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New Mexico vs Minnesota Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today — Rate Bowl

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New Mexico vs Minnesota Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today — Rate Bowl


Yonke’s prediction: Eck gets the better of Fleck in the Rate Bowl.

Dec 26, 2025 • 13:41 ET

• 4 min read

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Photo By – Imagn Images. New Mexico Lobos Minnesota Golden Gophers NCAAF

Bowl season ramps up in a big way Friday with a three-game slate, highlighted by a compelling Power Conference vs. Group of 5 clash in the Rate Bowl between the New Mexico Lobos and Minnesota Golden Gophers.

Jason Eck has emerged as a popular name on the coaching carousel for good reason, and he’ll look to notch his 10th win in his first season with the Lobos against a very beatable Big Ten opponent.

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See why my New Mexico vs. Minnesota predictions and college football picks for the Rate Bowl on Friday, December 26 are backing the Lobos.

New Mexico vs Minnesota predictions for the Rate Bowl

Who will win the Rate Bowl?

New Mexico will pull off the upset.

The Lobos have the better metrics overall and seem to have made a home run hire with Jason Eck. Finding a 10th win would be a massive victory for this program, and the momentum is heading in the right direction for a team that won six games and probably should’ve featured in the Mountain West championship game if we lived in a just society.

New Mexico vs Minnesota best bet: New Mexico +2.5 (-110)

Much has been made about the fact that the Minnesota Golden Gophers are 6-0 in bowl games under PJ Fleck. That’s all well and good — and it is of importance whether or not a coach has a reason to motivate his team in the wild era of current bowl games — but it’s not the only handicapping factor.

What stands out most to me is that Minnesota wasn’t a very good football team in 2025.

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They had a young quarterback, injured running backs, uninspiring wide receivers, a terrible offensive line, and a bad defense that allowed far too many crippling big plays. Even though they finished 7-5, the Gophers ranked outside the Top 90 in EPA per play on both sides of the ball and needed great fortune to go bowling. 

The Gophers were also dreadful away from Minneapolis, losing all five games by an average margin of 24.4 points. They weren’t even competitive. 

The New Mexico Lobos finished the season with six consecutive wins, building significant momentum in Year 1 of the Jason Eck era. He’s truly revitalized this program, and they’d love nothing better than to put an exclamation point on the season by toppling a very beatable Power Conference opponent.

Now that is motivation.

The Lobos have better metrics on both sides of the ball and are stout in the trenches (12th in stuff rate offensively, 19th defensively) — a necessary component when stepping up in competition. Give me the underdog.

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New Mexico vs Minnesota same-game parlay

Minnesota’s defense has been bad enough that New Mexico should have very realistic expectations of finding the end zone several times.

If the Lobos fail in that mission, it’d be a massive disappointment against a Gophers defense that ranks 116th in success rate and 106th in PFF’s overall defensive grade. 

On the other side of things, New Mexico is solid defensively, but not elite. The expectation is for Minnesota to feature star running back Darius Taylor in this matchup, and start Drake Lindsey will hope to build confidence heading into next season.

The Gophers cashed the Over in every game away from home this season, so here’s betting on another. 

New Mexico vs Minnesota SGP

  • New Mexico +1.5
  • Over 43.5 

New Mexico vs Minnesota game predictions

New Mexico vs Minnesota spread prediction

The Lobos will cover this spread, making it five times in their last six games that they’ve done so. Eck’s squad was an underdog in six games this season and covered the spread in four of those contests. Count them out at your own peril.

New Mexico vs Minnesota Over/Under prediction

This game will sneak over the total due to Minnesota’s overrated defense that frankly hasn’t done much of anything well this season. The Gophers have allowed at least 38 points in four of their five games away from Minneapolis, so you can’t trust them in the bowl game.

