Liberty vs. New Mexico State Predictions & Picks – Women's CUSA Tournament

Friday’s game at Von Braun Center has the Liberty Lady Flames (17-15) taking on the New Mexico State Aggies (13-17) at 9:00 PM ET on March 15. Our computer prediction projects a 67-59 win for Liberty, who are favored by our model.

Their last time out, the Flames won on Wednesday 62-59 against Western Kentucky.

Last time out, the Flames won on Wednesday 62-59 against Western Kentucky. The Aggies came out on top in their last outing 63-58 against Florida International on Thursday. In the Flames’ win, Jordan Bailey led the way with a team-high 17 points (adding three rebounds and one assist). In the Aggies’ win, Molly Kaiser led the team with 22 points (adding three rebounds and two assists).

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Liberty vs. New Mexico State Game Info

• When: Friday, March 15, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET
• Where: Von Braun Center in Huntsville, Alabama
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+

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Liberty vs. New Mexico State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Liberty 67, New Mexico State 59

Liberty Schedule Analysis

• The Flames’ best victory of the season came against the Grand Canyon Antelopes, a top 100 team (No. 87), according to our computer rankings. The Flames claimed the 65-52 home win on December 20.
• The Flames have tied for the 40th-most Quadrant 1 defeats in the nation (eight).
• When facing Quadrant 3 teams, the Flames are 8-2 (.800%) — tied for the 26th-most victories.

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Liberty 2023-24 Best Wins

• 65-52 at home over Grand Canyon (No. 87) on December 20
• 67-53 at home over JMU (No. 91) on December 1
• 84-81 on the road over SFA (No. 148) on November 10
• 66-59 at home over Louisiana Tech (No. 172) on January 13
• 58-53 on the road over Louisiana Tech (No. 172) on February 10

New Mexico State Schedule Analysis

• The Aggies beat the No. 172-ranked (according to our computer rankings) Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters, 66-64, on January 27, which goes down as their signature victory of the season.
• New Mexico State has five losses versus Quadrant 2 opponents, tied for the 30th-most in Division 1.

New Mexico State 2023-24 Best Wins

• 66-64 at home over Louisiana Tech (No. 172) on January 27
• 63-58 over Florida International (No. 176) on March 14
• 65-56 on the road over Florida International (No. 176) on March 9
• 64-61 at home over Western Kentucky (No. 183) on February 17
• 50-44 on the road over Western Kentucky (No. 183) on January 18

Liberty Leaders

• Bella Smuda: 14.9 PTS, 9.8 REB, 2.3 BLK, 59 FG%
• Emma Hess: 13 PTS, 40.8 FG%, 38.3 3PT% (72-for-188)
• Jordan Hodges: 8.6 PTS, 41 FG%, 38.2 3PT% (39-for-102)
• Asia Boone: 9.8 PTS, 1.2 STL, 35.4 FG%, 35.6 3PT% (58-for-163)
• Elisabeth Aegisdottir: 3.7 PTS, 31.1 FG%, 19 3PT% (11-for-58)

New Mexico State Leaders

• Kaiser: 14.9 PTS, 40.1 FG%, 35.7 3PT% (25-for-70)
• Ene Adams: 7.5 PTS, 51.2 FG%
• Sylena Peterson: 5.7 PTS, 1.5 STL, 34.1 FG%, 25.8 3PT% (17-for-66)
• Jaila Harding: 9.2 PTS, 38.4 FG%, 35.5 3PT% (59-for-166)
• Fanta Gassama: 6.5 PTS, 7.9 REB, 52.5 FG%

Liberty Performance Insights

• The Flames have a -29 scoring differential, putting up 65.7 points per game (167th in college basketball) and giving up 66.6 (236th in college basketball).
• Liberty’s offense has been better in CUSA games this year, putting up 68.9 points per contest, compared to its overall average of 65.7 PPG.
• The Flames are scoring 66.6 points per game in home games. On the road, they are faring better offensively, averaging 67 points per contest.
• Defensively, Liberty has been better at home this season, allowing 58.6 points per game, compared to 72.8 on the road.
• The Flames have been racking up 69.5 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly higher than the 65.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season.

New Mexico State Performance Insights

• The Aggies score 60.1 points per game (273rd in college basketball) and give up 60.8 (92nd in college basketball) for a -20 scoring differential overall.
• In conference play, New Mexico State is scoring fewer points (57.8 per game) than it is overall (60.1) in 2023-24.
• The Aggies are putting up more points at home (61.2 per game) than away (56.7).
• New Mexico State is allowing fewer points at home (58.2 per game) than away (63.2).
• While the Aggies are averaging 60.1 points per game in 2023-24, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, amassing 57 points per contest.

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