Denver, CO
Denver Broncos at New York Jets odds, expert picks, how to watch: The rookie (Bo Nix) vs. the superstar (Aaron Rodgers)
Bo Nix and the Broncos finally reached the win column in Week 3 against Tampa Bay, but if they have momentum, oddsmakers aren’t seeing it. Denver opened as touchdown underdogs against the Jets this week, and their improbable road upset against the Bucs did nothing to move the line.
Betting on the Jets to cover that big of a spread would normally be throwing money away, but Nix has yet to show consistency in the passing game, and the Denver running attack is nonexistent. Lead back Javonte Williams has 52 yards in three games, a total that third-stringer Tyler Badie eclipsed in their last contest. Nix currently leads the team on the ground with 107 yards, and though the Jets are vulnerable against the run, Denver doesn’t have the weapons to exploit that weakness.
New York has been better in coverage than their cumulative stats suggest, as only one opposing pass catcher has reached 70 yards, and they’ve allowed just one touchdown through the air. With Nix at the bottom of the league in air yards per attempt (3.3) and no meaningful threat on the ground to draw attention, a breakout passing game isn’t likely in Week 4.
Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and the Jets passing attack are getting more dangerous by the game. Rodgers’ time to throw has increased every week, beginning at 2.33 seconds against the Niners and rising to 2.6 against the Patriots. If there’s a universal truth in the NFL, it’s that you don’t give great passers time. Rodgers has proven that, ramping up his yards per game each week.
The Broncos have two good cover safeties in Brandon Jones and P.J. Locke, but their pass rush is middle of the road, and they can be gashed on the ground. The Jets have the horses to do so with Breece Hall and blossoming rookie Braelon Allen, meaning Denver’s defense will have its hands full all over the field.
Nathaniel Hackett calling plays for the Jets is another potential wrinkle for the Broncos since he’s not likely to let off the accelerator after Sean Payton’s scathing review of Hackett’s time as Denver’s head coach. Everything is lining up for the Jets to cover in Jersey.
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Denver Broncos at New York Jets odds
How to watch Broncos vs. Jets
- Venue: MetLife Stadium — East Rutherford, N.J.
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Streaming: Fubo (try for free)
Expert picks for Broncos vs. Jets
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(Photo of Aaron Rodgers: Sarah Stier / Getty Images)