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New Mexico vs Minnesota odds

  • Spread: New Mexico +1.5 (-110) | Minnesota -1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: New Mexico +110 | Minnesota -130
  • Over/Under: Over 43.5 (-110) | Under 43.5 (-110)

New Mexico vs Minnesota trend to know

Minnesota is 0-5 ATS away from home. Find more college football betting trends for New Mexico vs Minnesota.

How to watch New Mexico vs Minnesota

Location Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Date Friday, December 26, 2025
Kickoff 4:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

New Mexico vs Minnesota latest injuries

New Mexico vs Minnesota weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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Jeffrey Epstein’s New Mexico ranch is finally being scrutinized like his island

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Jeffrey Epstein’s New Mexico ranch is finally being scrutinized like his island


Though the alleged sex trafficking on Jeffrey Epstein’s Caribbean island, Little Saint James, has dominated the national discourse recently, another Epstein property has largely stayed out of the news — but perhaps not for long. A ranch outside Santa Fe, New Mexico, that belonged to the disgraced financier has been the subject of on-and-off investigations, and many are now reexamining what role the ranch may have played in Epstein’s crimes.

What is the ranch in question?



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What to know: Election Day 2026 in Rio Rancho

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What to know: Election Day 2026 in Rio Rancho


Polls are now open in Rio Rancho where voters are set to elect a new mayor and decide several key measures Tuesday.

RIO RANCHO, N.M. — Rio Rancho voters are set to elect a new mayor and decide several key measures Tuesday in one of New Mexico’s fastest growing cities.

Voters will make their way to one of the 14 voting centers open Tuesday to decide which person will become mayor, replacing Gregg Hull. These six candidates are running:

Like Albuquerque, Rio Rancho candidates need to earn 50% of the votes to win. Otherwise, the top two candidates will go to a runoff election.

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Regardless of who wins, this will be the first time Rio Rancho voters will elect a new mayor in over a decade. Their priorities include addressing crime and how fast the city is growing, as well as improving infrastructure and government transparency, especially as the site of a new Project Ranger missile project.

The only other race with multiple candidates is the District 5 city council seat. Incumbent Karissa Culbreath faces a challenge from Calvin Ducane Ward.

Voters will also decide the fate of three general obligation bonds:

  • $12 million to road projects
  • $4.3 million to public safety facility projects
  • $1.2 million to public quality of life projects
    • e.g., renovating the Esther Bone Memorial Library

The polls will stay open until 7 p.m.



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New Mexico Livestock Board accused of abuse of power in rancher, inspector feud

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New Mexico Livestock Board accused of abuse of power in rancher, inspector feud


LAS VEGAS, N.M. — The approaching desert dusk did nothing to settle Travis Regensberg’s nerves as he and a small herd of stray cattle awaited the appearance of a state livestock inspector with whom he had a 30-year feud.

This was Nov. 3, 2023, and, as Regensberg tells it, the New Mexico Livestock Board had maintained an agreement for almost a decade: Livestock Inspector Matthew Romero would not service his ranch due to a long history of bad blood between the two men. False allegations of “cattle rustling” had surfaced in the past, Regensberg said. 

A dramatic standoff that evening, caught on lapel camera video, shows Regensberg at the entrance gate of his ranch. Defiant, Regensberg says anyone but Romero can pick up the stray cattle he had asked state livestock officials to pick up earlier in the day. Romero, who is backed up by two New Mexico State Police officers, directs Regensberg to open the gate or he will be arrested.

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Travis Regensberg, rancher and contractor, practices his throw on a roping dummy in his barn in Las Vegas, N.M., on Feb. 17, 2025.



Unlawful impound?







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A small herd of Travis Regensberg’s cattle eat feed on his property in Las Vegas, N.M.

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The history

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Travis Regensberg takes a bag of feed out to his cattle followed by his dog Rooster in Las Vegas, N.M., on Feb. 17, 2025.



‘A matter of principle’







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Travis Regensberg gathers his rope while practicing his throw on a roping dummy in his barn in Las Vegas, N.M., on Feb. 17, 2025.


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