Idaho Democratic Party doubles legislative candidate numbers in the face of GOP supermajority • Idaho Capital Sun

For Joseph Messerly, a Soda Springs business owner and a member of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, the decision to run for state office started with one issue: Idaho libraries.

His mother is a children’s librarian, and she even testified in opposition to one of the early iterations of this year’s legislation meant to restrict children’s access to library material, which ultimately passed the Legislature under House Bill 710 and was signed into law in April by Idaho Gov. Brad Little.

Messerly said one of the concerns he saw local librarians, like his mother, talk about was the impact that it was going to have on children in rural Idaho.

“We’re on a four-day school week in Soda Springs, and we can have up to 30 kids in the library on Fridays,” he told the Idaho Capital Sun. “With some of their parents at work, kids are waiting at the library before the doors even open to get out of the cold or to have somewhere to work on school projects.”

Messerly, a Democratic candidate, is running for election for the first time to the Idaho House of Representatives to represent District 35, Seat A. The district is located in eastern Idaho and includes Bear Lake, Caribou and Teton counties as well as a portion of Bonneville County. Messerly is running unopposed in the May 21 Democratic primary election. He will run against incumbent Rep. Kevin Andrus, R-Lava Hot Springs, in the Nov. 5 general election.

Efforts to reach Andrus were unsuccessful.

“The fact that librarians aren’t going to be able to help them in the way they need to for fear of civil or for liable actions isn’t OK,” Messerly said. “We need to make sure that all voices are being heard at all times, and Idaho values really truly line up with the Idaho Democratic Party at the end of the day.”

Messerly has entered Idaho’s 2024 legislative races along with 86 other Democrats who have said they are driven by concerns related to legislation affecting library materials, reproductive rights and public education. This surge nearly doubles the amount of democratic candidates running for legislative office in comparison from 2022.

Jaclyn Kettler, a political scientist at Boise State University has noticed the increase in Democratic candidates, particularly compared to the field of 2022 candidates. 

“It is something that I had noticed and I think it reflects the hard work that the Democratic Party has done in recruiting candidates,” Kettler said.

Kettler said having more candidates means more choices for voters, which can be a good thing regardless of which political party they support. 

“It is important for a few reasons,” Kettler said. “It helps build up a base, and it helps turn out more voters. If you don’t have candidates on the ballot, it’s hard to demonstrate how much support you might have. But it is also important to have contested elections in more general ways. Having contested elections helps keep our elected officials more accountable through conversations about what the incumbent has done or hasn’t done. It can bring opportunities for voters to express the types of issues or policies they would like to see their representatives work on, and it can also get more citizens participating and engaged with more campaign activity happening.”

Kettler said a fuller field of candidates may also give Idahoans insights in how the state has changed since legislative and congressional districts were redrawn following the 2020 census.

“Because we didn’t see many Democrats on the ballot in 2022, we haven’t seen how our increasing population – or population growth –  has affected some districts,” Kettler said. “Voter registration data indicates a lot of Republicans are moving to the state, but do we see some districts become competitive that previously weren’t? Or maybe districts that have previously been competitive won’t be as competitive because of it.”

Even with the large increase in Democratic candidates this year, Kettler doesn’t expect a big shift in the balance of political power. Democrats in Idaho have history, numbers and lots of money working against them. 

Republicans have held a supermajority in both chambers of the Idaho Legislature since the 1992 general election. 

Republicans have won every statewide office since Democrat Marilyn Howard was re-elected superintendent of public instruction in 2002. 

‘We’ve lost so much’: Idaho Democratic chairwoman says more is at stake this election

This year, there is at least one Democratic candidate in all 35 legislative districts in Idaho.

Candidate filings show: 

• For the Idaho House of Representatives, there are 59 Democratic candidates running in comparison to 32 in 2022.
• For the Idaho Senate, there are 28 candidates running in comparison to 13 in 2022. 

Idaho Democratic Chairwoman Lauren Necochea said in a press release that Idaho’s Democratic candidates are parents, teachers, nurses and small business owners who stepped up as the Idaho Republican supermajority “descends into extremism.” 

“These Democratic candidates are running because they cannot accept the loss of our reproductive freedoms and the exodus of doctors from our state, they cannot accept relentless attacks on our libraries, and they will not accept the selling out of our public schools to costly voucher schemes,” she said in the release. 

