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Does Bo Nix spell T-R-O-U-B-L-E for Josh Allen? Experts make Bills vs Broncos predictions

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The Buffalo Bills host the Denver Broncos at 1 p.m. Sunday at Highmark Stadium.

The Bills are 9-point favorites according to BetMGM.

The money line for the Bills is -450 (bet $450 to win $100) and +350 (bet $100 to win $350). The over-under is 47 points.

Democrat & Chronicle: Bills 24, Broncos 20

Sal Maiorana writes: “This is not going to be a walk-over for the Bills. Although their offense became the first in NFL history to score at least 30 touchdowns both passing and rushing, and it scored a team-record 62 TDs and 525 points, the Broncos figure to give Allen and company a big-time test.

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“They finished third in points allowed (18.3), second in yards allowed per play (4.9), No. 1 in most sacks (63), third in successful QB pressure rate (37.4%), and third in red zone TD percentage (46.9%).

“The Bills had a league-low eight turnovers and given the fact that it will be tough to move the ball and score, at least at the rate they’ve grown accustomed to this year, they’ll need another clean game because a mistake or two might be all Denver needs.”

Jeremy Cluff writes: “The Broncos have surpassed our expectations this season, but it would really surprise us if they won at Buffalo, where the Bills are 8-0 this season. Denver is just 4-5 on the road. Highmark Stadium will provide a rude playoff debut to Bo Nix.”

Tyler Dragon writes: “The Bills won the AFC East for the fifth straight season. Led by MVP candidate Josh Allen, the Bills are the first team in NFL history with at least 30 touchdown passes (30) and 30 rushing touchdowns (32) in a season. The Broncos clinched their first playoff berth since 2015.

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“The Broncos are ahead of schedule in their rebuild. It’s an accomplishment for Denver to be in the postseason. On the other side, the Bills are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. It’s going to be a tough game for a young, upstart Broncos club in Buffalo. Denver’s stingy defense will make some plays, but the Bills have the more talented roster.

“Buffalo hasn’t lost a game at home this season.”

ESPN Analytics give the Bills a 68.1% shot of winning.

Dimers’ model gives the Bills a 78% win probability.

— Bill Wolcott is a producer who helps cover the Buffalo Bills, high school and Rochester sports in general. The lifelong New Yorker has been a journalist for 30 years.

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