find a way on base. And then found myself in a full account and was able to get the job done.”

It was the first home run allowed by O’Brien this season.

Nick Castellanos #21 of the San Diego Padres is dunked by Gavin Sheets #30 after a 3-2 win against the St. Louis Cardinals at Petco Park on May 10, 2026 in San Diego, CA. (K.C. Alfred / The San Diego Union-Tribune)
Nick Castellanos #21 of the San Diego Padres is dunked by Gavin Sheets #30 after a 3-2 win against the St. Louis Cardinals at Petco Park on May 10, 2026 in San Diego, CA. (K.C. Alfred / The San Diego Union-Tribune)

With closer Mason Miller not available after throwing 29 pitches over 1⅓ innings on Saturday, Jeremiah Estrada got the first two outs of the 10th. With runners on first and second, Adrian Morejón entered the game and got an inning-ending pop out on his first pitch.

Gordon Graceffo was on the mound for the Cardinals, and Ramón Laureano was the Padres’ automatic runner in the 10th. The Cardinals intentionally walked Merrill at the start before Fernando Tatis Jr. whittled a 1-2 count into a walk to load the bases.

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The game was over one pitch later, when Machado sent a fastball to right-center field and Laureano slid across the plate well in front of right fielder Jordan Walker’s throw.

It was a somewhat subdued but still enthusiastic celebration along the first-base line, as teammates bounced around Machado.

“It’s hard to win a game like that,” Padres manager Craig Stammen said. “Their pitchers pitched great, and they’re bringing in one of the best closers in the game. And we just stuck with it. It just speaks to how those guys believe in themselves and how they believe in what we’ve got going on as a team.”



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It’s ‘trust, but verify’ for new AI spine surgery system

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It’s ‘trust, but verify’ for new AI spine surgery system


On a recent morning, Dr. Joseph Osorio arrived in the operating room ready to sink six surgical screws into his patient’s spine, and he did not seem remotely nervous that their placement and size had been recommended by artificial intelligence software.

Osorio was the first neurosurgeon on the West Coast to begin using Medtronic’s new “Stealth AXiS” surgical robotic system, conducting a spinal fusion procedure to treat degenerative scoliosis at Jacobs Medical Center in La Jolla by anchoring two small custom-shaped metal rods across three vertebrae in his patient’s lower spine.

The process started with a CT scan, identifying the segment of spine that needed reinforcement. A program analyzed the resulting three-dimensional image, using an AI model trained on information from previous successful surgeries, not just where screws should go, but also the best path for their insertion.

An X-ray is taken of a patient’s spine before a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. (Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)

Board-certified with thousands of such surgeries in his past, having completed a fellowship at Columbia University after a surgical residency at UC San Francisco, Osorio is well-qualified to make these calls with zero help from technology. So, why bother using an algorithm to plan these crucial, but routine details?

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The utility, he said, is similar to what many are now experiencing when they use AI writing tools. The software can quickly get a person to the neighborhood of what they intend to say.

“You might say, ‘write me a paragraph on this,’ and it’s going to cut down your time, but you might still need to change some words, add a comma, tweak a sentence … that’s essentially what the AI is doing here,” Osorio said.

In this particular case, the AI system’s recommendations for screw length and diameter seemed on point, allowing the army of surgical technicians assisting with the procedure to pull the proper supplies ahead of time. The suggested locations, though, did require minor adjustment.

“It was slight, very slight, I’d say probably, like one or two millimeter adjustments,” Osorio said.

And the AI auto planning feature, he added, is even more useful in situations where a patient’s health insurance company will not pay for a pre-surgical CT scan, meaning that the guiding image must be taken after the patient is already sedated in an operating room on the day of their surgery.

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An X-ray is taken of a patient's spine before a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. (Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)Dr. Joseph Osorio, a neurosurgeon, uses the Medtronic Stealth Axis Autopilot during a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. The machine uses artificial intelligence to help navigate a patient's spine.(Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)
An X-ray is taken of a patient’s spine before a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. (Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)

Once a digital surgical plan is created and approved by a qualified surgeon, a surgical robot can use a system of cameras and electromagnetic sensors, registered against each patient’s anatomy with an initial X-ray, to move its arm to each screw location, placing a drilling guide at the exact angle needed to put each anchor in the correct spot. Here, too, AI is at work comparing previously recorded X-rays with real-time sensor data to compensate for any patient movements that may occur.

It is an evolution of Medtronic’s previous “Mazor” robotic spike system, which had already achieved levels of anatomy navigation using sensors and cameras that have reduced the need for X-ray images during surgery. And other medical device companies have launched similar systems, building in AI functions as the entire industry begins to see such augmentation as table stakes to play in a market that has always been as competitive as a high-stakes table in a Las Vegas casino.

Patients may wonder whether this push toward AI guidance is a good thing. After all, this is a technology that has made headlines for its ability to “hallucinate” convincing, but incorrect details.

ECRI, an independent non-profit organization that works to improve patient safety and cost effectiveness in health care, has been watching these systems develop.

In an email, Scott Lucas, ECRI’s vice president of devices, therapeutics and technology, said that the organization does not comment on any individual case or procedure, but has found that AI-enabled systems do have their merits.

“We can say that AI seems to be particularly helpful when it is used to support imaging, planning, navigation and precision in technically demanding procedures such as spine surgery,” Lucas said. “These tools may help surgeons in multiple ways, including tailoring procedures to a patient’s anatomy and improving consistency in implant placement and alignment.”

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An AI-enabled display depicts the position of surgical screws being inserted into a patient's vertebra during a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. (Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)
An AI-enabled display depicts the position of surgical screws being inserted into a patient’s vertebra during a spinal fusion surgery at Jacobs Medical Center at UC San Diego Health in La Jolla on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. (Kristian Carreon / The San Diego Union-Tribune)

That said, the executive makes it clear that there is no argument for blind loyalty. In these early days, he argues, AI assistance should be less involved with surgeries, and there must be a clear path that allows surgeons to verify the work that their algorithmic assistants perform.

“Used well, AI may strengthen surgical safety; used without appropriate governance, human oversight, training and monitoring, it could introduce new risks, including overreliance, workflow disruption, planning errors or automation bias,” Lucas said.

Such bias, he added, occurs when a surgeon “fails to recognize when the technology is wrong.”

Osorio said that he believes the checks and balances built into the new system he is now using weekly do give him solid checkpoints to make sure that the machine is not hallucinating. While screw placement calculations will automatically calculate for straightforward placements, those with particularly complicated circumstances, such as anatomy that significantly deviates from the norm, will not proceed.

“If things aren’t lining up perfectly in the image, or they’re getting some feedback, it will just refuse to place a screw in that corridor,” Osorio said. “So, it’s only making recommendations in locations that meet the highest standards, and it still requires the surgeon to validate every level.”

AI is now also involved in the calculations used to move the robotic arm to the correct locations for screw insertions and also to make real-time corrections for any patient movement, Medtronic confirmed by email.

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Here too, Osorio said, there are ways to verify that the robot’s calculations are pointing at the correct vertebrae, even though this type of minimally invasive surgery does not expose the target bone before screw insertion.

Surgeons use a bony projection at the back of each vertebra called the spinous process to check the robot’s accuracy, laying a special navigation ring over the landmark to verify that what is showing on the computer’s calculated location screen matches the robot’s arm position.

“A very common statement is ‘trust, but verify’,” Osorio said.

While robotic spine surgery is the latest to begin the process of AI integration, other systems have already made similar moves in knee and hip replacements, urologic procedures, and in some aspects of general surgery.

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