Multiple efforts to reach Idaho Republican Party Chairwoman Dorothy Moon were unsuccessful. Moon also did not respond to a list of questions that a reporter from the Idaho Capital Sun sent her via email on May 1.  

In a phone interview, Necochea told the Sun that the Democratic Party made thousands of phone calls to recruit prospects across Idaho. Another reason the party was able to recruit more candidates than in the past is because the party has grown its resource base, she said, even receiving funding from former Idaho Republicans. 

“We’ve lost so much, so the will to step up and fight back is growing,” Necochea said. “We can’t let things slide anymore. We’ve lost too much already, and we need to work to get our freedoms back.”

‘I have to step up’: North Idaho nurse running as Democratic candidate

Inside the halls of Post Falls High School, you’ll find class portraits of Loree Peery, along with photos of her grandparents, parents, aunts, uncles and cousins. The sixth generation Idahoan moved to California for 20 years before moving back to the Gem State in 2006 and settling in Spirit Lake.

“When I moved back, man, my state had changed,” she told the Sun, adding that she had always been involved in Idaho’s Democratic Party. 

Peery never saw herself running for office until the representative in her district, Rep. Heather Scott, R-Blanchard, presented a bill to expand the state’s cannibalism law this session. 

“I kept thinking, there’s got to be someone running against her, but there wasn’t,” Peery said. “I was like, that’s it. I have to step up. So that’s what I’m doing. I’m not a politician; I’m a nurse.”

Peery is running unopposed in the May 21 Democratic primary election. In November, she will run against Scott in the general election. Scott has served as a member of the Idaho House of Representatives since 2015. She is the co-chair of the Idaho Freedom Caucus, a group of Idaho’s most conservative legislators who have championed legislation such as legally redefining gender and sex, protecting public workers from having to identify people by their preferred pronouns and codifying procedures for libraries to follow if patrons request an item’s relocation. 

Scott ran unopposed in the 2022 general election. She did not respond to the Sun’s questions about how an opponent impacts her campaign strategy, but she did respond to a question about why she thinks there are more Democrats running this election. 

“I believe we are seeing so many Democratic candidates running for office to provide cover for the Democrats they have running as Republicans in the primary,” Scott told the Sun in a text. “This is the next phase for the Gem State heist.”

Supreme Court justices appear split over whether to protect abortion care during emergencies

As a nurse, Peery said reproductive rights are her top concern, especially as the U.S. Supreme Court is set to decide if Idaho’s abortion law violates the Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act. Also known as EMTALA, the federal law prohibits hospitals from refusing to help patients that seek emergency treatment if they are unable to pay for the services. 

The U.S. Department of Justice sued the state of Idaho for its strict abortion law that provides an exception to save a patient’s life, but not to preserve a patient’s health. Without health exceptions, Idaho doctors have sent pregnant patients needing stabilizing treatment to out-of-state clinics where abortion is accessible, States Newsroom reported. 

Last month, U.S. Solicitor General Elizabeth Prelogar, who is from Idaho, argued to the U.S. Supreme Court that without the ability to immediately treat a pregnant patient with an emergency medical condition in Idaho, a person’s bodily functions, including their ability to have children in the future, could significantly be affected.

“The fact that EMTALA is under threat terrifies me,” Peery said. “I was an operating room nurse for over 40 years, and I know what can happen to women when pregnancies go bad, and it’s really scary and dangerous. The fact that our law is so vague that physicians don’t know what to do and are afraid of being sued is really scary to me.”

Reproductive rights a top issue for Democratic candidates

Like Peery, Julia Parker, the Democratic candidate from Moscow running in District 6, said reproductive rights is also her top concern. 

“As a nurse, you really get a view of what people are struggling with, and how difficult health care systems and personal decisions can be,” she told the Sun. “Whether that is a pregnancy decision, or to spend money at a hospital, those decisions are so deeply personal and complicated. There’s no way the Legislature should be the ones making those kinds of decisions for people.”

This is her first time running for state office, but Parker has been involved in local politics since 2021 as a Moscow City Council member.

“I just really love Idaho, and I think that we just deserve better representation than we have,” she said, adding that public education and health care are issues that inspired her to run. “I think it’s just really important for regular people like me to stand up and run for office.”

