The Boise State Broncos (1-2) and the San Diego State Aztecs (2-2) meet Friday night at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego in the Mountain West Conference opener for both teams. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Boise State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
We’ve grown accustomed over the years to seeing Boise State not only roll through the MWC, but challenge for a New Year’s Day bowl game as a Group of 5 leader. It isn’t going to happen this season.
The Broncos have dropped both games against FBS opponents, including a 56-19 blasting from Washington. Boise State’s only win is a 42-18 game against North Dakota of the FCS.
San Diego State already has 4 games under its belt. It opened with a 20-13 win over Ohio, before sneaking by Idaho State of the FCS by a 36-28 score. However, it was outscored 61-19 in a pair of losses to UCLA and Oregon State. The Under is 3-1 in 4 games to date, including all 3 games vs. FBS opponents.
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Boise State at San Diego State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:24 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Boise State -260 (bet $260 to win $100) | San Diego State +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Against the spread (ATS): Boise State -7 (-105) | San Diego State +7 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Boise State at San Diego State picks and predictions
Prediction
Boise State 22, San Diego State 19
Moneyline
Boise State (-260) will cost you more than 2 1/2 times your potential return, which is rather risky since the Broncos have won just once in 3 games to date. However, San Diego State (+210) continues to struggle to put up points, averaging 13.0 PPG in 3 games against FBS teams.
PASS.
Against the spread
SAN DIEGO STATE +7 (-115) is a strong play catching a touchdown at home, and it would be even more attractive if this number gets up to 7 and a hook by kickoff.
The Aztecs are 1-1 ATS in 2 games as an underdog this season. More importantly, San Diego State is 6-2 ATS in the past 8 meetings with Boise State -7 (-105) since 2011, including 4 wins outright in the past 7.
Over/Under
UNDER 45.5 (-110) is the lean in this Mountain West opener for both sides.
In this series, the Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 meetings. The Over and Under has split in 2 games for Boise State against FBS foes, while the Under has connected in all 3 games against FBS opponents for San Diego State.
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