New Mexico
New Mexico State vs. Liberty Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 12-1-2023
The New Mexico State Aggies (10-3, 7-1 C-USA) will be trying to hand the Liberty Flames (12-0, 8-0 C-USA) their first loss of the season when they meet in the Conference USA Championship on Friday night. The game will be played at Williams Stadium and it is scheduled to begin at 7 PM. ET.
The Aggies are coming off a 20-17 win over Jacksonville State as 2.5-point underdogs. The Flames are coming off a 42-28 win over UTEP as 18-point favorites.
Liberty is 4-2 in six games against New Mexico State.
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Aggies Going For Ninth Consecutive Win
The Aggies are playing well at the moment and come into this game on an eight-game winning streak. They will try to keep the momentum going with a win over the Flames, which will give them their ninth win in a row and first Conference USA title.
New Mexico State is averaging 28.2 points per game. They are throwing for 217.4 yards and rushing for 205.8 yards per game.
Diego Pavia completed 68 percent of his passes for 269 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions in the win over the Gamecocks. He also led the team with 19 carries for 68 yards, while Trent Hudson had five catches for 70 yards and one touchdown.
New Mexico State has played well defensively, giving up 19.7 points per game. They gave up 17 points in their last game and will have to do a better job if they want to win this game.
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Flames Going For 13th Consecutive Win
The Flames are off to the best start in school history after winning their first 12 games. They will try to keep the momentum going with a win over the Aggies, which will give them their 13th win in a row and first conference title.
Liberty is averaging 40.1 points per game. They are throwing for 203.1 yards and rushing for 295.4 yards per game.
Kaidon Salter completed 36 percent of his passes for 22 yards and one touchdown in the win over the
Miners. Quinton Cooley led the team with 13 carries for 83 yards and three touchdowns, while CJ Daniels had two catches for 12 yards and one touchdown.
Liberty has played well defensively, giving up 21.7 points per game. They gave up 28 points in their last game and will have to do a better job if they want to get the win.
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Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
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The Flames have won 12 straight games. They are one of the best offensive teams in the country, scoring more than 40 points per game. They have the best running attack in the country and don’t throw the ball as much. The Aggies have struggled against the run on the road, giving up more than 140 yards per game, and will have a hard time slowing down the Flames in this game. The Aggies have won eight straight games. They are not as good offensively, averaging less than 30 points per game. They also run the ball very well and don’t have to throw it a lot. But, the Flames have one of the best run defenses in the country and held their last three opponents under 90 yards per game. They also have a good pass defense and they force a lot of turnovers, so expect them to keep New Mexico State’s offense in check. Go with Liberty to cover the spread.
Prediction: Liberty Flames -11
Full-Game Total Pick
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The Aggies are averaging 28.2 points per game and 26.4 points per game on the road. They averaged 31.3 points per game in their last three games against the Flames. With Liberty giving up 22.4 points per game at home, the Aggies will be held under their average in this game. The Flames are averaging 40.1 points per game and 39 points per game at home. They averaged 32 points per game in their last three games against the Aggies. With New Mexico State giving up 20 points per game on the road, the Flames won’t score enough points to push the score over the total. The Aggies and Flames played under the total in three of their last five meetings.
Prediction: Under 56.5