Parker is running unopposed in the May 21 primary election. She will run against the winner of the Republican primary election between incumbent Sen. Dan Foreman, R-Moscow, and GOP challenger Robert Blair, R-Kendrick.

Blair is a fourth generation Idahoan and farmer. He told the Sun he said is running because he is concerned about the direction of the Idaho Republican Party. The top three issues that inspired him include local control, agriculture and infrastructure. 

Blair substituted for former Sen. Dan Johnson in 2021 in the Idaho Legislature, and has experience voting on bills related to abortion, education and libraries. He said he is not sure why there are more Democrats running in this election than in 2022, but he said those are the issues that “separate the Republican and Democrat party.”

“I read every single bill and voted on the bill on its merits and what it’s going to do to the people in my district,” he said. “That’s how I approach things. I don’t know how I’ll vote on a bill until that bill is in front of me.”

Blair ran in the 2022 election, but lost against Foreman. Right now he said he is focused on the primary election and not his Democratic opponent. 

Foreman did not respond to the Idaho Capital Sun’s request for comment. 

Mary Shea, a Democratic candidate running for election to the Idaho House of Representatives to represent District 29, seat A, has also served as a Senate substitute.

In the recent legislative session, she substituted for Sen. James Ruchti, D-Pocatello, and was outspoken in her opposition to legislation that changed Idaho’s legal definition of sex and gender, and legislation that protects public employees from punishment if they choose to misgender someone. 

Shea has a background in law, and she said she felt compelled to run when in September 2021, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Senate Bill 8, the Texas law permitting civil suits against abortion providers after approximately six weeks of pregnancy, to go into effect. Idaho now has a similar law that lets the family members of a person who had an abortion seek civil penalties of at least $20,000 from a provider. That ruling preceded the ultimate Dobbs decision in June 2022.

This year will be her second time running for the same office. In 2022, Shea ran against Rep. Dustin Manwaring, R-Pocatello, losing by about 640 votes. Shea is running unopposed in the May 21 Democratic primary election, but will again run against Manwaring in the Nov. 5 general election. 

Manwaring said his experience, his Republican values and his ability to work with both political parties differentiate him from his opponent.

“What makes me different is while I believe in and strive to uphold the traditional values of the Idaho Republican Party, I also try to find a middle ground on issues and that means working with all sides of my party and across party lines to solve problems,” Manwaring said. “I believe it is a winning ingredient for a legislative district like mine. District 29’s leadership is comprised of both parties, and I have served as the sole Republican representative in this district since I was first elected in 2016.”

Shea said she is concerned that Republicans are “not allowed to think for themselves anymore,” adding that she is also concerned about public education and efforts to fix school maintenance issues and attempts to create school vouchers.

“The fastest and best way to turn things around in Idaho is to get more good Democrats in the seats,” Shea said.

Manwaring has taken notice of the increase in Democratic candidates filing for legislative offices this year, but he doesn’t think the increased number of candidates will flip any seats in the Idaho Legislature or shift the balance of power away from the Republican supermajority.

According to data obtained from the Idaho Secretary of State’s Office, the breakdown of candidates running in the general election for the Idaho Legislature has shifted over the years, for example: 

• 2018: 102 Republicans, 61 Democrats
• 2020: 101 Republicans, 56 Democrats
• 2022: 105 Republicans, 45 Democrats

In the 2024 primary, there are 158 Republican candidates and 87 Democratic candidates running, according to candidate filings on the voteidaho.gov. 

“My take on the numbers of candidates filing this year is the R’s are about average, or down very slightly, and the D’s have recruited substantially more candidates than usual to appear on the general election ballot,” Manwaring said. “I do not believe this will translate into more real competition in November because it does not change the demographic of electors who are likely to vote in each of the legislative districts.”

“Of course, there are always exceptions and if one party does not field a good candidate and there is an alternative available it is possible the race becomes more competitive,” Manwaring added. “I do not see this as likely to happen in any of the districts in Idaho that have not been historically competitive between the two major parties. I also believe the districts are getting more set in the Democrat ones being more solid blue and the Republican ones being more solid red as our state continues to add population with much of the migration coming into rural Idaho being conservative voters.”