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New Mexico 2024: Harris 52%, Trump 42% – Emerson Polling

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New Mexico 2024: Harris 52%, Trump 42% – Emerson Polling


Heinrich 49%, Domenici 37% 

A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in New Mexico finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by 10 points, 52% to 42%, with 6% of voters undecided. Harris’ lead decreases to eight points when the candidate undecided voters lean toward is included. With third-party candidates on the ballot, Harris leads by 11, 51% to 40%, while 3% support Robert Kennedy Jr.

“Harris’ lead is similar to Joe Biden’s 10.8 point win over Trump in 2020,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted. “Independent voters in New Mexico break for Harris, 48% to 37%. Men break for Harris by a narrow two-point margin, 48% to 46%, while women break for Harris by 17 points, 55% to 38%.” 

The economy is the top issue for 29% of New Mexico voters, followed by crime (18%), immigration (13%), education (11%), healthcare (10%), housing affordability (6%), and threats to democracy (6%). 

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“Voters who find the economy to be the top issue break for Trump, 54% to 38%, crime, 47% to 45%, and immigration 89% to 9%. Voters who find education, healthcare, housing affordability, threats to democracy, and abortion all break for Harris significantly, an average of 82% to 15%.”

When asked who they trust more to handle immigration in New Mexico, Donald Trump or Kamala Harris, 48% trust Harris more, and 46% trust Trump more; 6% trust neither candidate. 

Fifty-three percent of voters have a favorable view of Vice President Harris, while 45% have an unfavorable view of Harris. Forty-two percent have a favorable view of Trump, while 57% have an unfavorable view of him. 

In the U.S. Senate Election between incumbent Democrat Martin Heinrich and Republican Nella Domenici, 49% support Heinrich, 37% Domenici, 4% someone else, and 9% are undecided.

Democratic candidates lead the Republicans in all three U.S. House elections in New Mexico. In the 1st district, incumbent Democrat Melanie Ann Stansbury leads Republican Steve Jones 51% to 37%; 12% of voters are undecided. In the 2nd district, 50% support Democrat Gabe Vasquez, while 41% support Republican Yvette Herrell. Nine percent are undecided. 

In the 3rd district, 52% support Democrat Teresa Leger Fernandez, while 39% support Republican Sharon Clahchishchilliage; 9% are undecided. 

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A majority of New Mexico voters say they feel less safe in New Mexico than they did five years ago, while 15% feel more safe and 32% feel the same amount of safe. 

Methodology

The Emerson College Polling/The Hill New Mexico survey was conducted August 20-22, 2024. The sample of registered voters, n=965, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3.1 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, party registration, and region based on 2024 voter modeling. Turnout modeling is based on U.S. Census parameters, exit polling and voter registration data. 

It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times. 

Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web text, landlines via Interactive Voice Response (IVR) (both lists provided by Aristotle), and an online panel of voters provided by CINT. The survey was offered in English. 

All questions asked in this survey with exact wording, along with full results, demographics, and cross tabulations can be found under Full Results. This survey was sponsored by Nexstar Media.

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New Mexico Wellness Wire: Dispatches from the health beat

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New Mexico Wellness Wire: Dispatches from the health beat





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4.0 magnitude earthquake strikes near Colorado-New Mexico state line

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4.0 magnitude earthquake strikes near Colorado-New Mexico state line


LAS ANIMAS COUNTY, Colo. (KKTV) – A 4.0 magnitude earthquake struck in southern Colorado near the New Mexico border Thursday, according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), with shocks felt as far as Pueblo.

According to the USGS, around 10:45 a.m., an earthquake struck near Weston at a depth of 8.7 km.

USGS said weak shaking could be felt as far as southern Pueblo and Monte Vista, with the shaking measured at an intensity level 3.

USGS said it estimates a 28% chance that an aftershock greater than 3.0 can be felt again within the next week.

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All-American Rejects bring surprise concert to Albuquerque’s South Valley

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All-American Rejects bring surprise concert to Albuquerque’s South Valley


The All-American Rejects played a pop-up show in a former alfalfa field in the South Valley after telling fans the location just hours before the concert.

ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. – A former alfalfa field in the South Valley served as the venue for one of the most highly-anticipated concerts of the year in New Mexico Wednesday night, although no one knew exactly where it would take place until a few hours before showtime.

The All-American Rejects, the band behind hits such as “Move Along” and “Dirty Little Secret” said they were coming to the Albuquerque area for a concert, but only fans who signed up for an alert received the exact location, and that didn’t come down until 5:55 p.m. Wednesday.

It’s part of the band’s free “House Party” concert series, which features performances in barns and backyards instead of more traditional venues in an effort to fight back against rising concert ticket prices.

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“The whole tour, the message we’re trying to get across is what’s happened with concerts in general. It’s become a one-percenters club to have access to the one commodity we need for togetherness, which is music,” said Tyson Ritter, the lead singer and bassist for the band.

The owners of the property couldn’t believe their luck when they were selected.  Jackeline and Thomas Ingham told KOB 4 their family’s properties in the South Valley have been used for weddings in the past, but certainly never for a major concert.

“And I thought it was a scam, so I hung up,” said Jackeline Ingham when asked about how the band’s manager reached out to her to set up the concert. “So, [my husband] is like, ‘Call her back!’ So, he ended up talking the rest of the way with her.”

Throughout the day, many fans of the All-American Rejects across New Mexico were trying to guess where the band might show up later in the evening.

“I thought it was either gonna be at Ex Novo, New Mexico United, or just somewhere in the South Valley because that’s what Reddit said all day,” said Brooke Palmer.

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Fans within a 124-mile (200 km) radius were able to receive the band’s concert alert.

It ended with thousands of fans flocking to the area, and just before 8:30 p.m., an announcement was made saying the venue was at capacity, forcing many to leave.

Others remained outside the main gate trying to get the best view they could from afar.

But the band was ultimately happy with the former alfalfa field that was quickly turned into a concert stage.

“Well, this is number four. And this feels like this is the example,” said Ritter ahead of the show. “This is what a house party is.  Right here, man.  We’ve got a beautiful field, an incredibly generous host, the weather is with us.”

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