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Broncos will face NFL’s 12th-hardest strength of schedule in 2023

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Dates and times for 2023 NFL schedule will be announced on Thursday, but we already know what opponents the Denver Broncos will face this season.

Based on 2022 records, the Broncos will face the 12th-hardest strength of schedule in 2023. The teams Denver will play this fall went 148-138-2 last year, good for a combined winning percentage of .517.

This is, of course, an inexact science because rosters have changed since last year so 2022 records aren’t a perfect indicator of how good or bad teams will be in 2023. Another (still flawed) measurement for calculating a team’s strength of schedule is using opponents’ projected win totals for 2023.

Using the projected win totals of their 2023 opponents as the measurement, Sharp Football Analysis has the Broncos with the 13th-hardest strength of schedule in 2023. Fortunately, the Kansas City Chiefs (third-hardest), Las Vegas Raiders (fourth-hardest) and Los Angeles Chargers (seventh-hardest) all have tougher schedules, as least according to the projected win total projections.

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Here is the NFL’s complete strength of schedule for 2023, based on records from the 2022 season.

Rank Team Record Win Pct.
1 Philadelphia Eagles 161-123-4   .566
2 Miami Dolphins 158-127-2   .554
3 New York Giants 157-129-2   .549
3 New England Patriots 156-128-3   .549
3 Dallas Cowboys 156-128-4   .549
6 New York Jets 155-129-3   .545
7 Buffalo Bills 155-131-2   .542
8 Washington Commanders 153-133-2   .535
9 Los Angeles Rams 152-133-3   .533
10 Las Vegas Raiders 150-136-2   .524
11 Arizona Cardinals 148-137-3 .  519
12 Denver Broncos 148-138-2   .517
12 Seattle Seahawks 148-138-2   .517
12 Los Angeles Chargers 149-139-0   .517
15 San Francisco 49ers 147-139-2   .514
16 Kansas City Chiefs 147-140-0 .  512
17 Cincinnati Bengals 146-140-2   .510
18 Chicago Bears 143-145-1   .497
18 Minnesota Vikings 143-145-0   .497
20 Detroit Lions 143-146-0   .495
21 Baltimore Ravens 138-147-2   .484
22 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 138-148-2   .483
23 Jacksonville Jaguars 135-148-4   .477
24 Green Bay Packers 137-151-1   .476
25 Pittsburgh Steelers 134-151-2   .470
26 Cleveland Browns 131-154-2   .460
27 Carolina Panthers 130-157-2   .453
28 Tennessee Titans 127-157-4   .448
29 Indianapolis Colts 124-162-2   .434
30 Houston Texans 123-163-2   .431
31 New Orleans Saints 122-164-3   .427
32 Atlanta Falcons 119-167-3   .417

The 2023 schedule will be announced at 6 p.m. MT on Thursday, May 11.

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